By Deborah Levine
The dollar advanced on Wednesday against the euro, which fell
below $1.22 late in the session, in part as a jump in U.S. durable
goods orders and new home sales added fundamental support for the
greenback, which is on track for its best month since October
2008.
"The positive mojo continues today with numerous affirming
stories for the shift including stronger-than-expected U.S. durable
goods orders," said Andrew Busch, global currency strategist at BMO
Capital Markets. "Risk aversion is still near and dear to the
markets, but the panic appears to have reached an apex
yesterday."
The dollar index (DXY), which tracks the U.S. unit against a
basket of six major currencies, rose to 87.159, up from 86.799 in
late North American trading on Tuesday.
The index is up from 81.866 on April 30, on pace for its sixth
monthly gain.
The euro (CUR_EURUSD) fell to $1.21.97, down from $1.2308 late
Tuesday. It touched a four-year low near $1.2144 on May 19. The
shared currency is on track for its biggest monthly drop since
January.
A break below some key areas, namely $1.2180 to $1.2130, could
signal another round of selling pressure on the euro, according to
IG Markets,
Against the Japanese currency, the dollar (CUR_USDYEN) fell to
buy ¥90.01, compared with ¥90.13 late Tuesday.
The euro declined to ¥109.74 (CUR_EURYEN) from around
¥111.14 late Tuesday. The yen tends to benefit when investors
want a safer, albeit lower-yielding, currency. In May, the dollar
has slipped from ¥94.01, likely to be the biggest slide since
November.
"As the markets have seemed to calm down temporarily, some of
the safe haven attraction of the yen has dissipated and the dollar
has made some slight gains," said Dan Cook, senior market analyst
at IG Markets.
The euro also extended its decline, taking U.S. stocks with it,
apparently reacting to media reports that China is reviewing its
holdings of European bonds, according to Brown Brothers
Harriman.
The Commerce Department said orders for durable goods in April
rose 2.9%, beating forecasts of economists surveyed by
MarketWatch.
A separate report also came in stronger than predicting, showing
new-home sales in the U.S. jumped 14.8% in April to a 504,000
pace.
"The dollar's move higher versus the euro is interesting in that
even with firmer equities and risk backdrop, the single currency
has failed to benefit, which suggests the euro sentiment remains
sour," said analyst at Action Economics.
Even before this month's volatile market gyrations, stemming
from worries about Greece's ability to meet its debt obligations
and slash its deficit, currency strategists had said the dollar was
likely to benefit either from safe-haven buying or better U.S.
data.
Either would underline that the U.S. and its economy were
further along in a recovery than Europe, making the Federal Reserve
more likely to be able to raise interest rates sooner than the
European Central Bank -- even if that first hike is far off, as
many still believe.
Also pointing to stronger growth globally, the Organization for
Economic Cooperation and Development said the industrial world's
economy is recovering at a faster-than-expected pace but faces
growing danger from woes over sovereign debt as well as the
prospect of emerging economies overheating.
The Paris-based organization now expects gross domestic product
across member countries to grow by 2.7% this year and by 2.8% in
2011.
Auctions, Korea
Meanwhile, an auction of German notes failed to attract full
demand, as historically low yields in the wake of safe-haven flows
into German debt amid the euro zone's crisis over sovereign debt
left the notes expensive, analysts said.
Auctions elsewhere went somewhat better, with Portugal and Italy
attracting moderate demand for their own sales of government
debt.
Along with the latest out of Europe, currency traders continue
to keep an eye on developments on the Korean peninsula. Risk
appetite took a hit Tuesday as tensions rose between South Korea
and North Korea, which late Tuesday severed all ties with its
neighbor.
"Investors continue to follow the situation closely, but the
consensus view is that the worst of the crisis may have passed
avoiding military action which was a welcome sign of relief for
global capital markets," said Boris Schlossberg, director of
currency research at GFT.
Currency ETF returns
Among the more popular exchange-traded funds, PowerShares DB US
Dollar Bearish Fund (UDN) has lost 6.8% in May while PowerShares DB
US Dollar Bullish Fund (UUP) has returned 6.3%.
CurrencyShares Euro Trust (FXE) has fallen 8.4% this month.
CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust (FXY) is up 4.2% so far in
May.