TSX: TVE
CALGARY,
AB, March 1, 2023 /CNW/ - Tamarack Valley
Energy Ltd. ("Tamarack" or the "Company") is pleased
to announce its audited financial and operating results for the
three months and year ended December 31,
2022 and the results of Tamarack's year end independent oil
and gas reserves evaluation as of December
31, 2022 (the "Reserve Report"), prepared by
Tamarack's independent qualified reserves evaluator, GLJ Ltd.
("GLJ"). Selected reserves, financial and operating
information is outlined below. Selected financial and operating
information should be read with Tamarack's audited annual
consolidated financial statements and related management's
discussion and analysis for the three and twelve months ended
December 31, 2022, which are
available on SEDAR at www.sedar.com and on Tamarack's website at
www.tamarackvalley.ca. The Company's Annual Information Form (AIF)
for the year ended December 31,
2022 is available on SEDAR and the Company's website.
Message to Shareholders
2022 represented a year of continued transformation and
operational execution as we drove towards the goal of repositioning
our business into the most profitable oil plays in North America. Tamarack completed and
integrated three material Clearwater acquisitions, positioning the
Company as a major producer in the Clearwater oil play. Furthermore, the
divestment of two non-core assets contributed to the strategic
rationalization of our asset portfolio moving forward. Together
with our ongoing base asset development, our net $1.7 billion of 2022 acquisition and disposition
(A&D) transactions resulted in a year over year fourth quarter
production increase of 59% while also achieving an uplift in our
corporate liquids weighting from 69% (Q4 2021) to 82% (Q4
2022).
2022 was a record year for financial performance with
$727.1 million of adjusted funds
flow(1) and $268.5 million
of free funds flow(1) (excluding acquisition
expenditures), which enabled the return of capital to shareholders
and established a strong financial position that provided a
foundation for the accretive and transformational 2022
acquisitions. During the year, we initiated a return of
capital framework with our inaugural base dividend and subsequent
50% growth of monthly dividends through the year from $0.0083/share to $0.0125/share. This increase was enabled by the
highly accretive Clearwater
acquisitions which strengthened the free funds flow(1)
outlook in the corporate five-year plan.
Operational execution was an important success factor in 2022,
with fourth quarter production averaging 64,344
boe/d(2), ahead of our guidance range of 62,000-64,000
boe/d(2), despite unexpected downtime due to the extreme
cold weather in December. Capital expenditures(3) of
$125 million during the fourth
quarter came in at the low end of our $125 to $135
million guidance range.
Our 2022 Reserve Report highlights the significant growth, and a
shift in profitability, of our reserves, which was driven by the
development of our Clearwater and
Charlie Lake assets. Overall,
Tamarack saw a material increase in our reserve portfolio to 242.2
MMboe and $5.0 billion(4)
on a total proved plus probable (TPP) basis representing a 33% and
68% increase over 2021 respectively. The year-end 2022 reserves
added through acquisition exceeded our original internal reserves
estimates, with the most notable increase seen for the Deltastream
Energy Corp. ("Deltastream") acquisition assets which
outperformed estimates by 27% on a proved developed producing (PDP)
basis and 12% on a TPP basis.
Along with the transformation of the business operations,
Tamarack also underwent a significant transition in capital
structure with the move away from reserve based into covenant
lending and the addition of long-term fixed priced debt. As part of
this transition, Tamarack was able to further demonstrate
environmental, social and governance (ESG) leadership through the
addition of sustainability targets on the new bond issuances (SLB)
and the amended revolving facility (SLL).
2022 Financial and Operating Highlights
- Achieved fourth quarter production volumes of 64,344
boe/d(2) and yearly production volumes of 48,283
boe/d(2) in 2022, representing a 59% and 40% increase
respectively compared to the same periods in 2021.
- Generated adjusted funds flow(1) of $196.7 million for the quarter ($0.36/share basic and diluted) and $727.1 million for the year ended December 31, 2022 ($1.58/share basic and $1.57/share diluted).
- Generated free funds flow(1), excluding acquisition
expenditures, of $268.5 million and
net income of $345.2 million for the
year.
- Initiated a return of capital framework with our inaugural
monthly base dividend and subsequent monthly dividend growth of 50%
through the year. Collectively, paid or accrued $55.3 million to shareholders through dividends
on Tamarack common shares, including: $0.0083/share for the first five months of 2022;
$0.01/share for all dividends
declared between June 15, 2022 and
October 15, 2022; and $0.0125/share for all dividends declared on
November 15, 2022 and after.
- Invested $125.3 million in Q4
towards exploration and development (E&D) capital expenditures,
excluding acquisition expenditures, and $458.6 million during the full year 2022, which
contributed to the drilling of 84 (84.0 net) Clearwater oil wells, 18 (17.2 net)
Charlie Lake oil wells, 16 (16.0
net) Deltastream Clearwater oil wells, 13 (13.0 net) Viking oil
wells, and two (2.0 net) West Central oil wells.
- Exited the year with $1,357
million of net debt(1). Tamarack will prioritize
debt repayment through 2023 to enable debt reduction and
advancement in the Company's enhanced shareholder return
framework.
2022 Reserve Highlights
The ongoing positive impact of Tamarack's drilling program
combined with Clearwater
acquisitions contributed significantly to the reserves in 2022,
further enhancing the long-term resiliency and sustainability of
free funds flow(1) for the Company moving forward. Key
highlights of the Company's proved developed producing (PDP), total
proved (TP) and total proved plus probable (TPP) reserves from the
Reserve Report are highlighted below.
- Increased PDP reserves 35% to 75.7 MMboe, TP reserves 30% to
135.1 Mmboe and TPP reserves 33% to 242.2 Mmboe in 2022, relative
to year-end 2021.
- Realized before-tax net present value (NPV) of reserves,
discounted at 10% (NPV10), of $1.8
billion on a PDP basis, $2.9
billion on a TP basis and $5.0
billion on a TPP basis, evaluated using three independent
reserve evaluators average forecast pricing and foreign exchange
rates as at January 2023.
- Recognized finding and development costs (F&D), including
the change in future development capital (FDC), of $20.22/boe, $31.59/boe and $37.05/boe for PDP, TP and TPP respectively,
which reflects an increase in FDC, due to an increase in the number
of future drilling locations and cost inflation, of $34 million, $375
million and $622 million for
the respective categories. For comparative purposes, F&D costs
before increases in FDC were $18.64/boe, $21.60/boe and $22.27/boe, respectively.
- Realized a 27% increase for PDP reserves and a 12% increase for
TPP reserves, on the acquired Deltastream assets over the
internally estimated reserves at acquisition, driven by strong base
production and new drill performance in H2 2022.
- Maintained modest booking of Clearwater waterflood reserves, with only 3%
of total Clearwater reserves under
waterflood. TPP Reserves in the area surrounding our successful
Nipisi waterflood pilot are greater than 2x the primary recovery
reserve estimates.
Financial & Operating Results
|
Three months
ended
|
Year ended
|
December 31,
|
December 31,
|
|
2022
|
2021
|
%
change
|
2022
|
2021
|
%
change
|
($ thousands,
except per share)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total oil, natural gas
and processing revenue
|
423,760
|
243,184
|
74
|
1,459,154
|
701,051
|
108
|
Cash flow from
operating activities
|
227,889
|
118,647
|
92
|
805,377
|
297,894
|
170
|
Per
share – basic
|
$
0.42
|
$ 0.29
|
45
|
$
1.75
|
$ 0.84
|
108
|
Per
share – diluted
|
$
0.42
|
$ 0.29
|
45
|
$
1.73
|
$ 0.83
|
108
|
Adjusted funds
flow(1)
|
196,746
|
124,080
|
59
|
727,061
|
340,259
|
114
|
Per
share – basic
|
$
0.36
|
$ 0.31
|
16
|
$
1.58
|
$ 0.96
|
65
|
Per
share – diluted
|
$
0.36
|
$ 0.30
|
20
|
$
1.57
|
$ 0.94
|
67
|
Net income
|
50,441
|
140,448
|
(64)
|
345,198
|
390,508
|
(12)
|
Per
share – basic
|
$
0.09
|
$ 0.35
|
(74)
|
$
0.75
|
$ 1.10
|
(32)
|
Per
share – diluted
|
$
0.09
|
$ 0.34
|
(74)
|
$
0.74
|
$ 1.08
|
(31)
|
Net debt
(1)
|
(1,356,570)
|
(463,284)
|
193
|
(1,356,570)
|
(463,284)
|
193
|
Capital
expenditures(1),(3)
|
125,276
|
41,671
|
201
|
458,577
|
191,159
|
140
|
Weighted average
shares outstanding (thousands)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Basic
|
545,118
|
406,061
|
34
|
460,345
|
353,642
|
30
|
Diluted
|
549,062
|
413,944
|
33
|
464,276
|
360,779
|
29
|
Share
Trading
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
High
|
$
5.60
|
$ 3.95
|
42
|
$
6.48
|
$ 3.95
|
64
|
Low
|
$
3.92
|
$ 3.08
|
27
|
$
3.28
|
$ 1.25
|
162
|
Average daily share
trading volume (thousands)
|
3,419
|
3,290
|
4
|
3,773
|
2,888
|
31
|
Average daily
production
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Light oil
(bbls/d)
|
17,382
|
18,487
|
(6)
|
17,423
|
15,670
|
11
|
Heavy oil
(bbls/d)
|
31,328
|
5,616
|
458
|
15,768
|
4,613
|
242
|
NGL
(bbls/d)
|
4,241
|
3,899
|
9
|
3,888
|
3,408
|
14
|
Natural
gas (mcf/d)
|
68,355
|
74,291
|
(8)
|
67,221
|
65,226
|
3
|
Total
(boe/d)
|
64,344
|
40,384
|
59
|
48,283
|
34,562
|
40
|
Average sale
prices
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Light oil
($/bbl)
|
103.37
|
88.59
|
17
|
115.47
|
78.64
|
47
|
Heavy oil,
net of blending expense ($/bbl)
|
71.36
|
71.69
|
-
|
85.40
|
64.56
|
32
|
NGL
($/bbl)
|
50.53
|
55.09
|
(8)
|
54.66
|
41.77
|
31
|
Natural
gas ($/mcf)
|
4.89
|
5.09
|
(4)
|
6.15
|
3.70
|
66
|
Total
($/boe)
|
71.19
|
65.21
|
9
|
82.54
|
55.38
|
49
|
Operating netback
($/Boe)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Average
realized sales, net of blending expense
|
71.19
|
65.21
|
9
|
82.54
|
55.38
|
49
|
Royalty
expenses
|
(15.07)
|
(9.50)
|
59
|
(16.01)
|
(8.10)
|
98
|
Net
production and transportation expenses(1)
|
(14.19)
|
(10.84)
|
31
|
(13.23)
|
(10.77)
|
23
|
Operating field
netback ($/Boe)(1)
|
41.93
|
44.87
|
(7)
|
53.30
|
36.51
|
46
|
Realized
commodity hedging gain (loss)
|
0.31
|
(8.25)
|
(104)
|
(3.52)
|
(6.40)
|
(45)
|
Operating netback
($/Boe)(1)
|
42.24
|
36.62
|
15
|
49.78
|
30.11
|
65
|
Adjusted funds flow
($/Boe)(1)
|
33.24
|
33.40
|
-
|
41.26
|
26.97
|
53
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reserves Snapshot by Category
|
PDP
|
TP
|
TPP
|
Total Reserves
(mboe)(5)
|
75,744
|
135,066
|
242,191
|
Reserves Added
(mboe)(6)
|
37,077
|
48,556
|
77,882
|
Reserves
Replacement
|
210 %
|
276 %
|
442 %
|
NPV10 Before Tax
($mm)
|
$1,842
|
$2,852
|
$4,975
|
Year-Over-Year Reserves Data (Forecast Prices and Costs)
(mboe)
|
December
31,
2022(5)
|
December
31,
2021(5)
|
%
Change
|
PDP
|
75,744
|
56,290
|
35 %
|
TP
|
135,066
|
104,133
|
30 %
|
TPP
|
242,191
|
181,932
|
33 %
|
2023 Outlook
Our 2023 production and capital guidance remains unchanged with
target production of 68,000-72,000 boe/d(7) through
exploration and development expenditures expected to range from
$425 to $475
million for the year. The 2023 budget is focused on
delivering long term sustainable free funds flow(1)
across our portfolio of highly economic assets in the Charlie Lake, Clearwater and enhanced oil recovery projects
to enhance return of capital to shareholders. The following table
summarizes our 2023 annual guidance(7).
Capital Budget
($mm)(3)
|
$425 – $475
|
Annual Average
Production (boe/d)(7)
|
68,000 –
72,000
|
Average Oil & NGL
Weighting
|
81% – 83%
|
|
|
Expenses:
|
|
Royalty Rate
(%)
|
19% – 21%
|
Operating
($/boe)
|
$9.00 –
$9.50
|
Transportation
($/boe)(8)
|
$3.50 –
$4.00
|
General and
Administrative ($/boe)(9)
|
$1.25 –
$1.35
|
Interest
($/boe)
|
$3.80 –
$4.00
|
Taxes (%)
|
10% - 12%
|
Leasing Expenditures
($mm)
|
$3.5 - $4.5
|
Operations Update
Clearwater
Nipisi: Tamarack has rig released two oil wells and one
multi-lateral injector to date in 2023 and expects to run a two-rig
program at West Nipisi through to break up. By the end of Q1 2023,
Tamarack will have commenced injection into eight new West Nipisi
wells. This injection program builds on the strong waterflood pilot
results at 102/13-19-076-07W5. The producing well in the
pilot, supported by three single-leg injectors, has delivered over
140 mbbls of cumulative oil production in 14 months and is
currently producing over 400 bopd with 15% water
cut.
Nipisi development for 2023 will focus on continued waterflood
expansion across the field. Multilateral injection wells and
extended reach waterflood patterns are being implemented to enhance
waterflood capital efficiencies. Production for the first three
weeks of February averaged 12,500 boe/d(10) and
construction of the second phase of Tamarack's Nipisi gas
conservation project is expected to be complete by the end of the
first quarter. Upon completion Tamarack anticipates having over
90% of its Nipisi solution gas conserved. In support of
ongoing development, expansion of Tamarack's 15-22-076-07W5 oil
battery will commence in Q2 2023 with completion expected in Q4
2023. Volumes from this battery will be connected to a third-party
pipeline where Tamarack holds an agreement for firm
service. Once the battery is operational ~70% of Tamarack's
Nipisi oil production will be shipped via pipeline.
West Marten: The Company recently brought three new
extended reach wells on stream at its 15-15-076-05W5
location. The three wells were drilled under Tamarack's West
Nipisi waterflood design. The wells continue to clean up, but
recent production has been over 700 bopd from the pad.
Tamarack has one drilling rig running in West Marten at the
11-10-076-05W5 pad with three oil wells rig released to date, and
another six planned wells before breakup. The first two wells from
the 11-10 pad site are expected to commence production in the first
half of March. West Marten production rates have averaged
1,900 boed/d(11) for the first three weeks of February
and are expected to continue to climb as existing wells are
optimized and new wells are brought on stream. Tamarack is
currently evaluating gas conservation in West Marten and will
provide further updates throughout the year.
Marten Hills and Canal:
Production from Marten Hills and
Canal averaged approximately 16,300 boe/d(12) over
the first three weeks of February, up from approximately 15,100
boe/d(12) at the close of the acquisition.
Tamarack has two drilling rigs active in Marten Hills, which are
expected to remain active until spring break-up, with eight wells
rig released year-to-date in 2023. Two of the eight wells are
currently recovering load fluid and three additional wells are
expected to start recovering load fluid in the first week of
March. Tamarack continues to evaluate waterflood in Marten
Hills with additional pilots planned for later in 2023.
Southern Clearwater:
Tamarack has rig released two wells year-to-date in Southern Clearwater and anticipates further
drilling to commence in the second half of 2023. Its newly
drilled 07-21-063-26W4 Jarvie well
is on production and exceeding expectations, with an average
production rate of 220 bopd over the first nine days. This is
the first extended reach multi-lateral Tamarack has drilled in
Southern Clearwater. These
promising results are expected to further extend the eastern
boundaries of the Jarvie
pool. Tamarack also remains encouraged by results in
Perryvale, with the 09-03-064-23W4 pad site exceeding 950 bopd from
seven wells, five of which have been on production for over four
months, after an expansion and debottlenecking project was
completed.
Charlie Lake
In the Charlie Lake, Tamarack
brought on three wells during Q4 2022. The
1-24-072-09W6 well continues to exceed expectations and ranks as
one of the top performing oil wells drilled in the play to-date.
Based on field estimates, month-to-date in February, the 1-24 well
averaged over 1,900 boe/d(13).
Tamarack currently has three drilling rigs active in the
area and three wells are completed, awaiting final tie-in.
Two drilling rigs are expected to remain active until late Q2
2023. Tamarack is advancing to the construction phase of the
Wembley Gas Plant and is on track to be onstream at the end of Q2
2023. Current production on this asset is approximately 16,900
boe/d(14).
Exploration/Delineation Update
Enhancing the underlying profitability of our inventory is key
to free funds flow growth and a critical component of our strategic
five-year plan,. The Company had an active 2022 program and
continues to move the program forward in 2023.
Clearwater
Peavine/Seal – Tamarack drilled its first multi-lateral
well in Peavine, the results of which came in below expectations at
approximately 40 bopd. Further appraisal of the area is planned for
the second half of 2023 and 2024. At Seal, Tamarack has rig
released three wells targeting three separate Clearwater equivalent sands. Testing of this
three well pad is expected to commence by the end of the first
quarter.
West Marten Hills Exploration – In 2022, Tamarack drilled
a Clearwater C step-out well at 102/13-13-076-05W5. With initial
rates of over 200 bopd, this well, along with competitor activity,
has delineated over 20 sections of Clearwater C potential.
Furthermore, it has provided the opportunity to optimize pad
development by drilling both Clearwater C and Clearwater B sands
from single pads, utilizing shared infrastructure and improving
capital efficiencies.
West Nipisi – Delineation of Clearwater C and
Clearwater B potential continues with partner wells at
09-05-077-09W5 (C) and 04-35-076-9W5 (B). Initial rates from the
04-35 well exceeded expectations with February month-to-date field
estimates of >200 bopd. The 09-05 well is currently cleaning up.
These positive results continue to expand the Clearwater potential
westward.
Board of Directors Changes
Tamarack is pleased to announce the appointment of Ms.
Caralyn Bennett to the Board of
Directors, effective March 1, 2023.
Ms. Bennett is Executive Vice President and Chief Strategy Officer
of GLJ Ltd., while also serving as President of the Canadian Heavy
Oil Association and as a director of Acceleware Ltd. Caralyn brings
strong advisory experience in reserves and resource governance and
contributes strategic expertise to business transformation
including sustainability, decarbonization and energy
diversification. She has a Professional Engineer designation with
an Honours B.A.Sc. in Geological Engineering from the University of Waterloo and actively volunteers her
strategic and advisory expertise to a variety of energy development
and educational organizations in Alberta and Ontario.
Risk Management
The Company takes a systematic approach to manage commodity
price risk and volatility to ensure sustaining capital, debt
servicing requirements and the base dividend are protected through
a prudent hedging management program. For 2023, approximately ~50%
of net after royalty oil production is hedged against WTI with an
average floor price of greater than US$65/bbl. Our strategy provides downside
protection while maximizing upside exposure. Additional details of
the current hedges in place can be found in the corporate
presentation on the Company website (www.tamarackvalley.ca).
We would like to thank our employees, shareholders and other
stakeholders for all of their support over the past year. 2022 was
another transformative year for Tamarack and it would not have
happened without the dedication and hard work of our employees, as
well as the support from our Board of Directors. We look forward to
the continued development of our high-quality assets and the
creation of shareholder value in a sustainable and responsible
way.
Investor Call
Tomorrow
9:00 AM MDT (11:00
AM EDT)
Tamarack will host a
webcast at 9:00 AM MDT (11:00 AM EDT) on Thursday, March 2, 2023 to
discuss the year-end reserves, financial results and an operational
update. Participants can access the live webcast via this
link or through links provided on the
Company's website. A recorded archive of the webcast will be
available on the Company's website following the live
webcast.
|
2022 Independent Qualified Reserve Evaluation
The following tables highlight the findings of the Reserve
Report, which has been prepared in accordance with definitions,
standards and procedures contained in National Instrument 51-101
– Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities ("NI
51-101") and the most recent publication of the Canadian Oil
and Gas Evaluation Handbook (COGEH). All evaluations and summaries
of future net revenue are stated prior to the provision for
interest, debt service charges or general and administrative
expenses and after deduction of royalties, operating costs,
estimated well abandonment and reclamation costs and estimated
future capital expenditures. The information included in the "Net
Present Values of Future Net Revenue Before Income Taxes
Discounted" table below is based on an average of pricing
assumptions prepared by the following three independent external
reserves evaluators: GLJ, Sproule Associates Limited and McDaniel
& Associates Consultants Ltd (the "3-Consultant Average
Forecast Pricing"). It should not be assumed that the estimates
of future net revenues presented in the tables below represent the
fair market value of the reserves. All per share reserves metrics
below are based on basic shares outstanding as of December 31, 2022.
Company Reserves Data (Forecast Prices and Costs)
Reserves
Category
|
Crude
Oil
Lt. & Med.
Gross(15)
(MBbl)
|
Crude
Oil
Lt. & Med.
Net(15)
(MBbl)
|
Crude
Oil
Heavy
Gross
(MBbl)
|
Crude
Oil
Heavy
Net
(MBbl)
|
Conven-
tional
Natural
Gas
Gross
(MMcf)(16)
|
Conven-
tional
Natural
Gas
Net
(MMcf)(16)
|
Natural
Gas
Liquids
Gross
(MBbl)
|
Natural
Gas
Liquids
Net
(MBbl)
|
Total
Gross
(MBoe)
|
Total
Net
(Mboe)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Proved:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Developed
Producing
|
25,098
|
19,787
|
24,266
|
19,691
|
115,876
|
104,129
|
7,069
|
5,691
|
75,744
|
62,524
|
Developed
Non-Producing
|
797
|
730
|
1,313
|
1,100
|
3,686
|
3,282
|
109
|
80
|
2,834
|
2,458
|
Undeveloped
|
23,246
|
18,893
|
18,557
|
15,976
|
64,100
|
57,446
|
4,001
|
3,260
|
56,488
|
47,703
|
Total Proved
|
49,141
|
39,410
|
44,136
|
36,767
|
183,662
|
164,856
|
11,179
|
9,031
|
135,066
|
112,684
|
Probable
|
38,169
|
29,472
|
39,035
|
31,901
|
130,545
|
115,291
|
8,164
|
6,419
|
107,126
|
87,007
|
Total Proved plus
Probable(17)
|
87,310
|
68,881
|
83,171
|
68,669
|
314,208
|
280,148
|
19,343
|
15,450
|
242,191
|
199,692
|
Net Present Values of Future Net Revenue before Income Taxes
Discounted at (% per year)(18)
Reserves
Category
|
0 %($000)
|
5 %($000)
|
10 %($000)
|
15 %($000)
|
20 %($000)
|
Unit Value
Before Tax
Discounted
at
10%/Year(19)
($/Boe)
|
Unit Value
Before Tax
Discounted
at
10%/Year(19)
($/Mcfe)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Proved:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Developed
Producing
|
2,267,461
|
2,029,788
|
1,841,795
|
1,691,893
|
1,570,059
|
29.46
|
4.91
|
Developed
Non-Producing
|
103,748
|
87,279
|
75,539
|
66,845
|
60,175
|
30.73
|
5.12
|
Undeveloped
|
1,567,147
|
1,193,320
|
934,776
|
749,710
|
612,823
|
19.60
|
3.27
|
Total Proved
|
3,938,356
|
3,310,386
|
2,852,110
|
2,508,448
|
2,243,058
|
25.31
|
4.22
|
Probable
|
3,837,607
|
2,770,033
|
2,123,058
|
1,698,794
|
1,402,842
|
24.40
|
4.07
|
Total Proved plus
Probable(17)
|
7,775,962
|
6,080,420
|
4,975,168
|
4,207,241
|
3,645,900
|
24.91
|
4.15
|
Reconciliation of Company Gross Reserves Based on Forecast Prices
and Costs(5)
|
Total Proved
(Mboe)
|
Total Probable
(Mboe)
|
Total Proved +
Probable
(Mboe)
|
|
|
|
|
December 31, 2021
|
104,133
|
77,799
|
181,932
|
Discoveries
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
Extensions &
Improved Recovery(20)
|
14,783
|
7,675
|
22,459
|
Technical
Revisions
|
994
|
(8,813)
|
(7,819)
|
Acquisitions
|
36,199
|
33,241
|
69,440
|
Dispositions
|
(5,659)
|
(3,367)
|
(9,026)
|
Economic
Factors
|
2,240
|
590
|
2,830
|
Production
|
(17,623)
|
0
|
(17,623)
|
December 31,
2022(17)
|
135,066
|
107,126
|
242,191
|
Future Development Capital Costs(21)
The following is a summary of GLJ's estimated FDC required to
bring TP and TPP undeveloped reserves on production.
Year
|
|
|
Total Proved
Reserves
($000)
|
Total Proved
Plus
Probable Reserves
($000)
|
|
|
|
|
|
2023
|
|
|
243,873
|
342,424
|
2024
|
|
|
325,320
|
449,859
|
2025
|
|
|
235,577
|
397,175
|
2026 and
Subsequent
|
|
|
193,615
|
397,952
|
Total
|
|
|
998,385
|
1,587,410
|
10%
Discounted
|
|
|
832,446
|
1,300,876
|
Finding, Development & Acquisition Costs
|
2022
|
Three-Year
Average
|
(amounts in $000s
except as noted)
|
TP
|
TPP
|
TP
|
TPP
|
FD&A costs,
including FDC(21)(22)
|
|
|
|
|
Exploration and
development capital expenditures (23)(24)(25)
|
389,120
|
389,120
|
227,941
|
227,941
|
Acquisitions, net of
dispositions(26)
|
1,758,182
|
1,758,182
|
860,224
|
860,224
|
Total change in
FDC
|
374,870
|
621,784
|
199,945
|
294,887
|
Total FD&A
capital, including change in FDC(17)
|
2,522,172
|
2,769,086
|
1,288,110
|
1,383,051
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reserve additions,
including revisions – Mboe(5)
|
18,017
|
17,470
|
10,525
|
8,937
|
Acquisitions, net of
dispositions – Mboe(5)
|
30,539
|
60,413
|
27,968
|
50,683
|
Total FD&A
Reserves(17)
|
48,556
|
77,883
|
38,493
|
59,620
|
|
|
|
|
|
F&D costs,
including FDC - $/boe
|
51.94
|
35.55
|
33.46
|
23.20
|
Acquisition costs, net
of dispositions - $/boe
|
31.59
|
37.05
|
24.43
|
27.25
|
FD&A costs,
including FDC - $/boe
|
63.95
|
35.12
|
36.86
|
22.48
|
About Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd.
Tamarack is an oil and gas exploration and production company
committed to creating long-term value for its shareholders through
sustainable free funds flow generation, financial stability and the
return of capital. The Company has an extensive inventory of
low-risk, oil development drilling locations focused primarily on
Charlie Lake, Clearwater and EOR plays in Alberta. Operating as a responsible corporate
citizen is a key focus to ensure we deliver on our environmental,
social and governance (ESG) commitments and goals. For more
information, please visit the Company's website at
www.tamarackvalley.ca.
Abbreviations
AECO
|
the natural gas storage
facility located at Suffield, Alberta connected to TC Energy's
Alberta System
|
ARO
|
asset retirement
obligation; may also be referred to as decommissioning
obligation
|
bbls
|
barrels
|
bbls/d
|
barrels per
day
|
boe
|
barrels of oil
equivalent
|
boe/d
|
barrels of oil
equivalent per day
|
bopd
|
barrels of oil per
day
|
GJ
|
gigajoule
|
IFRS
|
International Financial
Reporting Standards as issued by the International Accounting
Standards Board
|
IP30
|
average production for
the first 30 days that a well is onstream
|
mcf
|
thousand cubic
feet
|
mcf/d
|
thousand cubic feet per
day
|
MM
|
Million
|
mmcf/d
|
million cubic feet per
day
|
MSW
|
Mixed sweet blend, the
benchmark for conventionally produced light sweet crude oil in
Western Canada
|
NGL
|
Natural gas
liquids
|
PDP
|
Proved developed
producing reserves
|
TP
|
Total proved
reserves
|
TPP
|
Total proved plus
probable reserves
|
WCS
|
Western Canadian
select, the benchmark for conventional and oil sands heavy
production at Hardisty in Western Canada
|
WTI
|
West Texas
Intermediate, the reference price paid in U.S. dollars at Cushing,
Oklahoma for the crude oil standard grade
|
Reader Advisories
Notes to Press Release
(1)
|
See "Specified
Financial Measures"
|
(2)
|
Q4 2022 production
guidance of 62,000-64,000 boe/d was comprised of 16,500-17,500
bbl/d light and medium oil, 35,000-37,000 bbl/d heavy oil,
3,500-4,500 bbl/d NGL and 73,000-78,000 mcf/d natural
gas.
|
|
Q4 2022 production of
64,344 boe/d was comprised of 17,382 bbl/d light and medium oil,
31,328 bbl/d heavy oil, 4,241 bbl/d NGL and 68,355 mcf/d natural
gas.
|
|
2022 yearly production
of 48,283 boe/d was comprised of 17,423 bbl/d light and medium oil,
15,768 bbl/d heavy oil, 3,888 bbl/d NGL and 67,221 mcf/d natural
gas.
|
(3)
|
Capital expenditures
include exploration and development capital, ESG initiatives,
facilities land and seismic but exclude asset acquisitions and
dispositions as well as ARO. Capital budget includes
exploration and development capital, ARO, ESG initiatives,
facilities land and seismic but excludes asset acquisitions and
dispositions. The key difference between these two metrics is the
inclusion (capital budget) or exclusion (capital expenditures) of
ARO.
|
(4)
|
Realized before-tax net
present value of reserve, discounted at 10%
|
(5)
|
Reserves are Company
Gross Reserves which exclude royalty volumes
|
(6)
|
Reserves Added takes
the difference in reserves year-over-year plus the production for
the year
|
(7)
|
Target production is
comprised of 16,500-17,500 bbl/d light and medium oil,
35,000-37,000 bbl/d heavy oil, 3,500-4,500 bbl/d NGL and
73,000-78,000 mcf/d natural gas. Annual guidance numbers are based
on 2023 average pricing assumptions of: US$80.00/bbl WTI;
US$22.00/bbl WCS; US$3.00/bbl MSW; $4.00/GJ AECO; and $1.3200
CAD/USD.
|
(8)
|
Transportation expense
differs from the previously released 2023 guidance due to a change
in the classification of pipeline tariffs in our corporate model.
Some pipeline tariffs were originally included as a revenue
deduction, are now included as transportation expense.
|
(9)
|
G&A noted excludes
the effect of cash settled stock-based compensation
|
(10)
|
Production of 12,500
boe/d is comprised of approximately 11,800 bbl/d heavy oil, 100
bbl/d NGL and 3,600 mcf/d natural gas
|
(11)
|
Production of 1,900
boe/d is comprised of approximately 1,900 bbl/d heavy
oil
|
(12)
|
Current production of
16,300 boe/d is comprised of approximately 15,390 bbl/d heavy oil,
110 bbl/d NGL and 4,800 mcf/d natural gas while production at
acquisition of 15,100 boe/d is comprised of approximately 14,260
bbl/d heavy oil, 90 bbl/d NGL and 4,500 mcf/d natural
gas
|
(13)
|
Production of 1,900
boe/d is comprised of approximately 1,200 bbl/d light and medium
oil, 125 bbl/d NGL and 3,450 mcf/d natural gas
|
(14)
|
Production of 16,900
boe/d is comprised of approximately 9,600 bbl/d light and medium
oil, 2,300 bbl/d NGL and 30,000 mcf/d natural gas
|
(15)
|
Tight oil included in
the light & medium crude oil product type represents less than
6.5% of any reserves category
|
(16)
|
Conventional natural
gas amounts include coal bed methane, in amounts less than 0.3% of
any reserves category
|
(17)
|
Columns may not add due
to rounding
|
(18)
|
Unit values based on
Company net interest reserves
|
(19)
|
The prices used to
estimate net present values are based on the 3-Consultant Average
Forecast Pricing
|
(20)
|
Reserves additions
under Infill Drilling, Improved Recovery and Extensions are
combined and reported as "Extensions and Improved
Recovery"
|
(21)
|
FDC as per Reserve
Report based on the 3-Consultant Average Forecast
Pricing
|
(22)
|
While Nl 51-101
requires that the effects of acquisitions and dispositions be
excluded from the calculation of finding and development costs,
FD&A costs have been presented because acquisitions and
dispositions can have a significant impact on the Company's ongoing
reserve replacement costs and excluding these amounts could result
in an inaccurate portrayal of the Company's cost structure. Finding
and development costs both including and excluding acquisitions and
dispositions have been presented above.
|
(23)
|
The calculation of
FD&A costs incorporates the change in FDC required to bring
proved undeveloped and developed reserves into production. In all
cases, the FD&A number is calculated by dividing the identified
capital expenditures by the applicable reserves additions after
changes in FDC costs.
|
(24)
|
The aggregate of the
exploration and development costs incurred in the most recent
financial year and the change during that year in estimated future
development costs generally will not reflect total finding and
development costs related to reserves additions for that
year.
|
(25)
|
The capital
expenditures also exclude capitalized administration
costs.
|
(26)
|
Includes capital spent
in 2022 to develop the assets acquired during 2022 as well as major
land acquisitions in the Peavine and Seal areas.
|
Disclosure of Oil and Gas Information
Unit Cost Calculation. For the purpose of calculating
unit costs, natural gas volumes have been converted to a boe using
six thousand cubic feet equal to one barrel unless otherwise
stated. A boe conversion ratio of 6:1 is based upon an energy
equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner
tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead.
This conversion conforms with Canadian Securities Administrators'
National Instrument 51 101 - Standards of Disclosure for Oil and
Gas Activities ("NI 51-101"). Boe may be misleading, particularly
if used in isolation.
References in this press release to "crude oil" or "oil" refers
to light, medium and heavy crude oil product types as defined by NI
51-101. References to "NGL" throughout this press release comprise
pentane, butane, propane, and ethane, being all NGL as defined by
NI 51-101. References to "natural gas" throughout this press
release refers to conventional natural gas as defined by NI
51-101.
Forward Looking Information
This press release contains certain forward-looking information
(collectively referred to herein as "forward-looking statements")
within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws.
Forward-looking statements are often, but not always, identified by
the use of words such as "guidance", "outlook", "anticipate",
"target", "plan", "continue", "intend", "consider", "estimate",
"expect", "may", "will", "should", "could" or similar words
suggesting future outcomes. More particularly, this press release
contains statements concerning: Tamarack's business strategy,
objectives, strength and focus; future consolidation activity,
organic growth and development and portfolio rationalization;
future intentions with respect to return of capital, including
enhanced dividends and share buybacks; oil and natural gas
production levels, adjusted funds flow and free funds flow;
anticipated operational results for 2023 including, but not limited
to, estimated or anticipated production levels, capital
expenditures, drilling plans and infrastructure initiatives; the
Company's capital program, guidance and budget for 2023 and 2023
capital program and the funding thereof; expectations regarding
commodity prices; the performance characteristics of the Company's
oil and natural gas properties; decline rates and enhanced
recovery, including waterflood initiatives; exploration activities;
successful integration of the Deltastream assets; the ability of
the Company to achieve drilling success consistent with
management's expectations; risk management activities, Tamarack's
commitment to ESG principles and sustainability; and the source of
funding for the Company's activities including development costs.
Future dividend payments and share buybacks, if any, and the level
thereof, are uncertain, as the Company's return of capital
framework and the funds available for such activities from time to
time is dependent upon, among other things, free funds flow
financial requirements for the Company's operations and the
execution of its growth strategy, fluctuations in working capital
and the timing and amount of capital expenditures, debt service
requirements and other factors beyond the Company's control.
Further, the ability of Tamarack to pay dividends and buyback
shares will be subject to applicable laws (including the
satisfaction of the solvency test contained in applicable corporate
legislation) and contractual restrictions contained in the
instruments governing its indebtedness, including its credit
facility. Statements relating to "reserves" are also deemed to be
forward-looking statements, as they involve the implied assessment,
based on certain estimates and assumptions, that the reserves
described exist in the quantities predicted or estimated and that
the reserves can be profitably produced in the future.
The forward-looking statements contained in this document are
based on certain key expectations and assumptions made by Tamarack,
including those relating to: the business plan of Tamarack; the
timing of and success of future drilling, development and
completion activities; the geological characteristics of Tamarack's
properties; the characteristics of recently acquired assets,
including the Deltastream assets; the successful integration of
recently acquired assets into Tamarack's operations; prevailing
commodity prices, price volatility, price differentials and the
actual prices received for the Company's products; the availability
and performance of drilling rigs, facilities, pipelines and other
oilfield services; the timing of past operations and activities in
the planned areas of focus; the drilling, completion and tie-in of
wells being completed as planned; the performance of new and
existing wells; the application of existing drilling and fracturing
techniques; prevailing weather and break-up conditions; royalty
regimes and exchange rates; impact of inflation on costs; the
application of regulatory and licensing requirements; the continued
availability of capital and skilled personnel; the ability to
maintain or grow the banking facilities; the accuracy of Tamarack's
geological interpretation of its drilling and land opportunities,
including the ability of seismic activity to enhance such
interpretation; and Tamarack's ability to execute its plans and
strategies.
Although management considers these assumptions to be reasonable
based on information currently available, undue reliance should not
be placed on the forward-looking statements because Tamarack can
give no assurances that they may prove to be correct. By their very
nature, forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and
uncertainties (both general and specific) that could cause actual
events or outcomes to differ materially from those anticipated or
implied by such forward-looking statements. These risks and
uncertainties include, but are not limited to: the risk that future
dividend payments thereunder are reduced, suspended or cancelled;
unforeseen difficulties in integrating of recently acquired assets
into Tamarack's operations, including the Deltastream assets;
incorrect assessments of the value of benefits to be obtained from
acquisitions and exploration and development programs; risks
associated with the oil and gas industry in general (e.g.
operational risks in development, exploration and production; and
delays or changes in plans with respect to exploration or
development projects or capital expenditures); commodity prices;
the uncertainty of estimates and projections relating to
production, cash generation, costs and expenses, including
increased operating and capital costs due to inflationary
pressures; health, safety, litigation and environmental risks;
access to capital; the COVID-19 pandemic; and Russia's military actions in Ukraine. Due to the nature of the oil and
natural gas industry, drilling plans and operational activities may
be delayed or modified to respond to market conditions, results of
past operations, regulatory approvals or availability of services
causing results to be delayed. Please refer to the Company's AIF
and the management discussion and analysis for the period ended
December 31, 2022 (the
"MD&A") for additional risk factors relating to
Tamarack, which can be accessed either on Tamarack's website at
www.tamarackvalley.ca or under the Company's profile on
www.sedar.com.The forward-looking statements contained in this
press release are made as of the date hereof and the Company does
not undertake any obligation to update publicly or to revise any of
the included forward-looking statements, except as required by
applicable law. The forward-looking statements contained herein are
expressly qualified by this cautionary statement.
This press release contains future-oriented financial
information and financial outlook information (collectively,
"FOFI") about generating sustainable long-term growth in
free funds flow, dividends and share buybacks, prospective results
of operations and production, weightings, operating costs, 2023
capital budget and expenditures, decline rates, balance sheet
strength, adjusted funds flow and free funds flow, net debt, debt
repayments, total returns and components thereof, all of which are
subject to the same assumptions, risk factors, limitations and
qualifications as set forth in the above paragraphs. FOFI contained
in this document was approved by management as of the date of this
document and was provided for the purpose of providing further
information about Tamarack's future business operations. Tamarack
and its management believe that FOFI has been prepared on a
reasonable basis, reflecting management's best estimates and
judgments, and represent, to the best of management's knowledge and
opinion, the Company's expected course of action. However, because
this information is highly subjective, it should not be relied on
as necessarily indicative of future results. Tamarack disclaims any
intention or obligation to update or revise any FOFI contained in
this document, whether as a result of new information, future
events or otherwise, unless required pursuant to applicable law.
Readers are cautioned that the FOFI contained in this document
should not be used for purposes other than for which it is
disclosed herein. Changes in forecast commodity prices, differences
in the timing of capital expenditures, and variances in average
production estimates can have a significant impact on the key
performance measures included in Tamarack's guidance. The Company's
actual results may differ materially from these estimates.
Specified Financial Measures
This press release includes various specified financial
measures, including non-IFRS financial measures, non-IFRS financial
ratios and capital management measures as further described herein.
These measures do not have a standardized meaning prescribed by
International Financial Reporting Standards ("IFRS") and,
therefore, may not be comparable with the calculation of similar
measures by other companies.
"Adjusted funds flow (capital management
measure)" is calculated by taking cash-flow from operating
activities, on a periodic basis, deducting current income taxes and
adding back changes in non-cash working capital, expenditures on
decommissioning obligations and transaction costs since Tamarack
believes the timing of collection, payment or incurrence of these
items is variable. While current income taxes will not be paid
until Q1/23, management believes adjusting for estimated current
income taxes in the period incurred is a better indication of the
adjusted funds generated by the Company. Expenditures on
decommissioning obligations may vary from period to period
depending on capital programs and the maturity of the Company's
operating areas. Expenditures on decommissioning obligations are
managed through the capital budgeting process which considers
available adjusted funds flow. Tamarack uses adjusted funds flow as
a key measure to demonstrate the Company's ability to generate
funds to repay debt and fund future capital investment. Adjusted
funds flow per share is calculated using the same weighted average
basic and diluted shares that are used in calculating income per
share. Adjusted funds flow can also be calculated on a per boe
basis, which results in the measure being considered a non-IFRS
financial ratio.
"Free funds flow (previously referred to as "free adjusted
funds flow") and Capital Expenditures (capital management
measure)". Fee funds flow is calculated by taking
adjusted funds flow and subtracting capital expenditures, excluding
acquisitions and dispositions. Capital expenditure is calculated as
property, plant and equipment additions (net of government
assistance) plus exploration and evaluation additions. Management
believes that free funds flow provides a useful measure to
determine Tamarack's ability to improve returns and to manage the
long-term value of the business.
"Net Production Expenses, Revenue, net of blending expense,
Operating Netback and Operating Field Netback (Non-IFRS Financial
Measures, and Non-IFRS Financial Ratios if calculated on a per boe
basis)" Management uses certain industry benchmarks, such
as net production expenses, revenue, net of blending expense,
operating netback and operating field netback, to analyze financial
and operating performance. Net production expenses are determined
by deducting processing income primarily generated by processing
third party volumes at processing facilities where the Company has
an ownership interest. Under IFRS this source of funds is
required to be reported as revenue. Blending expense includes the
cost of blending diluent to reduce the viscosity of our heavy oil
transported through pipelines to meet pipeline specifications and
is shown as a reduction to heavy oil revenues rather than an
expense as in the financial statements under IFRS. Operating
netback equals total petroleum and natural gas sales (net of
blending), including realized gains and losses on commodity and
foreign exchange derivative contracts, less royalties, net
production expenses and transportation expense. Operating field
netback equals total petroleum and natural gas sales, less
royalties, net production expenses and transportation expense.
These metrics can also be calculated on a per boe basis, which
results in them being considered a non-IFRS financial ratio.
Management considers operating netback and operating field netback
important measures to evaluate Tamarack's operational performance,
as it demonstrates field level profitability relative to current
commodity prices. See the MD&A for a detailed calculation
and reconciliation of Tamarack's netbacks per boe to the most
directly comparable measure presented in accordance with IFRS.
"Net debt (capital management measure)" is
calculated as credit facilities plus senior unsecured notes, plus
deferred acquisition payment notes, plus working capital surplus or
deficiency, plus other liability, including the fair value of
cross-currency swaps, plus government loans, plus facilities
acquisition payments, less notes receivable and excluding the
current portion of fair value of financial instruments,
decommissioning obligations, lease liabilities and the cash award
incentive plan liability.
"Net debt to quarterly annualized adjusted funds flow
(capital management measure)" is calculated as estimated period
end net debt divided by the annualized adjusted funds flow for the
preceding quarter (multiplied by 4 for annualization).
SOURCE Tamarack Valley Energy Ltd.