After driving earnings for many quarters, the financial sector has
been a major drag on total Q1 earnings growth. This is especially
true as financials is the second-worst performing sector this
earnings season, trailing autos.
Total earnings for 100% of the sector’s total market capitalization
are down 7% with a lower beat ratio of 64.6%. Revenues are also
down 14% year over year with a beat ratio of 54.4%. The weakness
can mostly be blamed on sluggish results from big U.S. banks (read:
3 ETF Winners from Earnings Season).
Despite disappointing earnings, one corner of the broader financial
segment – insurance – is performing quite well than the others.
Most of the insurers reported gloomy revenue numbers missing our
estimate, while earnings seem quite inspiring. This is primarily
thanks to a string of earnings beat by some of popular names such
as American International (AIG), Prudential Financial (PRU), Aflac
Inc. (AFL) and Travelers (TRV).
However, MetLife (MET) and Allstate (ALL) reported lackluster
earnings and Chubb Corp (CB) met earnings estimate.
Insurance Earnings in Focus
MetLife, the U.S. life insurer behemoth, missed
the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3 cents and deteriorated 7% from
the year-ago quarter. On the other hand,
PRU, the
second-largest U.S. life insurer, surprised the market with a
strong earnings beat of 13 cents and 5.7% year over year
improvement.
Aflac, the seller of supplement health insurance,
topped our earnings estimate by a penny and saw no change from the
year-ago earnings. The largest commercial insurer in the U.S. and
Canada –
AIG – also reported strong earnings.
Though earnings per share of $1.21 surpassed the Zacks Consensus
Estimate of $1.08, the figure was below the year-ago earnings of
$1.34 (read: 3 ETFs to Profit from the Hot Insurance Industry).
One of the largest property and casualty insurers and an industry
bellwether,
Travelers, posted record earnings of
$2.95 per share, strongly beating Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.13
and improving from the year-ago earnings of $2.33.
Though earnings at another property and casualty insurer –
Chubb - managed to meet our estimate of $1.50, the
figure showed a 30% year-over-year decline thanks to severe winter.
Allstate, personal property and casualty insurer,
lagged the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 14 cents and the year-ago
earnings by a nickel.
Insurance ETFs in Focus
Based on decent earnings, insurance ETFs are leading the financial
ETF space in the trailing one-month period. Investors looking to
gain exposure to this corner of the market segment in a diversified
way may consider the following ETFs (see: all the Financial ETFs
here).
SPDR S&P Insurance ETF (KIE)
This fund follows the S&P Insurance Select Industry Index and
offers equal weight exposure across 51 stocks, suggesting no
concentration risk. None of the securities holds more than 2.39% of
total assets. About two-fifths of the portfolio is allocated to the
property and casualty insurance sector while life & health
insurance accounts for another one-fifth share.
The ETF has managed $271 million in its asset base so far and
trades in good average daily volume of 136,000 shares. The product
has an expense ratio of 0.35% and added about 2.9% over the past
one month. The ETF has a Zacks Rank of 2 or ‘Buy’ rating with
Medium risk outlook.
iShares U.S. Insurance ETF (IAK)
With AUM of $152.8 million, this product tracks the Dow Jones U.S.
Select Insurance Index and charges 45 bps in annual fees. Volume is
light, trading in about 28,000 shares per day. In total, the fund
holds 66 securities in its basket with the largest allocation to
American International at 12.25%, closely followed by Metlife at
9.27%. Other firms do not hold more than 6.39% of assets.
Here again, property and casualty insurance takes the top spot,
accounting for half of the asset base. Life insurance and full time
insurance take the remaining portion in the basket. The fund moved
up nearly 3% over the trailing one month and has a Zacks Rank of 1
or ‘Strong Buy’ rating with Medium risk outlook (read: Should You
Buy Insurance ETFs Now?).
PowerShares KBW Property & Casualty Insurance Fund
(KBWP)
This overlooked ETF provides targeted exposure to the property and
casualty insurers by tracking the KBW Property & Casualty
Index. Holding 24 securities, the fund has a slight tilt toward
Allstate, Travelers and Chubb that collectively make up for 24.19%
of total assets.
Though property and casualty insurance accounts for 66% share,
reinsurance and multiline insurance also receive double-digit
exposure in the basket. The product has amassed just $9.6 million
in AUM and trades in small volumes of just 4,000 shares per day on
average. The ETF charges an annual fee of 35 bps and returned
nearly 4.5% in the last one-month period. KBWP has a Zacks Rank of
2 with Medium risk outlook.
Bottom Line
Investors should note that these products have clearly outpaced the
broad sector fund (XLF) and the market fund (SPY) by a wide margin.
This outperformance is expected to continue in the coming months on
concerns over rising interest rates, which would enable them to
earn more premium on their investment portfolio (read: Play Rising
Rates with These ETFs).
Further, recovering economic health and an improving labor market
are driving higher demand for all types of insurance services,
leading to strength in this segment. Moreover, upside to the sector
could be confirmed by the Zacks Industry Rank, as four out of five
insurance industries have a solid rank (in the top 42%) at the time
of writing.
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ISHARS-US INSUR (IAK): ETF Research Reports
PWRSH-K P&C INS (KBWP): ETF Research Reports
SPDR-KBW INSUR (KIE): ETF Research Reports
SPDR-SP 500 TR (SPY): ETF Research Reports
SPDR-FINL SELS (XLF): ETF Research Reports
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