Constellation Brands Updates Fiscal 2025 Outlook
Updates reported EPS guidance to
$3.05 - $7.92 and raises lower-end of comparable EPS guidance
to
$13.60 - $13.80, affirming
double-digit comparable EPS growth expectation
(1)
Updates Enterprise net sales growth
to 4% - 6%, reported operating income decline to (68)% -
(36)%
including an expected Wine and Spirits goodwill
impairment loss of approximately $1.5 - $2.5
billion(2),
and comparable operating income growth to 8% -
9%
Updates Beer net sales growth to 6% -
8% and raises Beer operating income growth to 11% -
12%,
at higher-end of initial range, and updates Wine and
Spirits net sales and operating income declines
to
(6)% - (4)% and (18)% - (16)%,
respectively
ROCHESTER, N.Y., Sept. 03, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE)
-- Constellation Brands, Inc. (NYSE: STZ), a leading
beverage alcohol company, announced today updates to management's
current financial outlook for fiscal 2025.
|
Updated
Outlook |
|
Prior
Outlook |
|
Outlook Update
Key Drivers |
Fiscal 2025 Estimates |
|
|
|
|
|
Reported diluted net income (loss) per share attributable
to CBI (EPS) |
$3.05 - $7.92 |
|
$14.63 - $14.93 |
|
Per drivers below; reported EPS estimate includes expected Wine and
Spirits goodwill impairment |
Comparable EPS |
$13.60 - $13.80 |
|
$13.50 - $13.80 |
|
Guidance Assumptions: |
|
|
|
|
|
Enterprise net sales growth |
4% - 6% |
|
6% - 7% |
|
Incremental macroeconomic headwinds affecting consumer,
particularly unemployment, and prolonged inventory destocking in
wine and spirits markets |
Beer net sales growth |
6% - 8% |
|
7% - 9% |
|
Wine and Spirits net sales growth (decline) |
(6)% - (4)% |
|
(0.5)% - 0.5% |
|
Reported
Enterprise operating income growth (decline) |
(68)% - (36)% |
|
10% - 12% |
|
Per drivers below; reported Enterprise operating income decline
estimate includes expected Wine and Spirits goodwill
impairment |
Comparable Enterprise operating income growth |
8% - 9% |
|
8% - 10% |
|
Beer operating income growth |
11% - 12% |
|
10% - 12% |
|
Incremental cost savings partially offset by increased marketing
investments |
Wine and Spirits operating income decline |
(18)% - (16)% |
|
(11)% - (9)% |
|
Adjusted top-line impact |
Corporate expense |
Unchanged |
|
~$260 million |
|
N/A |
Equity in earnings |
|
~$30 million |
|
Interest
expense, net |
~$430 million |
|
$445 - $455 million |
|
Capitalized interest adjustment |
Reported
tax rate |
~11%(i) |
|
~12% |
|
Includes expected Wine and Spirits goodwill impairment |
Comparable tax rate |
Unchanged |
|
~18.5% |
|
N/A |
Non-controlling interests |
|
~$35 million |
|
Weighted average diluted shares outstanding (1) |
|
~183 million |
|
Operating cash flow |
|
$2.8 - $3.0 billion |
|
Capital expenditures |
|
$1.4 - $1.5 billion |
|
Free cash flow |
|
$1.4 - $1.5 billion |
|
(i) Represents a calculation using the
midpoint of the expected $1.5 billion to $2.5 billion Wine and
Spirits goodwill impairment loss range.
The Company also expects to recognize a non-cash goodwill
impairment loss for the Wine and Spirits business of approximately
$1.5 to $2.5 billion for its second quarter fiscal 2025 results,
which is included above in the fiscal 2025 reported EPS
outlook.(2) The impairment reflects the Company’s
updated expectations of its fiscal 2025 outlook for its Wine and
Spirits business due to continued negative trends primarily in its
U.S. wholesale market, driven by declines in both the overall wine
market and its mainstream and premium wine brands.
“While ongoing macroeconomic headwinds, particularly rising
unemployment, have led to a recent deceleration in the rate of
growth of consumer demand for our products, we are on track to
deliver a solid mid single-digit volume increase this fiscal year
for our Beer Business,” said Constellation Brands President and
Chief Executive Officer Bill Newlands. “These trends have been
most notable in the top five states for our Beer Business, which
account for just over half of our volumes; however, we continue to
see volume growth within the low to mid single-digit range in these
states and within the high single-digit range on average across the
rest of the country. Importantly, our Beer brands remain strong and
loyalty among our core consumers is resilient with only some
marginal shifts to value packs and value-oriented channels. In our
Wine and Spirits Business, the commercial and operational execution
initiatives introduced earlier this year are improving the
performance of our largest brands, but we continue to face
incremental category headwinds further affecting our outlook for
this fiscal year. Notably, we continued to outpace the growth of
the entire CPG sector by nearly 3 percentage points in dollar sales
across Circana tracked channels, and our Beer Business remained the
top dollar share gainer in its category with a 1.3 point increase
in fiscal 2025 to-date, as well as the third largest dollar share
gainer in the entire Beverage industry.”(3)
“Our cost savings and efficiency initiatives are also delivering
significant incremental benefits for our Beer Business, enabling us
to reinvest some of those savings into incremental opportunities in
our Beer marketing programs,” said Executive Vice President and
Chief Financial Officer Garth Hankinson. “In our Wine and Spirits
Business, we are also taking incremental tactical pricing and
marketing actions to support demand for our core brands but are
facing operating deleveraging due to more significant top-line
headwinds, which in turn we expect will also lead to an impairment
charge of the goodwill associated with that Business. All in, while
we believe an adjustment to our top-line growth expectations is
prudent to reflect the near-term macroeconomic headwinds affecting
our consumers, we remain confident in our ability to deliver
against our initial double-digit comparable EPS growth expectations
and have raised the lower-end of our initial comparable EPS
guidance range for fiscal 2025. Similarly, in line with our
disciplined and balanced capital allocation priorities, we continue
to expect to: achieve our ~3.0x net leverage ratio target, on a
comparable basis, this fiscal year; return cash to shareholders
through our dividend and opportunistic share repurchases, inclusive
of the $449 million executed in share repurchases in the first half
of this fiscal year; and advance our brewery investments in our
Beer Business.”
In addition, Bill Newlands and Garth Hankinson will participate
in a fireside chat at the 2024 Barclays Global Consumer Staples
Conference today, Tuesday, September 3, in Boston, MA. The
presentation is scheduled to begin at 11:15 a.m. EDT and is
expected to cover the company’s strategic business initiatives,
financial metrics, and operating performance, as well as outlook
for the future. A live, listen-only webcast of the presentation
will be available on the company’s investor relations website at
ir.cbrands.com under the News & Events section. When
the presentation begins, financial information discussed in the
presentation, and reconciliations of reported GAAP financial
measures with comparable and other non-GAAP financial measures,
will also be available on the company’s investor relations website
under the Financial History section. For anyone unable to
participate in the webcast, a replay will be available on the
company’s investor relations website through the close of business
on March 3, 2025.
(1) Includes $449 million in shares
repurchased through August 2024.
(2) The range in the amount of impairment
expected to be recorded is based on preliminary estimates of future
cash flow forecasts and other assumptions. The final amount of
impairment to be recognized for the second quarter fiscal 2025 is
subject to the Company's internal analysis and review, including
consultation with third-party valuation experts on certain
assumptions.
(3) Circana Total U.S. Multi-Outlet +
Convenience data from March 3, 2024 (closest data to beginning of
fiscal 2025) to August 11, 2024 (latest data available for CPG
sector).
ABOUT CONSTELLATION BRANDS
Constellation Brands (NYSE: STZ) is a leading international
producer and marketer of beer, wine, and spirits with operations in
the U.S., Mexico, New Zealand, and Italy. Our mission is to build
brands that people love because we believe elevating human
connections is Worth Reaching For. It’s worth our dedication, hard
work, and calculated risks to anticipate market trends and deliver
more for our consumers, shareholders, employees, and industry. This
dedication is what has driven us to become one of the
fastest-growing, large CPG companies in the U.S. at retail, and it
drives our pursuit to deliver what’s next.
Every day, people reach for our high-end, iconic imported beer
brands such as those in the Corona brand family like the flagship
Corona Extra, Modelo Especial and the flavorful lineup of Modelo
Cheladas, Pacifico, and Victoria; our fine wine and craft spirits
brands including The Prisoner Wine Company, Robert Mondavi Winery,
Casa Noble Tequila, and High West Whiskey; and our premium wine
brands such as Kim Crawford and Meiomi.
As an agriculture-based company, we have a long history of
operating sustainably and responsibly. Our ESG strategy is embedded
into our business and our work focuses on serving as good stewards
of the environment, enhancing social equity within our industry and
communities, and promoting responsible beverage alcohol
consumption. These commitments ground our aspirations beyond
driving the bottom line as we work to create a future that is truly
Worth Reaching For.
To learn more, visit www.cbrands.comand follow us on X,
Instagram, and LinkedIn.
MEDIA CONTACTS |
INVESTOR RELATIONS CONTACTS |
Amy Martin 585-678-7141 /
amy.martin@cbrands.com
Carissa Guzski 315-525-7362 / carissa.guzski@cbrands.com |
Joseph Suarez 773-551-4397 /
joseph.suarez@cbrands.com
Snehal Shah 847-385-4940 / snehal.shah@cbrands.com |
|
|
SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION
Reported basis (“reported”) are derived from amounts as reported
under generally accepted accounting principles in the U.S.
Comparable basis (“comparable”) are amounts which exclude items
that affect comparability (“comparable adjustments”), as they are
not reflective of core operations of the segments. The company’s
measure of segment profitability excludes comparable adjustments,
which is consistent with the measure used by management to evaluate
results. The company discusses various non-GAAP measures in this
news release (“release”). Financial statements, as well as
supplemental schedules and tables reconciling non-GAAP measures,
together with definitions of these measures and the reasons
management uses these measures, are included in this release.
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
The statements made regarding our outlook and all statements other
than statements of historical fact set forth in this release,
including statements regarding our business strategy, strategic
vision, growth plans, operational and commercial execution
initiatives, future operations, financial position, expected net
sales, expenses, impairments, hedging programs, cost savings
initiatives, operating income, capital expenditures, effective tax
rates, anticipated tax liabilities, operating cash flow, and free
cash flow, estimated diluted EPS and shares outstanding, expected
volume, inventory, supply and demand levels, balance, and trends,
future payments of dividends, amount, manner, and timing of share
repurchases under the share repurchase authorizations, access to
capital markets, liquidity and capital resources, and prospects,
plans, and objectives of management, as well as information
concerning expected actions of third parties, are forward-looking
statements (collectively, “Projections”) that involve risks and
uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially
from those set forth in, or implied, by the Projections.
When used in this release, the words “anticipate,” “expect,”
“intend,” “will,“ and similar expressions are intended to identify
Projections, although not all Projections contain such identifying
words. All Projections speak only as of the date of this release.
We undertake no obligation to update or revise any Projections,
whether as a result of new information, future events, or
otherwise. The Projections are based on management’s current
expectations and, unless otherwise noted, do not take into account
the impact of any future acquisition, investment, merger, or other
business combination, divestiture (including any associated amount
of incremental contingent consideration payment paid or received),
restructuring or other strategic business realignment, or financing
or share repurchase that may be completed after the issuance of
this release. Although we believe that the expectations reflected
in the Projections are reasonable, we can give no assurance that
such expectations will prove to be correct. In addition to the
risks and uncertainties of ordinary business operations and
conditions in the general economy and markets in which we compete,
the Projections contained in this release are also subject to the
risk, uncertainty, and possible variance from our current
expectations regarding:
- water, agricultural and other raw
material, and packaging material supply, production, and/or
shipment difficulties which could adversely affect our ability to
supply our customers;
- the ability to respond to
anticipated inflationary pressures, including reductions in
consumer discretionary income and our ability to pass along rising
costs through increased selling prices;
- actual impact to supply,
production levels, and costs from global supply chain disruptions
and constraints, transportation challenges (including from labor
strikes or other labor activities), shifting consumer behaviors,
wildfires, and severe weather events;
- reliance on complex information
systems and third-party global networks as well as risks associated
with cybersecurity and artificial intelligence;
- economic and other uncertainties
associated with our international operations;
- dependence on limited facilities
for production of our Mexican beer brands, including beer
operations expansion, optimization, and/or construction activities,
scope, capacity, supply, costs (including impairments), capital
expenditures, and timing;
- results of the sale of the
remaining assets at the Mexicali Brewery inclusive of the expected
tax benefits;
- operational disruptions or
catastrophic loss to our breweries, wineries, other production
facilities, or distribution systems;
- the impact of military conflicts,
geopolitical tensions, and responses, including on inflation,
supply chains, commodities, energy, and cybersecurity;
- climate change, ESG regulatory
compliance and failure to meet emissions, stewardship, and other
ESG targets, objectives, or ambitions;
- reliance on wholesale
distributors, major retailers, and government agencies;
- contamination and degradation of
product quality from diseases, pests, weather, and other
conditions;
- communicable disease outbreaks,
pandemics, or other widespread public health crises and associated
governmental containment actions;
- effects of employee labor
activities that could increase our costs;
- a potential decline in the
consumption of products we sell and our dependence on sales of our
Mexican beer brands;
- impacts of our acquisition,
divestiture, investment, and new product development strategies and
activities, including the Sea Smoke acquisition;
- the success of operational and
commercial execution initiatives for our wine and spirits
business;
- dependence upon our trademarks and
proprietary rights, including the failure to protect our
intellectual property rights;
- potential damage to our
reputation;
- competition in our industry and
for talent;
- our indebtedness and interest rate
fluctuations;
- our international operations,
worldwide and regional economic trends and financial market
conditions, geopolitical uncertainty, or other governmental rules
and regulations;
- class action or other litigation
we may face;
- potential write-downs of our
intangible assets, such as goodwill and trademarks;
- changes to tax laws, fluctuations
in our effective tax rate, accounting for tax positions, the
resolution of tax disputes, changes to accounting standards,
elections, assertions, or policies, and the impact of a global
minimum tax rate;
- amount, timing, and source of
funds for any share repurchases;
- amount and timing of future
dividends;
- ownership of our Class A Common
Stock by members of the Sands family and their Board of Director
nomination rights as well as the choice-of-forum provision in our
Amended and Restated By-laws;
- the expected future impairment of
our Wine and Spirits goodwill; and
- other factors and uncertainties
disclosed in our filings with the SEC, including our Annual Report
on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended February 29, 2024,
which could cause actual future performance to differ materially
from our current expectations.
RECONCILIATIONS OF GAAP TO NON-GAAP FINANCIAL
MEASURES
We report our financial results in accordance with GAAP. However,
non-GAAP financial measures, as defined in the reconciliation
tables below, are provided because we use this information in
evaluating the results of our core operations and/or internal goal
setting. In addition, we believe this information provides our
investors valuable insight on underlying business trends and
results in order to evaluate year-over-year financial performance.
Non-GAAP financial measures should be considered in addition to,
not as a substitute for, or superior to, our reported results
prepared in accordance with GAAP.
Operating Income Guidance |
Guidance Range for the Year
Ending February 28, 2025 |
|
Actual for the
Year Ended
February 29,
2024 |
|
Percentage Change |
(in millions) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Operating income
(GAAP) |
$ |
999 |
|
$ |
2,037 |
|
$ |
3,169.7 |
|
(68) |
|
(36) |
Comparable adjustments (Non-GAAP) (1) |
|
2,503 |
|
|
1,503 |
|
|
75.8 |
|
|
|
|
Comparable operating
income (Non-GAAP) |
$ |
3,502 |
|
$ |
3,540 |
|
$ |
3,245.5 |
|
8% |
|
9% |
(1) |
Comparable adjustments include: (2) |
Estimated for
the Year
Ending
February 28,
2025 |
|
Actual for the
Year Ended
February 29,
2024 |
|
Goodwill impairment (3) |
$ |
2,000 |
|
|
$ |
— |
|
|
Transition services agreements
activity |
$ |
20 |
|
|
$ |
24.9 |
|
|
Flow through of inventory
step-up |
$ |
4 |
|
|
$ |
3.6 |
|
|
Restructuring and other
strategic business development costs |
$ |
2 |
|
|
$ |
46.3 |
|
|
Net (gain) loss on undesignated
commodity derivative contracts |
$ |
(15 |
) |
|
$ |
44.2 |
|
|
Settlements of undesignated
commodity derivative contracts |
$ |
(9 |
) |
|
$ |
(15.0 |
) |
|
Loss on sale of business |
$ |
— |
|
|
$ |
15.1 |
|
|
Other (gains) losses |
$ |
— |
|
|
$ |
11.2 |
|
|
Transaction, integration, and
other acquisition-related costs |
$ |
— |
|
|
$ |
0.6 |
|
|
Insurance recoveries |
$ |
— |
|
|
$ |
(55.1 |
) |
(2) |
May not sum due to
rounding. |
|
|
(3) |
Represents the
midpoint of the $1.5 billion to $2.5 billion range shown for the
comparable adjustments. |
Goodwill impairment
We expect to incur a non-cash goodwill impairment loss related our
Wine and Spirits reporting unit for the second fiscal quarter ended
August 31, 2024.
Transition services agreements activity
We recognized costs in connection with transition services
agreements related to the previous sale of a portion of our wine
and spirits business.
Flow through of inventory step-up
In connection with acquisitions, the allocation of purchase price
in excess of book value for certain inventories on hand at the date
of acquisition is referred to as inventory step-up. Inventory
step-up represents an assumed manufacturing profit attributable to
the acquired business prior to acquisition.
Restructuring and other strategic business development
costs
We recognized costs in connection with certain activities which are
intended to streamline, increase efficiencies, and reduce our cost
structure.
Undesignated commodity derivative contracts
Net (gain) loss on undesignated commodity derivative contracts
represents a net (gain) loss from the changes in fair value of
undesignated commodity derivative contracts. The net (gain) loss is
reported outside of segment operating results until such time that
the underlying exposure is recognized in the segment operating
results. At settlement, the net (gain) loss from the changes in
fair value of the undesignated commodity derivative contracts is
reported in the appropriate operating segment, allowing the results
of our operating segments to reflect the economic effects of the
commodity derivative contracts without the resulting unrealized
mark to fair value volatility.
Loss on sale of business
We recognized a net loss primarily from the divestitures related to
the craft beer business.
Other (gains) losses
We recognized a net loss from
changes in the indemnification of liabilities associated with prior
period divestitures, partially offset by decreases in estimated
fair values of contingent liabilities associated with prior period
acquisitions.
Transaction, integration, and other acquisition-related
costs
We recognized costs in connection with our
investments, acquisitions, and divestitures.
Insurance recoveries
We recognized business
interruption and other recoveries largely related to severe winter
weather events.
EPS Guidance |
Range for the Year Ending
February 28, 2025 |
Forecasted EPS (GAAP) |
$ |
3.05 |
|
$ |
7.92 |
Comparable adjustments (Non-GAAP) (1) |
|
10.55 |
|
|
5.88 |
Forecasted comparable
EPS (Non-GAAP) (2) |
$ |
13.60 |
|
$ |
13.80 |
(1) |
Comparable adjustments include: (2) |
Estimated for
the Year
Ending
February 28,
2025 |
|
Goodwill impairment (3) |
$ |
9.34 |
|
|
Transition services agreements
activity |
$ |
0.08 |
|
|
Flow through of inventory
step-up |
$ |
0.02 |
|
|
Restructuring and other
strategic business development costs |
$ |
0.01 |
|
|
Net income tax benefit
recognized as a result of the resolution of various tax
examinations and assessments related to prior periods |
$ |
(0.66 |
) |
|
Net gain on conversion and
exchange to Canopy exchangeable shares |
$ |
(0.46 |
) |
|
Net gain on undesignated
commodity derivative contracts |
$ |
(0.06 |
) |
|
Settlements of undesignated
commodity derivative contracts |
$ |
(0.03 |
) |
|
Net income tax benefit
recognized for adjustments to valuation allowances |
$ |
(0.02 |
) |
(2) |
May not sum due to
rounding as each item is computed independently. The comparable
adjustments and comparable EPS are calculated on a fully dilutive
basis. |
(3) |
Represents the midpoint of the
$7.01 to $11.68 range shown for the comparable adjustments. |
|
Free Cash
Flow Guidance
Free cash flow, as defined in the reconciliation below, is
considered a liquidity measure and is considered to provide useful
information to investors about the amount of cash generated, which
can then be used, after required debt service and dividend
payments, for other general corporate purposes. A limitation of
free cash flow is that it does not represent the total increase or
decrease in the cash balance for the period. Free cash flow should
be considered in addition to, not as a substitute for, or superior
to, cash flow from operating activities prepared in accordance with
GAAP. |
|
Range for the Year
Ending February 28, 2025 |
(in millions) |
|
|
|
Net cash provided by operating activities
(GAAP) |
$ |
2,800 |
|
|
$ |
3,000 |
|
Purchase of property, plant, and equipment |
|
(1,400 |
) |
|
|
(1,500 |
) |
Free cash flow
(Non-GAAP) |
$ |
1,400 |
|
|
$ |
1,500 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
A downloadable PDF copy of this news release can be found
here: http://ml.globenewswire.com/Resource/Download/0650da43-8e92-4e6a-971d-8d45aeda3f73
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