Parex Resources Inc. (“Parex” or the "Company") (TSX:PXT) is
pleased to announce the results of its annual independent reserves
assessment as at December 31, 2020 and to provide an operational
update.
The financial and operational information
contained below is based on the Company’s unaudited expected
results for the year ended December 31, 2020. All currency amounts
are in United States dollars, unless otherwise stated.
2020 Year-End Corporate Reserves
Report
On a debt adjusted basis, proved developed
producing (“PDP”) reserves per share increased by 18% and proved
plus probable (“2P”) reserves per share increased by 14%. We exited
2020 with working capital of approximately $320 million and no
debt. In 2021, we have multiple opportunities for continued
profitable growth and are expecting to generate significant free
cash flow, in excess of capital expenditures and sufficient to
support the Company’s share buyback program.
For the year ended December 31, 2020, Parex:
- Added
18.5 million barrels of oil equivalent ("MMboe") PDP, 6.3 MMboe
proved (“1P”) reserves, and 13.1 MMboe 2P reserves replacing
respectively 108%, 37% and 77% of total 2020 production (17.03
MMboe);
- Added
significant new reserves, including 7 MMboe of 1P, 17 MMboe of 2P
and 34 MMboe of proved plus probable plus possible (“3P”) on blocks
VIM-1 (La Belleza) and Fortuna (Cayena). With 3 of 14 planned wells
drilled, the new reserves booking was achieved with a limited
exploration program due to the COVID-19 pandemic;
-
Increased PDP reserves by 2% year-over-year, from 71 MMboe to 72
MMboe (98% crude oil);
- Grew 3P
reserves by 7% from 261 MMboe to 280 MMboe (92% crude oil);
-
Increased debt adjusted reserves per share as follows: PDP 18%, 1P
7% and 2P 14% as the limited exploration activities was
complimented by the share buyback program;
- Realized
PDP finding, development & acquisition (“FD&A”) costs of
$7.73 per barrel of oil equivalent (“boe”), resulting in a 2.5
times funds flow from operations netback recycle ratio using
unaudited Q4 2020 funds flow from operations of $19.15/boe;
- Achieved
2P finding & development (“F&D”) costs and 2P FD&A
costs of $8.45/boe. Using the unaudited Q4 2020 funds flow from
operations of $19.15/boe, the 2P FD&A funds flow from
operations netback recycle ratio was 2.3 times;
- Extended
2P reserve life index to 11 years;
- Realized
an after tax 1P net asset value (“NAV”) per share of C$20.91 and 2P
NAV of C$27.43 per share, discounted at 10% and using the GLJ 2020
Report (as defined herein) price forecast;
- Using a
constant $50/bbl Brent oil price, achieved an after tax 1P NAV per
share of C$17.49 and 2P NAV of C$22.47 per share, discounted at
10%; and
- Achieved
average daily production of approximately 46,518 boe per day
(“boe/d”), representing a 12% decrease over the 2019 daily average
production using a conversion of six thousand cubic feet (“Mcf”) of
gas to one barrel of oil. Production was less in 2020 due to
voluntary shut-in and less drilling activity due to the COVID-19
pandemic and the volatility in crude oil prices. Production
consisted of 6,021 barrels per day (“bopd”) of light crude oil and
medium crude oil, 39,197 bopd of heavy crude oil and 7,800 Mcf per
day (“Mcf/d”) of conventional natural gas.
We estimate Q4 2020 production to average
approximately 46,642 boe/d, up 5% from Q3 2020, consisting of 6,637
bopd of light crude oil and medium crude oil, 38,332 bopd of heavy
crude oil and 10,038 Mcf/d of conventional natural gas.
2020 Gross Q4 & Year-End Production
Volumes by Product Type
|
For the three monthsended December
31, |
For the year endedDecember
31, |
Product Type |
2020(2) |
2019 |
2020(2) |
2019 |
Light & Medium Crude Oil (bbl/d)(1) |
6,637 |
8,346 |
6,021 |
7,214 |
Heavy Crude Oil (bbl/d) |
38,332 |
44,740 |
39,197 |
44,494 |
Conventional Natural Gas (Mcf/d) |
10,038 |
6,810 |
7,800 |
5,874 |
Oil Equivalent (boe/d) |
46,642 |
54,221 |
46,518 |
52,687 |
(1) Bbl/d is defined as barrels
per day.(2) Production volumes for the three
months ended December 31, 2020 and for the year ended December 31,
2020 are estimated.
2020 Year-End Reserves Report:
Discussion of Reserves
The following tables summarize information
contained in the independent reserves report prepared by GLJ
Petroleum Consultants Ltd. (“GLJ”) dated February 4, 2021 with an
effective date of December 31, 2020 (the "GLJ 2020 Report"), with
comparatives to the independent reserves report prepared by GLJ
dated February 5, 2020 with an effective date of December 31, 2019
(the "GLJ 2019 Report"), and the independent reserves report
prepared by GLJ dated February 7, 2019 with an effective date of
December 31, 2018 ("GLJ 2018 Report", and collectively with the GLJ
2020 Report and the GLJ 2019 Report, the "GLJ Reports"). Each GLJ
Report was prepared in accordance with definitions, standards and
procedures contained in the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation
Handbook ("COGE Handbook") and National Instrument 51-101 -
Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities ("NI 51-101").
Additional reserve information as required under NI 51-101 will be
included in the Company's Annual Information Form for the 2020
fiscal year which will be filed on SEDAR by March 31, 2021.
Consistent with the Company’s reporting currency, all amounts are
in United States dollars unless otherwise noted.
The recovery and reserve estimates provided in
this news release are estimates only, and there is no guarantee
that the estimated reserves will be recovered. Actual reserves may
eventually prove to be greater than, or less than, the estimates
provided herein. In certain of the tables set forth below, the
columns may not add due to rounding.
All December 31, 2020 reserves presented are
based on GLJ's forecast pricing effective January 1, 2021; all
December 31, 2019 reserves presented are based on GLJ's forecast
pricing effective January 1, 2020; and all December 31, 2018
reserves presented are based on GLJ's forecast pricing effective
January 1, 2019.
Parex’ reserves are located in Colombia’s Llanos
and Magdalena basins. Reserve additions in the GLJ 2020 Report were
primarily generated from a successful oil exploration and appraisal
drilling program.
The Company recorded material reserve increases
in 3P reserves due to the following corporate activities:
- Exploration discovery with the La
Belleza well on the VIM-1 Block.
- Drilling extensions with the Cayena
well on the Fortuna Block.
2020 Year-End Gross Reserves Volumes
|
December 31, |
Change |
|
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
over |
Reserves Category |
Mboe(1) |
Mboe(1) |
Mboe (1)(2) |
Dec 31, 2019 |
Proved Developed Producing (PDP) |
62,612 |
70,946 |
72,373 |
2 |
% |
Proved Developed Non-Producing |
7,246 |
6,699 |
15,087 |
125 |
% |
Proved Undeveloped |
51,835 |
61,180 |
40,623 |
-34 |
% |
Proved (1P) |
121,693 |
138,825 |
128,083 |
-8 |
% |
Probable |
62,982 |
59,599 |
66,408 |
11 |
% |
Proved + Probable (2P) |
184,674 |
198,423 |
194,491 |
-2 |
% |
Possible(3) |
77,392 |
62,661 |
85,995 |
37 |
% |
Proved + Probable + Possible (3P) |
262,066 |
261,085 |
280,486 |
7 |
% |
(1) Mboe is defined as thousand
barrels of oil equivalent.(2) All reserves are
presented as Parex working interest before royalties. 2020 net
reserves after royalties are: PDP 64,157 Mboe, proved developed
non-producing 12,948 Mboe, proved undeveloped 35,589 Mboe, 1P
112,693 Mboe, 2P 167,986 Mboe and 3P 240,968
Mboe.(3) Please refer to the “Reserve Advisory”
section for a description of each reserve category. Possible
reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be
recovered than probable reserves. There is a 10% probability that
the quantities recovered will equal or exceed the sum of proved
plus probable plus possible reserves.
2020 Gross Reserves by
Block
Block |
ProvedMboe(1) |
Proved+ProbableMboe(1) |
Proved +Probable
+PossibleMboe(1) |
Cabrestero |
17,108 |
24,002 |
30,008 |
Capachos |
6,886 |
10,904 |
15,665 |
LLA-34 |
87,887 |
127,976 |
173,687 |
VIM-1 |
5,306 |
12,893 |
24,050 |
Other Blocks |
10,896 |
18,716 |
37,076 |
Total |
128,083 |
194,491 |
280,486 |
(1) All reserves are presented
as Parex working interest before royalties. Please
refer to the “Reserve Advisory” section for a description of each
reserve category. Possible reserves are those additional reserves
that are less certain to be recovered than probable reserves. There
is a 10% probability that the quantities recovered will equal or
exceed the sum of proved plus probable plus possible reserves.
2020 Gross Year-End Reserves Volumes by
Product Type (1)
Product Type |
Proved DevelopedProducing |
TotalProved |
Total Proved+ Probable |
Total Proved+Probable +Possible |
Light & Medium Crude Oil (Mbbl)(2) |
5,883 |
16,433 |
31,330 |
59,095 |
Heavy Crude Oil (Mbbl) |
64,949 |
105,524 |
150,842 |
200,304 |
Natural Gas Liquids (Mbbl) |
147 |
353 |
569 |
765 |
Conventional Natural Gas (MMcf)(3) |
8,363 |
34,637 |
70,501 |
121,931 |
Oil Equivalent (Mboe) |
72,373 |
128,083 |
194,491 |
280,486 |
(1) All reserves are presented
as Parex working interest before royalties. Please
refer to the “Reserve Advisory” section for a description of each
reserve category. Possible reserves are those additional reserves
that are less certain to be recovered than probable reserves. There
is a 10% probability that the quantities recovered will equal or
exceed the sum of proved plus probable plus possible
reserves.(2) Mbbl is defined as thousands of
barrels.(3) MMcf is defined as millions cubic
feet.
Reserve Life Index ("RLI")
|
Dec. 31, 2018(1) |
Dec. 31, 2019(2) |
Dec. 31, 2020(3) |
Proved Developed Producing (PDP) |
3.5 years |
3.6 years |
4.3 years |
Proved (1P) |
6.8 years |
7.0 years |
7.5 years |
Proved
Plus Probable (2P) |
10.3 years |
10.0 years |
11.4 years |
(1) Calculated by dividing the
amount of the relevant reserves category by average Q4 2018
production of 49,300 boe/d annualized (consisting of 5,771 bopd of
light crude oil and medium crude oil, 42,788 bopd of heavy crude
oil and 4,446 Mcf/d of conventional natural
gas).(2) Calculated by dividing the amount of the
relevant reserves category by average Q4 2019 production of 54,221
boe/d annualized (consisting of 8,346 bopd of light crude oil and
medium crude oil, 44,740 bopd of heavy crude oil and 6,810 Mcf/d of
conventional natural gas).(3) Calculated by
dividing the amount of the relevant reserves category by estimated
average Q4 2020 production of 46,642 boe/d annualized (consisting
of 6,637 bopd of light crude oil and medium crude oil, 38,332 bopd
of heavy crude oil and 10,038 Mcf/d of conventional natural
gas).
Five Year Crude Oil Price Forecast – GLJ
Report (January 2020 and 2021)
|
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
ICE Brent (USD$/bbl) - January 1, 2020 |
67.00 |
68.00 |
71.00 |
73.00 |
75.00 |
76.00 |
ICE Brent (USD$/bbl) - January 1, 2021 |
43.30(1) |
50.75 |
55.00 |
58.50 |
61.79 |
62.95 |
(1) Actual 2020 ICE Brent
average price.
Future Development Capital (“FDC”)
(000s) – GLJ 2020 Report (1)
ReservesCategory |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2026+ |
Total FDC |
TotalFDC/boe |
PDP |
$20,519 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
$20,519 |
$0.28 |
1P |
$152,301 |
$104,756 |
$38,233 |
$1,136 |
$0 |
$2,142 |
$298,568 |
$2.33 |
2P |
$174,194 |
$147,745 |
$66,798 |
$7,599 |
$0 |
$26,407 |
$422,742 |
$2.17 |
(1) FDC are stated in USD,
undiscounted and based on GLJ January 1, 2021 price forecasts.
Reserves Net Present Value Before Tax
Summary – GLJ Brent Forecast (1)(2)
Reserves Category |
|
NPV10December31,
2019(000s)(2) |
NPV10December31,
2020(000s)(2) |
NPV10 December31,
2020(CAD/sh)(3) |
Proved Developed Producing (PDP) |
$ |
2,000,514 |
1,514,956 |
14.74 |
Proved Developed Non-Producing |
|
183,610 |
248,729 |
|
Proved Undeveloped |
|
1,320,420 |
597,463 |
|
Proved (1P) |
$ |
3,504,544 |
2,361,149 |
22.97 |
Probable |
|
1,347,556 |
979,935 |
|
Proved + Probable (2P) |
$ |
4,852,099 |
3,341,084 |
32.50 |
Possible(4) |
|
1,478,283 |
1,284,690 |
|
Proved + Probable + Possible (3P) |
$ |
6,330,382 |
4,625,774 |
45.00 |
(1) Net present values
(“NPV10”) are stated in USD and are discounted at 10 percent.
Please refer to the “Reserve Advisory” section for a description of
each reserve category. The forecast prices used in the calculation
of the present value of future net revenue are based on the GLJ
January 1, 2020 and GLJ January 1, 2021 price forecasts,
respectively. The GLJ January 1, 2021 price forecast will be
included in the Company's Annual Information Form for the 2020
fiscal year.(2) Includes FDC as at December 31,
2019 of $19 million for PDP, $362 million for 1P, $453 million for
2P and $537 million for 3P and FDC as at December 31, 2020 of $21
million for PDP, $299 million for 1P, $423 million for 2P and $542
million for 3P. (3) NPV10 per share is
calculated, as at December 31, 2020, as before tax NPV10 (converted
at USDCAD 1.2732) divided by 131 million basic shares outstanding
as at December 31, 2020. (4) Possible reserves are
those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered
than probable reserves. There is a 10% probability that the
quantities recovered will equal or exceed the sum of proved plus
probable plus possible reserves.
Reserves Net Present Value After Tax
Summary – GLJ Brent Forecast
(1)(2)
Reserves Category |
|
NPV10December31,
2019(000s)(2) |
NPV10December31,
2020(000s)(2) |
NAV December31,
2020(CAD/sh)(3) |
Proved Developed Producing (PDP) |
$ |
1,630,512 |
1,261,769 |
15.39 |
Proved Developed Non-Producing |
|
126,764 |
171,766 |
|
Proved Undeveloped |
|
896,013 |
395,908 |
|
Proved (1P) |
$ |
2,653,289 |
1,829,443 |
20.91 |
Probable |
|
929,239 |
669,994 |
|
Proved + Probable (2P) |
$ |
3,582,528 |
2,499,437 |
27.43 |
Possible(4) |
|
1,022,739 |
882,572 |
|
Proved + Probable + Possible (3P) |
$ |
4,605,267 |
3,382,009 |
36.02 |
(1) Net present values are
stated in USD and are discounted at 10 percent. All reserves are
presented as Parex working interest before
royalties. Please refer to the “Reserve Advisory”
section for a description of each reserve category. The forecast
prices used in the calculation of the present value of future net
revenue are based on the GLJ January 1, 2020 and GLJ January 1,
2021 price forecasts, respectively. The GLJ January 1, 2021 price
forecast will be included in the Company's Annual Information Form
for the 2020 fiscal year.(2) Includes FDC as at
December 31, 2019 of $19 million for PDP, $362 million for 1P, $453
million for 2P and $537 million for 3P, and FDC as at December 31,
2020 of $21 million for PDP, $299 million for 1P, $423 million for
2P and $542 million for 3P. (3) NAV is
calculated, as at December 31, 2020, as after tax NPV10 plus
estimated working capital of USD$320 million (converted at
USDCAD=1.2732), divided by 131 million basic shares outstanding as
at December 31, 2020.(4) Possible reserves are
those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered
than probable reserves. There is a 10% probability that the
quantities recovered will equal or exceed the sum of proved plus
probable plus possible reserves.
Net Asset Value at December 31, 2020 -
at a Constant $50 Brent Oil
Price(1)(2)
|
Proved DevelopedProducing |
Proved |
Proved+Probable |
Proved+Probable+Possible |
After Tax NPV10% (CAD/Share) |
10.45 |
14.38 |
19.36 |
25.66 |
Working Capital (CAD/Share) |
3.11 |
3.11 |
3.11 |
3.11 |
NAV (CAD/Share) |
13.56 |
17.49 |
22.47 |
28.77 |
(1) NAV is calculated as at
December 31, 2020 as after tax NPV10 plus estimated working capital
of USD$320 million (converted at USDCAD=1.2732), divided by 131
million basic shares outstanding as at December 31,
2020.(2) At Parex’ request, the GLJ 2020 Report
was calculated using a constant $50/bbl Brent oil price.
2020 Year-End Gross Reserves
Reconciliation Company
|
Total Proved |
Total Proved +Probable |
Total Proved +Probable + Possible |
|
Mboe |
Mboe |
Mboe |
December 31, 2019 |
138,825 |
198,423 |
261,085 |
Technical Revisions(1) |
(3,060) |
(3,601) |
1,967 |
Discoveries(2) |
5,306 |
12,893 |
24,050 |
Extensions(3) |
4,038 |
3,802 |
10,410 |
Production |
(17,026) |
(17,026) |
(17,026) |
December 31,
2020(4) |
128,083 |
194,491 |
280,486 |
(1) Reserves technical revisions are associated
with the evaluation of LLA-34.(2) Reserve
discoveries are associated with the evaluation of La Belleza well
on VIM-1 block.(3) Reserve extensions are
associated with the evaluations of the Cayena well on the Fortuna
block.(4) Subject to final reconciliation
adjustments. All reserves are presented as Parex working interest
before royalties. Please refer to the “Reserve Advisory” section
for a description of each reserve category. Possible reserves are
those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered
than probable reserves. There is a 10% probability that the
quantities recovered will equal or exceed the sum of proved plus
probable plus possible reserves. The estimates of reserves and
future net revenue for individual properties may not reflect the
same confidence level as estimates of reserves and future net
revenue for all properties, due to the effects of aggregation.
Calculation of Reserve Metrics – Company
Gross(1)
|
2020 |
3 Year |
USD$ ('000) |
Proved |
|
|
|
|
DevelopedProducing |
Proved |
Proved+Probable |
Proved+Probable |
|
|
|
|
|
Capital Expenditures(1) |
141,000 |
141,000 |
141,000 |
651,539 |
Capital Expenditures – change in FDC |
1,644 |
(63,516) |
(30,406) |
(9,694) |
Total Capital |
142,644 |
77,484 |
110,594 |
641,845 |
|
|
|
|
|
Net Acquisitions |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Net Acquisitions – change in FDC |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Total Net Acquisitions |
- |
- |
- |
- |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total Capital including Acquisitions |
142,644 |
77,484 |
110,594 |
641,845 |
|
|
|
|
|
Reserve Additions |
18,453 |
6,284 |
13,094 |
84,720 |
Net Acquisition Reserve Additions |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Reserve Additions including Acquisitions(2)
(Mboe) |
18,453 |
6,284 |
13,094 |
84,720 |
|
|
|
|
|
F&D Costs(2) ($/boe) |
7.73 |
12.33 |
8.45 |
7.58 |
FD&A Costs(2) ($/boe) |
7.73 |
12.33 |
8.45 |
7.58 |
|
|
|
|
|
Estimated 2020 Q4 funds flow per boe(1)(3) ($/boe) |
19.15 |
19.15 |
19.15 |
23.84 |
|
|
|
|
|
Recycle Ratio -
F&D(2)(3) |
2.5x |
1.6x |
2.3x |
3.1x |
Recycle Ratio -
FD&A(2)(3) |
2.5x |
1.6x |
2.3x |
3.1x |
(1) Calculated using unaudited
estimated capital expenditures and unaudited estimated funds flow
from operations as at December 31, 2020. See advisory “Unaudited
Financial Information”. All reserves are presented as Parex working
interest before royalties. Please refer to the
“Reserve Advisory” section for a description of each reserve
category.(2) The aggregate of the exploration and
development costs incurred in the most recent financial year and
the change during that year in estimated future development costs
generally will not reflect total finding and development costs
related to reserves additions for that year.
(3) Recycle ratio is calculated as funds flow from
operations per boe divided by F&D or FD&A as applicable.
Three Year funds flow from operations on a per boe basis is
calculated using weighted average sales volumes.
Operational Update
Fortuna Block (100% WI,
Operator): Parex drilled the horizontal exploration well Cayena-1
to a depth of 8,560 feet and logged potential oil-bearing zones in
multiple formations. The Company then successfully drilled 3,042
feet horizontal wellbore in the Galembo Formation, one of the
prospective oil-bearing zones identified on open hole logs. The
well was completed open hole and tested under natural flowing after
an initial cleanup flow on the well. During the 461-hour initial
test, a total of 15,812 barrels of 24 API oil was recovered at a
gas and oil ratio of 280 standard cubic feet per one barrel of oil
(“scf/bbl”) and an average production rate of 824 bopd. The
maximum flow rate recorded during the test was 1,375 bopd and the
flow rate during the last 24 hours of the test was 540
bopd. The flowing tubing pressure declined from 1,300 psi
initially to 400 psi at the end of the test while the watercut
remained at 0.4% throughout the test. Bottom hole pressure
recorders indicated the maximum drawdown recorded at the end of the
test was 55%. A well buildup was conducted for 25 days after
the main flow after which the well resumed production at rates of
600-1000 barrels of oil per day. A total of 8,489 barrels of
additional oil has been recovered after 253 hours for an average
rate of 805 bopd with a constant watercut of 0.4%. To improve
productivity, Parex will be installing artificial lift into the
Cayena-1 well. To appraise the Cayena discovery, in Q3 2021, the
Company plans to drill an additional 1-2 horizontal appraisal wells
and will drill the wells underbalanced to minimize potential
formation damage.
New CEO & President – Imad
Mohsen
Effective February 4, 2021, Imad Mohsen, who is
now residing in Calgary, has been appointed President and CEO and a
director of the Company. Effective February 4, 2021, Dave Taylor
has retired as a director of the Company. Mr. Taylor will remain
with Parex as a Special Advisor to the CEO and assist with the
transition until his retirement at our AGM on May 6, 2021.
NCIB Share Purchase Plan
As of January 31, 2021, Parex had purchased for
cancellation 1,170,000 common shares of the Company at an average
cost of C$20.06 per share, pursuant to its normal course issuer bid
that commenced on December 23, 2020. Basic shares outstanding as at
January 31, 2021 were 129,784,485. Pursuant to the normal
course issuer bid, Parex may purchase for cancellation up to an
aggregate of 12,868,562 common shares prior to December 22,
2021.
2020 Year-end Results Conference Call
& Webcast
We anticipate holding a conference call and
webcast for investors, analysts and other interested parties
on Thursday, March 4, 2021 at 9:30 am MT (11:30 am ET),
conditional on the 2020 fourth quarter and year-end results
being released on Wednesday, March 3, 2021 following the close of
markets. To participate in the conference call or webcast, see
access information below:
Toll-free dial number (Canada/US) |
1-800-898-3989 |
International dial-in number |
Click to access the dial-in number of your location |
Passcode |
6924016# |
Webcast |
https://edge.media-server.com/mmc/p/8gwx43wz |
For more information, please
contact:
|
Mike KruchtenSr. Vice President, Capital Markets
& Corporate PlanningParex Resources Inc.Phone: (403)
517-1733investor.relations@parexresources.com |
|
This news release does not constitute an
offer to sell securities, nor is it a solicitation of an offer to
buy securities, in any jurisdiction. Not for
distribution or for dissemination in the United
States.
Reserve Advisory
The recovery and reserve estimates of crude oil
reserves provided in this news release are estimates only, and
there is no guarantee that the estimated reserves will be
recovered. Actual crude oil reserves may eventually prove to be
greater than, or less than, the estimates provided herein. All
December 31, 2020 reserves presented are based on GLJ's forecast
pricing effective January 1, 2021. All December 31, 2019 reserves
presented are based on GLJ's forecast pricing effective January 1,
2020. All December 31, 2018 reserves presented are based on GLJ's
forecast pricing effective January 1, 2019.
It should not be assumed that the estimates of
future net revenues presented herein represent the fair market
value of the reserves. There are numerous uncertainties inherent in
estimating quantities of crude oil, reserves and the future cash
flows attributed to such reserves.
“Proved Developed Producing Reserves" are those
reserves that are expected to be recovered from completion
intervals open at the time of the estimate. These reserves may be
currently producing or, if shut-in, they must have previously been
on production, and the date of resumption of production must be
known with reasonable certainty.
"Proved Developed Non-Producing Reserves" are
those reserves that either have not been on production or have
previously been on production but are shut-in and the date of
resumption of production is unknown.
"Proved Undeveloped Reserves" are those reserves
expected to be recovered from known accumulations where a
significant expenditure (e.g. when compared to the cost of drilling
a well) is required to render them capable of production. They
must fully meet the requirements of the reserves category (proved,
probable, possible) to which they are assigned.
"Proved" reserves are those reserves that can be
estimated with a high degree of certainty to be
recoverable. It is likely that the actual remaining quantities
recovered will exceed the estimated proved reserves.
"Probable" reserves are those additional
reserves that are less certain to be recovered than proved
reserves. It is equally likely that the actual remaining
quantities recovered will be greater or less than the sum of the
estimated proved plus probable reserves.
“Possible” reserves are those additional
reserves that are less certain to be recovered than probable
reserves. There is a 10 percent probability that the quantities
actually recovered will equal or exceed the sum of proved plus
probable plus possible reserves. It is unlikely that the actual
remaining quantities recovered will exceed the sum of the estimated
proved plus probable plus possible reserves.
The term "Boe" means a barrel of oil equivalent
on the basis of 6 Mcf of natural gas to 1 barrel of oil ("bbl").
Boe’s may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A boe
conversation ratio of 6 Mcf: 1 bbl is based on an energy
equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner
tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead.
Given the value ratio based on the current price of crude oil as
compared to natural gas is significantly different from the energy
equivalency of 6:1, utilizing a conversion ratio at 6:1 may be
misleading as an indication of value.
Light crude oil is crude oil with a relative
density greater than 31.1 degrees API gravity, medium crude oil is
crude oil with a relative density greater than 22.3 degrees API
gravity and less than or equal to 31.1 degrees API gravity, and
heavy crude oil is crude oil with a relative density greater than
10 degrees API gravity and less than or equal to 22.3 degrees API
gravity.
With respect to F&D costs, the aggregate of
the exploration and development costs incurred in the most recent
financial year and the change during that year in estimated future
development costs generally will not reflect total F&D costs
related to reserve additions for that year.
References to initial production test rates are
useful in confirming the presence of hydrocarbons; however, such
rates are not determinative of the rates at which such wells will
commence production and decline thereafter and are not indicative
of long-term performance or ultimate recovery. While encouraging,
readers are cautioned not to place reliance on such rates in
calculating the aggregate production for Parex. Parex cautions the
short-term production rates should be considered preliminary.
This press release contains several oil and gas
metrics, including F&D costs, FD&A costs, recycle ratio,
reserve replacement, NAV, RLI and debt adjusted reserves per share.
These oil and gas metrics have been prepared by management and do
not have standardized meanings or standard methods of calculation
and therefore such measures may not be comparable to similar
measures used by other companies and should not be used to make
comparisons. Such metrics have been included herein to provide
readers with additional measures to evaluate the Company's
performance; however, such measures are not reliable indicators of
the future performance of the Company and future performance may
not compare to the performance in previous periods and therefore
such metric should not be unduly relied upon. Management uses these
oil and gas metrics for its own performance measurements and to
provide security holders with measures to compare the Company's
operations over time. Readers are cautioned that the information
provided by these metrics, or that can be derived from the metrics
presented in this news release, should not be relied upon for
investment or other purposes. A summary of the calculations of such
metrics are as follows:
- F&D costs are calculated by
dividing capital expenditures by the change in reserves within the
applicable reserves category. F&D costs, including FDC, include
all capital expenditures in the year as well as the change in FDC
required to bring the reserves within the specified reserves
category on production.
- FD&A costs represent the costs
of property acquisition, exploration, and development incurred. The
aggregate of the exploration and development costs incurred in the
most recent financial year and the change during that year in
estimated future development costs generally will not reflect total
finding and development costs related to reserves additions for
that year.
- FD&A costs are calculated as
capital expenditures plus net acquisition costs plus change in FDC.
FD&A per boe is calculated as FD&A costs divided by
reserves additions for the applicable period.
- Recycle ratio is calculated as
funds flow from operations netback divided by F&D costs or
FD&A costs, as applicable.
- Funds flow from operations, is a
non-GAAP measure that includes all cash generated from operating
activities and is calculated before changes in non-cash working
capital.
- Funds flow from operations netback
or funds flow from operations per boe is calculated by dividing
funds flow from operations by sales volumes for the period.
- Reserve replacement is calculated
by dividing the annual reserve additions by the annual
production.
- NAV per share is calculated as
before or after tax NPV10 plus estimated year-end working capital,
converted from USD to CAD as applicable, divided by basic shares
outstanding at December 31, 2020.
- RLI is calculated by dividing the
applicable reserves category by the annualized fourth quarter
production.
- Debt adjusted reserves per share is
calculated by year-end reserves volume by debt adjusted shares for
reserves. Debt adjusted shares for reserves is calculated by
subtracting basic shares outstanding at December 31, 2020 from the
division of estimated year-end working capital, converted from USD
to CAD as applicable, by closing share price at December 31,
2020.
Unaudited Financial
Information
Certain financial and operating results included
in this news release, including capital expenditures, production
information, funds flow from operations and operating costs are
based on unaudited estimated results. These estimated results are
subject to change upon completion of the Company’s audited
financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2020, and any
changes could be material. Parex anticipates filing its audited
financial statements and related management’s discussion and
analysis for the year ended December 31, 2020 on SEDAR on or before
March 31, 2021.
The information contained in this press release
in respect of the Company's expected capital expenditures and funds
flow from operations for 2020 may contain future oriented financial
information ("FOFI") within the meaning of applicable securities
laws. The FOFI has been prepared by management to provide an
outlook of the Company's activities and results and may not be
appropriate for other purposes. The FOFI has been prepared based on
a number of assumptions including the assumptions discussed in this
press release. The actual results of operations of the Company and
the resulting financial results may vary from the amounts set forth
herein, and such variations may be material. The Company and
management believe that the FOFI has been prepared on a reasonable
basis, reflecting management's best estimates and judgments. FOFI
contained in this press release was made as of the date of this
press release and Parex disclaims any intention or obligation to
update or revise any FOFI, whether as a result of new information,
future events or otherwise, unless required pursuant to applicable
law.
Funds flow from operations and funds flow
netback are not recognized measures under International Financial
Reporting Standards ("IFRS") and do not have a standardized
meaning. Management believes that such financial measures are
useful supplemental information to analyze operating performance
and provide an indication of the results generated by the Company's
principal business activities. Investors should be cautioned that
such measures should not be construed as an alternative to other
measures of financial performance as determined in accordance with
IFRS. The Company's method of calculating funds from operations may
differ from other companies, and accordingly, may not be comparable
to similar measures used by other companies. See the heading
“Reserve Advisory” for how to calculate funds flow from operations
and funds flow from operations netback.
Advisory on Forward Looking
Statements
Certain information regarding Parex set forth in
this document contains forward-looking statements that involve
substantial known and unknown risks and uncertainties. The use of
any of the words "plan", "expect", “prospective”, "project",
"intend", "believe", "should", "anticipate", "estimate" or other
similar words, or statements that certain events or conditions
"may" or "will" occur are intended to identify forward-looking
statements. Such statements represent Parex' internal projections,
estimates or beliefs concerning, among other things the Company’s
strategy, plans and focus, expectation the Company will generate
significant free cash flow in excess of capital expenditures,
expectation that the significant free cash flow is sufficient to
support the Company's share buyback program, results of operations,
production, business prospects and opportunities, Parex purchase
under its normal course issuer bid and the date on which the
conference call will be held. These statements are only predictions
and actual events, or results may differ materially. Although the
Company’s management believes that the expectations reflected in
the forward-looking statements are reasonable, it cannot guarantee
future results, levels of activity, performance or achievement
since such expectations are inherently subject to significant
business, economic, competitive, political and social uncertainties
and contingencies. Many factors could cause Parex' actual results
to differ materially from those expressed or implied in any
forward-looking statements made by, or on behalf of, Parex.
In addition, forward-looking statements
contained in this document include, statements relating to
"reserves", which are by their nature forward-looking statements,
as they involve the implied assessment, based on certain estimates
and assumptions that the reserves described can be profitably
produced in the future. The recovery and reserve estimates of
Parex' reserves provided herein are estimates only and there is no
guarantee that the estimated reserves will be recovered.
These forward-looking statements are subject to
numerous risks and uncertainties, including but not limited to, the
impact of general economic conditions in Canada and Colombia;
industry conditions including changes in laws and regulations
including adoption of new environmental laws and regulations, and
changes in how they are interpreted and enforced, in Canada and
Colombia; impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the ability of the
Company to carry on its operations as currently contemplated in
light of the COVID-19 pandemic; determinations by OPEC and other
countries as to production levels; prolonged volatility in
commodity prices; risk of delay in completing or non-competition of
required transfers of the applicable operating and environmental
permits; failure of counterparties to perform under contracts;
competition; lack of availability of qualified personnel; the
results of exploration and development drilling and related
activities; obtaining required approvals of regulatory authorities,
in Canada and Colombia; risks associated with negotiating with
foreign governments as well as country risk associated with
conducting international activities; volatility in market prices
for oil; fluctuations in foreign exchange or interest rates;
environmental risks; changes in income tax laws or changes in tax
laws and incentive programs relating to the oil industry; ability
to access sufficient capital from internal and external sources;
failure of counterparties to perform under the terms of their
contracts; and other factors, many of which are beyond the control
of the Company. Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of
factors is not exhaustive. Additional information on these and
other factors that could affect Parex' operations and financial
results are included in reports on file with Canadian securities
regulatory authorities and may be accessed through the SEDAR
website (www.sedar.com).
Although the forward-looking statements
contained in this document are based upon assumptions which
Management believes to be reasonable, the Company cannot assure
investors that actual results will be consistent with these
forward-looking statements. With respect to forward-looking
statements contained in this document, Parex has made assumptions
regarding: current commodity prices and royalty regimes; the impact
(and the duration thereof) that COVID-19 pandemic will have on the
demand for crude oil and natural gas, Parex’ supply chain and
Parex’ ability to produce, transport and sell Parex’ crude oil and
natural gas; availability of skilled labour; timing and amount of
capital expenditures; future exchange rates; the price of oil; the
impact of increasing competition; conditions in general economic
and financial markets; availability of drilling and related
equipment; effects of regulation by governmental agencies; royalty
rates; future operating costs; effects of regulation by
governmental agencies; uninterrupted access to areas of Parex'
operations and infrastructure; recoverability of reserves and
future production rates; the status of litigation; timing of
drilling and completion of wells; that Parex will have sufficient
cash flow, debt or equity sources or other financial resources
required to fund its capital and operating expenditures and
requirements as needed; that Parex' conduct and results of
operations will be consistent with its expectations; that Parex
will have the ability to develop its oil and gas properties in the
manner currently contemplated; current or, where applicable,
proposed industry conditions, laws and regulations will continue in
effect or as anticipated as described herein; that the estimates of
Parex' reserves volumes and the assumptions related thereto
(including commodity prices and development costs) are accurate in
all material respects; that Parex will be able to obtain contract
extensions or fulfill the contractual obligations required to
retain its rights to explore, develop and exploit any of its
undeveloped properties; and other matters.
Management has included the above summary of
assumptions and risks related to forward-looking information
provided in this document in order to provide shareholders with a
more complete perspective on Parex' current and future operations
and such information may not be appropriate for other purposes.
Parex' actual results, performance or achievement could differ
materially from those expressed in, or implied by, these
forward-looking statements and, accordingly, no assurance can be
given that any of the events anticipated by the forward-looking
statements will transpire or occur, or if any of them do, what
benefits Parex will derive. These forward-looking statements are
made as of the date of this document and Parex disclaims any intent
or obligation to update publicly any forward-looking statements,
whether as a result of new information, future events or results or
otherwise, other than as required by applicable securities
laws.
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