TAKING THE PULSE: European chemical stocks have reached record
highs this year, buoyed by recovery in the industry since 2009,
optimism on profits and further consolidation in the sector, and
first-quarter results are likely to underpin those dynamics.
Earlier this month, Belgium-based Solvay SA (SOLB.BT) said it
will buy France's Rhodia SA (RHA.FR) and analysts expect deal
activity in the chemical sector may set a record this year, helping
to support the shares of companies such as Lanxess AG (LXS.XE) of
German and Arkema (AKE.FR) of France.
The industry has many drivers. Earlier this month, Swiss
agrochemicals giant Syngenta AG (SYST.VX) said the food price rally
that is hurting industries across the globe helped boost its
first-quarter sales and allow it to raise prices for various seeds
and crop protection products.
Other European chemical companies reporting first-quarter
results in coming days include the following:
Akzo Nobel NV (AKZA.AE) -- April 21, 0600 GMT
MARKET EXPECTATIONS: The Dutch Coatings and chemicals company
should report higher first-quarter earnings before interest, tax,
depreciation and amortization, or Ebitda, driven by better volumes
and faster price rises. The specialty chemicals unit should have
been able to pass on higher raw material costs but its coatings
divisions may take more time doing so. Akzo Nobel is expected to
reiterate its outlook to increase revenue and Ebitda by 5% in
2011.
MAIN FOCUS: Comments on pricing and higher raw material
costs.
Air Liquide SA (AI.FR) -- April 26, 0530 GMT
MARKET EXPECTATIONS: JP Morgan forecasts an 8.7% jump in
first-quarter sales to EUR3.41 billion. Air Liquide has told
investors that it is confident it can continue to generate "steady
growth" in its net profit this year.
MAIN FOCUS: The French company has said it expects to be able to
"seize many growth opportunities," so any update on expansion plans
will be of interest, particularly if it gives new details on
potential acquisitions.
Merck KGaA (MRK.XE) -- April 28, 0500 GMT
MARKET EXPECTATIONS: Further growth is expected at Performance
Materials. Merck's Liquid Crystals, which has a high exposure to
TVs, should benefit from favorable growth in the consumer
electronics market. Liquid crystal production near Tokyo was
uninterrupted by the earthquake and its aftermath and the overall
impact is seen as limited. Still, due to a supply shortage,
UniCredit expects a negative volume effect in the second
quarter.
MARKET FOCUS: There's keen interest in Merck's plans to
streamline efficiency and reduce complexity at its pharmaceutical
division.
Bayer AG (BAYN.XE) -- April 28, 0530 GMT
MARKET EXPECTATIONS: Earnings should be driven by a recovery at
MaterialScience and CropScience. MaterialScience is expected to
have had a strong quarter given continued improvement in all
customer industries while a better product mix, volume growth in
polyurethanes and polycarbonates should offset higher raw material
costs.
MAIN FOCUS: News on Bayer's Xarelto heart drug will be of keen
interest due to remaining uncertainty over the new medicine's
prospects and sales potential.
Yara International ASA (YAR.OS)-- April 29 , 0500 GMT
MARKET EXPECTATIONS: Norwegian company Yara is expected to
report a strong set of first-quarter numbers but flag for cost
increases due to high energy prices. Citigroup says "urea prices
have been weaker than expected in the first quarter of 2011 and
high European gas prices have pushed much of Yara's production
towards the upper end of the cost curve" but the bank still
forecasts a near doubling in earnings per share compared to the
year ago period, driven by strong demand and high prices for
nitrates, NPKs [Nitrogen, Phosphorus and Potassium] and ammonia.
Handelsbanken Capital Markets predicts sales will rise 11.7% from
the year-ago-period and expects a 26.9% increase in adjusted
EBIT.
MAIN FOCUS: Aside from business, interest is in Yara's
operations in Libya, where production has been down since February
due to political unrest. Handelsbanken Capital Markets says the
closure should lead to lost pre-tax earnings of NOK90 million and
assumes the Libyan operations will be closed for the rest of
2011.
Wacker Chemie AG (WCH.XE) - May 4, 0515 GMT
MARKET EXPECTATIONS: Germany's Wacker should have benefited from
a strong polysilicon demand from the solar industry. Citigroup
analysts point to the strong expansion of solar equipment capacity,
mainly in China. At the Siltronic section, Credit Suisse sees
market share gains due to the earthquake and aftermath in
Japan.
MAIN FOCUS: Analysts wonder about the sustainability of positive
effects related to problems of Japanese competitors. Comments on
pricing pressure due to capacity additions by competing silicon
producers and higher raw material costs will also be in focus.
Linde AG (LIN.XE)--May 4, 0530 GMT
MARKET EXPECTATIONS: Analysts expect the German company's sales
to come in higher, driven by a good performance by the gases and
engineering divisions. Earnings are expected to have been boosted
by its cost efficiency program. Confirmation of the 2011 and
medium-term targets are expected.
MAIN FOCUS: Any price pressure in Linde's cylinder business,
which could hurt short-term margins.
Rhodia SA (RHA.FR) -- Expected May 5, 0530 GMT
MARKET EXPECTATIONS: Investors expect the company's update to
confirm its belief that exposure to fast-growing countries is still
putting wind in its sails. This is particularly true now that
Solvay (SOLB.BT, SVYZY) has said it plans to acquire the French
company with a view to expanding its footprint in these
markets.
MAIN FOCUS: Investors and market observers will be keen to have
an update on how the friendly tie-up with Solvay is coming along,
and for reassurance that it will indeed come to fruition.
BASF SE (BAS.XE) -- May 6, 0500 GMT
MARKET EXPECTATIONS: BASF is expected to report a solid quarter
amid very strong business trends, and the Chemicals and Plastics
unit is expected to profit from the momentum along with high
cracker margins. Deutsche Bank forecasts EBIT will rise 26%, and
expects the company to reiterate guidance for significantly higher
EBIT in 2011. Unrest in Libya and a shutdown of production there
should be offset by higher oil and gas prices.
MAIN FOCUS: Investors will focus on the effects of pricing
leverage and cost-cutting and operational performance. An indirect
impact from the Japanese disaster isn't visible yet, UniCredit
says, and indirect effects in the chemical industry were a further
tightening of chemical products rather than lower demand.
Clariant AG (CLN.VX) - Expected May 6, 0500 GMT
MARKET EXPECTATIONS: Investors expect an update on Sued-Chemie
(SUC.XE) and backing of 2011 targets. Deutsche Bank sees net profit
at CHF106 million from CHF6 million year-ago, on revenue of CHF1.80
billion, from CHF1.82 billion.
MAIN FOCUS: The strong Swiss franc will take a sizable chunk off
Clariant's revenue, though profits are shielded through a
significant natural hedge, says Unicredit. Management efforts to
cut costs and lift prices are also in focus. "Sentiment should
improve if companies can explain that higher raw material costs are
manageable," says Unicredit in a sector preview.
Solvay SA (SOLV.BT) -- Expected May 9, 1600 GMT
MARKET EXPECTATIONS: The consensus expectation among analysts is
for net profit to decline to EUR57 million from EUR1.73 billion a
year earlier, according to a survey conducted for the company. A
year-on-year comparison is a difficult because Solvay sold its
pharmaceutical operations in last year's first quarter, booking a
capital gain of EUR1.7 billion, net of taxes.
MAIN FOCUS: As with Rhodia, the planned tie-up between the two
companies will be a key focus as investors look to the companies'
management for a progress report on how the project is coming
along. The quarterly results and outlooks of both companies also
will give investors and observers an updated view of how
complementary the two companies' positions are in the current
market.
K+S AG (SDF.XE) -- Expected May 11, 0500 GMT
MARKET EXPECTATIONS: Analysts expect high volumes at its
fertilizer unit to have generated strong sales. Operating earnings
are expected to have risen on high prices for fertilizer products
and a robust salt business.
MAIN FOCUS: Higher potash prices are a key topic as well as
whether production expansion potential from the Legacy project is
higher than previously expected.
Lanxess AG (LXS.XE) - May 11, 0530 GMT
MARKET EXPECTATIONS: Analysts expect a strong quarter buoyed by
high demand, both from tire sector and the agrochemical sector,
helped by an early start to the planting season in Europe and
strong demand from farmers. The resulting increase in capacity
utilization should support margins and counterbalance temporary
negative effects from the significant increase in raw material
costs, said Warburg.
MAIN FOCUS: Analysts will focus on comments on mid-term goals
which seem to be well on track. They will also look at how much
Lanxess benefited from recent price increases.
-By Sten Stovall, Dow Jones Newswires; +44 207 842 9292;
sten.stovall@dowjones.com
(Adam Mitchell in Paris, Anna van der Muelen in Amsterdam,
Katarina Gustafsson in Stockholm, Natascha Divac, Harriet Torry and
Hilde Messer in Frankfurt and Katharina Bart in Zurich contributed
to this article.)