Will There Be a WTO Boost for Russia ETFs? - ETF News And Commentary
August 27 2012 - 7:01AM
Zacks
After nearly two decades of negotiations, Russia is finally a
member of the World Trade Organization (WTO). This is a landmark
event not only for Russia and its quest to remain a global power,
but also for the global free-trade movement, as it finally brings
the last G-20 member into the picture.
The ascension of Russia into the organization looks to
liberalize trade policies in the nation, reducing tariffs on
imported goods and decreasing protections for home-grown
industries. The entry of Russia also looks to give outsize
investors some level of recourse with Russian trade practices and
generally make the country have a more favorable climate for
foreign investment (read Is Now The Time To Buy Russia ETFs?).
The “WTO accession is a major step for Russia’s further
integration into the world economy,” European Union Trade
Commissioner Karel De Gucht said in an e-mailed statement. “It will
facilitate investment and trade, help to accelerate the
modernization of the Russian economy and offer plenty of business
opportunities for both Russian and European companies.”
While this might sound like an undeniably good thing for Russia,
there are still some concerns over the nation and its economy now
that it is in the WTO. Many Russian firms are hopelessly corrupt,
inefficient, or otherwise unprepared for global competition. These
companies could be in for a rough ride as duties are slashed on
foreign imports over the next few months and years (read Why Russia
ETFs Are Not A Debt Crisis Safe Haven).
Some investors and economists are skeptical that the WTO will
have the same transformative effect on Russia that the organization
had on China. Russia doesn’t have anywhere near the size of cheap
labor pools that China has, so it is questionable what segments
foreign investors will come into in the near future.
Fortunately, there is a plus side to this situation as well
though. The cheaper products, thanks to foreign competition, will
likely lower prices for consumers in a number of key segments. This
will put more rubles back in the pockets of everyday Russians and
could create a small consumer boom as a result.
Furthermore, once Russian firms get back up to international
standards, they will be more easily able to tap into lucrative
European markets right at their doorstep. Plus with the added
investor protections and complaint process that goes with WTO
membership, some sectors could see a foreign investment boost,
driving up stock prices across the board in the country.
After all, Russia remains an interesting emerging market that is
unlike any of the other three major BRIC economies. Russia is far
wealthier on average and its immense hydrocarbon reserves make the
country an energy superpower (see Play an Oil Bull with These Three
Emerging Market ETFs).
Still, the nation is very corrupt and inefficient,
suggesting that it needs a boost in order to compete for investing
dollars when put up against its more quickly growing and dynamic
emerging market peers. Hopefully, the WTO membership will be the
spark that Russia needs to get this process underway, helping the
country to become a great investing destination much like the rest
of the BRIC bloc (see more in the Zacks ETF
Center).
For investors seeking to make a play on Russia, there are few
ETF options which we have briefly highlighted below. While all
target Russia, they do so in slightly different ways in terms of
market weights, number of holdings, expenses and sector exposure.
Still all have a heavy focus on the basic materials industries
although this could change if the WTO helps Russia get its act
together over the long term:
- Market Vectors Russia ETF (RSX)- This fund
from Van Eck is easily the most popular in the Russia ETF space,
having amassed more than $1.8 billion in AUM and trading nearly
five million shares a day. While the product has a heavy focus on
energy—the sector makes up 40% of the assets—holdings are
relatively well spread out among component firms with eight
companies making up at least 5% of assets.
- iShares MSCI Russia Capped Index Fund (ERUS) -
This fund is currently the cheapest choice in the Russia ETF world,
charging investors 58 basis points a year in fees. Energy firms
account for nearly 55% of the portfolio, while basic materials and
financials combine to account for another 25% of ERUS as well.
- SPDR S&P Russia ETF (RBL) - This
relatively new Russia ETF is pretty low cost but doesn’t have that
great of volume at roughly 44,000 shares a day. Furthermore the
product is heavily concentrated in a few names like Gazprom and
Lukoil as these two make up nearly 40% of assets by themselves,
suggesting that they will be big drivers of RBL’s return.
- Market Vectors Russia Small-Cap ETF (RSXJ) -
This Market Vectors product is the only one that focuses in on
small caps from the country, offering a different cap level of
exposure than many of the other products on this list. Industrials
are the top sector, but they are closely trailed by energy (22%),
and basic materials (12%) in the fund’s 31 stock portfolio.
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ISHARS-MS RUSSA (ERUS): ETF Research Reports
SPDR-SP RUSSIA (RBL): ETF Research Reports
MKT VEC-RUSSIA (RSX): ETF Research Reports
MKT-VEC RUS SC (RSXJ): ETF Research Reports
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