CALGARY,
AB, Nov. 6, 2024 /CNW/ - Surge Energy Inc.
("Surge" or the "Company") (TSX: SGY) is pleased to announce
financial and operating results for the quarter ended September 30, 2024, as well as the Company's 2025
capital and operating budget as approved by Surge's board of
directors (the "Board").
Select financial and operating information is outlined below and
should be read in conjunction with the Company's unaudited interim
financial statements and management's discussion and analysis for
the three and nine months ended September
30, 2024, available at www.sedarplus.ca and on Surge's
website at www.surgeenergy.ca.
MESSAGE TO SHAREHOLDERS
Surge has a high quality, light and medium gravity crude oil
asset and opportunity base, with an internally estimated drilling
inventory that supports more than 10 years of drilling1
- in two of the top four crude oil plays in North America2 (based on per
well payout economics). Surge's management ("Management") and Board
operate and manage the Company to maximize free cash flow available
for shareholder returns, primarily through a sustainable base
dividend and share buybacks, which have historically been shown to
deliver superior returns to investors over time3.
Q3 2024 FINANCIAL AND OPERATIONAL
HIGHLIGHTS
During Q3/24, Surge completed the strategic repositioning
of the Company's debt capital structure with the closing of a
$175 million, 5 year term, senior
unsecured note financing ("Senior Unsecured Notes"). Concurrently,
Surge repaid the Company's $126
million second-lien secured term facility, as well as all
amounts drawn under Surge's first-lien revolving credit facility.
The Company further strengthened Surge's financial position with an
increase of $40 million to its
first-lien revolving credit facility, which now stands undrawn at
$250 million.
With the completion of the Senior Unsecured Note financing,
substantially all of the Company's net debt4 has
now been termed out through late 2028 (Surge's existing
$48 million aggregate principal
amount of convertible debentures), and late 2029 (the $175 million Senior Unsecured Notes).
As at September 30, 2024, Surge
had $11.5 million of cash on hand, in
addition to its undrawn $250 million
first-lien revolving credit facility, as a result of these
strategic debt capital transactions.
During Q3/24, Surge delivered adjusted funds flow
("AFF")4 of $72.7
million and cash flow from operating activities
of $73.4 million.
Seasonally, Q3/24 represents a higher capital expenditure period
for the Company due to increased drilling activity following the
conclusion of spring breakup (and the removal of associated road
bans) within Surge's operating areas. On this basis, in Q3/24,
Surge spent $51.4 million on
property, plant, and equipment expenditures, drilling 27 gross
(24.2 net) wells in its Sparky and SE
Saskatchewan core areas.
Even with the increased post-breakup drilling activity in Q3/24,
the Company generated free cash flow ("FCF")4 of
$21.3 million, representing 29
percent of AFF generated in Q3/24.
In Q3/24, Surge returned $12.7
million to its shareholders by way of the Company's annual
base cash dividend of $0.52 per share
(paid monthly), which represents 17 percent of AFF generated during
the quarter.
Surge returned an additional $4.0
million to shareholders in Q3/24, through the Company's
active normal course issuer bid ("NCIB"), repurchasing 621,700
shares during the quarter.
On a combined basis, Surge provided direct returns of
approximately $17 million to the
Company's shareholders in Q3/24 through the base dividend and the
NCIB share repurchases. This represents approximately 23 percent of
AFF returned to shareholders in the quarter.
In Q3/24, the Company continued to validate and expand Surge's
large, new Sparky crude oil discovery at Hope Valley, drilling 3.0
gross (3.0 net) additional wells at the property. Surge now
estimates over 80 multi-lateral drilling
locations1 at Hope Valley. The Company is
encouraged by the repeatability of its ongoing drilling results at
Hope Valley as it moves into the full development phase of this new
Sparky discovery.
Highlights from the Company's Q3 2024
financial and operating results include:
- Increasing average daily production to 23,795 boepd (87 percent
liquids) during Q3/24, as compared to 23,618 boepd (87 percent
liquids) in Q2/24. Q3 was the first full quarter following the
non-core asset sales of approximately 1,100 boepd that closed in
late Q2/24, as announced on May 29,
2024;
- Drilling 27 gross (24.2 net) wells, with activity focused in
the Company's Sparky and SE
Saskatchewan core areas;
- Reducing net operating expenses4 by $1.50 per boe (seven percent) to $18.81 per boe in Q3/24, as compared to
$20.31 per boe in Q2/24;
- Providing additional term and reduced interest expense costs
with the successful closing of Surge's $175
million Senior Unsecured Note financing. The Senior
Unsecured Notes bear interest at a rate of 8.5% per annum and
mature on September 5, 2029;
- Repaying in full the Company's $126
million second-lien term facility;
- Distributing $12.7 million to
Surge's shareholders by way of the Company's $0.52 per share per annum base dividend (paid
monthly); and
- Returning an additional $4.0
million to shareholders by way of the Company's NCIB share
repurchase program.
FINANCIAL AND OPERATING HIGHLIGHTS
FINANCIAL AND
OPERATING HIGHLIGHTS
|
Three Months Ended
September 30,
|
Nine Months Ended
September 30,
|
($000s except per
share and per boe)
|
2024
|
2023
|
%
Change
|
2024
|
2023
|
%
Change
|
Financial
highlights
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Oil sales
|
158,463
|
177,440
|
(11) %
|
477,213
|
479,634
|
(1) %
|
NGL sales
|
3,333
|
3,173
|
5 %
|
10,840
|
9,433
|
15 %
|
Natural gas
sales
|
395
|
3,862
|
(90) %
|
5,478
|
12,855
|
(57) %
|
Total oil, natural gas,
and NGL revenue
|
162,191
|
184,475
|
(12) %
|
493,531
|
501,922
|
(2) %
|
Cash flow from
operating activities
|
73,420
|
71,315
|
3 %
|
213,809
|
186,429
|
15 %
|
Per share - basic
($)
|
0.73
|
0.72
|
1 %
|
2.12
|
1.90
|
12 %
|
Per share diluted
($)
|
0.72
|
0.71
|
1 %
|
2.08
|
1.85
|
12 %
|
Adjusted funds
flowa
|
72,710
|
86,874
|
(16) %
|
218,002
|
214,845
|
1 %
|
Per share - basic
($)a
|
0.72
|
0.87
|
(17) %
|
2.16
|
2.19
|
(1) %
|
Per share diluted
($)
|
0.71
|
0.86
|
(17) %
|
2.13
|
2.13
|
— %
|
Net income
(loss)c
|
17,263
|
16,583
|
4 %
|
(51,060)
|
45,427
|
nm
|
Per share basic
($)
|
0.17
|
0.17
|
— %
|
(0.51)
|
0.46
|
nm
|
Per share diluted
($)d
|
0.17
|
0.16
|
6 %
|
(0.51)
|
0.45
|
nm
|
Expenditures on
property, plant and equipment
|
51,361
|
43,945
|
17 %
|
136,826
|
120,267
|
14 %
|
Net acquisitions and
dispositions
|
(20)
|
231
|
nmb
|
(33,521)
|
(2,143)
|
nm
|
Net capital
expenditures
|
51,341
|
44,176
|
16 %
|
103,305
|
118,124
|
(13) %
|
Net debta,
end of period
|
247,314
|
286,295
|
(14) %
|
247,314
|
286,295
|
(14) %
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Operating
highlights
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Production:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Oil (bbls per
day)
|
19,988
|
20,188
|
(1) %
|
20,078
|
20,330
|
(1) %
|
NGLs (bbls per
day)
|
779
|
659
|
18 %
|
832
|
669
|
24 %
|
Natural gas (mcf per
day)
|
18,168
|
19,564
|
(7) %
|
19,167
|
19,396
|
(1) %
|
Total (boe per day)
(6:1)
|
23,795
|
24,108
|
(1) %
|
24,105
|
24,232
|
(1) %
|
Average realized price
(excluding hedges):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Oil ($ per
bbl)
|
86.17
|
95.53
|
(10) %
|
86.74
|
86.42
|
— %
|
NGL ($ per
bbl)
|
46.50
|
52.34
|
(11) %
|
47.57
|
51.63
|
(8) %
|
Natural gas ($ per
mcf)
|
0.24
|
2.15
|
(89) %
|
1.04
|
2.43
|
(57) %
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Netback ($ per
boe)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Petroleum and natural
gas revenue
|
74.09
|
83.17
|
(11) %
|
74.72
|
75.87
|
(2) %
|
Realized loss on
commodity and FX contracts
|
(0.10)
|
(0.69)
|
(86) %
|
(0.49)
|
(0.83)
|
(41) %
|
Royalties
|
(14.88)
|
(15.05)
|
(1) %
|
(13.66)
|
(13.34)
|
2 %
|
Net operating
expensesa
|
(18.81)
|
(20.82)
|
(10) %
|
(20.33)
|
(21.56)
|
(6) %
|
Transportation
expenses
|
(1.39)
|
(1.31)
|
6 %
|
(1.26)
|
(1.56)
|
(19) %
|
Operating
netbacka
|
38.91
|
45.30
|
(14) %
|
38.98
|
38.58
|
1 %
|
G&A
expense
|
(2.35)
|
(2.13)
|
10 %
|
(2.34)
|
(2.13)
|
10 %
|
Interest
expense
|
(3.34)
|
(4.01)
|
(17) %
|
(3.64)
|
(3.96)
|
(8) %
|
Adjusted funds
flowa
|
33.22
|
39.16
|
(15) %
|
33.00
|
32.49
|
2 %
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Common shares
outstanding, end of period
|
101,426
|
100,314
|
1 %
|
101,426
|
100,314
|
1 %
|
Weighted average basic
shares outstanding
|
101,066
|
99,384
|
2 %
|
100,728
|
98,277
|
2 %
|
Stock based
compensation dilutiond
|
1,471
|
1,589
|
(7) %
|
1,843
|
2,459
|
(25) %
|
Weighted average
diluted shares outstanding
|
102,537
|
100,973
|
2 %
|
102,571
|
100,736
|
2 %
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
a This is a
non-GAAP and other financial measure which is defined in Non-GAAP
and Other Financial Measures.
|
b The
Company views this change calculation as not meaningful, or
"nm".
|
c The nine
months ended September 30, 2024 includes a non-cash impairment
charge of $96.5 million.
|
d Dilution
is not reflected in the calculation of net loss for the nine months
ended September 30, 2024.
|
OPERATIONS UPDATE: CONTINUED DRILLING SUCCESS IN SPARKY AND
SE SASKATCHEWAN CORE AREAS
Surge continued the Company's 2024 drilling program in Q3/24,
with two rigs drilling in the Sparky core area and one rig in the
SE Saskatchewan core area. Surge
remains on track to meet the Company's 2024 production exit rate
target of 24,000 boepd.
Surge's Q3/24 drilling program consisted of a total of 27 gross
(24.2 net) wells, with 12 gross (12.0 net) wells drilled in the
Sparky core area and 15 gross (12.2 net) drilled in the
SE Saskatchewan core area.
The development of Surge's Hope Valley discovery continued in
Q3/24 with the drilling of three multi-leg horizontal wells. These
three wells were drilled each with 12 lateral legs, accessing an
average of 15,000 meters of Sparky reservoir per well, utilizing
the application of modern multi-lateral open hole drilling
technology.
The first two wells drilled in Q3/24 are now on production, with
60 day production rates of 230 bopd and 220 bopd respectively, and
the third well is currently on production in its initial clean-up
stage. These production results compare favorably to the offset
discovery well, which had a 60 day initial production rate of 244
bopd and a 90 day initial production rate of 236 bopd, as
previously announced in Q2/24. Surge is encouraged by the
repeatability of the Company's recent drilling results1 at Hope
Valley as it moves into the development phase for this asset.
Additionally, during Q3/24, the Company began construction of a
multi-well battery at Hope Valley which is expected to be completed
in December 2024. Following Surge's
continued success at Hope Valley, the Company has commenced a
follow-up 42 square kilometer 3D seismic program to complement the
Company's existing 3D dataset. This seismic data will be utilized
in Surge's 2025 drilling program and will help to further de-risk
its expanding Hope Valley inventory. The Company currently
owns 32.5 net sections of land at Hope Valley, and internally
estimates over 80 (net) multi-lateral Sparky drilling locations on
these lands.
The Company also continued its strong operational momentum in
SE Saskatchewan during Q3/24,
drilling 15 gross (12.2 net) wells in this core, operated light oil
area. Drilling was focused in Surge's Steelman and Viewfield properties, targeting
the Frobisher formation where 8
gross (8.0 net) wells were drilled. The first six wells of
this Frobisher program are now on
production, with an average IP30 rate of over 425 boepd (90% light
oil).
Surge has a drilling inventory of over 250 (internally
estimated) net locations1 in SE
Saskatchewan, of which more than 165 are Frobisher light oil locations.
2025 CAPITAL AND OPERATING BUDGET: MAXIMIZING FREE CASH
FLOW
Given the recent instability and volatility of world crude oil
prices, Management has elected to utilize a US$70 WTI crude oil price assumption for the
Company's 2025 capital and operating budget.
In 2025, Surge will continue to focus on the Company's
disciplined capital allocation business strategy, with cash flow
strategically allocated between focused capital projects and
returns to shareholders. Surge is currently returning over
$52 million annually to shareholders
through the Company's existing $0.52
per share per annum base dividend (paid monthly).
Additionally, Management currently anticipates allocating the
majority of the Company's remaining excess free cash flow ("excess
FCF")4 in 2025 to share repurchases under its existing
NCIB program.
Surge's 2025 capital budget will see greater than 95 percent of
the Company's development expenditures directed towards two of the
top four crude oil plays in Canada2 in its Sparky (>11,500
boepd; 85% liquids) and SE
Saskatchewan (~8,500 boepd; 90% liquids) core areas, which
now comprise over 83 percent of the Company's current
production.
Surge has reduced the Company's 2025 capital spending budget by
$20 million, from $190 million in 2024, to $170 million in 2025. This significant reduction
in forecast capital expenditures is largely due to the Company's
successful application of modern, multilateral drilling
technologies in both the Sparky and SE
Saskatchewan core areas, which have provided improved
capital efficiencies and increased FCF.
The reduction in Surge's 2025 capital budget further is expected
to further improve the sustainability of the Company's dividend and
shareholder returns based business model, with the $20 million reduction in year over year budgeted
capital expenditures representing nearly 40 percent of Surge's
annual dividend payment of $52.7
million.
Based on Surge's 2025 capital budget, the Company anticipates
delivering average production of 23,750 boepd (87 percent liquids),
while concurrently generating an anticipated $85 million of FCF at US$70 WTI crude oil pricing5.
Management and the Board closely monitor market conditions for
commodity prices, Canadian oil price differentials, as well as
interest and foreign exchange rates. The pace of the Company's
capital expenditures budget is strategically adjusted by Management
based on market conditions.
2025 BUDGET HIGHLIGHTS
Surge's disciplined 2025 capital and operating budget is
designed to maximize FCF as follows:
- A focused $170 million
exploration and development capital expenditure
program;
- Forecast AFF flow of more than $277
million ($2.73 per share) at
US$70 WTI crude oil
pricing5;
- Forecast annual cash flow from operating activities of more
than $255 million ($2.51 per share) at US$70 WTI crude oil
pricing5;
- Forecast FCF of $85 million
($0.84 per share) at US$70 WTI crude oil
pricing5;
- Targets the drilling of 65.0 of the Company's most capital
efficient net drilling locations; focused predominately in the
Sparky and SE Saskatchewan core
areas; and
- Utilizes less than 8 percent of the Company's internally
estimated drilling location inventory (i.e. over 900 net total
estimated locations currently in inventory)1.
Further details relating to the 2025 budget are set forth
below:
Guidance
|
@ US $70
WTI5
|
Average 2025
production
|
23,750 boepd (87%
liquids)
|
2025(e) Exploration and
development expenditures
|
$170 million
|
2025(e) Adjusted Funds
Flow
|
$277
million
|
Per
share
|
$2.73 per
share
|
2025(e) Cash flow from
operating activities*
|
$255
million
|
Per
share
|
$2.51 per
share
|
2025(e) Free cash
flow
|
$85
million
|
Per
share
|
$0.84 per
share
|
2025(e) Base
dividend
|
$53
million
|
Per
share
|
$0.52 per
share
|
2025(e) Royalties as a
% of petroleum and
natural gas
revenue
|
19.0 %
|
2025(e) Net operating
expenses
|
$19.50 - $19.95 per
boe
|
2025(e) Transportation
expenses
|
$1.50 - $1.75 per
boe
|
2025(e) General &
administrative expenses
|
$2.25 - $2.45 per
boe
|
2025(e) Interest
expenses
|
$2.50 - $2.75 per
boe
|
$1.3 billion in tax
pools (providing an estimated 4-year tax horizon)
|
* Cash flow from
operating activities assumes a nil change in non-cash working
capital.
|
2025 DRILLING PROGRAM: FOCUSED ON THE SPARKY (MANNVILLE) AND SE
SASKATCHEWAN (FROBISHER)
Surge's 2025 capital program is focused in the Company's Sparky
and SE Saskatchewan core areas,
with 100 percent of the 2025 drilling budget in these two
areas. A total of approximately 65.0 net wells are planned
across all core areas, with 34.0 net wells planned in the Sparky,
and 31.0 net wells planned in SE
Saskatchewan.
Sparky (Mannville)
Surge's 2025 capital program in the Sparky core area (>85%
liquids; 23° API average crude oil gravity) is directed to
development drilling, consisting of 19 net single-leg fracked
Sparky horizontal wells and 15 net multi-leg Sparky wells. In
2025, Management will be focused on the continued growth of Surge's
multi-lateral well footprint in the Mannville stack of formations, with
approximately 50 percent of drilling capital directed to
multi-lateral development.
SE
Saskatchewan
In the Company's SE
Saskatchewan core area, Surge is currently budgeting the
drilling of 31.0 net conventional Mississippian horizontal wells,
with 23.0 of these wells targeting the Frobisher formation, and 8.0 wells targeting
the Midale and Lodgepole
formations.
Over the past number of years, the Company has endeavored to
optimize reservoir contact by drilling two and three leg vertically
stacked multi-lateral wells within the Frobisher formation. In 2025, 17.0 net
wells of Surge's planned 23.0 net Frobisher wells (74 percent) will be drilled
as multi-lateral horizontal wells.
OUTLOOK: THE PATH TO VALUE MAXIMIZATION
Following the early repayment of Surge's $126 million second-lien term facility, combined
with the successful $175 million
Senior Unsecured Note financing (together with an undrawn
$250 million first-lien credit
facility), the Company is now allocating substantially all excess
FCF to shareholder returns through its base dividend and share
buybacks.
Surge has a high quality, light and medium gravity crude oil
asset and opportunity base, with an internally estimated drilling
inventory that supports more than 10 years of drilling1
- in two of the top four crude oil plays in North America2 (based
on per well payout economics). Surge's Management and Board operate
and manage the Company to maximize FCF available for shareholder
returns, primarily through a sustainable base dividend and share
buybacks, which have historically been shown to deliver superior
returns to investors over time3.
FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS
This press release contains forward-looking statements. The use
of any of the words "anticipate", "continue", "estimate", "expect",
"may", "will", "project", "should", "believe", "potential" and
similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking
statements. These statements involve known and unknown risks,
uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results or
events to differ materially from those anticipated in such
forward-looking statements.
More particularly, this press release contains statements
concerning: Surge's expectation it will meet the Company's 2024
production exit rate target; the anticipated completion date of the
construction of a multi-well battery at Hope Valley; the
anticipated use of the seismic data obtained from its 3D seismic
program in Surge's 2025 drilling program and the expectations such
data will help to further de-risk its expanding Hope Valley
inventory; Surge's expectations and estimates with respect to its
2025 capital and operating budget; Surge's 2025 guidance; Surge's
continued focus through 2025 on its disciplined capital allocation
strategy; the anticipation that a majority of the Company's
remaining free cash flow in 2025 will be used for share repurchases
under its NCIB program; the expectation that the reduction in
Surge's 2025 capital budget will improve the sustainability of the
Company's dividend and shareholder returns based business model;
Management's focus on the continued growth of Surge's multi-lateral
well footprint in the Mannville
stack and the commitment to development drilling in the Sparky
area; Surge's planned 2025 drilling program; Surge's expectations
regarding crude oil prices and WCS differentials; Surge's
identification of potential drilling locations, including in Hope
Valley; and the Company's ability to de-risk future drilling
locations in Hope Valley.
The forward-looking statements are based on certain key
expectations and assumptions made by Surge, including expectations
and assumptions around the performance of existing wells and
success obtained in drilling new wells; Surge's pricing assumptions
of US$70 WTI, US$13.50 WCS differential, US$3.50 EDM differential, $0.725 CAD/USD FX and $2.50 AECO; anticipated operating, transportation
and general and administrative costs and expenses; the application
of regulatory and royalty regimes; prevailing economic conditions;
development and completion activities; the performance of new
wells; the successful implementation of waterflood programs; the
availability of and performance of facilities and pipelines; the
geological characteristics of Surge's properties; the successful
application of drilling, completion and seismic technology; the
determination of decommissioning liabilities; prevailing weather
conditions; licensing requirements; the impact of completed
facilities on operating costs; the availability and costs of
capital, labour and services; and the creditworthiness of industry
partners.
Although Surge believes that the expectations and assumptions on
which the forward-looking statements are based are reasonable,
undue reliance should not be placed on the forward-looking
statements because Surge can give no assurance that they will prove
to be correct. Since forward-looking statements address future
events and conditions, by their very nature, they involve inherent
risks and uncertainties. Actual results could differ materially
from those currently anticipated due to a number of factors and
risks. These include, but are not limited to, risks associated with
the condition of the global economy, including trade, public health
and other geopolitical risks (including the Russian invasion of
Ukraine and continued conflict in
the Middle East); risks associated
with the oil and gas industry in general (e.g., operational risks
in development, exploration and production; delays or changes in
plans with respect to exploration or development projects or
capital expenditures; inability of Surge to fund its future capital
requirements and business plan; the uncertainty of reserve
estimates; the uncertainty of estimates and projections relating to
production, costs and expenses, and health, safety and
environmental risks); commodity price and exchange rate
fluctuations and constraint in the availability of services,
adverse weather or break-up conditions; uncertainties resulting
from potential delays or changes in plans with respect to
exploration or development projects or capital expenditures; risks
related to decommissioning liabilities including as a result of
changes to laws or regulations, reserves estimates, costs and
technology; failure to obtain the continued support of the lenders
under Surge's current credit facilities; potential decrease in the
available lending limits under Surge's credit facilities as a
result of the syndicate's interpretation of the Company's reserves,
commodity prices and decommissioning obligations; or the inability
to obtain consent of lenders to increase or maintain the credit
facilities. Certain risks are set out in more detail in Surge's
annual information form dated March 6,
2024 and in Surge's interim management discussion and
analysis for the period ended September 30,
2024, both of which have been filed on SEDAR+ and can be
accessed at www.sedarplus.ca.
The forward-looking statements contained in this press release
are made as of the date hereof and Surge undertakes no obligation
to update publicly or revise any forward-looking statements or
information, whether as a result of new information, future events
or otherwise, unless required by applicable securities laws.
Oil and Gas Advisories
The term "boe" means barrel of oil equivalent on the basis of 1
boe to 6,000 cubic feet of natural gas. Boe may be misleading,
particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of 1 boe
for 6,000 cubic feet of natural gas is based on an energy
equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner
tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead.
"Boe/d" and "boepd" mean barrel of oil equivalent per day. Bbl
means barrel of oil and "bopd" means barrels of oil per day. NGLs
means natural gas liquids.
This press release contains certain oil and gas metrics and
defined terms which do not have standardized meanings or standard
methods of calculation and therefore such measures may not be
comparable to similar metrics/terms presented by other issuers and
may differ by definition and application.
"Internally estimated" means an estimate that is derived by
Surge's internal Qualified Reserve Evaluators ("QRE's") and
prepared in accordance with National Instrument 51-101 Standards of
Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities and the COGE Handbook. All
internal estimates contained in this new release have been prepared
effective as of January 1, 2024.
Drilling Inventory
Unbooked locations are internal estimates based on prospective
acreage and assumptions as to the number of wells that can be
drilled per section based on industry practice and internal review.
Unbooked locations do not have attributed reserves or resources.
Unbooked locations have been identified by Surge's internal
certified Engineers and Geologists as an estimation of our
multi-year drilling activities based on evaluation of applicable
geologic, seismic, engineering, production and reserves
information. There is no certainty that the Company will drill any
or all unbooked drilling locations and if drilled, there is no
certainty that such locations will result in additional oil and gas
reserves, resources or production. The drilling locations on which
the Company actually drills wells will ultimately depend upon the
availability of capital, regulatory approvals, seasonal
restrictions, oil and natural gas prices, costs, actual drilling
results, additional reservoir information that is obtained and
other factors. While certain unbooked drilling locations have been
de-risked by drilling existing wells in close proximity to such
unbooked drilling locations, the majority of other unbooked
drilling locations are farther away from existing wells where
Management has less information about the characteristics of the
reservoir and therefore, there is more uncertainty whether wells
will be drilled in such locations and if drilled, there is more
uncertainty that such wells will result in additional oil and gas
reserves, resources or production.
Assuming a January 1, 2024
reference date (and net of the May 29,
2024 non-core dispositions, announced May 30, 2024), the Company will have over
>1,000 gross (>900 net) drilling locations identified herein;
of these, >530 gross (>490 net) are unbooked locations. Of
the 424 net booked locations identified herein, 339 net are Proved
locations and 85 net are Probable locations based on Sproule's 2023
year-end reserves and excluding the sold non-core properties.
Assuming an average number of net wells drilled per year of 75,
Surge's >900 net locations provide >12 years of drilling.
Surge's internally used type curves were constructed using a
representative, factual and balanced analog data set, as of
January 1, 2024. All locations were
risked appropriately, and Estimated Ultimate Recovery ("EUR") was
measured against Discovered Petroleum Initially In Place ("DPIIP")
estimates to ensure a reasonable recovery factor was being achieved
based on the respective spacing assumption. Other assumptions, such
as capital, operating expenses, wellhead offsets, land
encumbrances, working interests and NGL yields were all reviewed,
updated and accounted for on a well-by-well basis by Surge's QRE's.
All type curves fully comply with Part 5.8 of the Companion Policy
51 – 101CP.
Assuming a September 30, 2024
reference date, the Company will have over >80 gross (>80
net) Hope Valley area drilling locations identified herein; of
these, >70 gross (>70 net) are unbooked locations. Of the 9
net booked locations identified herein, 6 net are Proved locations
and 3 net are Probable locations based on Sproule's 2023 year-end
reserves.
Surge's internal Hope Valley type curve profile of 172 bopd
(IP30), 170 bopd (IP90) and 175 mbbl (175 mboe) EUR reserves per
well, with assumed $2.5 MM per well
capital, has a payout of <12 months @ US$70/bbl WTI (C$76/bbl WCS) and a ~168% IRR.
Assuming a December 31, 2024 reference date, the Company will
have over >300 gross (>250 net) SE
Saskatchewan & Manitoba
area drilling locations identified herein; of these, >125 gross
(>100 net) are unbooked locations. Of the 153 net booked
locations identified herein, 122 net are Proved locations and 31
net are Probable locations based on Sproule's 2023 year-end
reserves.
Assuming a December 31, 2024
reference date, the Company will have over >200 gross (>165
net) Frobisher drilling locations
identified herein; of these, >100 gross (>75 net) are
unbooked locations. Of the 88 net booked locations identified
herein, 68 net are Proved locations and 19 net are Probable
locations based on Sproule's 2023 year-end reserves.
Surge's internal Frobisher type
curve profile of 173 bopd (IP30), 143 bopd (IP90) and 84 mbbl (84
mboe) EUR reserves per well, with assumed $1.25 MM per well capital, has a payout of < 7
months @ US$70/bbl WTI (C$89/bbl LSB) and a >300% IRR.
Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures
This press release includes references to non-GAAP and other
financial measures used by the Company to evaluate its financial
performance, financial position or cash flow. These specified
financial measures include non-GAAP financial measures and non-GAAP
ratios and are not defined by IFRS, and therefore are referred to
as non-GAAP and other financial measures. Certain secondary
financial measures in this press release – namely "adjusted funds
flow", "adjusted funds flow per share", "adjusted funds flow per
boe", "net debt", "free cash flow", "excess free cash flow", "net
operating expenses", "net operating expenses per boe", "operating
netback", and "operating netback per boe" are not prescribed by
GAAP. These non-GAAP and other financial measures are included
because Management uses the information to analyze business
performance, cash flow generated from the business, leverage and
liquidity, resulting from the Company's principal business
activities and it may be useful to investors on the same basis.
None of these measures are used to enhance the Company's reported
financial performance or position. The non-GAAP and other financial
measures do not have a standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS and
therefore are unlikely to be comparable to similar measures
presented by other issuers. They are common in the reports of other
companies but may differ by definition and application. All
non-GAAP and other financial measures used in this document are
defined below, and as applicable, reconciliations to the most
directly comparable GAAP measure for the period ended September 30, 2024, have been provided to
demonstrate the calculation of these measures:
Adjusted Funds Flow & Adjusted Funds Flow Per
Share
Adjusted funds flow is a non-GAAP financial measure. The Company
adjusts cash flow from operating activities in calculating adjusted
funds flow for changes in non-cash working capital, decommissioning
expenditures, and cash settled transaction and other costs.
Management believes the timing of collection, payment or incurrence
of these items involves a high degree of discretion and as such,
may not be useful for evaluating Surge's cash flows.
Changes in non-cash working capital are a result of the timing
of cash flows related to accounts receivable and accounts payable,
which Management believes reduces comparability between periods.
Management views decommissioning expenditures predominately as a
discretionary allocation of capital, with flexibility to determine
the size and timing of decommissioning programs to achieve greater
capital efficiencies and as such, costs may vary between periods.
Transaction and other costs represent expenditures associated with
property acquisitions and dispositions, debt restructuring and
employee severance costs, which Management believes do not reflect
the ongoing cash flows of the business, and as such, reduces
comparability. Each of these expenditures, due to their nature, are
not considered principal business activities and vary between
periods, which Management believes reduces comparability.
Adjusted funds flow per share is a non-GAAP ratio, calculated
using the same weighted average basic and diluted shares used in
calculating income (loss) per share.
The following table reconciles cash flow from operating
activities to adjusted funds flow and adjusted funds flow per
share:
|
Three Months Ended
September 30,
|
Nine Months Ended
September 30,
|
($000s except per
share)
|
2024
|
2023
|
2024
|
2023
|
Cash flow from
operating activities
|
73,420
|
71,315
|
213,809
|
186,429
|
Change in non-cash
working capital
|
(10,357)
|
12,644
|
(12,494)
|
20,611
|
Decommissioning
expenditures
|
4,016
|
2,695
|
9,640
|
7,305
|
Cash settled
transaction and other costs
|
5,631
|
220
|
7,047
|
500
|
Adjusted funds
flow
|
72,710
|
86,874
|
218,002
|
214,845
|
Per share - basic
($)
|
0.72
|
0.87
|
2.16
|
2.19
|
Free Cash Flow & Excess Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow and excess free cash flow are non-GAAP financial
measures. During the period, Management changed the composition of
free cash flow and excess free cash flow. This change was made as a
result of Management's assessment that decommissioning expenditures
and cash settled transaction and other costs are not considered
principal business activities and vary between periods, which
Management believes reduces comparability. Management believes the
timing of collection, payment or incurrence of these items involves
a high degree of discretion and as such, may not be useful for
evaluating Surge's cash flows. Prior period calculations of free
cash flow and excess free cash flow have been restated in the table
below to reflect this change.
Free cash flow is calculated as cash flow from operating
activities, adjusted for changes in non-cash working capital,
decommissioning expenditures, and cash settled transaction and
other costs, less expenditures on property, plant and equipment.
Excess free cash flow is calculated as cash flow from operating
activities, adjusted for changes in non-cash working capital,
decommissioning expenditures, and cash settled transaction and
other costs, less expenditures on property, plant and equipment,
and dividends paid. Management uses free cash flow and excess free
cash flow to determine the amount of funds available to the Company
for future capital allocation decisions.
|
Three Months Ended
September 30,
|
Nine Months Ended
September 30,
|
($000s except per
share)
|
2024
|
2023
|
2024
|
2023
|
Cash flow from
operating activities
|
73,420
|
71,315
|
213,809
|
186,429
|
Change in non-cash
working capital
|
(10,357)
|
12,644
|
(12,494)
|
20,611
|
Decommissioning
expenditures
|
4,016
|
2,695
|
9,640
|
7,305
|
Cash settled
transaction and other costs
|
5,631
|
220
|
7,047
|
500
|
Adjusted funds
flow
|
72,710
|
86,874
|
218,002
|
214,845
|
Less: expenditures on
property, plant and equipment
|
(51,361)
|
(43,945)
|
(136,826)
|
(120,267)
|
Free cash
flow
|
21,349
|
42,929
|
81,176
|
94,578
|
Less: dividends
paid
|
(12,741)
|
(11,889)
|
(36,870)
|
(34,785)
|
Excess free cash
flow
|
8,608
|
31,040
|
44,306
|
59,793
|
Net Debt
Net debt is a non-GAAP financial measure, calculated as bank
debt, senior unsecured notes, term debt, plus the liability
component of the convertible debentures plus current assets, less
current liabilities, however, excluding the fair value of financial
contracts, decommissioning obligations, and lease and other
obligations. There is no comparable measure in accordance with IFRS
for net debt. This metric is used by Management to analyze the
level of debt in the Company including the impact of working
capital, which varies with the timing of settlement of these
balances.
($000s)
|
As at September 30,
2024
|
As at June 30,
2024
|
As at September 30,
2023
|
Cash
|
11,500
|
—
|
—
|
Accounts
receivable
|
53,193
|
56,960
|
74,624
|
Prepaid expenses and
deposits
|
4,215
|
5,803
|
3,050
|
Accounts payable and
accrued liabilities
|
(93,094)
|
(90,791)
|
(83,978)
|
Dividends
payable
|
(4,395)
|
(4,018)
|
(4,013)
|
Bank debt
|
—
|
(33,010)
|
(11,900)
|
Senior unsecured
notes
|
(170,642)
|
—
|
—
|
Term debt
|
(9,094)
|
(131,044)
|
(230,624)
|
Convertible
debentures
|
(38,997)
|
(38,607)
|
(33,454)
|
Net Debt
|
(247,314)
|
(234,707)
|
(286,295)
|
Net Operating Expenses & Net Operating Expenses per
boe
Net operating expenses is a non-GAAP financial measure,
determined by deducting processing income, primarily generated by
processing third party volumes at processing facilities where the
Company has an ownership interest. It is common in the industry to
earn third party processing revenue on facilities where the entity
has a working interest in the infrastructure asset. Under IFRS,
this source of funds is required to be reported as revenue.
However, the Company's principal business is not that of a
midstream entity whose activities are dedicated to earning
processing and other infrastructure payments. Where the Company has
excess capacity at one of its facilities, it will look to process
third party volumes as a means to reduce the cost of
operating/owning the facility. As such, third party processing
revenue is netted against operating costs when analyzed by
Management. Net operating expenses per boe is a non-GAAP ratio,
calculated as net operating expenses divided by total barrels of
oil equivalent produced during a specific period of time.
|
Three Months Ended
September 30,
|
Nine Months Ended
September 30,
|
($000s)
|
2024
|
2023
|
2024
|
2023
|
Operating
expenses
|
43,242
|
47,988
|
141,075
|
148,654
|
Less: processing
income
|
(2,054)
|
(1,812)
|
(6,812)
|
(6,046)
|
Net operating
expenses
|
41,188
|
46,176
|
134,263
|
142,608
|
Net operating expenses
($ per boe)
|
18.81
|
20.82
|
20.33
|
21.56
|
Operating Netback, Operating Netback per boe &
Adjusted Funds Flow per boe
Operating netback is a non-GAAP financial measure, calculated as
petroleum and natural gas revenue and processing and other income,
less royalties, realized gain (loss) on commodity and FX contracts,
operating expenses, and transportation expenses. Operating netback
per boe is a non-GAAP ratio, calculated as operating netback
divided by total barrels of oil equivalent produced during a
specific period of time. There is no comparable measure in
accordance with IFRS. This metric is used by Management to evaluate
the Company's ability to generate cash margin on a unit of
production basis.
Adjusted funds flow per boe is a non-GAAP ratio, calculated as
adjusted funds flow divided by total barrels of oil equivalent
produced during a specific period of time.
Operating netback & adjusted funds flow are calculated on a
per unit basis as follows:
|
Three Months Ended
September 30,
|
Nine Months Ended
September 30,
|
($000s)
|
2024
|
2023
|
2024
|
2023
|
Petroleum and natural
gas revenue
|
162,191
|
184,475
|
493,531
|
501,922
|
Processing and other
income
|
2,054
|
1,812
|
6,812
|
6,046
|
Royalties
|
(32,581)
|
(33,384)
|
(90,226)
|
(88,278)
|
Realized loss on
commodity and FX contracts
|
(217)
|
(1,535)
|
(3,229)
|
(5,515)
|
Operating
expenses
|
(43,242)
|
(47,988)
|
(141,075)
|
(148,654)
|
Transportation
expenses
|
(3,035)
|
(2,902)
|
(8,328)
|
(10,344)
|
Operating
netback
|
85,170
|
100,478
|
257,485
|
255,177
|
G&A
expense
|
(5,154)
|
(4,716)
|
(15,437)
|
(14,117)
|
Interest
expense
|
(7,306)
|
(8,888)
|
(24,046)
|
(26,215)
|
Adjusted funds
flow
|
72,710
|
86,874
|
218,002
|
214,845
|
Barrels of oil
equivalent (boe)
|
2,189,137
|
2,217,941
|
6,604,665
|
6,615,403
|
Operating netback ($
per boe)
|
38.91
|
45.30
|
38.98
|
38.58
|
Adjusted funds flow ($
per boe)
|
33.22
|
39.16
|
33.00
|
32.49
|
For more information about Surge, please visit our website at
www.surgeenergy.ca:
Neither the TSX nor its Regulation Services Provider (as
that term is defined in the policies of the TSX) accepts
responsibility of the accuracy of this release.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1
|
See Drilling
Inventory.
|
2
|
As per Peters Oil &
Gas Plays Update from January 16, 2024: North American Oil and
Natural Gas Plays – Half Cycle Payout Period. Note: Sparky is
represented as "Conventional Heavy Oil Hz" by Peters.
|
3
|
Hartford Funds, 'The
Power of Dividends: Past, Present, and Future'.
|
4
|
This is a non-GAAP and
other financial measure which is defined under Non-GAAP and Other
Financial Measures.
|
5
|
Pricing assumptions:
US$70 WTI, US$13.50 WCS differential, US$3.50 EDM
differential, $0.725 CAD/USD FX and $2.50 AECO.
|
SOURCE Surge Energy Inc.