Euro Falls Amid ECB Rate Cut Speculation
January 29 2025 - 1:20AM
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The euro weakened against other major currencies in the European
session on Wednesday, as traders speculate that the European
Central Bank (ECB) will cut its deposit rate in the policy meeting
tomorrow.
The European Central Bank's policy announcement is due on
Thursday. The bank is likely to lower the rate by 25 basis points
to 2.75 percent.
Investors look ahead to the Federal Reserve's monetary policy
announcement due later in the day.
The U.S. central bank is widely expected to leave interest rates
unchanged, but traders will pay close attention to the accompanying
statement for clues about the outlook for rates.
Amid concerns that the United States' (US) implementation of
tariffs on the Eurozone will impair its economic outlook, investors
have also priced in three additional interest rate cuts of 25 basis
points in the next three meetings.
In the European trading today, the euro fell to nearly a 3-week
low of 0.8364 against the pound and an 8-day low of 0.9423 against
the Swiss franc, from early highs of 0.8388 and 0.9441,
respectively. If the euro extends its downtrend, it is likely to
find support around 0.81 against the pound and 0.93 against the
franc.
Against the U.S. dollar and the yen, the euro dropped to a 6-day
low of 1.0395 and 161.55 from early highs of 1.0444 and 162.49,
respectively. The euro may test support near 1.02 against the
greenback and 157.00 against the yen.
Looking ahead, U.S. mortgage approvals data, goods trade balance
for December, retail and wholesale inventories data for December
and U.S. EIA crude oil data are slated for release in the New York
session.
At 9:45 am ET, the Bank of Canada will announce its interest
rate decision at the monetary policy meeting. The bank is expected
to slash the policy rate 25bps to 3.00%.
After 45 minutes, the Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem will
speak at a press conference.
At 2:00 pm ET, the U.S. Federal Reserve is set to announce its
first monetary policy decision of 2025. The Fed expect the federal
funds rate to remain unchanged in the 4.25%-4.50% range.
Half-an-hour later, the U.S. Fed Chair Jerome Powell will speak
at a press conference on future rate cuts and the Fed's economic
outlook.
Euro vs Yen (FX:EURJPY)
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Euro vs Yen (FX:EURJPY)
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