CALGARY, AB, March 1, 2022 /CNW/ - Topaz Energy Corp.
(TSX: TPZ) ("Topaz" or the "Company") is pleased to provide fourth
quarter and annual 2021 financial results, announce an 8% increase
to its quarterly dividend and affirm the Company's 2022 guidance
estimates. Select financial information is outlined below and
should be read in conjunction with Topaz's consolidated financial
statements and related management's discussion and analysis
("MD&A") as at and for the year ended December 31, 2021, which are available on SEDAR
at www.sedar.com and on Topaz's website at
www.topazenergy.ca.
Fourth Quarter 2021 Highlights
- In Q4 2021, Topaz's assets generated record cash flow and free
cash flow (FCF)(1) of $68
million and $67 million,
respectively. Cash flow and FCF(1) were 34% and 35%,
respectively, higher than the prior quarter; and each 153% higher
than the prior year. On a per share basis, Q4 2021
FCF(1) of $0.49 per
share(1)(2) increased 96% from Q4 2020 ($0.25 per share).
- Topaz's Board has approved an 8% increase to the Company's
quarterly dividend which increases the annual dividend from
$0.96 to $1.04 per share, and represents the third
dividend increase since the inaugural quarterly dividend was set at
$0.20 per share in Q1 2020;
representing a 30% cumulative increase to date.
- Record Q4 2021 average royalty production of 17,213
boe/d(4) was 14% higher than the prior quarter and 67%
higher than Q4 2020. Topaz's oil-focused royalty acquisition
strategy has generated Q4 2021 total liquids royalty production of
3,143 bbl/d(4), a 48% increase relative to the prior
quarter and a 329% increase relative to Q4 2020.
- Topaz closed the acquisition of a newly-created 5% gross
overriding royalty interest on Whitecap Resources' working interest
in the Weyburn Unit for $188 million
in cash, which Topaz estimates will provide a return on invested
capital(1) of 14% in 2022, based on estimated 2022
FCF(1) of $26
million(11).
- Topaz was added to the S&P/TSX Composite Index, the
headline index for Canada
represented by the largest companies on the Toronto Stock Exchange,
in December 2021.
- Expanded the Company's credit facility from $400 million to $700
million(5) and extended the term to December
2025. At December 31, 2021
Topaz had net debt(1) of $234
million, or 0.8x net debt to Q4 2021 annualized cash
flow(1).
2021 Annual Highlights
- 2021 cash flow and FCF(1) of $191 million and $188
million, respectively, were each 114% higher than 2020
($89 million and $88 million, respectively). On a per share
basis(1)(2), 2021 FCF(1) of $1.52 per share was 57% higher than 2020
($0.97 per share).
- Topaz's 2021 total annual average royalty production of 14,103
boe/d(4) increased 39% relative to 2020, which includes
a 157% increase, to 1,892 bbl/d(4) of total liquids
annual average royalty production.
- Topaz invested $945 million in
royalty and infrastructure acquisitions, excluding decommissioning
obligations(1) during 2021 which increased Topaz's gross
royalty acreage 77% and natural gas processing capacity 23%;
diversified the Company's infrastructure portfolio through the
acquisition of water conservation facilities under a 15 year 100%
fixed take or pay, and doubled its corporate tax pools to
$1.8 billion which extends the
Company's long-term cash tax coverage(3). On
current strip pricing(3), the cumulative 2021
acquisitions, excluding decommissioning obligations(1)
are estimated to generate a return on invested
capital(1) of 16% in 2022 based on the acquired
assets' estimated FCF(1) of $149 million(12).
- At December 31, 2021, the
before-tax net present value of total proved plus probable
reserves, discounted at 10 per cent(6), increased 92%
to $1.1 billion (2020 – $592
million).
- Through strategic partnerships, Topaz has enhanced or
established material royalty positions and reliable infrastructure
revenue streams in the most economic plays across the WCSB. Topaz's
asset portfolio provides embedded organic growth which requires no
additional capital by Topaz, as well as significant Excess
FCF(1) for self-funded M&A growth after
distributions of $1.04 per share
(2022 estimated payout ratio(1) 55%).
Fourth Quarter 2021 Update
Royalty Production, Revenue & Activity Growth
- Topaz's acquisitions have added strategic partnerships with
prominent Canadian public E&P operators including Headwater
Exploration, NuVista Energy and Whitecap Resources to the Company's
existing portfolio which includes Tourmaline, Tamarack Valley and
Advantage Energy. Topaz has additional upside optionality
through private operators and its diversified royalty portfolio
acquired via the Reserve Royalty acquisition.
- Topaz holds 5.3 million gross royalty acres (over 50%
undeveloped) in the most economic plays in the WCSB including the
NEBC Montney liquids-rich natural gas resource play and the
oil-focused Clearwater,
Charlie Lake, Provost and West
Central areas in Alberta and
Weyburn, Saskatchewan resource
plays. The strategically acquired royalty interests provide
organic growth as they are supported by committed operator-funded
development capital.
- During the fourth quarter, the working interest operators on
Topaz's royalty acreage continued active development; 143 gross
wells were spud(7) and 142 gross wells were brought on
production(8). This represents a 3% increase in capital
activity relative to the prior quarter, when 139 gross wells were
spud on Topaz's royalty acreage.
- Topaz's Q4 2021 royalty production was 82% weighted to natural
gas(4), the price of which has significantly increased
over the course of 2021 due to moderated supply growth combined
with increasing natural gas demand. The average AECO (5A)
benchmark for Q4 2021 of C$4.66 per
mcf was 76% higher than Q4 2020.
- Based on planned operator drilling actvity, Topaz expects to
have 20 to 24 drilling rigs active on its royalty acreage for the
balance of the first quarter of 2022, with activity to resume
subsequent to spring break-up(3).
Infrastructure Revenue Stability
- Topaz's processing revenue provides stable income which
supports the Company's dividend, as 78% of Topaz's 215 MMcf/d net
natural gas processing capacity is contracted under long term fixed
take-or-pay and the Company's variable processing capacity receives
priority fill and services high-activity areas. During Q4
2021, average daily utilization of Topaz's net natural gas
processing capacity was 97%, consistent with the prior
quarter. During Q4 2021, Topaz generated $16 million of processing revenue and other
income compared to $17 million
generated in the prior quarter.
Significant Reserves Growth
- At December 31, 2021, the
before-tax net present value of total proved plus probable
reserves, discounted at 10 per cent(6), increased 92% to
$1.1 billion (2020 – $592 million); including $400 million attributed to Topaz's infrastructure
assets, which increased 29% from year end 2020 ($310 million). The increased infrastructure
economic value is primarily attributed to the ownership interest
acquisitions in the Gundy NEBC Montney facility and water
infrastructure facilities for aggregate economic value (discounted
at 10 percent) of $85 million.
- Proved plus probable reserve volume(6) totaled 42
mmboe as at December 31, 2021, up 81%
from 23 mmboe as at December 31,
2020. As a royalty entity not responsible for capital
development, Topaz's reserve report only includes developed
properties (developed producing and developed non-producing) and
does not include any future development capital attributed to
undeveloped royalty acreage. Topaz's acquisition growth generated
18 mmboe of proved plus probable reserves, and operator development
on Topaz's royalty acreage generated 6 mmboe of additions which
exceeded Topaz's 5 mmboe of 2021 royalty production by 20%.
Reliable & Sustainable Dividend Increase
- Topaz's Board has approved an 8% increase to the Company's
quarterly dividend and declared the first quarter 2022 dividend at
$0.26 per share which is expected to
be paid on March 31, 2022 to
shareholders of record on March 15,
2022. The quarterly cash dividend is designated as an
"eligible dividend" for Canadian income tax purposes.
- Topaz's estimated 2022 dividend payout ratio(1) of
55%(3) remains below the Company's targeted long-term
payout of 60-90% in order to retain Excess FCF(1) for
self-funded M&A growth given the broad range of opportunities
Topaz continues to identify.
- Topaz's estimated 2022 dividend of $145
million(9) is well supported whereby over 40% of
the 2022 dividend is covered by the Company's stable infrastructure
income. To further insulate the Company's dividend and Excess
FCF(1) available for M&A growth opportunities, Topaz
has entered into certain financial derivative contracts focused on
mitigating natural gas price volatility during the summer months
which historically have been more susceptible to pipeline
maintenance interruptions. Topaz's risk management contracts
include 25,000 GJ/d contracted April to October 2022 at a weighted average price of
$3.73/GJ ($3.94/mcf) which represents approximately
30%(3) of Topaz's respective natural gas royalty
production(10).
2021 EBITDA and Guidance Lookback
- In 2021, Topaz generated EBITDA(1) of $194 million which was 117% higher than 2020
EBITDA(1) of $89
million. Relative to Topaz's November 2021 guidance update, Q4 2021 average
royalty production was 3% higher than the midpoint Q4 estimate
which contributed to 2021 average annual royalty production of
14,103 boe/d exceeding the 2021 guidance range of 13,800 – 14,000
boe/d; and Q4 2021 total processing revenue and other income was 4%
higher than estimated due to higher third party processing
activity.
2022 Guidance Estimates
- Topaz affirms its 2022 EBITDA(1)(3) guidance range
between $269 and $271 million, the midpoint of which represents
39% growth over 2021; which is based on internal
estimates(13) including commodity prices of C$4.00/mcf for natural gas (AECO) and
US$75.00/bbl WTI for crude oil; and
average annual royalty production of 16,200 boe/d(4)
(midpoint), which represents 15% growth over 2021.
2022 Guidance
Estimates(3)(13)
C$4.00/mcf AECO /
US$75.00/bbl WTI / 0.785 US/CAD FX
$mm except
boe/d
|
Annual average
royalty production (boe/d)(4)
|
16,100 –
16,300
|
Royalty production
natural gas weighting(4)
|
~78%
|
EBITDA(1)
|
$269 –
$271
|
Capital expenditures
(excluding acquisitions)
|
$2 – $3
|
Excess
FCF(1) (after dividend)
|
$114 –
$116
|
Dividend ($1.04 per
share)(8)
|
$145
|
Dividend payout
ratio(1)
|
55%
|
Year end 2022 net
debt(1)
|
$110 –
$115
|
Year end 2022 net
debt to cash flow(1)
|
0.4x
|
2022 EBITDA
Guidance
Sensitivity(3)(13)
|
5% annual average
royalty production change
|
+/- $10
million
|
C$0.50/mcf change in
natural gas price
|
+/- $11
million
|
US$5.00/bbl change in
crude oil price
|
+/- $7
million
|
1% change in C$/US$
foreign exchange
|
+/- $1
million
|
Capital Allocation Strategy & Financial
Flexibility
- Topaz continues to identify a number of acquisition growth
opportunities and expects to allocate the majority of its 2022
Excess FCF(1) toward M&A growth and to provide
future dividend increases alongside further sustainable
growth. Topaz's 2022 guidance estimate provides for
$115 million of Excess
FCF(1)(3) after paying its 2022 dividend of $145 million(3)(9).
- Topaz estimates its year end 2022 net debt to cash
flow(1)(3) will be approximately 0.4x before any further
acquisition activity and the Company has a $500 million covenant based unsecured credit
facility, expandable to $700
million(1), which provides financial flexibility
and growth optionality.
Sustainability Targets & Commitments
- Topaz looks forward to publishing its 2021 Sustainability
Report which will include reporting on the Company's progress
toward multi-year sustainability commitments and targets
established together with Topaz's Board, in the areas of:
- Climate change management;
- Responsible water management;
- Corporate governance;
- Community investment;
- Diversity and inclusion;
- ESG integrated investing; and
- Executive compensation.
Additional information
Additional information about Topaz, including the consolidated
financial statements and management's discussion and analysis as at
and for the year ended December 31,
2021 as well as the Company's 2021 Annual Information Form
are available on SEDAR at www.sedar.com under the Company's
profile, and on Topaz's website, www.topazenergy.ca.
Q4 2021 CONFERENCE CALL
Topaz will host a conference call tomorrow, Wednesday,
March 2, 2022 starting at 9:00 a.m.
MST (11:00 a.m. EST). To
participate in the conference call, please dial 1-888-664-6392
(North American toll free) a few minutes prior to the call.
Conference ID is 40291211.
ABOUT THE COMPANY
Topaz is a unique royalty and infrastructure energy company
focused on generating FCF(1) growth and paying reliable
and sustainable dividends to its shareholders, through its
strategic relationship with Canada's largest and most active natural gas
producer, Tourmaline, an investment grade senior Canadian E&P
company, and leveraging industry relationships to execute
complementary acquisitions from other high-quality energy
companies, while maintaining its commitment to environmental,
social and governance best practices. Topaz focuses on top quartile
energy resources and assets best positioned to attract capital in
order to generate sustainable long-term growth and
profitability.
The Topaz royalty and energy infrastructure revenue streams are
generated primarily from assets operated by natural gas producers
with some of the lowest greenhouse gas emissions intensity in the
Canadian senior upstream sector, including Tourmaline, which has
received awards for environmental sustainability and conservation
efforts. Certain of these producers have set long-term emissions
reduction targets and continue to invest in technology to improve
environmental sustainability.
Topaz's common shares are listed and posted for trading on the
TSX under the trading symbol "TPZ" and it is included in the
S&P/TSX Composite Index. This is the headline index for
Canada and is the principal
benchmark measure for the Canadian equity markets, represented by
the largest companies on the TSX.
For further information, please visit the Company's website
www.topazenergy.ca. Topaz's SEDAR filings are available
at www.sedar.com.
Selected Financial
Information
|
For the
periods ended ($000s) except per share
|
2021
|
2020
|
Q4
2021
|
Q3
2021
|
Q2
2021
|
Q1
2021
|
Q4
2020
|
Royalty
production revenue
|
151,894
|
58,886
|
59,709
|
40,558
|
27,448
|
24,179
|
17,611
|
Processing revenue
|
46,720
|
30,757
|
12,906
|
12,781
|
10,562
|
10,471
|
10,305
|
Other
income(4)
|
12,925
|
10,233
|
3,061
|
3,804
|
2,943
|
3,117
|
2,783
|
Total
|
211,539
|
99,876
|
75,676
|
57,143
|
40,953
|
37,767
|
30,699
|
Cash
expenses:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Operating
|
(4,245)
|
(4,205)
|
(946)
|
(1,238)
|
(1,089)
|
(972)
|
(1,643)
|
Marketing
|
(1,311)
|
(589)
|
(463)
|
(355)
|
(256)
|
(237)
|
(176)
|
General
and administrative
|
(5,051)
|
(3,946)
|
(1,281)
|
(1,478)
|
(1,026)
|
(1,266)
|
(673)
|
Realized
loss on financial instruments
|
(6,990)
|
(1,438)
|
(3,004)
|
(2,258)
|
(1,147)
|
(581)
|
(744)
|
Interest
expense
|
(3,001)
|
(620)
|
(1,648)
|
(973)
|
(220)
|
(160)
|
(484)
|
Cash
flow
|
190,941
|
89,078
|
68,334
|
50,841
|
37,215
|
34,551
|
26,979
|
Per basic
share(1)(2)
|
$1.54
|
$0.99
|
$0.50
|
$0.39
|
$0.32
|
$0.31
|
$0.25
|
Per diluted
share(1)(2)
|
$1.54
|
$0.98
|
$0.50
|
$0.39
|
$0.32
|
$0.31
|
$0.25
|
Cash from operating
activities
|
165,017
|
83,642
|
56,562
|
41,990
|
36,903
|
29,563
|
32,887
|
Per basic
share(1)(2)
|
$1.33
|
$0.93
|
$0.41
|
$0.33
|
$0.32
|
$0.26
|
$0.31
|
Per diluted
share(1)(2)
|
$1.33
|
$0.92
|
$0.41
|
$0.32
|
$0.31
|
$0.26
|
$0.31
|
Net income
|
27,564
|
3,089
|
16,276
|
5,014
|
918
|
5,356
|
8,382
|
Per basic and diluted
share(2)
|
$0.22
|
$0.03
|
$0.12
|
$0.04
|
$0.01
|
$0.05
|
$0.08
|
EBITDA(7)
|
193,647
|
89,313
|
69,978
|
51,795
|
37,308
|
34,566
|
27,126
|
Per basic
share(1)(2)
|
$1.57
|
$0.99
|
$0.51
|
$0.40
|
$0.32
|
$0.31
|
$0.25
|
Per diluted
share(1)(2)
|
$1.56
|
$0.99
|
$0.51
|
$0.40
|
$0.32
|
$0.31
|
$0.25
|
FCF(1)
|
188,164
|
87,822
|
67,147
|
49,795
|
37,232
|
33,990
|
26,507
|
Per basic
share(1)(2)
|
$1.52
|
$0.97
|
$0.49
|
$0.39
|
$0.32
|
$0.30
|
$0.25
|
Per diluted
share(1)(2)
|
$1.51
|
$0.97
|
$0.49
|
$0.38
|
$0.32
|
$0.30
|
$0.25
|
FCF
Margin(1)
|
89%
|
88%
|
89%
|
87%
|
91%
|
90%
|
86%
|
Dividends
paid
|
108,739
|
73,131
|
33,422
|
27,048
|
25,748
|
22,521
|
22,489
|
Per
share(6)
|
$0.85
|
$0.80
|
$0.24
|
$0.21
|
$0.20
|
$0.20
|
$0.20
|
Payout
ratio(1)
|
57%
|
82%
|
49%
|
53%
|
69%
|
65%
|
83%
|
Excess
FCF(1)
|
79,425
|
14,691
|
33,725
|
22,747
|
11,484
|
11,469
|
4,018
|
Capital
expenditures
|
2,777
|
1,256
|
1,187
|
1,046
|
(17)
|
561
|
472
|
Adjusted
acquisitions(1)
|
945,321
|
171,463
|
218,834
|
409,961
|
160,492
|
156,034
|
17,963
|
Weighted average
shares – basic(3)
|
123,703
|
90,110
|
136,391
|
128,749
|
116,842
|
112,512
|
106,839
|
Weighted average
shares – diluted(3)
|
124,361
|
90,547
|
137,167
|
129,421
|
117,426
|
113,019
|
107,276
|
Average Royalty
Production(5)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Natural
gas (mcf/d)
|
73,269
|
56,438
|
84,415
|
77,941
|
65,725
|
64,729
|
57,621
|
Light
and medium crude oil (bbl/d)
|
565
|
208
|
1,086
|
538
|
340
|
285
|
192
|
Heavy
crude oil (bbl/d)
|
538
|
─
|
1,091
|
693
|
303
|
50
|
─
|
Natural
gas liquids (bbl/d)
|
789
|
529
|
966
|
897
|
668
|
620
|
540
|
Total
(boe/d)
|
14,103
|
10,144
|
17,213
|
15,119
|
12,265
|
11,743
|
10,335
|
Realized Commodity
Prices(5)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Natural
gas ($/mcf)
|
$3.65
|
$2.25
|
$4.52
|
$3.58
|
$3.11
|
$3.13
|
$2.65
|
Light
and medium crude oil ($/bbl)
|
$81.29
|
$41.91
|
$87.51
|
$80.07
|
$76.94
|
$64.66
|
$48.90
|
Heavy
crude oil ($/bbl)
|
$69.39
|
─
|
$73.23
|
$67.76
|
$61.61
|
$54.34
|
─
|
Natural
gas liquids ($/bbl)
|
$83.07
|
$48.09
|
$95.37
|
$80.31
|
$78.91
|
$72.11
|
$54.09
|
Total
($/boe)
|
$29.51
|
$15.86
|
$37.70
|
$29.16
|
$24.59
|
$22.88
|
$18.52
|
Benchmark
Pricing
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Natural
Gas
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
AECO 5A
(CAD$/mcf)
|
$3.62
|
$2.24
|
$4.66
|
$3.60
|
$3.11
|
$3.17
|
$2.65
|
Crude oil
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
NYMEX
WTI (USD$/bbl)
|
$67.92
|
$39.34
|
$77.19
|
$70.52
|
$66.10
|
$58.14
|
$42.70
|
Edmonton
Par (CAD$/bbl)
|
$80.46
|
$45.06
|
$93.45
|
$83.80
|
$76.39
|
$68.98
|
$49.21
|
WCS
differential (USD$/bbl)
|
$13.04
|
$15.81
|
$14.80
|
$13.52
|
$11.51
|
$12.42
|
$9.10
|
Natural gas
liquids
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Edmonton
Condensate (CAD$/bbl)
|
$84.55
|
$49.71
|
$98.68
|
$86.47
|
$79.67
|
$74.98
|
$55.95
|
CAD$/USD$
|
$0.7979
|
$0.7465
|
$0.7937
|
$0.7935
|
$0.8142
|
$0.7899
|
$0.7678
|
Selected statement
of financial position results ($000s) except share
amounts
|
|
At Dec. 31,
2021
|
At Sept. 30,
2021
|
At June 30,
2021
|
At Mar. 31,
2021
|
At Dec. 31,
2020
|
Total
assets
|
|
|
1,611,752
|
1,455,509
|
1,305,741
|
997,715
|
1,008,546
|
Working
capital
|
|
|
43,750
|
51,053
|
266,272
|
94,221
|
237,675
|
Adjusted working
capital(1)
|
|
|
43,204
|
54,446
|
270,611
|
94,607
|
238,268
|
Net debt
(cash)(1)
|
|
|
233,658
|
219,476
|
(167,540)
|
(94,607)
|
(238,268)
|
Common shares
outstanding(3)
|
|
|
139,333
|
128,803
|
128,736
|
112,607
|
112,449
|
(1)
Refer to "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures".
(2)
As noted, calculated using the basic or diluted weighted average
number of shares outstanding during the period.
(3)
Shown in thousand shares outstanding.
(4)
Other income of $12.9 million for 2021 includes interest income of
$0.3 million (Q4 2021 - nil, Q3 2021 - $0.02 million, Q2 2021 -
$0.1, Q1 2021 - $0.1 million, Q4 2020 - $0.3 million).
(5)
Refer to "Supplemental Information Regarding Product
Types".
(6)
Represents the cumulative per share dividends paid to shareholders
of record during the respective periods.
(7)
Defined term under the Company's Syndicated Credit
Facility.
|
NOTE REFERENCES
This news release refers to financial reporting periods in
abbreviated form as follows: "Q4 2021" refers to the three months
ended December 31, 2021; "prior
quarter" refers to the three months ended September 30, 2021; "Q4 2020" refers to the three
months ended December 31, 2020;
"2021" refers to the year ended December 31,
2021; and "2020" refers to the year ended December 31, 2020.
1.
|
See "Non-GAAP and
Other Financial Measures".
|
2.
|
Calculated using the
weighted average number of basic common shares outstanding during
the respective period. During the three months and year ended
December 31, 2021, Topaz's FCF per share, calculated using the
weighted average number of diluted common shares outstanding during
the periods was $0.49 and $1.51, respectively.
|
3.
|
See
"Forward-Looking Statements".
|
4.
|
See "Supplemental
Information Regarding Product Types".
|
5.
|
Topaz's $700 million
credit facility includes a $200 million accordion feature which may
be advanced by Topaz but remains subject to agent
consent.
|
6.
|
Based on Topaz's
December 31, 2021 external independent reserve report. Refer
to Topaz's 2021 Annual Information Form available on SEDAR for
additional information.
|
7.
|
May include
non-producing injection wells.
|
8.
|
Includes wells
drilled during the current and previous periods on Topaz royalty
acreage.
|
9.
|
Topaz's dividends
remain subject to board of director approval.
|
10.
|
Refer to Topaz's most
recently filed MD&A for a summary of all outstanding financial
derivative contracts.
|
11.
|
The Company's 2022
FCF estimate attributed to Topaz's Weyburn Unit gross overriding
royalty interest acquisition completed during the fourth quarter of
2021 is based on the following assumptions: estimated 2022 average
royalty production of 700 bbl/d comprised of 696 bbl/d of crude oil
and 5 bbl/d NGLs; 2022 average commodity prices based on a February
7, 2022 strip price forecast as follows: US$84.82/bbl (NYMEX WTI),
US$2.77/bbl (MSW oil differential) and US$/CAD$ foreign exchange
0.786; and estimated transportation and quality deductions based on
historic realizations.
|
12.
|
The Company's 2022
FCF estimate attributed to adjusted acquisitions completed during
2021 is based on the following assumptions: estimated average
annual royalty production (midpoint) of 7,800 boe/d comprised of 30
MMcf/d conventional natural gas, 1,020 bbl/d crude oil, 1,280 bbl/d
heavy oil and 500 bbl/d NGLs; 2022 average commodity prices based
on a February 7, 2022 strip price forecast as follows: $4.49/mcf
(AECO 5A), US$84.82/bbl (NYMEX WTI), US$13.23/bbl (WCS oil
differential), US$2.77/bbl (MSW oil differential) and US$/CAD$
foreign exchange 0.786; variable marketing fees payable for royalty
production marketed by the respective operator; estimated
transportation and quality deductions based on historic
realizations; infrastructure contractual agreements providing
for fixed processing revenue of $11.6 million in 2022; estimated
capital maintenance expenditures of $0.3 million; and estimated
2022 interest expense of $3.0 million attributed to the portion of
total 2021 acquisition consideration which was financed with
debt.
|
13.
|
Management's
assumptions underlying the Company's 2022 guidance estimates
include:
|
|
i.
|
Contractually
scheduled changes in certain natural gas gross overriding royalty
rates as follows: increase from 2% to 3% attributed to the January
2021 Deep Basin GORR acquisition from Tourmaline and reduction from
4% to 3% attributed to the November 2019 GORR acquisition from
Tourmaline;
|
|
ii.
|
Topaz's internal
estimates regarding development pace and production performance
including estimates for capital allocated to waterflood and other
long-term value enhancing projects;
|
|
iii.
|
Infrastructure
utilization and cost estimates in-line with 2021
realizations;
|
|
iv.
|
No incorporation of
potential acquisitions; and
|
|
v.
|
Topaz's outstanding
financial derivative contracts included in its most recently filed
MD&A.
|
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
This news release contains forward-looking statements and
forward-looking information (collectively, "forward-looking
statements") that relate to the Company's current expectations and
views of future events. These forward-looking statements relate to
future events or the Company's future performance. Any statements
that express, or involve discussions as to, expectations, beliefs,
plans, objectives, assumptions or future events or performance
(often, but not always, through the use of words or phrases such as
"will likely result", "are expected to", "expects", "will
continue", "is anticipated", "anticipates", "believes",
"estimated", "intends", "plans", "forecast", "projection",
"strategy", "objective" and "outlook") are not historical facts and
may be forward-looking statements and may involve estimates,
assumptions and uncertainties which could cause actual results or
outcomes to differ materially from those expressed in such
forward-looking statements. No assurance can be given that these
expectations will prove to be correct and such forward-looking
statements included in this news release should not be unduly
relied upon. These statements speak only as of the date of this
news release. In particular and without limitation, this news
release contains forward-looking statements pertaining to the
following: Topaz's future growth outlook and strategic plans; the
anticipated capital expenditure plans; environment, social and
governance initiatives; expected production increases and capital
commitments on the royalty lands; estimated levels of 2022 dividend
payments, EBITDA, FCF, Excess FCF, dividend payout ratio, return on
invested capital and year-end net debt; the number of drilling rigs
to be active on Topaz's royalty acreage during 2022 and beyond; the
future declaration and payment of dividends and the timing and
amount thereof; the forecasts described under the heading
"Fourth Quarter 2021 Update" above including under the sub-headings
"2022 Guidance Estimates", "Capital Allocation Strategy &
Financial Flexibility" and "Sustainability Targets &
Commitments", including annual average royalty production,
processing revenue and other income, EBITDA, FCF, Excess FCF,
annual dividends, exit net debt, and capital expenditures
(excluding acquisitions) for 2022; other expected benefits from
acquisitions including enhancing Topaz's future growth outlook and
plans to allocate capital toward accretive growth acquisitions and
sustainable dividend increases; and the Company's business as
described under the heading "About the Company" above.
Forward–looking statements are based on a number of assumptions
including those highlighted in this news release and is subject to
a number of risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond the
Company's control, which could cause actual results and events to
differ materially from those that are disclosed in or implied by
such forward–looking statements.
Such risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to,
the failure to complete acquisitions on the terms or on
the timing announced or at all and the failure to realize
some or all of the anticipated benefits of acquisitions including
estimated royalty production, royalty production revenue and FCF
per share growth, and the factors discussed in the Company's
recently filed Management's Discussion and Analysis (See
"Forward-Looking Statements" therein), 2021 Annual Information Form
(See "Risk Factors" and "Forward-Looking Statements" therein) and
other reports on file with applicable securities regulatory
authorities and may be accessed through the SEDAR website
(www.sedar.com) or Topaz's website (www.topazenergy.ca).
Statements relating to "reserves" are also deemed to be forward
looking statements, as they involve the implied assessment, based
on certain estimates and assumptions, that the reserves described
exist in the quantities predicted or estimated and that the
reserves can be profitably produced in the future.
Without limitation of the foregoing, future dividend payments,
if any, and the level thereof is uncertain, as the Company's
dividend policy and the funds available for the payment of
dividends from time to time is dependent upon, among other things,
FCF, financial requirements for the Company's operations and
the execution of its growth strategy, fluctuations in working
capital and the timing and amount of capital expenditures, debt
service requirements and other factors beyond the Company's
control. Further, the ability of Topaz to pay dividends will be
subject to applicable laws (including the satisfaction of the
solvency test contained in applicable corporate legislation) and
contractual restrictions contained in the instruments governing its
indebtedness, including its credit facility.
Topaz does not undertake any obligation to update such
forward–looking statements, whether as a result of new information,
future events or otherwise, except as expressly required by
applicable law.
FINANCIAL OUTLOOK
Also included in this news release are estimates of the
Company's EBITDA range and average royalty production range for the
year ending December 31, 2022 and
range of year-end exit net debt and net debt to cash flow for 2022,
which are based on, among other things, the various assumptions as
to production levels and capital expenditures and other assumptions
disclosed in this news release including under the heading "Fourth
Quarter 2021 Update - 2022 Guidance Estimates" above and are based
on the following key assumptions: Topaz's estimated capital
expenditures (excluding acquisitions) of $2 to $3 million in
2022; the working interest owners' anticipated 2022 capital plans
attributable to Topaz's undeveloped royalty lands; estimated
average annual royalty production range of 16,100 to 16,300 boe/d
in 2022; 2022 average infrastructure ownership capacity utilization
of 95%; December 31, 2022 exit net
debt range between $110 and
$115 million, 2022 average commodity
prices of: $4.00/mcf (AECO 5A),
US$75.00/bbl (NYMEX WTI),
US$13.00/bbl (WCS oil differential),
US$3.50/bbl (MSW oil differential)
and US$/CAD$ foreign exchange 0.785.
To the extent such estimates constitute financial outlooks, they
were approved by management and the board of directors of Topaz on
March 1, 2022 and are included to
provide readers with an understanding of the estimated EBITDA and
net debt for the year ending December 31,
2022 based on the assumptions described herein and readers
are cautioned that the information may not be appropriate for other
purposes.
NON-GAAP AND OTHER FINANCIAL MEASURES
Certain financial terms and measures contained in this news
release are "specified financial measures" (as such term is defined
in National Instrument 52-112 - Non-GAAP and Other Financial
Measures Disclosure ("NI 52-112")). The specified financial
measures referred to in this news release are comprised of
"non-GAAP financial measures", "non-GAAP ratios", "capital
management measures" and "supplementary financial measures" (as
such terms are defined in NI 52-112). These measures are
defined, qualified, and where required, reconciled with the nearest
GAAP measure below.
Non-GAAP Measures and Ratios
The non-GAAP financial measures and non-GAAP ratio used herein
do not have a standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP. Accordingly,
the Company's use of these terms may not be comparable to similarly
defined measures presented by other companies. Investors are
cautioned that the non-GAAP financial measures and ratio should not
be considered in isolation nor as an alternative to net income
(loss) or other financial information determined in accordance with
GAAP, as an indication of the Company's
performance.
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
This news release makes reference to the terms "Excess FCF" and
"acquisitions, excluding decommissioning obligations", which are
considered non-GAAP financial measures under NI 52-112; defined as
financial measures disclosed by an issuer that depict the
historical or expected future financial performance, financial
position, or cash flow of an entity, and are not disclosed in the
financial statements of the issuer.
Non-GAAP Ratios
This news release makes reference to the term "return on
invested capital" which is considered a non-GAAP ratio under NI
52-112; defined as a financial measure disclosed by an issuer that
is in the form of a ratio, fraction, percentage or similar
presentation, has a non-GAAP financial measure as one or more of
its components, and is not disclosed in the primary financial
statements of the entity.
Other Financial Measures
Capital management measures
Capital management measures are defined as financial measures
disclosed by an issuer that are intended to enable an individual to
evaluate the entity's objectives, policies and processes for
managing the entity's capital, are not a component of a line item
or a line item on the primary financial statements, and which are
disclosed in the notes to the financial statements. The Company's
capital management measures disclosed in the notes to the Company's
Consolidated Financial Statements as at and for the year ended
December 31, 2021 include adjusted
working capital, net debt (cash) and FCF.
Supplementary financial measures
This news release makes reference to the terms "cash flow per
basic or diluted share", "FCF per basic or diluted share", "EBITDA
per basic or diluted share", "FCF margin" and "payout ratio" which
are all considered supplementary financial measures under NI
52-112; defined as a financial measure disclosed by an issuer that
is, or is intended to be, disclosed on a periodic basis to depict
the historical or expected future financial performance, financial
position or cash flow of an entity, is not disclosed in the
financial statements of the issuer, and is not a non-GAAP financial
measure or non-GAAP ratio.
The following terms are financial measures as defined under the
Company's Syndicated Credit Facility, presented in note 9 to the
Company's Consolidated Financial Statements as at and for the year
ended December 31, 2021: (i)
consolidated senior debt, (ii) total debt, (iii) EBITDA and (iv)
capitalization.
Cash flow, FCF, FCF margin, and Excess FCF
Management uses cash flow, FCF, FCF margin and Excess FCF for
its own performance measures and to provide investors with a
measurement of the Company's efficiency and its ability to generate
the cash necessary to fund or increase dividends, fund future
growth opportunities and/or to repay debt; and furthermore, uses
per share metrics to provide investors with a measure of the
proportion attributable to the basic or diluted weighted average
common shares outstanding.
Cash flow is a GAAP measure which is derived of cash from
operating activities excluding the change in non-cash working
capital and is presented in the consolidated statements of cash
flows. FCF is a capital management measure presented in the
notes to the consolidated financial statements and is defined as
cash flow, less capital expenditures. The supplementary
financial measure "FCF margin", is defined as FCF divided by total
revenue and other income (expressed as a percentage of total
revenue and other income). The non-GAAP financial measure
"Excess FCF", is defined as FCF less dividends paid. The
supplementary financial measures "cash flow per basic or diluted
share" and "FCF per basic or diluted share" are calculated by
dividing cash flow and FCF, respectively, by the basic or diluted
weighted average common shares outstanding during the
period.
A summary of the reconciliation from cash from operating
activities (per the consolidated statements of cash flows) to cash
flow (per the consolidated statements of cash flows), cash flow per
basic or diluted share, FCF, Excess FCF, FCF per basic or diluted
share and FCF margin is set forth below:
|
Three months
ended
|
Year
ended
|
For the periods
ended ($000s)
|
Dec. 31,
2021
|
Dec. 31,
2020
|
Dec. 31,
2021
|
Dec. 31,
2020
|
Cash from operating
activities
|
56,562
|
32,887
|
165,017
|
83,642
|
Exclude change in
non-cash working capital
|
11,772
|
(5,908)
|
25,924
|
5,436
|
Cash
flow
|
68,334
|
26,979
|
190,941
|
89,078
|
Less: Capital
expenditures
|
1,187
|
472
|
2,777
|
1,256
|
FCF
|
67,147
|
26,507
|
188,164
|
87,822
|
Less: dividends
paid
|
33,422
|
22,489
|
108,739
|
73,131
|
Excess
FCF
|
33,725
|
4,018
|
79,425
|
14,691
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash flow per
basic share(1)
|
$0.50
|
$0.25
|
$1.54
|
$0.99
|
Cash flow per
diluted share(1)
|
$0.50
|
$0.25
|
$1.54
|
$0.98
|
FCF per basic
share(1)
|
$0.49
|
$0.25
|
$1.52
|
$0.97
|
FCF per diluted
share(1)
|
$0.49
|
$0.25
|
$1.51
|
$0.97
|
|
|
|
|
|
FCF
|
67,147
|
26,507
|
188,164
|
87,822
|
Total Revenue and
other income
|
75,676
|
30,699
|
211,539
|
99,876
|
FCF
margin
|
89%
|
86%
|
89%
|
88%
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1)
|
As noted, calculated
using the basic or diluted weighted average number of shares
outstanding during the respective periods.
|
Adjusted working capital and net debt
(cash)
Management uses the terms "adjusted working capital"
and "net debt (cash)" to measure the Company's liquidity position
and capital flexibility, as such these terms are considered capital
management measures. "Adjusted working capital" is calculated as
current assets less current liabilities, adjusted for financial
instruments. "Net debt (cash)" is calculated as total debt
outstanding less adjusted working capital.
A summary of the reconciliation from working capital, to
adjusted working capital and net debt (cash) is set forth
below:
($000s)
|
As at
Dec. 31, 2021
|
As at
Dec. 31, 2020
|
Working
capital
|
43,750
|
237,675
|
Exclude financial
instruments
|
(546)
|
593
|
Adjusted working
capital
|
43,204
|
238,268
|
Less: bank
debt
|
(276,862)
|
─
|
Net Debt
(cash)
|
233,658
|
(238,268)
|
EBITDA and EBITDA per basic or diluted share
EBITDA,
as defined under the Company's Syndicated Credit Facility and
disclosed in note 9 of the Company's Consolidated Financial
Statements as at and for the year ended December 31, 2021, is considered by the Company
as a capital management measure which is used to evaluate the
Company's operating performance, and provides investors with a
measurement of the Company's cash generated from its operations,
before consideration of interest income or expense. "EBITDA"
is calculated as consolidated net income or loss from continuing
operations, excluding extraordinary items, plus interest expense,
income taxes, and adjusted for non-cash items and gains or losses
on dispositions.
EBITDA per basic or diluted share is a supplementary financial
measure that is calculated by dividing EBITDA by the basic or
diluted weighted average common shares outstanding during the
period and provides investors with a measure of the proportion of
EBITDA attributed to the basic or diluted weighted average common
shares outstanding.
A summary of the reconciliation of net income (per the
consolidated statements of net income and comprehensive income), to
EBITDA, is set forth below:
|
Three months
ended
|
Year
ended
|
For the periods
ended ($000s)
|
Dec. 31,
2021
|
Dec. 31,
2020
|
Dec. 31,
2021
|
Dec. 31,
2020
|
Net income
|
16,276
|
8,382
|
27,564
|
3,089
|
Unrealized (gain)
loss on financial instruments
|
(3,939)
|
(1,847)
|
(1,139)
|
593
|
Share-based
compensation
|
961
|
247
|
1,977
|
887
|
Finance
expense
|
1,774
|
490
|
3,465
|
632
|
Depletion and
depreciation
|
50,217
|
22,656
|
155,422
|
85,489
|
Deferred income tax
expense
|
4,693
|
(2,465)
|
6,653
|
(992)
|
Less: interest
income
|
(4)
|
(337)
|
(295)
|
(385)
|
EBITDA
|
69,978
|
27,126
|
193,647
|
89,313
|
EBITDA per basic
share(1)
|
$0.51
|
$0.25
|
$1.57
|
$0.99
|
EBITDA per diluted
share(1)
|
$0.51
|
$0.25
|
$1.56
|
$0.99
|
(1)
|
As noted, calculated
using the basic or diluted weighted average number of shares
outstanding during the respective periods.
|
Payout ratio
"Payout ratio", a supplementary financial
measure, represents dividends paid, expressed as a percentage of
cash flow and provides investors with a measure of the percentage
of cash flow that was used during the period to fund dividend
payments. Payout ratio is calculated as cash flow divided by
dividends paid.
A summary of the reconciliation from cash flow to payout ratio
is set forth below:
|
Three months
ended
|
Year
ended
|
For the periods
ended
|
Dec. 31,
2021
|
Dec. 31,
2020
|
Dec. 31,
2021
|
Dec. 31,
2020
|
Cash flow
(000s)
|
68,334
|
26,979
|
190,941
|
89,078
|
Dividends paid
(000s)
|
33,422
|
22,489
|
108,739
|
73,131
|
Payout ratio
(%)
|
49%
|
83%
|
57%
|
82%
|
Acquisitions, excluding decommissioning
obligations
"Acquisitions, excluding decommissioning
obligations", is considered a non-GAAP financial measure, and is
calculated as: acquisitions (per the consolidated statements of
cash flows) plus non-cash acquisitions but excluding non-cash
decommissioning obligations.
A summary of the reconciliation from acquisitions (per the
consolidated statements of cash flow) to acquisitions, excluding
decommissioning obligations is set forth below:
|
Three months
ended
|
Year
ended
|
For the periods
ended ($000s)
|
Dec. 31,
2021
|
Dec. 31,
2020
|
Dec. 31,
2021
|
Dec. 31,
2020
|
Acquisitions
(consolidated statements of cash flows)
|
218,834
|
17,963
|
919,321
|
171,463
|
Non-cash acquisitions
(excluding non-cash decommissioning obligations)
|
─
|
─
|
26,000
|
─
|
Acquisitions,
excluding decommissioning obligations
|
218,834
|
17,963
|
945,321
|
171,463
|
Return on invested capital
"Return on invested
capital", a non-GAAP ratio, represents estimated FCF, expressed as
a percentage of acquisitions, excluding decommissioning
obligations. This non-GAAP ratio provides investors with a measure
of the return on investment attributed to consideration paid for
acquisitions.
Management's estimate of the FCF expected to be generated from
the Weyburn Unit gross overriding royalty acquisition completed
during the fourth quarter of 2021 (as described above in "Note
Reference 11") of $26 million,
divided by the cash consideration paid of $188 million, results in a 2022 return on
invested capital of 14%.
Management's estimate of the FCF expected to be generated from
the acquisitions completed during 2021 (as described above in
"Note Reference 12") of $149
million, divided by 2021 acquisitions, excluding
decommissioning obligations presented in the table above of
$945 million, results in a 2022
return on invested capital of 16%.
BOE EQUIVALENCY
Per barrel of oil equivalent amounts have been calculated using
a conversion rate of six thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one
barrel of oil equivalent (6:1). Barrel of oil equivalents
(boe) may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A
boe conversion ratio of 6 mcf:1 bbl is based on an energy
equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner
tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the
wellhead. In addition, as the value ratio between natural gas
and crude oil based on the current prices of natural gas and crude
oil is significantly different from the energy equivalency of 6:1,
utilizing a conversion on a 6:1 basis may be misleading as an
indication of value.
OIL AND GAS METRICS
This news release contains certain oil and gas metrics which do
not have standardized meanings or standard methods of calculation
and therefore such measures may not be comparable to similar
measures used by other companies and should not be used to make
comparisons. Such metrics have been included in this document to
provide readers with additional measures to evaluate the Company's
performance; however, such measures are not reliable indicators of
the Company's future performance and future performance may not
compare to the Company's performance in previous periods and
therefore such metrics should not be unduly relied upon.
General
See also "Forward-Looking Statements", "Reserves and Other Oil
and Gas Information" and "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" in
the most recently filed Management's Discussion and
Analysis.
SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION REGARDING PRODUCT TYPES
This news release includes references to actual and 2022
estimated average royalty production. The following table is
intended to provide supplemental information about the product type
composition for each of the production figures that are provided in
this news release:
For the three
months ended
|
Dec. 31,
2021
(Actual)
|
Sept. 30,
2021
(Actual)
|
Dec. 31,
2020
(Actual)
|
Average daily
production
|
|
|
|
Light
and Medium crude oil (bbl/d)
|
1,086
|
538
|
192
|
Heavy
crude oil (bbl/d)
|
1,091
|
693
|
─
|
Conventional natural gas (Mcf/d)
|
45,280
|
44,422
|
35,159
|
Shale
Gas (Mcf/d)
|
39,135
|
33,519
|
22,462
|
Natural
Gas Liquids (bbl/d)
|
966
|
897
|
540
|
Total
(boe/d)
|
17,213
|
15,119
|
10,335
|
Natural gas
weighting
|
82%
|
86%
|
93%
|
Total liquids
weighting
|
18%
|
14%
|
7%
|
For the year
ended
|
Dec. 31,
2022
(Estimate)(1,2)
|
Dec. 31,
2021
(Actual)
|
Dec. 31,
2020
(Actual)
|
Average daily
production
|
|
|
|
Light
and Medium crude oil (bbl/d)
|
1,153
|
565
|
208
|
Heavy
crude oil (bbl/d)
|
1,278
|
538
|
─
|
Conventional natural gas (Mcf/d)
|
36,586
|
43,282
|
33,976
|
Shale
Gas (Mcf/d)
|
39,198
|
29,987
|
22,462
|
Natural
Gas Liquids (bbl/d)
|
1,138
|
789
|
529
|
Total
(boe/d)
|
16,200
|
14,103
|
10,144
|
Natural gas
weighting
|
78%
|
86%
|
93%
|
Total liquids
weighting
|
22%
|
14%
|
7%
|
(1)
|
Represents the
midpoint of the estimated range of 2022 average annual royalty
production.
|
(2)
|
Topaz's estimated
royalty production is based on estimated commodity mix; drilling
location and corresponding royalty rate; and capital development
activity on Topaz's royalty acreage by the working interest owners,
all of which are outside of Topaz's control.
|
SOURCE Topaz Energy Corp