Chainlink Signal That Preceded Crashes Of 34% Is Back
October 02 2023 - 10:00AM
NEWSBTC
An on-chain signal that preceded crashes of at least 34% for
Chainlink in the past has once again formed for the cryptocurrency.
Chainlink 30-Day MVRV Ratio Recently Hit The 20% Mark As explained
by an analyst in a post on X, the last two times the 30-day MVRV
ratio broke above the 19% level, the price of LINK registered a
sharp decline. The “Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio” is
an indicator that measures the ratio between the Chainlink market
cap and the realized cap. The “realized cap” here refers to the
total amount of capital that holders of the cryptocurrency have
invested into it. As the MVRV ratio compares the spot valuation
(the market cap) with the amount that the investors bought the
asset with, its value can provide hints about whether the holders
as a whole are in profits or not. When the metric has a value
greater than 1, it means that the market cap is more than the
realized cap, and hence, the average investor is in profit right
now. The more the holders get into profit, however, the more likely
they become to sell, so high values of the MVRV ratio can suggest
the asset is becoming overpriced and a correction may be due.
Related Reading: This Bullish Combination Has Finally Formed For
Bitcoin, Rally Ahead? On the other hand, values under the threshold
suggest the cryptocurrency may be undervalued currently as the
overall market is holding some net unrealized losses. Now, here is
a chart that shows the trend in the 30-day version of the Chainlink
MVRV ratio, which looks at the profitability of only the investors
who bought within the past month: The value of the metric seems to
have sharply surged in recent days | Source: @ali_charts on X In
the above graph, the value of the 30-day MVRV ratio is represented
as a percentage relative to the break-even level. As is visible,
this indicator has observed some sharp uptrend recently as
Chainlink has enjoyed its rally. During this latest rapid growth,
the metric had managed to hit a peak of 20%, which means that the
market cap had become 20% more than the realized cap of the 30-day
investors. The analyst has pointed out an interesting trend that
LINK has followed during the past couple of years. It would appear
that whenever the 30-day MVRV ratio has broken above the 19% mark,
the cryptocurrency has followed up with a steep drawdown. This has
happened two times in the period of the chart and coincidentally,
Chainlink’s decline was about 34.5% in both of these instances
(although the time the drawdown was spread out over was different
in the two cases). Related Reading: Bitcoin Eyes Turnaround: Could
A New All-Time High Be On The Horizon? Analyst Predicts Since the
30-day MVRV has once again surged above this apparently significant
level, it’s possible that LINK may also register a similar drop in
the coming days or weeks. LINK Price Chainlink has observed some
sharp uptrend over the past month, as its price is currently
trading just under the $8 level, having gone up almost 34% in the
period. If the MVRV ratio is anything to go by, though, this
impressive run may finally be coming to an end. Looks like LINK has
sharply surged recently | Source: LINKUSD on TradingView Featured
image from Shutterstock.com, charts from TradingView.com,
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