Ethereum Risk-Reward Ratio Is Now Attractive, Brokerage Firm Explains
December 02 2024 - 11:00PM
NEWSBTC
Ethereum (ETH) now offers an attractive risk-reward ratio,
according to analysts at research and brokerage firm Bernstein.
Despite underperforming compared to other major cryptocurrencies
like Bitcoin (BTC), Solana (SOL), and XRP for most of 2024,
Ethereum’s strong fundamentals may set the stage for a potential
rally. Why Is Ethereum Struggling? Bernstein Analysts Explain
Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency with a market cap
exceeding $430 billion, may be on the verge of significant positive
price action. Bernstein analysts suggest that ETH’s fundamentals
remain strong despite its underperformance, making it an appealing
investment opportunity. To put Ethereum’s performance into
perspective, on a year-to-date (YTD) basis, Bitcoin and Solana have
surged 125% and 122%, respectively, while ETH has only managed a
57% increase. In a client note shared today, analysts led by Gautam
Chhugani highlighted several factors contributing to Ethereum’s
struggles. One issue is that ETH has not established itself as a
store of value to the same extent as BTC. Additionally, the leading
smart contract platform faces increasing competition from
low-latency Layer 1 blockchains such as Solana, Sui, and Aptos.
Related Reading: Ethereum Accumulation Rises As 70% Holders Are In
Profit: What It Means For ETH Price? The note also pointed out that
Ethereum’s reliance on Layer 2 blockchains, including Optimism,
Arbitrum, and Base, often redirects users away from Ethereum’s main
chain. This hampers user retention and limits transaction fee
growth, creating a headwind for ETH’s price momentum. Is Now The
Right Time To Buy ETH? Bernstein analysts argue that Ethereum’s
outlook could improve substantially, particularly in light of
Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump’s recent election
victory. Following Trump’s win, the total cryptocurrency market cap
has surged over 45%, surpassing $3.5 trillion. Ethereum has been
one of the biggest beneficiaries of this rally, gaining 46% since
the election compared to Bitcoin’s 41% and Solana’s 36%. The
analysts also noted key developments that could support Ethereum’s
growth moving forward. They highlighted the increasing likelihood
of staking yield approval in Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs)
under a Trump-led, crypto-friendly Securities and Exchange
Commission (SEC). The analysts explained: We believe, under a new
Trump 2.0 crypto-friendly SEC, ETH staking yield will likely be
approved. The analysts added that Ethereum’s current yield rate of
3% could increase to as high as 4% to 5%, which could be an
attractive yield rate for investors in a declining interest rate
environment. Further, the recently observed growth in Ethereum ETFs
in the form of higher inflows could benefit ETH. Although ETH ETFs
had a lukewarm launch, they have recently outperformed Bitcoin ETFs
in daily inflows. For instance, on November 29, spot ETH ETFs in
the US attracted $332.9 million in inflows, compared to $320
million for Bitcoin ETFs. Related Reading: Ethereum Spot ETFs
Attract Record $295 Million Daily Inflows – Is ETH Set For New
Highs? In addition, Ethereum’s transition to a proof-of-stake (PoS)
consensus algorithm in September 2023 and the protocol’s burn
mechanism have stabilized ETH’s total supply around 120 million. Of
these, about 28% is tied in staking contracts while roughly 10% is
in lending protocols or Layer 2 bridges. With a high proportion –
close to 60% – of total ETH supply unmoved in the past year, the
analysts at Bernstein believe the digital asset might benefit from
favourable demand-supply dynamics. At press time, ETH trades at
$3,644, down 1.8% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from
Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com
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