UPDATE: Progressive's 3Q Profit Tops Views; Shares Climb
October 14 2009 - 10:14AM
Dow Jones News
Progressive Corp. (PGR) returned to the black in the third
quarter after being hurt last year by $1.37 billion of investment
losses.
The auto insurer said claims costs were also lower, as earnings
handily topped analysts' expectations.
Progressive's earnings were $269.9 million, or 40 cents a share,
compared with a year-earlier loss of $684.2 million, or $1.03 a
share. The mean estimates of analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters
were earnings of 33 cents a share.
The results come as insurers have been battling for market share
amid an ever-competitive environment in which consumers are more
interested in price comparisons. Progressive made gains in policies
and in net premiums written, both of which indicate that it is
winning business.
Total personal-lines policies written were up 4% to 10.94
million, with most of the gain coming from its direct auto
business. Its agency-driven business continued to decline in
policies, a trend that has continued for several quarters. Its
total commercial auto policies dropped 5% to 524,900, a likely
consequence of the recession reducing commercial spending.
Net premiums written rose 1.2% to $3.55 billion, just under the
analyst expectation of $3.56 billion.
Morningstar Inc. analyst Drew Woodbury called it "heartening"
that Progressive reported growth in policies and premiums "after a
couple years of declining premiums," in a Wednesday note. "We have
speculated that Progressive's low-cost focus would allow it to
steal customers from competitors during economic downturns, and
this thesis seems to be playing out, at least in the firm's direct
channel."
The combined ratio, a measure of the percentage of premiums
received that went to expenses and claims paid, fell to 92.7% from
95.1%.
Shares rose 1.6% in recent trading to $16.71.
-By Lavonne Kuykendall and Kevin Kingsbury, Dow Jones Newswires;
(312) 750-4141; lavonne.kuykendall@dowjones.com