Crew Energy Inc. (TSX: CR; OTCQB: CWEGF) ("
Crew"
or the "
Company") is a growth-oriented natural gas
weighted producer operating exclusively in the world-class Montney
play in northeast British Columbia. The Company is pleased to
announce that we have established a new production record with
average volumes estimated at
32,600 boe per day1
in December 2021, and are providing an operational update
confirming that Crew’s two-year plan is on track to deliver
greater than 20% production per share growth,
over 50% Adjusted Funds Flow (AFF) growth and
greater than a
45% reduction in net debt / EBITDA
ratio in 2022.
Strong Q4 and Start to 2022
- Record
Average Production: Crew's December average production is
estimated at 32,600 boe per day1 (based on field
estimates) and represents a new record high for the Company.
- Q4/21 average
production is estimated at 29,100 boe per day1,
ahead of previous guidance of 28,000 to 29,000 boe per day1, and an
increase of 34% over Q4/20 average production of 21,666 boe per
day1.
- Full year 2021
production is estimated to average 26,400 boe per
day1, near the midpoint of Crew’s 26,000 to 27,000 boe per
day1 previous guidance, and a 20% increase over the prior
year.
- Production
volumes, based on field estimates, to date in January have averaged
approximately 32,500 boe per day1.
- Capital
Expenditures and Guidance on Track: While the original
plan anticipated the drilling of 26 wells and completion of 21
wells during 2021, the Company elected to complete an additional
three Ultra-Condensate Rich (“UCR”) wells in Q4/21 to capture the
benefit of stronger commodity prices and mitigate the impact of
shut-in production from offsetting wells at the 4-21 pad at West
Septimus.
- Capital spending
through Q4/21 is estimated at approximately $42
million2.
- Full year 2021
net capital expenditures5 are anticipated at approximately
$170 million2, at the high end of Crew guidance of
$150 to $170 million, and within the guided range despite
completing three additional wells that were not included in the
budget.
- First quarter
2022 production is expected to average 31,000 to 33,000 boe per
day. Full year 2022 guidance is reconfirmed, for production to
average 31,000 to 33,000 boe per day with capital expenditures of
$70 to $95 million.
- Strong
Liquids Rich Wells at Greater Septimus: Five liquids rich
wells were brought on production at Greater Septimus in Q4/21.
- Three Extended
Reach Horizontal (“ERH”) wells on the 4-14 pad were drilled to an
average lateral length of 4,140 metres in the Upper Montney “B”
zone. They were completed and brought on production into the
Septimus gas plant on December 23rd and have now been shut-in while
we complete the remaining wells on this pad.
- After an average
of 27 days on production, following a short clean-up period, the
three wells on the 4-14 pad were flowing at an average per well
sales rate of 2,585 boe per day, comprised of
9,940 mcf per day of natural gas, 750 bbls
per day of condensate and 180 bbls per day of
ngl’s3. Comparative type curves for this pad are available
within Crew’s updated February 2022 investor presentation available
on Crew’s website.
- Two Upper
Montney “B” zone wells were completed at Crew’s 4-21 pad with an
average lateral length of 2,710 metres. After an average of 33 days
on production and following a short clean-up period, the wells were
flowing at an average per well sales rate of 1,755 boe per
day, comprised of 7,070 mcf per day of
natural gas, 404 bbls per day of condensate and
174 bbls per day of ngl’s3. Comparative type
curves for this pad are available within Crew’s updated February
2022 investor presentation available on Crew’s website. These wells
have been shut-in for facilities construction and are expected to
resume production by the end of February.
-
Operational Execution a Prime Focus: Currently,
Crew has one drilling rig and one fracturing spread in operation.
- The drilling rig
is on the second well on Crew’s five-well 4-17 Groundbirch pad,
following up on the success of our first three wells that were
drilled and completed in 2021. The first three wells at Groundbirch
are exceeding Crew’s internal type curve with an initial production
rate after 90 days (“IP90”) average raw gas rate of 9,910 mcf per
day.
- The remaining
seven wells on our ten-well 4-14 pad at Greater Septimus are
currently being completed with initial production expected late in
Q1/22.
- Leverage
Metrics Improving while Retaining Strategic Optionality:
Crew has ample liquidity to complete our two-year plan, with
leverage metrics expected to continually improve with the Company
planning to reduce indebtedness through 20224.
- Crew's net debt5
to the last twelve-months’ ("LTM") EBITDA5 ratio is budgeted to
improve to a targeted 1.3 to 1.5 times at the end
of 2022, declining from an estimated 2.5 to 2.7 times at the end of
20212.
- The Company’s
Free AFF5 is targeted at a range of $95 million to $140
million in 20224 depending on commodity
prices.
- Liquidity can be
further enhanced given the Company has an option to dispose of an
additional 11.43% working interest in our Greater Septimus
facilities located in northeast B.C. for incremental proceeds of up
to $37.5 million. Crew can elect
to exercise this option at any time between now and June of 2023
and have not modeled these proceeds into our current guidance.
-
Focus on
Environment, Social
and Governance
(“ESG”) Initiatives:
- With the sale of
our Lloydminster assets in September of 2021, which represented
Crew’s most emission-intensive asset, approximately
46% of Crew’s direct 2020 GHG emissions (Scope 1)
have been removed and we anticipate the Company’s total GHG
emissions intensity will be reduced significantly going forward,
putting Crew on a path to reach our emissions reduction goals
earlier than anticipated.
- Divesting of these assets sets the
stage for Crew to streamline operations and improve efficiencies
going forward while also reducing our overall Asset Retirement
Obligation (“ARO”) liabilities by a targeted 40%, representing
approximately $34.5 million associated with 609
gross (539 net) wellbores.
Crew’s team is excited about our future,
especially with the progress made on the Company’s two-year asset
development plan. We have identified numerous opportunities within
our portfolio to expand margins through optimizing production and
pricing while reducing unit costs, all while continuing to evaluate
our large undeveloped land position, retaining optionality for our
shareholders and bondholders. In 2022, we plan to reduce leverage
metrics by reducing debt and increasing our AFF, driving enhanced
financial flexibility. AFF will be enhanced through increasing
production and reducing per unit costs by over 20% respectively.
Underpinning these efforts is Crew’s unwavering focus on meeting or
exceeding our ESG goals and remaining a safe and responsible
operator and good corporate citizen.
1 See table in the Advisories for production breakdown by
product type as detailed in NI 51-101.2 All 2021 financial amounts
are unaudited. See “Advisories - Unaudited Financial Information”.3
Excludes condensate volumes which have been reported separately.4
See table in the Advisories for key budget assumptions related to
the two-year plan and associated guidance for 2021 and 2022.5
Non-IFRS Measure. See “Advisories - Non-IFRS Measures”.
Advisories
Unaudited Financial
Information
Certain financial and operating information
included in this press release for the quarter and year ended
December 31, 2021, including capital spending and net capital
expenditures, and LTM EBITDA ratio, are based on estimated
unaudited financial results for the quarter and year then ended,
and are subject to the same limitations as discussed under Forward
Looking Information set out below. These estimated amounts may
change upon the completion of audited financial statements for the
year ended December 31, 2021 and changes could be material.
Information Regarding Disclosure on
Operational Information
All amounts in this news release are stated in
Canadian dollars unless otherwise specified. This press release
contains financial and performance metrics that are not defined in
IFRS and do not have standardized meanings or standardized methods
of calculation. As such, these terms may not be comparable to
similar measures presented by other companies, and therefore should
not be used to make such comparisons. Such metrics have been
included herein to provide readers with additional information to
evaluate the Company's performance, however such metrics should not
be unduly relied upon. Management uses oil and gas metrics for its
own performance measurements and to provide shareholders with
measures to compare Crew's operations over time. Readers are
cautioned that the information provided by these metrics, or that
can be derived from the metrics presented in this press release,
should not be relied upon for investment or other purposes.
With respect to the use of terms used in this
press release identified as Non-IFRS Measures, see Non-IFRS
Measures contained in Crew’s most recent MD&A for applicable
definitions, calculations, rationale for use and, where applicable,
reconciliations to the most directly comparable measure under
IFRS.
Non-IFRS Measures
Certain financial measures referred to in this
press release, such as adjusted funds flow or AFF, Free AFF,
EBITDA, net capital expenditures, net debt, and net operating costs
are not prescribed by IFRS. Crew uses these measures to help
evaluate its financial and operating performance as well as its
liquidity and leverage. These non-IFRS financial measures do not
have any standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS and therefore may
not be comparable to similar measures presented by other
issuers.
“Adjusted funds flow" or “AFF”, presented herein
is equivalent to funds from operations before decommissioning
obligations settled. The Company considers this metric as a key
measure that demonstrate the ability of the Company’s continuing
operations to generate the cash flow necessary to maintain
production at current levels and fund future growth through capital
investment and to service and repay debt. Crew also presents AFF
per share in this presentation whereby per share amounts are
calculated using fully diluted shares outstanding.
"Free AFF" is calculated by taking adjusted
funds flow and subtracting capital expenditures, excluding
acquisitions and dispositions. Management believes that free
adjusted funds flow provides a useful measure to determine Crew's
ability to improve sustainability and to manage the long-term value
of the business.
“EBITDA” is calculated as consolidated net
income (loss) before interest and financing expenses, income taxes,
depletion, depreciation and amortization, adjusted for certain
non-cash, extraordinary and non-recurring items primarily relating
to unrealized gains and losses on financial instruments and
impairment losses. Crew utilizes EBITDA as a measure of operational
performance and cash flow generating capability. EBITDA impacts the
level and extent of funding for capital projects investments. This
measure is consistent with the EBITDA formula prescribed under the
Company's Credit Facility and allows Crew and others to assess its
ability to fund financing expenses, net debt reductions and other
obligations.
"Net Capital Expenditures" equals exploration
and development expenditures plus property acquisitions or less
property dispositions.
“Net Debt" is defined as bank debt plus working
capital deficiency or surplus, excluding the current portion of the
fair value of financial instruments.
“Net Debt to LTM EBITDA” is calculated as net
debt at a point in time divided by EBITDA earned from that point
back for the trailing twelve months.
“Net Operating Costs” equals operating costs net
of processing revenue.
Please refer to Crew’s most recently filed
MD&A for additional information relating to Non-IFRS measures
including a reconciliation of AFF to its most closely related IFRS
measure. The MD&A can be accessed either on Crew’s website at
www.crewenergy.com or under the Company’s profile on
www.sedar.com.
Forward-Looking Information and
Statements
This news release contains certain
forward–looking information and statements within the meaning of
applicable securities laws. The use of any of the words "expect",
"anticipate", "continue", "estimate", "may", "will", "project",
"should", "believe", "plans", "intends" “forecast” and similar
expressions are intended to identify forward-looking information or
statements. In particular, but without limiting the foregoing, this
news release contains forward-looking information and statements
pertaining to the following: the ability to execute on its two-year
development plan and underlying strategy and targets as described
herein; as to our plan to optimize and increase production and
infrastructure utilization, reduce unit and net operating costs and
enhance margins, streamline operations and improve efficiencies;
our 2022 annual capital budget range, associated drilling and
completion plans and all associated targets, guidance and
underlying assumptions; production estimates including forecast
2022 annual average production volumes; estimated Q4, December and
annual average 2021 production volumes; our targets to increase
production per share by approximately 20%, AFF by approximately 50%
and net debt to EBITDA ratio reduction of 45%; 2021 and 2022 AFF
estimates and targeted 2022 free AFF and improvement in debt
metrics; commodity price expectations including Crew’s estimates of
natural gas pricing exposure; Crew's commodity risk management
programs and future hedging opportunities; well abandonment plans;
marketing and transportation and processing plans and requirements;
estimates of processing capacity and requirements; anticipated
reductions in GHG emissions and decommissioning obligations; future
liquidity and financial capacity; future results from operations
and operating and leverage metrics; our targeted Net Debt to LTM
EBITDA ratio of approximately 1.3 to 1.5x by the end of 2022;
efficiencies and enhanced returns going forward; world supply and
demand projections and long-term impact on pricing; future
development, exploration, acquisition and disposition activities
(including drilling and completion plans, anticipated on-stream
dates and associated development timing and cost estimates); the
potential of our Groundbirch area to be a core area of future
development and the number of potential and prolific nature of
wells to be drilled; infrastructure investment plans; the
successful implementation of our ESG initiatives, and significant
emissions intensity improvements going forward; the amount and
timing of capital projects; and anticipated improvement in our
long-term sustainability and the expected positive attributes
discussed herein attributable to our two-year development plan.
The internal projections, expectations, or
beliefs underlying our Board approved 2022 capital budget and
associated guidance are subject to change in light of the impact of
the COVID-19 pandemic, and any related actions taken by businesses
and governments, ongoing results, prevailing economic
circumstances, commodity prices, and industry conditions and
regulations. Crew's financial outlook and guidance provides
shareholders with relevant information on management's expectations
for results of operations, excluding any potential acquisitions or
dispositions, for such time periods based upon the key assumptions
outlined herein. Such information reflects internal targets used by
management for the purposes of making capital investment decisions
and for internal long-range planning and budget preparation.
Readers are cautioned that events or circumstances could cause
capital plans and associated results to differ materially from
those predicted and Crew's guidance for 2022 and may not be
appropriate for other purposes. Accordingly, undue reliance should
not be placed on same.
In addition, forward-looking statements or
information are based on a number of material factors, expectations
or assumptions of Crew which have been used to develop such
statements and information but which may prove to be incorrect.
Although Crew believes that the expectations reflected in such
forward-looking statements or information are reasonable, undue
reliance should not be placed on forward-looking statements because
Crew can give no assurance that such expectations will prove to be
correct. In addition to other factors and assumptions which may be
identified herein, assumptions have been made regarding, among
other things: that Crew will continue to conduct its operations in
a manner consistent with past operations; results from drilling and
development activities consistent with past operations; the quality
of the reservoirs in which Crew operates and continued performance
from existing wells; the continued and timely development of
infrastructure in areas of new production; the accuracy of the
estimates of Crew’s reserve volumes; certain commodity price and
other cost assumptions; continued availability of debt and equity
financing and cash flow to fund Crew’s current and future plans and
expenditures; the impact of increasing competition; the general
stability of the economic and political environment in which Crew
operates; the general continuance of current industry conditions;
the timely receipt of any required regulatory approvals; the
ability of Crew to obtain qualified staff, equipment and services
in a timely and cost efficient manner; drilling results; the
ability of the operator of the projects in which Crew has an
interest in to operate the field in a safe, efficient and effective
manner; the ability of Crew to obtain financing on acceptable
terms; field production rates and decline rates; the ability to
replace and expand oil and natural gas reserves through
acquisition, development and exploration; the timing and cost of
pipeline, storage and facility construction and expansion and the
ability of Crew to secure adequate product transportation; future
commodity prices; currency, exchange and interest rates; regulatory
framework regarding royalties, taxes and environmental matters in
the jurisdictions in which Crew operates; and the ability of Crew
to successfully market its oil and natural gas products.
The forward-looking information and statements
included in this news release are not guarantees of future
performance and should not be unduly relied upon. Such information
and statements, including the assumptions made in respect thereof,
involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors
that may cause actual results or events to defer materially from
those anticipated in such forward-looking information or statements
including, without limitation: the continuing and uncertain impact
of COVID-19; changes in commodity prices; changes in the demand for
or supply of Crew's products, the early stage of development of
some of the evaluated areas and zones the potential for variation
in the quality of the Montney formation; interruptions,
unanticipated operating results or production declines; changes in
tax or environmental laws, royalty rates; climate change
regulations, or other regulatory matters; changes in development
plans of Crew or by third party operators of Crew's properties,
increased debt levels or debt service requirements; inaccurate
estimation of Crew's oil and gas reserve volumes; limited,
unfavourable or a lack of access to capital markets; increased
costs; a lack of adequate insurance coverage; the impact of
competitors; and certain other risks detailed from time-to-time in
Crew's public disclosure documents (including, without limitation,
those risks identified in this news release and Crew's Annual
Information Form).
This press release contains future-oriented
financial information and financial outlook information
(collectively, "FOFI") about Crew's prospective capital
expenditures, all of which are subject to the same assumptions,
risk factors, limitations, and qualifications as set forth in the
above paragraphs. The actual results of operations of Crew and the
resulting financial results will likely vary from the amounts set
forth in this press release and such variation may be material.
Crew and its management believe that the FOFI has been prepared on
a reasonable basis, reflecting management's best estimates and
judgments. However, because this information is subjective and
subject to numerous risks, it should not be relied on as
necessarily indicative of future results. Except as required by
applicable securities laws, Crew undertakes no obligation to update
such FOFI. FOFI contained in this press release was made as of the
date of this press release and was provided for the purpose of
providing further information about Crew's anticipated future
business operations. Readers are cautioned that the FOFI contained
in this press release should not be used for purposes other than
for which it is disclosed herein.
The forward-looking information and statements
contained in this news release speak only as of the date of this
news release, and Crew does not assume any obligation to publicly
update or revise any of the included forward-looking statements or
information, whether as a result of new information, future events
or otherwise, except as may be required by applicable securities
laws.
Key Budget and Underlying Material
Assumptions1
|
2021 |
|
20223 |
Capital Expenditures ($MM) |
150-170 |
70-95 |
Annual Average Production (boe/d) |
26,000 – 27,000 |
31,000-33,000 |
AFF2 ($MM) |
120-140 |
190-210 |
EBITDA2 ($MM) |
145-165 |
214-234 |
Oil price (WTI)($US per bbl) |
$66.00 |
$65.00 |
Natural gas price (AECO 5A) ($C per gj) |
$3.40 |
$3.50 |
Natural gas price (NYMEX) ($US per mmbtu) |
$3.35 |
$4.00 |
Natural gas price (Crew est. wellhead) ($C per mcf) |
$4.60 |
$4.00 |
Foreign exchange ($US/$CAD) |
$0.80 |
$0.78 |
Royalties |
5-7% |
4-6% |
Net operating costs2 ($ per boe) |
$4.75-$5.25 |
$4.25-$4.75 |
Transportation ($ per boe) |
$3.50-$4.00 |
$2.50-$3.00 |
G&A ($ per boe) |
$0.90-$1.10 |
$0.80-$1.00 |
Interest rate – bank debt |
6.0% |
6.0% |
Interest rate – high yield |
6.5% |
6.5% |
Notes:
(1) The actual results of operations of Crew and the resulting
financial results will likely vary from the estimates and material
underlying assumptions set forth in this guidance by the Company
and such variation may be material. The guidance and material
underlying assumptions have been prepared on a reasonable basis,
reflecting management's best estimates and judgments.
(2) Non-IFRS measure that does not have any standardized meaning
as prescribed by International Financial Reporting Standards, and
therefore, may not be comparable with the calculations of similar
measures for other entities. See “Non-IFRS Measures” contained
within this Press Release.
(3) No changes have been made to these forecasts from the
previously disclosed budget issued December 8, 2021.
2022 Budget Sensitivities
|
AFF ($MM) |
AFF/Share |
FD AFF/Share |
100 bbl per day Condensate1 |
$2.8 |
$0.02 |
$0.02 |
C$1.00 per bbl WTI |
$1.3 |
$0.01 |
$0.01 |
US $0.10 NYMEX (per mmbtu) |
$4.4 |
$0.03 |
$0.03 |
1 mmcf per day natural gas |
$1.5 |
$0.01 |
$0.01 |
$0.10 AECO 5A (per GJ) |
$2.4 |
$0.02 |
$0.02 |
$0.01 FX CAD/US |
$1.8 |
$0.01 |
$0.01 |
Notes:
1 Condensate is defined as a
mixture of pentanes and heavier hydrocarbons recovered as a liquid
at the inlet of a gas processing plant before the gas is processed
and pentanes and heavier hydrocarbons obtained from the processing
of raw natural gas.
Supplemental Information Regarding
Product Types
References to gas or natural gas and NGLs in
this press release refer to conventional natural gas and natural
gas liquids product types, respectively, as defined in National
Instrument 51-101, Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas
Activities ("NI 51-101"), except where specifically noted
otherwise.
The following is intended to provide the product
type composition for each of the production figures provided
herein, where not already disclosed within tables above:
|
Crude Oil1 |
Natural Gas Liquids3 |
Condensate |
Conventional Natural Gas |
Total |
January Average |
145 bbls/d |
2,781 bbls/d |
2,849 bbls/d |
160,219 mcf/d |
32,500 boe/d |
Q4 2021 Average |
157 bbls/d |
2,454 bbls/d |
2,592 bbls/d |
143,379 mcf/d |
29,100 boe/d |
December Average |
159 bbls/d |
2,684 bbls/d |
3,061 bbls/d |
160,171 mcf/d |
32,600 boe/d |
2021 Annual Average |
958 bbls/d |
2,442 bbls/d |
2,663 bbls/d |
122,021 mcf/d |
26,400 boe/d |
2022 Annual Average2 |
0.4 |
% |
9 |
% |
10% |
81% |
31,000-33,000 boe/d |
Notes:
1 Crude oil is comprised primarily of Heavy
crude oil, with an immaterial portion of Light and Medium crude
oil.
2 With respect to forward looking production
guidance, given the potential for variability in actual product
type results, the issuer approximates percentages for budget
planning purposes based on management's reasonable assumptions
including, without limitation, historical well results.
3 Excludes condensate volumes which
have been reported separately.
Test Results and Initial Production
Rates
A pressure transient analysis or well-test
interpretation has not been carried out and thus certain of the
test results provided herein should be considered to be preliminary
until such analysis or interpretation has been completed. Test
results and initial production rates disclosed herein, particularly
those short in duration, may not necessarily be indicative of
long-term performance or of ultimate recovery.
BOE Conversions
Barrel of oil equivalents or BOEs may be
misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A BOE conversion
ratio of 6 mcf: 1 bbl is based on an energy equivalency conversion
method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not
represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. Given that the value
ratio based on the current price of crude oil as compared to
natural gas is significantly different than the energy equivalency
of 6:1, utilizing the 6:1 conversion ratio may be misleading as an
indication of value.
Crew is a growth-oriented oil and natural gas
producer, committed to pursuing sustainable per share growth
through a balanced mix of financially and socially responsible
exploration and development complemented by strategic acquisitions.
The Company’s operations are primarily focused in the vast Montney
resource, situated in northeast British Columbia, and include a
large contiguous land base. Greater Septimus along with Groundbirch
and the light oil area at Tower in British Columbia offer
significant development potential over the long-term. The Company
has access to diversified markets with operated infrastructure and
access to multiple pipeline egress options. Crew’s common shares
are listed for trading on the Toronto Stock Exchange (“TSX”) under
the symbol “CR”.
FOR DETAILED INFORMATION, PLEASE
CONTACT:
Dale Shwed, President and CEO |
Phone: (403) 266-2088Email: investor@crewenergy,com |
John Leach, Executive Vice President and CFO |
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