HollyFrontier Corporation - Value
August 14 2011 - 7:00PM
Zacks
These are the best of times for
HollyFrontier Corporation
(HFC) as favorable crude spreads recently led to the most
profitable quarter in its history. This Zacks #1 Rank (strong buy)
is also dirt cheap at just 7.8x forward estimates.
HollyFrontier is an independent oil refiner that
produces gasoline, diesel fuel, and jet fuel.
It operates 5 refineries and sells its refined
products principally in the Southwest U.S., the Rocky Mountains
extending into the Pacific Northwest and including other
neighboring Plains states.
Gross Margins Soar in the Second Quarter on WTI
Discount
On Aug 5, HollyFrontier reported its second quarter
results and surprised on the Zacks Consensus by 9.2%. Earnings per
share were a record $3.58 compared to the consensus of $3.28 per
share. It made just $1.24 in the same quarter a year ago.
The results were boosted by the effects of
significantly higher refinery gross margins due to the nearly
record price differential between WTI crude oil and Brent and LLS
oils.
Refinery gross margins jumped 95% to $21.42 per
produced barrel from $11.01 in the same quarter last year.
Refinery production levels also improved in the
quarter to total production over 250,000 BPD and those levels
continued into the third quarter.
Revenue rose 38% to $3 billion. The company also
had $1.3 billion in cash at the end of the quarter.
EPS Expected To Grow 370% in 2011
Given the high gross margins, analysts expect the
company to grow earnings by 370% compared with 2010.
The 2011 Zacks Consensus Estimate jumped to $9.08
from $7.89 in the last month as 5 estimates moved higher in that
time.
The company made only $1.94 in 2010.
HollyFrontier Is a Cheap Stock
It isn't common to find a stock that is as cheap as
HollyFrontier and that also has massive earnings growth.
In addition to a P/E under 8.0, the company's
price-to-book ratio is 2.4. A P/B ratio under 3.0 usually indicates
value.
HollyFrontier also has an extremely low
price-to-sales ratio of 0.4. This is a good sign for value
investors as a P/S ratio under 1.0 usually indicates a company is
undervalued.
Share Pullback: A Buying Opportunity
The recent stock market sell off created a buying
opportunity in the shares as you can see from the 6-month
chart.
HollyFrontier is a dirt cheap stock with tremendous
2011 earnings growth potential.
Tracey Ryniec is the Value Stock Strategist for
Zacks.com. She is also the Editor of the Turnaround Trader and
Insider Trader services. You can follow her at
twitter.com/traceyryniec.
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