Cooper, Goodyear Shares Jump After US Tariff On China Tires
September 14 2009 - 11:12AM
Dow Jones News
Shares of Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co. (GT) and Cooper Tire
& Rubber Co. (CTB) jumped Monday after the U.S. government
imposed a temporary tariff of up to 35% on Chinese passenger and
light truck tires.
The move comes as a response to what the U.S. International
Trade Commission called a surge in Chinese tire exports that has
rocked the U.S. tire industry and displaced thousands of jobs, U.S.
Trade Representative Ron Kirk said Friday. The tariff will be in
effect for three years and the rate will decline each year.
Cooper's shares were up 12% at $16.27 in recent trading, while
Goodyear's were up 4.5% at $18.05. Both saw heavy volume. Cooper's
shares are up 20% in the last month and 46% in the last year, while
Goodyear's have edged up 1.7% in the last month and are off 1.4% in
the last year.
The United Steelworkers union had argued that a surge of Chinese
tire imports cost U.S. jobs and wasn't supported by tire makers,
most of whom also make tires in China and had already abandoned
making low-cost tires in the U.S.
The U.S. tire companies are going to rush in to try to get the
low end of the market that China had and are really going to grab
market share in the segment, Wall Street Strategies analyst David
Silver said.
He added a lot of the companies got rid of their U.S. operations
for the lower-end tires in recent years, so the argument that an
influx of Chinese tires is costing U.S. jobs, although true, is
"not a new occurrence."
Between 2004 and 2008, China's tire production capacity more
than doubled and is expected to jump another 16% by 2010.
Meanwhile, four U.S. tire plants closed in 2006 and 2007, and three
more are planned for closure this year.
The move is also expected to result in U.S. consumers who buy
low-end Chinese tiers having to pay more as producers look to fill
the void in that part of the market.
The tariff is a positive for both companies when it comes to
pricing, BB&T Capital Markets analyst Anthony Cristello said.
He said removing consumer tire imports from China from the equation
will result in a decrease in supply at a time where the industry
may also see an increase in demand.
But "I'm not sure how much thought went into this," Cristello
said. U.S. consumers have been deferring buying new tires for the
last six to 12 months, but at some point they can't defer anymore,
meaning replacement demand is going to come at a time when there
are going to be fewer choices that are more expensive to the
consumer.
Cristello also said the tariff will likely change international
dynamics - the companies may have to send tires made in China into
Europe, South America and other places, which could create an
imbalance outside the U.S.
Tire companies like Goodyear and Cooper will be able to get some
tires produced in other low-cost countries such as Indonesia, said
Keybanc Capital Markets Analyst Saul Ludwig. But such countries
don't have the extra capacity to produce 46 million tires, which he
said was the number of tires imported into the U.S. from China last
year.
Tire production in the U.S. will likely increase, Ludwig said,
and higher capacity use at factories could lead to increased
profitability.
-By Kerry Grace Benn, Dow Jones Newswires; 212-416-2353;
kerry.benn@dowjones.com
(Peter Fritsch of The Wall Street Journal contributed to this
article.)