CALGARY, Oct. 22, 2013 /CNW/ - Surge Energy Inc. ("Surge"
or the "Company") announced today two strategic, high quality light
oil acquisitions. The first acquisition involves the $147 million purchase of all of the shares of a
Calgary based private oil and gas
company (the "Privateco"), with high netback, operated, producing
light oil assets focused in the Steelman area of SE
Saskatchewan, and the Dodsland area of SW
Saskatchewan (the "Privateco Assets"). The consideration to
be paid to the shareholders of Privateco is comprised of between
15.7 and 20.7 million shares of Surge, subject to the cash
consideration elected by Privateco shareholders to a maximum of
$30 million, plus the assumption of
$23 million of debt (the "Privateco
Acquisition").
Holders of approximately 67.6% percent of the fully diluted
common shares of Privateco have agreed to enter into lock-up
agreements with Surge, pursuant to which they have agreed to tender
their shares to Surge. The Board of Directors of Privateco
has unanimously approved the Acquisition and recommended that the
shareholders of Privateco tender their shares to Surge. The
Privateco agreement provides for a mutual non-completion fee of
$5 million in the event the Privateco
Acquisition is not completed in certain circumstances.
Additionally, Surge has entered into an
agreement to acquire high quality, high netback, operated,
producing light oil assets primarily located in the SW area of
Manitoba (the "Manitoba Assets").
Total consideration of $135 million
to be paid to the vendor of the Manitoba Assets is comprised of 14.2 million
shares of Surge, and $50 million of
cash (the "Asset Acquisition").
Based upon the Privateco Acquisition and the
Asset Acquisition (collectively the "Acquisitions"), Surge will now
be revising upwards the Company's 2013 exit guidance, and its 2014
full year guidance, as set forth below.
In addition, as a result of these highly
accretive Acquisitions, together with better than anticipated
operational and drilling results, Surge will now be increasing the
Company's dividend 19 percent from $0.42 per year ($0.035 per share per month), to $0.50 per share per year ($0.04166 per share per month).
The closing of the Acquisitions is expected to
occur on or about November
15th, 2013 (the "Closing"). Completion of the
Acquisitions is subject to certain conditions and the receipt of
all regulatory approvals, including the approval of the Toronto
Stock Exchange.
As a result of the structure of the
Acquisitions, post Closing Surge will maintain the Company's
excellent balance sheet and debt to forward cash flow ratio, with
over $120 million of credit
availability on the Company's bank line. In addition, pro-forma the
Acquisitions, there is no change in Surge's very low, "all-in"
sustainability ratio of 93 percent.
STRATEGIC RATIONALE
The Acquisitions fit squarely within Surge's
defined business strategy of investing growth capital to acquire
elite, operated, light and medium gravity crude oil reservoirs,
with large original oil in place ("OOIP"1) and low
recovery factors.
The Privateco Acquisition provides a strategic
entry point for Surge into the prolific Midale Marly, light oil
play trend in SE Saskatchewan, and
the Viking light oil play in SW
Saskatchewan. The Manitoba Assets provide Surge shareholders
with exposure to one of the highest quality, highest netback light
oil plays in Canada, focused in
the Bakken/Three Forks formation located in SW Manitoba.
The Acquisitions are highly accretive to Surge
shareholders and provide Surge with exposure to three of the top
light oil plays in Canada
(collectively the "Assets"). They also provide an excellent
operational platform for additional growth on these proven
trends.
The Acquisitions comprise and possess large OOIP
reservoirs, together with low recovery factors, operatorship and
high working interests. They also possess significant upside from
low risk development drilling and waterfloods. Furthermore, the
Acquisitions include key producing infrastructure, including
batteries, pipelines and waterflood facilities.
Corporately, the light oil Acquisitions
significantly increase Surge's operating netback by over 11
percent, and increase the Company's oil weighting to over 84
percent.
Post Closing Surge will have over 1 Billion
barrels of light and medium gravity original oil in place ("OOIP")
under the Company's ownership and management - with a recovery
factor of less than 3 percent.
ACQUISITION METRICS
The following sets forth the combined metrics
with respect to the Acquisitions:
1. Purchase
Price:
The combined purchase price for the Acquisitions
is $282 million (the "Purchase
Price"), which will be payable at Closing as follows:
a) 29.8 million shares of
Surge;2
b) $23
million debt assumption; and
c) $80
million cash.2
2. Long Life; Light Oil Reserves:
The Acquisitions are both independently
engineered under NI 51-101 and provide combined Proven and Probable
(P+P) reserves of: 9.7 million boe (>98 percent light oil).
Reserve acquisition metrics for the Acquisitions
are: $29.02 per barrel (P+P). No
reserves have been booked in the respective independent engineering
reports for waterflood response.
Based on current production, the Acquisitions
have a long reserve life index of approximately 9.2 years
(P+P).
3. Light Oil
Production:
Current production relating to the Acquisitions
is approximately 2,900 boepd, composed of more than 98% light,
sweet crude oil (38 degree API).
On this basis, Surge is paying approximately $97,250 per flowing barrel of production with
respect to the Acquisitions.
4. High Netbacks and
Strong Recycle Ratio:
Operating netbacks for the Assets are over
$61 per barrel, based on guidance
pricing (as set out below). As a result, Surge has a recycle ratio
of more than 2 times in relation to the Acquisitions.
5. Annual Cash
Flow:
Annual cash flow from the Assets, based on
guidance pricing (as set out below) and using current production
levels, is estimated to be more than $65
million.
Based on current production and using guidance
pricing (as set out below), Surge estimates that the Company is
paying approximately 4.3 times annualized cash flow for the
Acquisitions.
6. Exciting
Upside:
Surge has identified 218 gross (184.4 net) low
risk development drilling locations on the lands comprising the
Assets. Surge has also identified significant unbooked waterflood
upside in relation to the Assets. In this regard, two waterflood
projects have already been initiated on the Assets.
7. Producing
Infrastructure:
The Acquisitions possess key producing
infrastructure, including batteries, pipelines, and waterflood
facilities.
8. Operatorship and High
Working Interests:
The Assets are 95 percent operated, and have
average working interests of greater than 90 percent.
UPWARD REVISION TO GUIDANCE
The following sets forth Surge's
upwardly revised guidance for exit 2013 estimates, and for full
year 2014 estimates.
The Assets comprising the Acquisitions are
quality, light oil assets that have been successfully drilled and
developed by two, high growth, junior private oil and gas
companies. In Surge's lower, growth/dividend model, and as part of
Surge's strategy to maintain its low corporate decline, Surge
management will be utilizing 2014 production estimates for the
Assets which are more conservative and sustainable than the current
combined production levels for these Assets. In this regard, Surge
management does not want to build higher decline rates from newly
drilled wells into the Company's existing low decline asset base.
Accordingly, 2014 production levels will be managed as set forth
below.
The Acquisitions are highly accretive to Surge's
2014 guidance estimates - even at these more conservative
production levels.
Operational:
|
Surge 2014E Guidance
(prior to new
Acquisitions)3 |
Surge 2014E Guidance
(after the new
Acquisitions)3 |
2013E Exit Production (boe/d) |
12,000 (78% Oil/NGLs) |
14,200 (82% Oil/NGLs) |
2014E Average Production (boe/d) |
12,100 (78% Oil/NGLs) |
14,450 (82% Oil/NGLs) |
2014E Exit Production (boe/d) |
12,500 (78% Oil/NGLs) |
14,750 (82% Oil/NGLs) |
2P Reserves4 |
54.6 mmboe |
64.3 mmboe |
RLI (based on 2013E exit production) |
> 12 years |
> 12.4 years |
2014E Capital Spending |
$85 million |
$109 million |
2014E Wells Drilled |
30 wells |
46.5 wells |
2014 Decline |
24% |
25% |
Financial:
|
Surge 2014E Guidance
(prior to new
Acquisitions)3 |
Surge 2014E Guidance
(after the new
Acquisitions)3 |
2014E Funds from Operations
("FFO")5 |
$146 million ($1.20 per
share) |
$201 million ($1.33 per
share) |
2014E Operational Netback |
$38.33/boe |
$42.65/boe |
2014E Cash Flow Netback |
$33.94/boe |
$38.15/boe |
Shares Outstanding |
121 million |
151 million |
Annual Dividend |
$51 million |
$76 million |
Yield6 |
6.3% |
7.5% |
Basic Payout Ratio 2014E |
35% |
38% |
"All-in" Payout Ratio |
93% |
93% |
2014E Exit Net Debt |
$205 million |
$295 million |
2014E Net debt / 2014 FFO |
1.4x |
1.46x |
Bank Line |
$350 million |
Estimated at $430 million |
_________________________
1 Original Oil in Place (OOIP) is the equivalent to
Discovered Petroleum Initially In Place (DPIIP) for the purposes of
this press release. DPIIP is defined as quantity of hydrocarbons
that are estimated to be in place within a known accumulation, plus
those estimated quantities in accumulations yet to be discovered.
There is no certainty that it will be commercially viable to
produce any portion of the resources. A recovery project cannot be
defined for this volume of DPIIP at this time, and as such it
cannot be further sub-categorized.
2 Assumes maximum cash election by Privateco
shareholders. Depending on the amount of the cash elected, the
number of shares issued by Surge will range between 29.8 million
and 34.8 million, and the total cash component for the combined
Acquisitions will range from $50 to $80
million.
3 Based on 2014 Edmonton Par $90.45/bbl; 2014 AECO gas $3.69/mcf and a 2014
CAD/USD exchange rate of $0.985.
4 Based on independent engineering reports as of
December 31, 2012 or later.
5 Management uses funds from operations (cash flow from
operations before changes in non-cash working capital, legal
settlement expenses, transaction costs and current tax on
disposition) to analyze operating performance and leverage. Funds
from operations as presented does not have any standardized meaning
prescribed by IFRS and, therefore, may not be comparable with the
calculation of similar measures for other entities.
6 Based on a Surge share price of $6.70.
INCREASED DIVIDEND
As a result of the highly accretive
Acquisitions, together with better than anticipated operational and
drilling results, Surge's Board of Directors have now approved a 19
percent increase in the Company's annual dividend.
Accordingly, effective November 15, 2013, Surge's annual dividend will
be increased from $0.42 per share per
year ($0.035 per share per month) to
$0.50 per share per year
($0.04166 per share per month).
On this basis, Surge shareholders of record on
November 29, 2013 will receive the
increased dividend for November production payable on December 16th, 2013.
Another positive aspect of the Acquisitions is
that Surge will assume all existing crude oil hedges of the
Privateco. These hedges include 975 bbl/d of WTI swap transactions
at CAD$98.18 per barrel for 2014.
As a result of the structure of the
Acquisitions, post-Closing Surge will maintain the Company's
excellent balance sheet and debt to forward cash flow ratio, with
over $120 million of credit
availability on the Company's bank lines. In addition, pro-forma
the Acquisitions there is no change in Surge's very low, "all-in"
sustainability ratio of 93 percent.
ADVISORS
Macquarie Capital Markets Canada Ltd. is acting
as financial advisor to Surge with respect to the Privateco
Acquisition. CIBC World Markets Inc. and Scotia Capital Inc. are
acting as strategic advisors to Surge with respect to the Privateco
Acquisition.
GMP Securities L.P. is acting as financial
advisor to Surge with respect to the Asset Acquisition. National
Bank Financial Inc. is acting as strategic advisor to Surge with
respect to the Asset Acquisition.
Macquarie Capital Markets Canada Ltd. is acting
as lead transaction advisor to Surge with respect to both
Acquisitions.
Peters & Co. Limited acted as financial
advisor to the Privateco.
FirstEnergy Capital Corp. acted as exclusive
financial advisor to the Asset Acquistion.
FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS:
This press release contains forward-looking statements.
More particularly, it contains forward-looking statements
concerning: (i) targeted growth in reserves, production and cash
flow per share, (ii) the sustainability of dividends, (iii)
potential growth through acquisitions, (iv) ultimate recovery
factors at certain of Surge's properties, (v) planned drilling,
development and waterflood activities, (vi) the potential number of
drilling locations at certain of Surge's properties, (vii)
estimated Q1 2014 production, (viii) estimated 2014 average and
exit rates of production, (ix) estimated 2014 capital expenditures,
wells drilled, decline rates, funds from operations, operating
netback, cash flow netback and payout ratio,* estimated 2013 year
end net debt and net debt to funds from operations ratio; and (xi)
the anticipated exceeding by Surge of the previously estimated 2013
exit rate of production.
This press release contains forward-looking
statements. More particularly, this press release contains
statements concerning anticipated: (i) timing and completion of the
Acquisitions, expectations and assumptions concerning timing of
receipt of required regulatory approvals and the satisfaction of
other conditions to the completion of the Acquisitions, (ii)
potential development opportunities and drilling locations
associated with the Acquisitions, expectations and assumptions
concerning the success of future drilling and development
activities, the performance of existing wells, the performance of
new wells, the successful application of technology and the
geological characteristics of the Acquisitions, (iii) the timing
and amount of future dividend payments, (iv) oil & natural gas
production growth during 2013 and 2014, (v) debt and bank
facilities, (vi) capital expenditures, (vii) primary and secondary
recovery potentials and implementation thereof, (viii) decline
rates, (ix) funds from operations, * operating and cash flow
netbacks, and (xi) realization of anticipated benefits of
acquisitions.
The forward-looking statements contained in this press release
are based on certain key expectations and assumptions made by
Surge, including expectations and assumptions concerning the
success of future drilling, development and completion activities,
the performance of existing wells, the performance of new wells,
the viability of waterflood projects, the availability and
performance of facilities and pipelines, the geological
characteristics of Surge's properties, the successful application
of drilling, completion and seismic technology, prevailing weather
conditions, commodity prices, royalty regimes and exchange rates,
the application of regulatory and licensing requirements and the
availability of capital, labour and services.
Although Surge believes that the expectations and assumptions on
which the forward-looking statements are based are reasonable,
undue reliance should not be placed on the forward-looking
statements because Surge can give no assurance that they will prove
to be correct. Since forward-looking statements address future
events and conditions, by their very nature they involve inherent
risks and uncertainties. Actual results could differ materially
from those currently anticipated due to a number of factors and
risks. These include, but are not limited to, risks associated with
the oil and gas industry in general (e.g., operational risks in
development, exploration and production; delays or changes in plans
with respect to exploration or development projects or capital
expenditures; the uncertainty of reserve estimates; the uncertainty
of estimates and projections relating to production, costs and
expenses, and health, safety and environmental risks), commodity
price and exchange rate fluctuations and uncertainties resulting
from potential delays or changes in plans with respect to
exploration or development projects or capital expenditures.
Certain of these risks are set out in more detail in Surge's Annual
Information Form which has been filed on SEDAR and can be accessed
at www.sedar.com.
The forward-looking statements contained in this press release
are made as of the date hereof and Surge undertakes no obligation
to update publicly or revise any forward-looking statements or
information, whether as a result of new information, future events
or otherwise, unless so required by applicable securities laws.
Financial Outlooks
The estimates of 2013 year end net debt, 2014 funds from
operations and 2014 operating netback and cash flow netback
contained in this press release are financial outlooks within the
meaning of applicable securities laws. These financial
outlooks have been prepared by management of Surge to provide an
outlook of Surge's anticipated funds from operations and netbacks
for a full year of operations with its current assets and based on
management's expectations and assumptions as to a number of
factors, including commodity pricing, production, operating
expenses and royalties. Readers are cautioned that this
information may not be appropriate for any other
purpose. Management does not have firm commitments for
all of the costs, expenditures, prices or other financial
assumptions used to prepare the financial outlooks or assurance
that such results will be achieved. The actual results of
Surge will likely vary from the amounts set forth in the financial
outlooks and such variation may be material.
Surge and its management believe that the financial outlooks
have been prepared on a reasonable basis, reflecting the best
estimates and judgments, and represent, to the best of management's
knowledge and opinion, Surge's expected expenditures and results of
operations following completion of the Acquisitions. However,
because this information is highly subjective and subject to
numerous risks, including the risks discussed under the note
regarding Forward Looking Statements, it should not be relied on as
necessarily indicative of future results. Except as required by
applicable securities laws, Surge undertakes no obligation to
update this information.
Note: Boe means barrel of oil equivalent on the basis of 1 boe
to 6,000 cubic feet of natural gas. Boe may be misleading,
particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of
1 boe for 6,000 cubic feet of natural gas is based on an energy
equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner
tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the
wellhead. Boe/d means barrel of oil equivalent per day.
In this press release: (i) mcf means thousand cubic feet; (ii)
mcf/d means thousand cubic feet per day (iii) mmcf means million
cubic feet; (iv) mmcf/d means million cubic feet per day; (v) bbls
means barrels; (vi) mbbls means thousand barrels; (vii) mmbbls
means million barrels; (viii) bbls/d means barrels per day; (ix)
bcf means billion cubic feet; * mboe means thousand barrels of oil
equivalent; and (xi) mmboe means million barrels of oil
equivalent
Neither the TSX nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that
term is defined in the policies of the TSX) accepts responsibility
for the adequacy or accuracy of this release.
SOURCE Surge Energy Inc.