Bitcoin’s Next Big Move? Key Metric Reveals When to Cash In Profits
December 16 2024 - 8:30PM
NEWSBTC
Bitcoin recent price momentum which led to a renewal of its
all-time high (ATH) appears to have reignited interest in key
metrics used to time market entries and exits. Among these, the
Stock-to-Flow (S2F) reversion metric has been highlighted by a
CryptoQuant analyst known as Darkfost, who shared insights on its
current implications for Bitcoin investors. The metric, a measure
of Bitcoin’s price deviations from its expected value based on the
S2F model, has become an important tool for many traders assessing
market sentiment and identifying potential profit-taking windows.
Related Reading: Bitcoin Confidence Grows As Binance Data
Highlights Surprising Market Trends When Should Cash In Your
Bitcoin Profits? Darkfost’s analysis points to September 11 as a
significant date, when the S2F reversion metric dropped below 1,
signaling a potential buy opportunity as Bitcoin traded at $57,000.
Now, the analyst emphasizes a different critical threshold—a value
above 2.5—historically indicating a favorable time to secure
moderate profits. Should the metric reach a value above 3, it often
signals market overheating, marking an opportune moment for larger
profit-taking strategies. The S2F reversion metric offers a
structured approach to assessing Bitcoin’s price cycles. Darkfost
suggests a two-step profit strategy: investors should consider
securing smaller gains when the metric hits 2.5 and proceed to
larger profit-taking if it surpasses 3. Darfost particularly wrote:
A prudent strategy when using this indicator is to take moderate
profits once the S2F reversion ratio hits 2.5 and to secure larger
profits when the ratio exceeds 3, thereby balancing risk and reward
effectively. BTC Market Performance Regardless of the suggested
indicator by Darkfost on when to take profit, Bitcoin appears not
to be slowing down in its upward momentum. So far, BTC has created
a new ATH after trading as high as $106,352 in the early hours of
Monday. Although at the time of writing, the asset has seen a
slight rebound currently trading at a a price of $105,942, however,
BTC is still up by over 3% in the past day more than 10% in the
past two weeks. Unsurprisingly, along with the rising price, BTC’s
market capitalization has also seen a significant surge in its
valuation now sitting at roughly over $2 trillion as of today.
Meanwhile, despite this positive momentum, BTC’s daily trading
volume has seen quite an opposite trend. Related Reading: National
Bitcoin Reserve Initiative: MP Satoshi Hamada Urges Japan To Take
Action Particularly, this metric instead of seeing a rise amid the
new ATH of BTC, has remain stable and lower than last week’s daily
trading volume. At the time of writing, BTC’s trading volume sits
at $97.4 billion, a significant decline from the over $140 billion
volume valuation seen last week on December 10. Featured image
created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin (COIN:BTCUSD)
Historical Stock Chart
From Nov 2024 to Dec 2024
Bitcoin (COIN:BTCUSD)
Historical Stock Chart
From Dec 2023 to Dec 2024