New Research by the BCG Henderson Institute Examines Impact
of GenAI on Consultants' Performance of Data Science Tasks Beyond
Their Existing Capabilities
BOSTON, Sept. 5,
2024 /PRNewswire/ -- Generative AI (GenAI) is
creating a new type of knowledge worker who can code faster and
summarize documents instantly. But can the tool also enable people
to meet the shifting demands of their roles? A new scientific
experiment conducted by the BCG Henderson Institute in
collaboration with BCG X and Emma
Wiles from Boston University, as
described in GenAI Doesn't Just Increase Productivity. It
Expands Capabilities, examines what happens when, instead of
using GenAI to improve performance within their current skillset,
people use the technology to complete tasks beyond their existing
capabilities.
In the experiment, 480 BCG consultants completed two of three
short tasks that mimic the daily activities of a data scientist:
writing Python code to merge and clean datasets, building a
predictive model, and validating ChatGPT-generated statistical
analyses. These tasks were designed to present a significant
challenge for any consultant and could not be fully automated by
the GenAI tool (Enterprise ChatGPT with GPT-4 and its Advanced Data
Analysis Feature). To help evaluate participants' performance,
their results were compared with those of 44 BCG data scientists
who worked without the assistance of GenAI.
"Our findings suggest that GenAI-augmented workers can adeptly
handle new tasks beyond their existing skills in fields that are in
the tool's capabilities," said Dan
Sack, a BCG managing director and partner, and coauthor of
the study. "Executives need to be ready for this future, redefining
expertise and identifying the skills to grow and retain their
talent for the long term."
Instant Aptitude Expansion for New Tasks
When using GenAI, the consultants in the study were able to
instantly expand their aptitude for new tasks. Even when they had
no experience in coding or statistics, consultants with access to
GenAI were able to write code, appropriately apply machine learning
models, and correct erroneous statistical processes. The biggest
skill expansion was observed in coding, where participants were
tested on their ability to write code in Python, a common
programming language by data scientists. Participants who used
GenAI achieved an average score equivalent to 86% of the benchmark
set by data scientists, a 49 percentage point improvement over
participants not using GenAI. The GenAI-augmented group also
finished the task roughly 10% faster than the data
scientists.
GenAI as a Powerful Brainstorming Partner
For the predictive analytics task, the experiment participants
encountered a significant challenge: neither they nor the GenAI
tool had a high level of proficiency in this area. Predictive
analytics was the task which the GenAI-augmented consultant was
least likely to perform on par with a data scientist,
regardless of previous experience in coding or statistics, as the
GenAI tool is likely to misunderstand the reliability prompt
without trial and error or rephrasing of the question. As a result,
participants with access to GenAI were more likely to be led astray
than their nonaugmented counterparts.
With the support of GenAI, participants were able to brainstorm
with the tool, combining their knowledge with GenAI's knowledge to
discover new modelling techniques and identify the correct steps to
solve the problem successfully. The GenAI-augmented participants
were 15 percentage points more likely to select and appropriately
apply machine-learning methods than their counterparts who did
not have access to GenAI.
"Doing GenAI" Doesn't Mean Learning to Do
Reskilling is defined as individuals gaining new capabilities or
knowledge that enables them to move into a new job or industry. The
study revealed that GenAI-augmented workers were in a sense
"reskilled" in that they gained new capabilities that were beyond
what either the human or GenAI could do on their own. But GenAI was
only an exoskeleton; the humans alone were not intrinsically
reskilled, because "doing" with GenAI does not immediately nor
inherently mean "learning to do."
While each participant was assigned just two of the three tasks
in the experiment, everyone was given a final assessment with
questions related to all three tasks to test how much they learned.
Everyone was asked a coding syntax question, even though not all
participants had done a coding task. Surprisingly, those who did
this task scored the same as those who didn't, indicating that
performing the data science tasks did not increase their knowledge.
It should be noted that the participants were not informed that
they would be tested, and it is likely that with repetition and
intention, learning would happen.
In addition, GenAI-augmented participants with moderate
coding experience performed 10 to 20 percentage points better on
all three tasks than their peers who self-identified as novices,
even when coding was not involved. In fact, those with moderate
coding experience were fully on par with data scientists for two of
the three tasks—one of which had zero coding involved.
"As a parent, I often get asked what kids should study, and it's
something I think about when it comes to my own children," said
Sack. "This research has reinforced my belief that learning to code
holds significant value, even if the prevailing opinion suggests
that coding might be a thing of the past. It's the engineering
mindset that coding helps develop—like the ability to break down
complex problems into manageable parts that can be efficiently
tested and refined—that truly matters."
Download the publication here:
https://www.bcg.com/publications/2024/gen-ai-increases-productivity-and-expands-capabilities
Media Contact:
Eric
Gregoire:
+1 617 850 3783
gregoire.eric@bcg.com
About the BCG Henderson Institute
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Institute is the Boston Consulting Group's think tank, dedicated to
exploring and developing valuable new insights from business,
technology, economics, and science.
The Institute engages leaders in provocative discussion and
experimentation to expand the boundaries of business theory and
practice and to translate innovative ideas from within and beyond
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About Boston Consulting Group
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