Aspen Announces its Initial Assessment of Losses from Hurricane Wilma and Updates its Assessment of Losses from Hurricanes Katri
December 06 2005 - 8:53AM
PR Newswire (US)
HAMILTON, Bermuda, Dec. 6 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Aspen Insurance
Holdings Limited ("Aspen") (NYSE:AHL)(BSX:AHLBSX:BH) today
announced its initial assessment of estimated losses from Hurricane
Wilma and that it has updated its assessment of estimated losses
from Hurricanes Katrina and Rita. Based on the information
available and evaluations to date, Aspen estimates that its
retained losses from Hurricanes Katrina, Rita and Wilma, after
recoveries from its outwards reinsurance program and the impact of
outwards and inwards re-instatement premiums, are likely to be
between $470 million and $535 million on an after tax basis, which
includes its initial loss estimate from Hurricane Wilma of between
approximately $20 million and $35 million and an increase of
approximately $27 million with respect to losses associated with
Hurricanes Katrina and Rita. The range of $470 million to $535
million includes the charge of $46 million in relation to
reinstatement premiums arising primarily in the fourth quarter of
2005 which was reported in Aspen's third quarter Form 10-Q and
included in our previous estimates. In addition to Aspen's outwards
reinsurance program, Aspen has further cover of up to $100 million
under a fully collateralized risk transfer swap placed with a
non-insurance counter-party. This would provide Aspen with
recoveries if the level of industry losses as determined by
Property Claims Services from Hurricane Katrina in the continental
United States exceed $39 billion, with the maximum of $100 million
recoverable, on a linear basis, if such industry losses reach $47
billion. Any potential recoveries under this catastrophe swap
contract have been excluded from Aspen's estimated net loss figures
for Hurricane Katrina. Aspen's estimates discussed above involve
the exercise of considerable judgment and reflect a combination of
ground-up evaluations, information available to date from brokers,
the application of Aspen's catastrophe modeling systems, market
intelligence, initial tentative loss reports and other sources. In
addition, due to the frequency and severity of the 2005 hurricanes
and the scale of Hurricane Katrina in particular, including legal
and regulatory uncertainty, the complexity of factors contributing
to the losses and the preliminary nature of the information used to
prepare these estimates, there can be no assurance that Aspen's
ultimate losses associated with these Hurricanes will remain within
the stated ranges. About Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited Aspen
Insurance Holdings Limited was established in June 2002. Aspen is a
Bermudian holding company that provides property and casualty
reinsurance in the global market, property and liability insurance
principally in the United Kingdom and the United States and marine
and aviation insurance and reinsurance worldwide through Aspen
Insurance UK Limited. Aspen's operations are conducted through its
wholly-owned subsidiaries located in London, Bermuda and the United
States: Aspen Insurance UK Limited, Aspen Insurance Limited and
Aspen Specialty Insurance Company. Aspen has four operating
segments: property reinsurance, casualty reinsurance, specialty
insurance and reinsurance and property and casualty insurance.
Aspen's principal existing shareholders include The Blackstone
Group, Candover Partners Limited, Wellington Underwriting plc and
Credit Suisse First Boston Private Equity. For more information
about Aspen, please visit Aspen's website at http://www.aspen.bm/.
Application of the Safe Harbor of the Private Securities Litigation
Reform Act of 1995: This press release contains, and Aspen's
earnings conference call may contain, written or oral
"forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the U.S. federal
securities laws. These statements are made pursuant to the safe
harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act
of 1995. Forward-looking statements include all statements that do
not relate solely to historical or current facts, and can be
identified by the use of words such as "expect," "intend," "plan,"
"believe," "project," "anticipate," "seek," "will," "estimate,"
"may," "continue," and similar expressions of a future or
forward-looking nature. All forward-looking statements rely on a
number of assumptions concerning future events and are subject to a
number of uncertainties and other factors, many of which are
outside the Company's control that could cause actual results to
differ materially from such statements. Important events that could
cause the actual results to differ include, but are not limited to:
the impact of acts of terrorism and related legislations and acts
of war; the possibility of greater frequency or severity of or
unanticipated losses from natural or man-made catastrophes,
including Hurricanes Katrina, Rita and Wilma and the New Orleans
Flood; evolving interpretive issues with respect to coverage as a
result of Hurricanes Katrina, Rita and Wilma and the New Orleans
Flood; the level of inflation in repair costs due to limited
availability of labor and materials after catastrophes; the
effectiveness of the Company's loss limitation methods; changes in
the availability, cost or quality of reinsurance or retrocessional
coverage; the loss of key personnel; a decline in the operating
subsidiaries' ratings with Standard & Poor's, A.M. Best or
Moody's; changes in general economic conditions; increased
competition on the basis of pricing, capacity, coverage terms or
other factors; decrease in demand for the Company's insurance or
reinsurance products and cyclical downturn of the industry; changes
in governmental regulation or tax laws in the jurisdictions where
the Company conducts business; the total industry losses resulting
from Hurricanes Katrina, Rita and Wilma and the New Orleans Flood;
the actual number of the Company's insureds incurring losses from
these storms; the limited actual loss reports received from the
Company's insureds to date; the preliminary nature of possible loss
information received by brokers to date on behalf of cedants; the
Company's reliance on industry loss estimates and those generated
by modeling techniques; the reliability of, and changes in
assumptions to, catastrophe pricing, accumulation and estimated
loss models; the impact of these storms on the Company's
reinsurers; the amount and timing of reinsurance recoverables and
reimbursements actually received by the Company from its
reinsurers; the overall level of competition, and the related
demand and supply dynamics as contracts come up for renewal. For a
more detailed description of these uncertainties and other factors,
please see the "Risk Factors" section in Aspen's Annual Report on
Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2004, filed with the U.S.
Securities and Exchange Commission on March 14, 2005 and Aspen's
Current Report on Form 8-K dated October 4, 2005. Aspen undertakes
no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking
statements, whether as a result of new information, future events
or otherwise. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on
these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the dates
on which they are made. DATASOURCE: Aspen Insurance Holdings
Limited CONTACT: Investors - Noah Fields, Head of Investor
Relations, of Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited, +1-441-297-9382; or
European Press - Brian Hudspith, of The Maitland Consultancy, +44
20 7379 5151; or North American Press - Carina Davidson, or Eliza
Johnson, both of Abernathy MacGregor, +1-212-371-5999 Web site:
http://www.aspen.bm/
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