By Tim Higgins
Tesla Inc. reported a surprising first-quarter profit, fueled by
the sale of regulatory tax credits and strong demand for its Model
3 compact car before the coronavirus pandemic shut down the
company's lone U.S. factory in late March.
The electric-car maker said Wednesday it is too soon to say how
the rest of the year might be affected by efforts to quell the
spread of Covid-19, which have roiled automotive markets globally
and raised concerns of a prolonged recession.
"It is difficult to predict how quickly vehicle manufacturing
and its global supply chain will return to prior levels," the
company said. "Due to the wide range of potential outcomes,
near-term guidance of net income and free cash flow would likely be
inaccurate. We will again revisit our 2020 guidance in our Q2
update."
The Silicon Valley company's first-quarter adjusted profit of
$1.24 a share marked the first time in Tesla's 16-year history that
it has recorded three consecutive quarters of profitability. The
result also defied industry analysts, who on average, expected an
adjusted loss of 28 cents a share.
The closely tracked earnings metric excludes stock-based
compensation. On a net basis, the company reported a profit of $16
million attributable to common shareholders.
The quarter was a dramatic improvement from a year ago when the
company posted a first-quarter loss of $702 million as Chief
Executive Elon Musk struggled to export the Model 3 for the first
time and the company saw an erosion of demand in the U.S.
The latest quarter was helped by an uptick in the sale of
regulatory tax credits that Tesla receives for selling electric
vehicles. Revenue from those sales to competitors -- which is
essentially pure profit -- rose to $354 million from $216 million a
year earlier.
The company's shares climbed more than 8% in after-hours
trading.
Mr. Musk spent last year setting up Tesla for continued growth
in 2020 with the opening of a new factory in China and the
introduction of a Model Y compact sport-utility vehicle that
combined were expected to fuel the auto maker's first full-year
profit.
That growth has been in question as pandemic lockdowns shut down
businesses and commerce for much of the world. Tesla's U.S.
assembly plant in Fremont, Calif., stopped production on March 23
under orders from local government.
Mr. Musk had aimed to resume production on May 4 but those plans
were thrown into disarray when authorities in the San Francisco
area on Monday extended the shutdown for businesses through the end
of May.
Over the weekend, some factory employees were instructed to
report to work this week only to be told to wait for further word
on when to show up, workers said.
Tesla said it has the factory capacity in place to deliver more
than 500,000 vehicles even with the production interruptions.
"For our U.S. factories, it remains uncertain how quickly we and
our suppliers will be able to ramp production after resuming
operations," the company said Wednesday. "We are coordinating
closely with each supplier and associated government."
After raising more than $2 billion in cash in February, the car
maker ended the first quarter with $8.1 billion on hand. The
company said in March its cash cushion was enough for it to weather
the economic uncertainty.
"While near-term cash flow guidance is currently on hold, we are
continuing to significantly invest in our product road map and
long-term capacity expansion plans as we have sufficient
liquidity," Tesla said Wednesday.
The company's free cash flow turned negative after a positive
last three months of 2019. The first quarter's rate of burn, almost
$1 billion, exceeded the $516 million expected by analysts surveyed
by FactSet.
Tesla attributed the swing primarily to the interruption of
operations at the end of the quarter as the coronavirus crisis
exploded. It also faced increased spending during the period as it
brought Model Y production online in Fremont and continued work on
the new China factory.
Mr. Musk has been critical of lockdowns, and Tesla initially
tried to keep its Fremont factory open despite government
instructions. On Twitter late Tuesday night, Mr. Musk vented his
frustrations, writing: "FREE AMERICA NOW."
Deliveries of Tesla vehicles in the quarter rose 40% to nearly
88,500, helping boost revenue to $5.99 billion from $4.5 billion a
year earlier. Analysts had predicted revenue of $6.1 billion.
The company said its revenue was constrained during the period
"by limitations on our ability to deliver vehicles towards the end
of the quarter."
Despite the pandemic, Tesla said it plans to continue increasing
production of the Model Y in Fremont and Model 3 in Shanghai this
quarter. It said the company remains on track to start deliveries
in 2021 of Model Y vehicles made in Shanghai and from a new Berlin
factory under construction. The company is further delaying the
start of deliveries of its Semi truck, to 2021 from the end of this
year.
While much of the automotive industry has been hammered by the
economic slowdown, Tesla's sales in the period showed less impact.
Lucky timing played a part, as the opening of its new factory in
Shanghai at the end of last year fed pent-up demand for China-made
Model 3s that were eligible for subsidies and tax breaks.
The Shanghai factory was down briefly to counter the outbreak,
but has resumed production. Tesla's first-quarter deliveries in
China rose 63% from a year earlier, according to LMC Automotive,
while the overall market collapsed, falling 42%.
The Model Y also became available in the U.S. in March.
Registrations of the new SUV were small, according to researcher
Dominion's Cross-Sell report, which counted seven vehicles in
California. But the potential is great. Mr. Musk has said the
vehicle could outsell the Model 3, which has already transformed
the auto maker from a niche luxury brand into a more mainstream
player.
Prior to the pandemic, Mr. Musk was targeting more 500,000
deliveries of vehicles this year, representing a more than 36%
increase from 2019. Analysts surveyed by FactSet on average expect
Tesla to deliver far fewer with estimates falling to 455,000 on
Tuesday from 510,000 in late February.
Analysts still expect the company to post a profit for the full
year -- but not in the second quarter when they predict a loss and
for deliveries to fall 21% from a year earlier to 75,000.
The first quarter is often Tesla's toughest sales period. Like
many auto makers, its sales fall dramatically in January after the
year-end push of December. Mr. Musk had said as far back as July
that the first three months of the year would be "tough," and as
China wrestled with the coronavirus in January, Tesla finance chief
Zach Kirkhorn warned of a possible impact.
Mr. Musk has plenty of personal incentive to keep investors
excited. He is on the verge of vesting the first stock options of
what could ultimately be a more than $50 billion compensation
package.
The milestones for unlocking the first tranche of shares have
been met, including Tesla reaching a market value of $100 billion.
The company's valuation, which hit that mark for the first time in
January, has to remain at that level for on average six months and
30 days for the tranche to vest. Given the performance of the
stock, analysts expect that to occur soon.
The first tranche of 1.69 million stock options under the
arrangement nominally would net more than $760 million if
immediately sold at today's price, though Mr. Musk is required to
keep the shares for five years after exercising them.
Write to Tim Higgins at Tim.Higgins@WSJ.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
April 29, 2020 19:19 ET (23:19 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2020 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
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