CALGARY,
AB, March 7, 2024 /CNW/ - Yangarra
Resources Ltd. ("Yangarra" or the
"Company") (TSX: YGR) announces its financial and operating
results and reserves for the year ended December 31, 2023.
2023 Operations Review
- Yangarra continued to refine the Company's drilling approach
resulting in a dramatic reduction in drilling times and drilling
costs.
- The new core area of Chambers with Cardium, Belly River and
Manville potential was delineated with five Cardium wells and one
Belly River well with positive results.
- The Company added 2.2 new drilling locations for every well
drilled.
- Several "Smart Dart" and Plug & Perf wells were tested
during the year with the Company returning to cemented, coil
activated sleeves completions while monitoring the results on the
"Smart Dart" and Plug & Perf wells.
- Yangarra constrained the fourth quarter capital program due to
ongoing depressed natural gas prices, resulting in capital spending
of $16 million in Q4.
2024 Outlook
- Yangarra's primary goal in 2024 is to hit a debt target of
$80 million and then focus on
shareholder returns.
- The Company has set a capital budget of $70 million for 2024.
- Yangarra will continue to constrain the capital program into
2024 because of depressed natural gas prices with spending of
$20 - $25
million in the first half, dependent on the timing of spring
breakup.
- The second half spending has been set at $45 - $50 million,
however this is dependent on an improvement in commodity
pricing.
- Included in the budget is a well stimulation and optimization
program targeting 20-25% of legacy wells. This stimulation strategy
was initiated in 2021 and now has evolved to where the Company can
apply the strategy to the entire field annually.
- The 2024 capital budget is designed to hold production flat for
2024, while maximizing debt repayment.
- A recent Computer Modelling Group (CMG) study indicated
waterflood potential in the Halo Cardium and as a result Yangarra
plans to initiate a waterflood pilot in Q2 2024 in the Chedderville
area. Water for the pilot will be sourced from flow back and
produced water, which would have otherwise needed to be disposed
of, giving the project an added benefit of approximately
$800,000 per year in avoided water
disposal fees.
2023 Highlights
- Average production of 11,936 boe/d (39% liquids), an increase
of 8% from 2022
- Oil and gas sales of $166.5
million, a decrease of 31% from 2022
- Funds flow from operations of $99.0
million ($1.06 per share –
fully diluted) a decrease of 44% from 2022
- Adjusted EBITDA of $109 million ($1.11 per share – fully diluted)
- Net income of $46.7 million
($0.47 per share – fully diluted),
resulting in an income margin of 28%
- Return on capital employed of 9.5%
- Operating costs of $8.24/boe
(including $1.54 /boe of
transportation costs)
- Operating netback of $26.72/boe
- Operating margin of 70% and funds flow from operations margin
of 59%
- G&A costs of $1.32/boe
- Royalties at 9% of oil and gas revenue
- Capital expenditures of $94.3
million
- Adjusted net debt of $118.6
million, a decrease of $15.7
million from 2022
- Retained earnings of $311.7
million
- Decommissioning liabilities of $16.0
million (discounted)
-
- Less than $1.0 million is
required to abandon all non-producing wells
- Expenditures on abandonments and reclamations of $0.5 million for calendar 2023
Fourth Quarter Highlights
- Funds flow from operations of $17.6
million ($0.19 per share –
fully diluted), a decrease of 58% from the same period in 2022
- Oil and gas sales of $33.7
million, a decrease of 44% from the same period in 2022
- Adjusted EBITDA of $20.1 million
($0.20 per share – fully diluted), a
decrease of 40% from the same period in 2022
- Net income of $12.4 million
($0.14 per share – fully diluted), a
decrease of 50% from the same period in 2022
- Average production of 11,133 boe/d (38% liquids), a 5% decrease
from the same period in 2022
- Operating costs of $8.39/boe
(including $1.70/boe of
transportation costs)
- Operating netback of $21.54/boe
- Operating margin of 66% and funds flow from operations margin
of 52%
- G&A costs of $1.55/boe
- Royalties at 8% of oil and gas revenue
- All in cash costs of $15.77/boe
- Capital expenditures of $16.0
million
- Adjusted net debt to fourth quarter annualized funds flow from
operations of 1.69 : 1
Reserve Report Highlights
Summary
All reserves information contained in this press release are
based on the Company's 2023 NI 51-101 oil and gas reserve report as
prepared by Deloitte LLP (The "2023 Reserve Report").
Proved Developed Producing ("PDP") Reserves
- 38.0 million boe (45% increase from 2022)
- Net present value before tax discounted at 10% ("NPV10") of
$504 million (3% decrease from
2022)
- Yangarra's PDP finding and development ("F&D") cost is
$5.85/boe resulting in a recycle
ratio of 4.6 times
- PDP net asset value per fully diluted common share ("NAV per FD
Share") of $3.79
- PDP Reserve Life Index ("RLI") of 9.4 years
- PDP additions replaced 370% of 2023 production
Total Proved reserves ("1P")
- 96.8 million boe (12% increase from 2022)
- NPV10 of $1.1 billion (21%
decrease from 2022)
- 1P future development costs of $420
million
- Yangarra's 1P F&D cost is $7.49/boe resulting in a recycle ratio of 3.6
times
- 1P NAV per FD Share of $9.85
- RLI of 24 years
- 1P additions replaced 336% of 2023 production
Proved plus probable reserves ("2P")
- 155.7 million boe (7% increase from 2022)
- NPV10 of $1.6 billion (21%
decrease from 2022)
- 2P future development costs of $632
million
- Yangarra's 2P F&D cost is $7.74/boe resulting in a recycle ratio of 3.5
times
- 2P NAV per FD Share of $14.25
- RLI of 38 years
- 2P additions replaced 349% of 2023 production
Financial Summary
|
2023
|
2022
|
|
Year Ended
|
|
Q4
|
Q3
|
Q4
|
|
2023
|
2022
|
Statements of Income
and Comprehensive Income
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Petroleum & natural
gas sales
|
$
33,651
|
$
45,414
|
$
60,292
|
|
$
166,516
|
$
243,056
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income before
tax
|
$
16,106
|
$
15,157
|
$
31,075
|
|
$
63,179
|
$
137,745
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income
|
$
12,435
|
$
11,487
|
$
25,071
|
|
$
46,664
|
$
106,358
|
Net income per share -
basic
|
$
0.13
|
$
0.12
|
$
0.29
|
|
$
0.50
|
$
1.22
|
Net income per share -
diluted
|
$
0.12
|
$
0.11
|
$
0.27
|
|
$
0.47
|
$
1.16
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Statements of Cash
Flow
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Funds flow from
operations
|
$
17,552
|
$
28,994
|
$
41,808
|
|
$
99,024
|
$
177,194
|
Funds flow from
operations per share - basic
|
$
0.19
|
$
0.31
|
$
0.48
|
|
$
1.06
|
$
2.03
|
Funds flow from
operations per share - diluted
|
$
0.18
|
$
0.29
|
$
0.45
|
|
$
1.01
|
$
1.92
|
Cash flow from
operating activities
|
$
16,798
|
$
25,995
|
$
40,675
|
|
$
99,033
|
$
169,664
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted average number
of shares - basic
|
94,801
|
94,801
|
87,956
|
|
93,189
|
87,423
|
Weighted average number
of shares - diluted
|
99,534
|
100,043
|
92,742
|
|
98,445
|
92,054
|
|
December 31,
2023
|
December 31,
2022
|
Statements of
Financial Position
|
|
|
|
|
Property and
equipment
|
$
|
759,967
|
$
|
701,045
|
Total assets
|
$
|
835,217
|
$
|
768,058
|
Working capital
deficit
|
$
|
(735)
|
$
|
(136,920)
|
Adjusted net
debt
|
$
|
118,646
|
$
|
134,364
|
Shareholders
equity
|
$
|
536,598
|
$
|
473,574
|
Company Netbacks ($/boe)
|
|
2023
|
|
2022
|
|
|
Year Ended
|
|
|
Q4
|
|
Q3
|
|
Q4
|
|
|
2023
|
|
2022
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sales price
|
$
|
32.85
|
$
|
40.76
|
$
|
55.95
|
|
$
|
38.22
|
$
|
60.42
|
Royalty
expense
|
|
(2.47)
|
|
(2.77)
|
|
(5.22)
|
|
|
(3.27)
|
|
(4.77)
|
Production
costs
|
|
(6.70)
|
|
(6.53)
|
|
(6.77)
|
|
|
(6.69)
|
|
(6.07)
|
Transportation costs
|
|
(1.70)
|
|
(1.68)
|
|
(1.22)
|
|
|
(1.54)
|
|
(1.21)
|
Field operating
netback
|
|
21.99
|
|
29.78
|
|
42.74
|
|
|
26.71
|
|
48.37
|
Realized gain
(loss) on commodity contract settlement
|
|
(0.45)
|
|
0.07
|
|
0.10
|
|
|
0.02
|
|
(0.73)
|
Operating
netback
|
|
21.54
|
|
29.85
|
|
42.84
|
|
|
26.73
|
|
47.64
|
G&A
|
|
(1.55)
|
|
(1.10)
|
|
(1.21)
|
|
|
(1.32)
|
|
(1.01)
|
Cash
finance expenses
|
|
(2.90)
|
|
(2.77)
|
|
(2.86)
|
|
|
(2.84)
|
|
(2.79)
|
Depletion
and depreciation
|
|
(9.16)
|
|
(9.14)
|
|
(9.44)
|
|
|
(9.05)
|
|
(9.36)
|
Non Cash -
finance expenses
|
|
(0.31)
|
|
(0.27)
|
|
(0.41)
|
|
|
(0.12)
|
|
(0.09)
|
Gain on settlement of
lawsuit
|
|
6.79
|
|
-
|
|
-
|
|
|
1.60
|
|
-
|
Stock-based compensation
|
|
(0.39)
|
|
(0.37)
|
|
(0.11)
|
|
|
(0.39)
|
|
(0.16)
|
Unrealized
gain (loss) on financial instruments
|
|
1.71
|
|
(2.59)
|
|
0.03
|
|
|
(0.10)
|
|
0.01
|
Deferred
income tax
|
|
(3.58)
|
|
(3.29)
|
|
(5.57)
|
|
|
(3.79)
|
|
(7.80)
|
Net income
netback
|
$
|
12.14
|
$
|
10.32
|
$
|
23.26
|
|
$
|
10.72
|
$
|
26.44
|
Business Environment
|
|
2023
|
|
2022
|
|
|
Year Ended
|
|
|
Q4
|
|
Q3
|
|
Q4
|
|
|
2023
|
|
2022
|
Realized Pricing
(Including realized commodity contracts)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Light
Crude Oil ($/bbl)
|
$
|
101.92
|
$
|
105.54
|
$
|
112.53
|
|
$
|
98.42
|
$
|
116.26
|
NGL
($/bbl)
|
$
|
32.97
|
$
|
56.47
|
$
|
51.64
|
|
$
|
45.72
|
$
|
61.53
|
Natural
Gas ($/mcf)
|
$
|
2.36
|
$
|
2.80
|
$
|
5.25
|
|
$
|
2.79
|
$
|
5.53
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Realized Pricing
(Excluding commodity contracts)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Light
Crude Oil ($/bbl)
|
$
|
103.51
|
$
|
107.06
|
$
|
112.53
|
|
$
|
99.11
|
$
|
117.78
|
NGL
($/bbl)
|
$
|
32.96
|
$
|
54.60
|
$
|
51.70
|
|
$
|
44.58
|
$
|
61.45
|
Natural
Gas ($/mcf)
|
$
|
2.41
|
$
|
2.81
|
$
|
5.21
|
|
$
|
2.81
|
$
|
5.64
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Oil Price
Benchmarks
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
West Texas
Intermediate ("WTI") (US$/bbl)
|
$
|
78.48
|
$
|
82.30
|
$
|
82.79
|
|
$
|
77.65
|
$
|
94.41
|
Edmonton
Par ($/bbl)
|
$
|
94.77
|
$
|
107.26
|
$
|
107.43
|
|
$
|
99.21
|
$
|
119.40
|
Edmonton
Par to WTI differential (US$/bbl)
|
$
|
(8.35)
|
$
|
(2.32)
|
$
|
(3.68)
|
|
$
|
(4.24)
|
$
|
(2.47)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Natural Gas Price
Benchmarks
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
AECO gas
($/mcf)
|
$
|
2.18
|
$
|
2.44
|
$
|
4.85
|
|
$
|
2.72
|
$
|
4.99
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Foreign
Exchange
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Canadian
Dollar/U.S. Exchange
|
|
0.74
|
|
0.75
|
|
0.74
|
|
|
0.74
|
|
0.77
|
Operations Summary
Net petroleum and natural gas production, pricing and revenue
are summarized below:
|
2023
|
2022
|
|
Year Ended
|
|
Q4
|
Q3
|
Q4
|
|
2023
|
2022
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Daily production
volumes
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Natural
Gas (mcf/d)
|
41,283
|
44,451
|
38,971
|
|
43,426
|
36,702
|
Light
Crude Oil (bbl/d)
|
1,913
|
2,138
|
3,077
|
|
2,288
|
2,798
|
NGL's
(bbl/d)
|
2,339
|
2,563
|
2,140
|
|
2,411
|
2,106
|
Combined
(BOE/d 6:1)
|
11,133
|
12,109
|
11,712
|
|
11,936
|
11,022
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Revenue
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Petroleum & natural
gas sales
|
$
33,651
|
$
45,414
|
$
60,292
|
|
$
166,516
|
$
243,056
|
Realized gain (loss) on
commodity contract settlement
|
(460)
|
78
|
106
|
|
88
|
(2,920)
|
Total sales
|
33,191
|
45,492
|
60,398
|
|
166,604
|
240,136
|
Royalty
expense
|
(2,529)
|
(3,087)
|
(5,627)
|
|
(14,258)
|
(19,170)
|
Total Revenue - Net of
royalties
|
$
30,662
|
$
42,405
|
$
54,771
|
|
$
152,346
|
$
220,966
|
Working Capital Summary
The following table summarizes the change in adjusted net debt
for the years ended December 31, 2023
and 2022:
|
|
Year ended
|
|
Year ended
|
|
|
December 31,
2023
|
|
December 31,
2022
|
Adjusted net debt -
beginning of period
|
$
|
(134,364)
|
$
|
(196,794)
|
|
|
|
|
|
Funds flow from
operations
|
$
|
99,024
|
|
177,194
|
Additions to
property and equipment
|
$
|
(93,950)
|
|
(109,354)
|
Decommissioning
costs incurred
|
$
|
(488)
|
|
(291)
|
Additions to
E&E Assets
|
$
|
(353)
|
|
(3,888)
|
Issuance of
shares
|
$
|
15,988
|
|
1,077
|
Lease obligation
repayment
|
$
|
(1,525)
|
|
(2,331)
|
Other
|
$
|
(2,978)
|
|
23
|
Adjusted net debt
- end of period
|
$
|
(118,646)
|
$
|
(134,364)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Credit facility
limit
|
$
|
135,000
|
$
|
180,000
|
Capital Spending
Capital spending is summarized as follows:
|
2023
|
2022
|
|
Year Ended
|
Cash
additions
|
Q4
|
Q3
|
Q4
|
|
2023
|
2022
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Land, acquisitions and
lease rentals
|
$
72
|
$
114
|
$
26
|
|
$
564
|
$
427
|
Drilling and
completion
|
14,670
|
21,550
|
26,009
|
|
76,477
|
96,271
|
Geological and
geophysical
|
2
|
-
|
94
|
|
242
|
571
|
Equipment
|
947
|
3,123
|
1,596
|
|
14,975
|
11,200
|
Other asset
additions
|
246
|
547
|
305
|
|
1,692
|
885
|
|
$
15,937
|
$
25,334
|
$
28,030
|
|
$
93,950
|
$
109,354
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Exploration &
evaluation assets
|
$
89
|
$
-
|
$
-
|
|
$
353
|
$
3,888
|
Oil and Gas Reserves
The following tables summarize certain information contained in
the 2023 Reserve Report. The 2023 Reserve Report encompasses 100%
of Yangarra's oil and gas properties and was prepared in accordance
with definitions, standards and procedures contained in the
Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook and National Instrument
51-101 - Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities
("NI 51-101") by Deloitte.
Summary of Oil and Gas Reserves
(1)(2)
(Company Share Gross volumes based
on forecast price and costs)
Reserves
Category
|
|
Light
and
Medium
Oil
(Mbbl)
|
Natural
Gas
Liquids
(Mbbl)
|
Conventional
Gas
(MMcf)
|
Shale
Gas
(MMcf)
|
Total
BOE
2023
(Mboe)
|
|
Total
BOE
2022
(Mboe)
|
Proved Developed
Producing
|
5,719
|
7,871
|
146,172
|
403
|
38,019
|
|
26,263
|
Proved Developed
Non-Producing
|
134
|
72
|
1,336
|
0
|
428
|
|
835
|
Proved
Undeveloped
|
10,971
|
11,637
|
209,069
|
5,375
|
58,348
|
|
59,436
|
Total
Proved
|
16,824
|
19,579
|
356,577
|
5,778
|
96,796
|
|
86,533
|
Probable
|
9,986
|
12,310
|
211,833
|
7,780
|
58,898
|
|
58,303
|
Total Proved Plus
Probable
|
26,810
|
31,890
|
568,410
|
13,557
|
155,694
|
|
144,836
|
Notes:
|
(1)
|
Total values may not
add due to rounding.
|
(2)
|
BOEs are derived by
converting gas to oil equivalent in the ratio of six thousand cubic
feet of gas to one barrel of oil (6 Mcf:1 bbl).
|
Summary of Net Present Values of Future Net Revenue (Before
Tax) (1)(4)
(Based on forecast price and
costs)
|
As At December 31,
2023(2)
|
As At
December 31,
2022 (3)
|
Reserves
Category
|
0.0%
(M$)
|
5.0%
(M$)
|
10.0%
(M$)
|
15.0%
(M$)
|
20.0%
(M$)
|
|
10.0%
(M$)
|
Proved Developed
Producing
|
886,575
|
639,771
|
504,078
|
419,575
|
362,165
|
|
522,096
|
Proved Developed
Non-
Producing
|
9,138
|
6,704
|
5,378
|
4,543
|
3,964
|
|
17,669
|
Proved
Undeveloped
|
1,128,006
|
819,043
|
625,445
|
494,887
|
401,891
|
|
892,247
|
Total
Proved
|
2,023,719
|
1,465,518
|
1,134,901
|
919,005
|
768,019
|
|
1,432,012
|
Probable
|
1,404,453
|
743,748
|
457,461
|
309,063
|
222,487
|
|
595,119
|
Total Proved Plus
Probable
|
3,428,171
|
2,209,266
|
1,592,362
|
1,228,067
|
990,506
|
|
2,027,131
|
Notes:
|
(1)
|
Total values may not
add due to rounding.
|
(2)
|
Forecast pricing used
is based on Deloitte published price forecasts effective December
31, 2023.
|
(3)
|
Forecast pricing used
is based on Deloitte published price forecasts effective December
31, 2022.
|
(4)
|
Cash flows are reduced
for future abandonment costs and estimated capital for future
development associated with the reserves.
|
Reserve
Definitions:
|
(a)
|
"Proved" reserves are
those reserves that can be estimated with a high degree of
certainty to be recoverable. It is likely that the actual remaining
quantities recovered will exceed the estimated proved
reserves.
|
(b)
|
"Probable" reserves are
those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered
than proved reserves. It is equally likely that the actual
remaining quantities recovered will be greater or less than the sum
of the estimated proved plus probable reserves.
|
(c)
|
"Developed" reserves
are those reserves that are expected to be recovered from existing
wells and installed facilities or, if facilities have not been
installed, that would involve a low expenditure (e.g. when compared
to the cost of drilling a well) to put the reserves on
production.
|
(d)
|
"Developed Producing"
reserves are those reserves that are expected to be recovered from
completion intervals open at the time of the estimate. These
reserves may be currently producing or, if shut-in, they must have
previously been on production, and the date of resumption of
production must be known with reasonable certainty.
|
(e)
|
"Developed
Non-Producing" reserves are those reserves that either have not
been on production, or have previously been on production, but are
shut in, and the date of resumption of production is
unknown.
|
(f)
|
"Undeveloped" reserves
are those reserves expected to be recovered from known
accumulations where a significant expenditure (for example, when
compared to the cost of drilling a well) is required to render them
capable of production. They must fully meet the requirements of the
reserves classification (proved, probable, possible) to which they
are assigned.
|
Reconciliations of Changes in Reserves
The following table sets out a reconciliation of the changes in
the Corporation's reserves as at December
31, 2023 against such reserves at December 31, 2022 based on forecast prices and
cost assumptions:
|
Light and Medium
Oil
|
Natural Gas
Liquids
|
|
Gross
Proved
|
Gross
Probable
|
Gross
Proved Plus
Probable
|
Gross
Proved
|
Gross
Probable
|
Gross
Proved Plus
Probable
|
|
|
(Mstb)
|
(Mstb)
|
(Mstb)
|
(Mstb)
|
(Mstb)
|
(Mstb)
|
|
Opening
Balance
|
18,529.2
|
12,141.0
|
30,670.2
|
17,629.6
|
12,287.2
|
29,916.8
|
|
Production
|
-844.6
|
0.0
|
-844.6
|
-876.8
|
0.0
|
-876.8
|
|
Technical
Revisions
|
-1,797.0
|
-1,850.5
|
-3,647.5
|
1,918.9
|
211.4
|
2,130.3
|
|
Extensions
|
1,480.6
|
-147.8
|
1,332.8
|
1,094.6
|
-82.4
|
1,012.3
|
|
Economic
Factors
|
-544.4
|
-156.8
|
-701.2
|
-187.0
|
-106.1
|
-293.1
|
|
Closing
Balance
|
16,823.7
|
9,985.9
|
26,809.7
|
19,579.3
|
12,310.3
|
31,889.5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Conventional
Gas
|
Shale
Gas
|
|
|
Gross
Proved
|
Gross
Probable
|
Gross
Proved Plus
Probable
|
Gross
Proved
|
Gross
Probable
|
Gross
Proved Plus
Probable
|
|
|
(MMcf)
|
(MMcf)
|
(MMcf)
|
(Mboe)
|
(Mboe)
|
(Mboe)
|
|
Opening
Balance
|
296,461.7
|
195,555.1
|
492,016.8
|
5,786.3
|
7,692.1
|
13,478.4
|
|
Production
|
-16,050.2
|
0.0
|
-16,050.2
|
-70.1
|
0.0
|
-70.1
|
|
Technical
Revisions
|
59,125.1
|
19,586.8
|
78,712.0
|
127.6
|
162.6
|
290.2
|
|
Extensions
|
20,422.3
|
-1,537.0
|
18,885.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
Economic
Factors
|
-3,381.9
|
-1,772.1
|
-5,154.0
|
-66.0
|
-75.2
|
-141.2
|
|
Closing
Balance
|
356,577.0
|
211,832.9
|
568,409.9
|
5,777.7
|
7,779.6
|
13,557.3
|
|
|
|
|
|
MBOE
|
|
|
Gross
Proved
|
Gross
Probable
|
Gross
Proved Plus
Probable
|
|
|
(Mboe)
|
(Mboe)
|
(Mboe)
|
|
Opening
Balance
|
86,533.5
|
58,302.7
|
144,836.2
|
|
Production
|
-4,408.1
|
0.0
|
-4,408.1
|
|
Technical
Revisions
|
9,997.4
|
1,652.5
|
11,649.8
|
|
Extensions
|
5,978.9
|
-486.4
|
5,492.7
|
|
Economic
Factors
|
-1,306.1
|
-570.8
|
-1,876.8
|
|
Closing
Balance
|
96,795.5
|
58,898.3
|
155,693.7
|
|
Forecast Prices Used in Estimates
The forecast price and market forecasts prepared by Deloitte are
based on information available from numerous government agencies,
industry publication, oil refineries, natural gas marketers, and
industry trends. The prices are Deloitte's best estimate of how the
future will look, based on the many uncertainties that exist in
both the domestic Canadian and international petroleum industries.
Deloitte considers the current monthly trends, the actual and
trends for the year to date, and the prior year actual in
determining the forecast. The crude oil and natural gas forecasts
are based on yearly variable factors weighted to higher percent in
current data and reflecting a higher percent to the prior year
historical. These forecasts are Deloitte's interpretation of
current available information and while they are considered
reasonable, changing market conditions or additional information
may require alteration from the indicated effective date.
Inflation forecasts and exchange rates, an integral part of the
forecast, have also been considered.
|
Price Inflation
Rate
|
Cost Inflation
Rate
|
Cdn to US Exchange
Rate
|
|
|
|
|
2024
|
0.0 %
|
0.0 %
|
0.74
|
2025
|
2.0 %
|
2.0 %
|
0.77
|
2026
|
2.0 %
|
2.0 %
|
0.80
|
2027
|
2.0 %
|
2.0 %
|
0.80
|
2028 beyond
|
2.0 %
|
2.0 %
|
0.80
|
Oil, NGL, and natural gas base case prices, utilized by
Deloitte in the Deloitte Reserve Report were as follows:
|
Oil
|
Natural Gas
|
Natural Gas
Liquids
|
|
Year
|
WTI
Cushing
(Oklahoma)
|
Edmonton
City Gate
40° API
|
Alberta
Reference –
Gas
Prices
|
Alberta
AECO – Gas
Prices
|
Pentanes +
Condensate
Edmonton
|
Butanes
Edmonton
|
Propane
Edmonton
|
|
($US/bbl)
|
($Cdn/bbl)
|
($Cdn/mcf)
|
($Cdn/mcf)
|
($Cdn/bbl)
|
($Cdn/bbl)
|
($Cdn/bbl)
|
Forecast
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2024
|
72.00
|
91.90
|
2.10
|
2.35
|
91.90
|
41.35
|
32.15
|
2025
|
71.40
|
88.75
|
3.05
|
3.30
|
88.75
|
44.35
|
35.50
|
2026
|
70.75
|
84.55
|
3.65
|
3.90
|
84.55
|
42.30
|
33.80
|
2027
|
72.15
|
86.20
|
3.70
|
4.00
|
86.20
|
43.15
|
34.50
|
2028
|
73.60
|
87.95
|
3.80
|
4.05
|
87.95
|
44.00
|
35.20
|
Escalation of 2.0%
Thereafter
|
Notes:
|
•
|
All prices are in
Canadian dollars except WTI which are in U.S. dollars.
|
•
|
Edmonton City Gate
prices based on light sweet crude posted at major Canadian
refineries (40 Deg. API <0.5% Sulphur).
|
•
|
Natural Gas Liquid
prices are forecasted at Edmonton therefore an additional
transportation cost must be included to plant gate sales
point.
|
•
|
1 Mcf is equivalent to
1 mmbtu.
|
•
|
Alberta gas prices,
except AECO, include an average cost of service to the plant
gate.
|
Finding and Development Costs
Yangarra's F&D costs for 2023, 2022 and the five-year
average are presented in the tables below. The costs used in the
F&D calculation are the capital costs related to: land
acquisition and retention; drilling; completions; tangible well
site; tie-ins; and facilities, plus the change in estimated future
development costs as per the independent reserve report.
Acquisition costs are net of any proceeds from dispositions of
properties. Due to the timing of capital costs and the subjectivity
in the estimation of future costs, the aggregate of the exploration
and development costs incurred in the most recent financial year
and the change during that year in estimated future development
costs generally will not reflect total finding and development
costs related to reserve additions for that year. The reserves used
in this calculation are Company net reserve additions, including
revisions.
Proved Developed Producing Finding & Development Costs ($
millions)
|
2023
|
2022
|
2019-2023
|
Capital
expenditures
|
94
|
109
|
464
|
|
|
|
|
Reserve additions, net
production (Mboe)
|
16,113
|
10,732
|
34,428
|
|
|
|
|
Proved Developed
Producing F&D costs – including future capital
($/boe)
|
5.85
|
10.16
|
13.48
|
|
|
|
|
Proved Recycle
Ratio ($26.72/boe annual operating netback)
|
4.57
|
4.73
|
|
Proved Finding & Development Costs ($ millions)
|
2023
|
2022
|
2019-2023
|
Capital
expenditures
|
94
|
109
|
464
|
Change in future
capital
|
15
|
-38
|
27
|
Total capital for
F&D
|
109
|
71
|
491
|
|
|
|
|
Reserve additions, net
production (Mboe)
|
14,618
|
7,786
|
41,109
|
|
|
|
|
Proved F&D costs –
including future capital ($/boe)
|
7.49
|
9.12
|
11.96
|
Proved F&D costs –
excluding future capital ($/boe)
|
6.45
|
14.00
|
11.29
|
|
|
|
|
Proved Recycle
Ratio
|
|
|
|
Including
future capital
|
3.57
|
5.27
|
|
Excluding
future capital
|
4.14
|
3.43
|
|
Proved plus Probable Finding & Development Costs ($
millions)
|
2023
|
2022
|
2019-2023
|
Capital
expenditures
|
94
|
109
|
464
|
Change in future
capital
|
24
|
-50
|
25
|
Total capital for
F&D
|
118
|
59
|
489
|
|
|
|
|
Reserve additions, net
production (Mboe)
|
15,216
|
7,627
|
49,212
|
|
|
|
|
Proved plus Probable
F&D costs – including future capital ($/boe)
|
7.74
|
7.78
|
9.94
|
Proved plus Probable
F&D costs – excluding future capital ($/boe)
|
6.20
|
14.29
|
9.43
|
|
|
|
|
Proved plus Probable
Recycle Ratio
|
|
|
|
Including
future capital
|
3.45
|
6.17
|
|
Excluding
future capital
|
4.31
|
3.36
|
|
Net Asset Value ("NAV")
As at December 31,
2023
|
PDP
|
Total
Proved
|
Proved +
Probable
|
|
|
|
|
Present Value Reserves,
before tax (discounted at 10%)
|
504.1
|
1,134.9
|
1,592.4
|
Total Net Debt ($
million) (unaudited)
|
(118.6)
|
(118.6)
|
(118.6)
|
Proceeds from the
exercise of options (2)
|
8.2
|
8.2
|
8.2
|
Net Asset
Value
|
393.6
|
1,024.5
|
1,482.4
|
|
|
|
|
Fully diluted common
shares outstanding (million)
|
104.0
|
104.0
|
104.0
|
Net asset value per
share
|
3.79
|
9.85
|
14.25
|
Notes to
table:
|
|
(1)
|
The preceding table
shows what is customarily referred to as a "produce out" net asset
value calculation under which the current value of Yangarra's
reserves would be produced at the Deloitte forecast future prices
and costs. The value is a snapshot in time as at December 31, 2023
and is based on various assumptions including commodity prices and
foreign exchange rates that vary over time. In this analysis, the
present value of the proved and probable reserves is calculated at
a before tax 10 percent discount rate.
|
(2)
|
The calculation of
proceeds from exercise of stock options and the diluted number of
common shares outstanding only include stock options that are
"in-the-money" based on the closing price of YGR of $1.28 as at
December 31, 2023.
|
(3)
|
Net debt or adjusted
working capital (deficit), which represent current assets less
current liabilities, excluding current derivative financial
instruments, are used to assess efficiency, liquidity and the
general financial strength of the Company. There is no IFRS measure
that is reasonably comparable to net debt or adjusted working
capital (deficit).
|
Annual General Meeting of Shareholders
The Company's Annual General Meeting of Shareholders is
scheduled for 10:00 AM on Wednesday May 1,
2024 in the Tillyard Management Conference Centre, Main
Floor, 715 5th Avenue SW, Calgary,
AB.
Year End Disclosure
The Company's December 31, 2023
audited consolidated financial statements, management's discussion
and analysis and annual information form have been filed on SEDAR+
(www.sedarplus.ca) and are available on the Company's website
(www.yangarra.ca).
Oil and Gas Advisories
Natural gas has been converted to a barrel of oil equivalent
(boe) using 6,000 cubic feet (6 Mcf) of natural gas equal to one
barrel of oil (6:1), unless otherwise stated. The boe conversion
ratio of 6 Mcf to 1 Bbl is based on an energy equivalency
conversion method and does not represent a value equivalency;
therefore boes may be misleading if used in isolation. Figures that
are presented on a boe basis herein are calculated as the total
aggregate amount for the period divided by boe production volumes
for the period. References to natural gas liquids ("NGLs") in this
news release include condensate, propane, butane and ethane and one
barrel of NGLs is considered to be equivalent to one barrel of
crude oil equivalent (boe). One ("BCF") equals one billion cubic
feet of natural gas. One ("Mmcf") equals one million cubic feet of
natural gas.
This press release contains metrics commonly used in the oil
and natural gas industry which have been prepared by management,
such as "operating netback" and "operating margins". These terms do
not have a standardized meaning and may not be comparable to
similar measures presented by other companies and, therefore,
should not be used to make such comparisons. For additional
information regarding netbacks and operating margins, see "Non-IFRS
Financial Measures".
Management uses these oil and gas metrics for its own
performance measurements and to provide shareholders with measures
to compare Yangarra's operations over time. Readers are cautioned
that the information provided by these metrics, or that can be
derived from metrics presented in this press release, should not be
relied upon for investment or other purposes.
Non-IFRS Financial Measures
This press release contains various specified financial
measures that do not have standardized meanings as prescribed by
International Financial Reporting Standards ("IFRS").
These reported amounts and their underlying calculations are not
necessarily comparable or calculated in an identical manner to a
similarly titled measure of other companies where similar
terminology is used. Readers are cautioned that such
financial measures should not be construed as alternatives to or
more meaningful than the most directly comparable IFRS measures as
indicators of the Company's performance. These measures have
been described and presented in this press release in order to
provide shareholders and potential investors with additional
information regarding the Company's liquidity and its ability to
generate funds to finance its operations and should not be
considered in isolation.
Please refer to the management discussion and analysis for
the year ended December 31, 2023, for
further discussion on the Non-IFRS financial measures presented in
this press release.
Funds flow from operations
Funds flow from operations ("FFO") should not be considered
an alternative to, or more meaningful than, cash provided by
operating, investing and financing activities or net income as
determined in accordance with IFRS, as an indicator of Yangarra's
performance or liquidity. Management uses FFO to analyze operating
performance and leverage and considers FFO to be a key measure as
it demonstrates the Company's ability to generate cash flow
necessary to fund future capital investments and to repay debt, if
applicable. FFO is calculated using cash flow from operating
activities before changes in non-cash working capital and
decommissioning costs incurred.
The following table reconciles FFO to cash flow from
operating activities, which is the most directly comparable measure
calculated in accordance with IFRS:
|
2023
|
2022
|
|
Year Ended
|
|
Q4
|
Q3
|
Q4
|
|
2023
|
2022
|
Cash flow from
operating activities
|
$
16,798
|
$
25,995
|
$
40,676
|
|
$
99,033
|
$
169,664
|
Decommissioning costs
incurred
|
488
|
-
|
291
|
|
488
|
291
|
Changes in non-cash
working capital
|
266
|
2,999
|
841
|
|
(497)
|
7,238
|
Funds flow from
operations
|
$
17,552
|
$
28,994
|
$
41,808
|
|
$
99,024
|
$
177,194
|
Yangarra presents FFO per share whereby per share amounts are
calculated using weighted average shares outstanding consistent
with the calculation of net income per share.
Funds from operations netback is calculated on a per boe
basis.
Adjusted EBITDA
Yangarra defines Adjusted EBITDA as earnings before
interest, taxes, depletion and depreciation, which represents
EBITDA, excluding changes in the fair value of commodity contracts.
Management believes that Adjusted EBITDA is a useful measure, which
provides an indication of the results generated by the Yangarra's
primary business activities prior to consideration of how those
activities are financed, amortized or taxed. The most directly
comparable IFRS financial measure to Adjusted EBITDA is net income
(loss). The following table provides a reconciliation of Adjusted
EBITDA to net income (loss).
|
2023
|
2022
|
|
Year Ended
|
|
Q4
|
Q3
|
Q4
|
|
2023
|
2022
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income for the
Period
|
$
12,435
|
$
11,487
|
$
25,071
|
|
$
46,664
|
$
106,358
|
Finance
|
3,293
|
3,386
|
3,520
|
|
12,898
|
11,591
|
Deferred tax
expense
|
3,671
|
3,670
|
6,004
|
|
16,515
|
31,387
|
Depletion and
depreciation
|
9,385
|
10,182
|
10,167
|
|
39,438
|
37,659
|
Change in fair value of
commodity contracts
|
(1,755)
|
2,889
|
(35)
|
|
449
|
(36)
|
Gain on settlemt of
lawsuit
|
(6,957)
|
-
|
-
|
|
(6,957)
|
-
|
Adjusted
EBITDA
|
$
20,072
|
$
31,614
|
$
44,727
|
|
$
109,007
|
$
186,959
|
Adjusted Net Debt
Yangarra defines Adjusted net debt as the sum of our existing
credit facilities, trade and other payables, and trade receivables
and prepaids. Yangarra uses Adjusted net debt to assess efficiency,
liquidity and the general financial strength of the Company. The
most directly comparable IFRS financial measure to Adjusted net
debt is Bank Debt. The following table provides a calculation of
adjusted net debt.
|
Dec 31, 2023
|
Dec 31, 2022
|
Bank Debt
|
$
121,057
|
$
139,405
|
Accounts
receivable
|
(30,092)
|
(31,950)
|
Prepaid expenses and
inventory
|
(8,918)
|
(8,809)
|
Accounts payable and
accrued liabilities
|
36,599
|
35,718
|
Adjusted net
Debt
|
$
118,646
|
$
134,364
|
Adjusted net debt to third quarter
annualized FFO
Adjusted net debt to fourth quarter annualized FFO is a
non-GAAP financial ratio calculated as adjusted net debt divided by
fourth quarter annualized FFO.
Netbacks
The Company considers corporate netbacks to be a key measure
that demonstrates Yangarra's profitability relative to current
commodity prices. Corporate netbacks are comprised of operating,
field operating, FFO and net income (loss) netbacks.
Yangarra calculates Field Operating netback as the average
sales price of its commodities (including realized gains (losses)
on financial instruments) less royalties, operating costs and
transportation expenses. Operating netback starts with Field
Operating netback and subtracts realized gains (losses) on
financial instruments. FFO netback starts with the Operating
netback and further deducts general and administrative costs,
finance expense and adds finance income. To calculate the net
income (loss) netback, Yangarra takes the Operating netback and
deducts share-based compensation expense as well as depletion and
depreciation charges, accretion expense, unrealized gains (losses)
on financial instruments, any impairment or exploration and
evaluation expense and deferred income taxes.
FFO margins and operating margins
FFO margins and operating margins are calculated as the ratio
of FFO netbacks to sales price and operating netback to sales
price, respectively.
Forward Looking Information
This press release contains forward-looking statements and
forward-looking information (collectively "forward-looking
information") within the meaning of applicable securities laws
relating to the Company's plans and other aspects of our
anticipated future operations, management focus, strategies,
financial, operating and production results and business
opportunities. Forward-looking information typically uses words
such as "anticipate", "believe", "continue", "sustain", "project",
"expect", "forecast", "budget", "goal", "guidance", "plan",
"objective", "strategy", "target", "intend" or similar words
suggesting future outcomes, statements that actions, events or
conditions "may", "would", "could" or "will" be taken or occur in
the future, including, but not limited to, statements on potential
completion techniques being considered. Statements relating to
"reserves" are also deemed to be forward-looking statements, as
they involve the implied assessment, based on certain estimates and
assumptions, that the reserves described exist in the quantities
predicted or estimated and that the reserves can be profitably
produced in the future.
The forward-looking information is based on certain key
expectations and assumptions made by our management, including
expectations and assumptions concerning prevailing commodity
prices, exchange rates, interest rates, applicable royalty rates
and tax laws; future production rates and estimates of operating
costs; performance of existing and future wells; reserve volumes;
anticipated timing and results of capital expenditures; the success
obtained in drilling new wells; the sufficiency of budgeted capital
expenditures in carrying out planned activities; benefits to
shareholders of our programs and initiatives, the timing, location
and extent of future drilling operations; the state of the economy
and the exploration and production business; results of operations;
performance; business prospects and opportunities; the availability
and cost of financing, labour and services; the impact of
increasing competition; ability to efficiently integrate assets and
employees acquired through acquisitions, ability to market oil and
natural gas successfully and our ability to access capital.
Although we believe that the expectations and assumptions on
which such forward-looking information is based are reasonable,
undue reliance should not be placed on the forward-looking
information because Yangarra can give no assurance that they will
prove to be correct. Since forward-looking information addresses
future events and conditions, by its very nature they involve
inherent risks and uncertainties. Our actual results, performance
or achievement could differ materially from those expressed in, or
implied by, the forward-looking information and, accordingly, no
assurance can be given that any of the events anticipated by the
forward-looking information will transpire or occur, or if any of
them do so, what benefits that we will derive therefrom. Management
has included the above summary of assumptions and risks related to
forward-looking information provided in this press release in order
to provide security holders with a more complete perspective on our
future operations and such information may not be appropriate for
other purposes.
Readers are cautioned that the foregoing lists of factors are
not exhaustive. Additional information on these and other factors
that could affect our operations or financial results are included
in reports on file with applicable securities regulatory
authorities and may be accessed through the SEDAR website
(www.sedarplus.com).
These forward-looking statements are made as of the date of
this press release and we disclaim any intent or obligation to
update publicly any forward-looking information, whether as a
result of new information, future events or results or otherwise,
other than as required by applicable securities laws.
All reference to $ (funds) are in Canadian dollars.
Neither the TSX nor its Regulation Service Provider (as that
term is defined in the Policies of the TSX) accepts responsibility
for the adequacy and accuracy of this release.
SOURCE Yangarra Resources Ltd.