Gran Tierra Energy Inc. (
“Gran Tierra” or the
“Company”)
(NYSE
American:GTE)(TSX:GTE)(LSE:GTE), an independent
international energy company focused on oil and natural gas
exploration and production in Canada, Colombia and Ecuador, today
announced the Company’s 2024 year-end reserves as evaluated by the
Company’s independent qualified reserves evaluator McDaniel &
Associates Consultants Ltd. (
“McDaniel”) in a
report with an effective date of December 31, 2024 (the
“GTE McDaniel Reserves Report”).
All dollar amounts are in United States
(“U.S.”) dollars and all reserves and production
volumes are on a working interest before royalties
(“WI”) basis (net). Reserves are expressed in
barrels (“bbl”), bbl of oil equivalent
(“boe”) or million boe (“MMBOE”),
while production is expressed in boe per day
(“BOEPD”), unless otherwise indicated. The
following reserves categories are discussed in this press release:
Proved Developed Producing (“PDP”), Proved
(“1P”), 1P plus Probable (“2P”)
and 2P plus Possible (“3P”).
Gary Guidry, President and Chief Executive
Officer of Gran Tierra, commented: “2024 was another strong year
underpinned by multiple exploration discoveries in Ecuador,
continued success in managing our Colombian assets, and our new
country entry into Canada. The organic and inorganic portfolio
growth creates a future runway of highly economic development
opportunities in proven plays with access to infrastructure. Gran
Tierra’s entry into Canada fits our corporate strategy of focusing
on proven hydrocarbon basins which have access to established
infrastructure and competitive fiscal regimes. Furthermore, with
the addition of Canada, Gran Tierra is well positioned for
long-term commodity cycles with approximately 20% of its
production, 23% 1P reserves and 26% 2P reserves now attributed to
conventional natural gas and shale gas.
We continue to generate shareholder value
through focusing on portfolio longevity and executing on our
mandate of growing cash flow and reserves, while maintaining low
decline rates through production, development and enhanced oil
recovery techniques. Gran Tierra has assembled a diversified,
high-quality asset base across multiple attractive jurisdictions
and combined with our management team’s strong track record of
accretive acquisitions and value creation, we look forward to a
successful 2025.
The success of 2024 is reflected in yet another
year of over 100% reserve replacement on a Proved basis. Gran
Tierra achieved strong 702% (1P), 1,249% (2P) and 1,500% (3P)
reserves replacement through exploration success in Colombia and
Ecuador and our entry into Canada. This success resulted in record
highs for the Company’s year-end 1P, 2P and 3P oil and gas
reserves.”
*See the below tables for the definitions of net asset values
per share.
Highlights
2024 Year-End Reserves
and Values
Before Tax (as of December 31, 2024) |
Units |
1P |
2P |
3P |
Reserves |
MMBOE |
167 |
|
293 |
|
385 |
|
Net Present Value at 10% Discount (“NPV10”) |
$ million |
1,950 |
|
3,242 |
|
4,517 |
|
Net Debt1 |
$ million |
(682 |
) |
(682 |
) |
(682 |
) |
Net Asset Value (NPV10 less Net Debt) (“NAV”) |
$ million |
1,268 |
|
2,560 |
|
3,835 |
|
Outstanding Shares |
million |
35.97 |
|
35.97 |
|
35.97 |
|
NAV per Share |
$/share |
35.24 |
|
71.16 |
|
106.62 |
|
After Tax (as of December 31, 2024) |
Units |
1P |
2P |
3P |
Reserves |
MMBOE |
167 |
|
293 |
|
385 |
|
NPV10 |
$ million |
1,385 |
|
2,159 |
|
2,930 |
|
Net Debt1 |
$ million |
(682 |
) |
(682 |
) |
(682 |
) |
NAV |
$ million |
703 |
|
1,477 |
|
2,248 |
|
Outstanding Shares |
million |
35.97 |
|
35.97 |
|
35.97 |
|
NAV per Share |
$/share |
19.53 |
|
41.05 |
|
62.48 |
|
1Based on estimated unaudited 2024 year-end Net
Debt of $682 million comprised of Senior Notes of $787 million
(gross) less cash and cash equivalents of $104 million, prepared in
accordance with GAAP.
-
As of December 31, 2024, Gran Tierra achieved:
-
Before Tax NAV of $1.3 billion (1P), $2.6 billion (2P), and $3.8
billion (3P)
-
After Tax NAV of $0.7 billion (1P), $1.5 billion (2P), and $2.2
billion (3P)
-
Strong reserves replacement ratios* of:
-
702% 1P, with 1P reserves additions of 89 MMBOE
-
1,249% 2P, with 2P reserves additions of 159 MMBOE
-
1,500% 3P, with 3P reserves additions of 191 MMBOE
-
Finding, development and acquisition costs
(“FD&A”), including change in future
development costs (“FDC”), on a per boe basis of
$9.74 (1P), $8.11 (2P) and $6.92 (3P).
-
FD&A costs excluding change in FDC, on a per boe basis of $4.49
(1P), $2.52 (2P) and $2.10 (3P).
-
Canada now represents 46% of 1P and 51% of 2P reserves compared to
Gran Tierra’s total reserves.
-
FDC are forecast by McDaniel to be $1,029 million for 1P reserves
and $1,809 million for 2P reserves. Gran Tierra’s 2025 base case
mid-point guidance for cash flow** of $280 million is equivalent to
27% of such 1P FDC and 15% of 2P FDC, which highlights the
Company’s potential ability to fund future development capital.
Increases in FDC relative to 2023 year-end reflect that the GTE
McDaniel Reserves Report now assigns Gran Tierra 227 Proved
Undeveloped future drilling locations (up from 95 at 2023 year-end)
and 441 Proved plus Probable Undeveloped future drilling locations
(up from 147 at 2023 year-end).
*The reserve replacement ratios were calculated
based on an annualized production figure based on November and
December for Canada plus Colombia and Ecuador actual production, in
each case, for the fourth quarter of 2024. The total production
rate was 46,619 BOEPD.** “Cash flow” refers to GAAP line item “net
cash provided by operating activities”. Gran Tierra’s 2025 base
case guidance is based on a forecast 2025 average Brent oil price
of $75/bbl. See Gran Tierra’s press release dated January 23, 2025
for additional information regarding cash flow guidance referred to
herein. This forecast price used in Gran Tierra’s forecast is lower
than the 2025 McDaniel Brent price forecast.
GTE McDaniel Reserves
Report
All reserves values, future net revenue and
ancillary information contained in this press release have been
prepared by McDaniel and calculated in compliance with Canadian
National Instrument 51-101 – Standards of Disclosure for Oil and
Gas Activities (“NI 51-101”) and the Canadian Oil
and Gas Evaluation Handbook (“COGEH”) and derived
from the GTE McDaniel Reserves Report, unless otherwise expressly
stated.
Future Net Revenue
Future net revenue reflects McDaniel’s forecast
of revenue estimated using forecast prices and costs, arising from
the anticipated development and production of reserves, after the
deduction of royalties, operating costs, development costs and
abandonment and reclamation costs but before consideration of
indirect costs such as administrative, overhead and other
miscellaneous expenses. The estimate of future net revenue below
does not necessarily represent fair market value.
Consolidated Properties at December 31, 2024 |
Proved (1P) Total Future Net Revenue ($
million) |
Forecast Prices and Costs |
|
Sales Revenue |
Total Royalties |
Operating Costs |
Future Development Capital |
Abandonment and Reclamation Costs |
Future Net Revenue Before Future Taxes |
Future Taxes |
Future Net Revenue After Future Taxes* |
2025-2029 (5 Years) |
5,139 |
(981 |
) |
(1,385 |
) |
(1,025 |
) |
(27 |
) |
1,721 |
(491 |
) |
1,230 |
Remainder |
3,617 |
(578 |
) |
(1,549 |
) |
(4 |
) |
(377 |
) |
1,109 |
(370 |
) |
739 |
Total (Undiscounted) |
8,756 |
(1,559 |
) |
(2,934 |
) |
(1,029 |
) |
(404 |
) |
2,830 |
(861 |
) |
1,969 |
Total (Discounted @ 10%) |
|
|
|
|
|
1,950 |
(565 |
) |
1,385 |
Consolidated Properties at December 31, 2024 |
Proved Plus Probable (2P) Total Future Net Revenue ($
million) |
Forecast Prices and Costs |
Years |
Sales Revenue |
Total Royalties |
Operating Costs |
Future Development Capital |
Abandonment and Reclamation Costs |
Future Net Revenue Before Future Taxes |
Future Taxes |
Future Net Revenue After Future Taxes* |
2025-2029 (5 Years) |
6,620 |
(1,297 |
) |
(1,583 |
) |
(1,438 |
) |
(25 |
) |
2,277 |
(791 |
) |
1,486 |
Remainder |
8,685 |
(1,529 |
) |
(2,967 |
) |
(371 |
) |
(420 |
) |
3,398 |
(1,082 |
) |
2,316 |
Total (Undiscounted) |
15,305 |
(2,826 |
) |
(4,550 |
) |
(1,809 |
) |
(445 |
) |
5,675 |
(1,873 |
) |
3,802 |
Total (Discounted @ 10%) |
|
|
|
|
|
3,242 |
(1,083 |
) |
2,159 |
Consolidated Properties at December 31, 2024 |
Proved Plus Probable Plus Possible (3P) Total Future Net
Revenue ($ million) |
Forecast Prices and Costs |
Years |
Sales Revenue |
Total Royalties |
Operating Costs |
Future Development Capital |
Abandonment and Reclamation Costs |
Future Net Revenue Before Future Taxes |
Future Taxes |
Future Net Revenue After Future Taxes* |
2025-2029 (5 Years) |
7,490 |
(1,467 |
) |
(1,672 |
) |
(1,563 |
) |
(25 |
) |
2,763 |
(1,015 |
) |
1,748 |
Remainder |
13,422 |
(2,598 |
) |
(4,106 |
) |
(519 |
) |
(439 |
) |
5,760 |
(1,907 |
) |
3,853 |
Total (Undiscounted) |
20,912 |
(4,065 |
) |
(5,778 |
) |
(2,082 |
) |
(464 |
) |
8,523 |
(2,922 |
) |
5,601 |
Total (Discounted @ 10%) |
|
|
|
|
|
4,517 |
(1,587 |
) |
2,930 |
*The after-tax future net revenue of the
Company’s oil and gas properties reflects the tax burden on the
properties on a stand-alone basis. It does not consider the
corporate tax situation, or tax planning. It does not provide an
estimate of the value at the Company level which may be
significantly different. The Company’s financial statements, when
available for the year ended December 31, 2024, should be
consulted for information at the Company level.
Total Company WI Reserves
The following table summarizes Gran Tierra’s NI
51-101 and COGEH compliant reserves in aggregate for Colombia,
Ecuador and Canada derived from the GTE McDaniel Reserves Report
calculated using forecast oil and gas prices and costs.
|
Light and Medium Crude Oil |
Heavy Crude Oil |
Tight Oil |
Conventional Natural Gas |
Shale Gas |
Natural Gas Liquids |
2024 Year-End |
Reserves Category |
Mbbl* |
Mbbl* |
Mbbl* |
MMcf** |
MMcf** |
Mbbl* |
Mboe*** |
Proved Developed Producing |
25,539 |
20,631 |
329 |
123,192 |
2,302 |
14,464 |
81,877 |
Proved Developed
Non-Producing |
1,864 |
1,256 |
18 |
5,769 |
47 |
746 |
4,852 |
Proved Undeveloped |
26,529 |
22,491 |
3,040 |
81,541 |
16,785 |
11,476 |
79,923 |
Total
Proved |
53,932 |
44,378 |
3,387 |
210,502 |
19,134 |
26,686 |
166,652 |
Total Probable |
30,480 |
27,532 |
6,092 |
196,621 |
32,869 |
24,036 |
126,388 |
Total Proved plus
Probable |
84,412 |
71,910 |
9,479 |
407,123 |
52,003 |
50,722 |
293,040 |
Total Possible |
27,606 |
29,916 |
2,848 |
99,333 |
14,506 |
12,317 |
91,659 |
Total Proved plus Probable plus Possible |
112,018 |
101,826 |
12,327 |
506,456 |
66,509 |
63,039 |
384,699 |
*Mbbl (thousand bbl of oil). **MMcf (million cubic feet).***Mboe
(thousand boe).
Net Present Value Summary
Gran Tierra’s reserves were evaluated using the
average of three independent qualified reserves evaluators’
commodity price forecasts at January 1, 2025 (McDaniel, Sproule and
GLJ). See “Forecast Prices” for more information. It should not be
assumed that the net present value of cash flow estimated by
McDaniel represents the fair market value of Gran Tierra’s
reserves.
Total Company |
Discount Rate |
($ millions) |
0% |
5% |
10% |
15% |
20% |
Before Tax |
|
|
|
|
|
Proved Developed
Producing |
1,288,263 |
1,269,021 |
1,143,703 |
1,032,260 |
941,153 |
Proved Developed
Non-Producing |
119,025 |
98,908 |
84,070 |
72,745 |
63,864 |
Proved Undeveloped |
1,422,638 |
1,002,220 |
722,242 |
527,670 |
387,664 |
Total Proved |
2,829,926 |
2,370,149 |
1,950,015 |
1,632,675 |
1,392,681 |
Total Probable |
2,842,656 |
1,852,742 |
1,292,189 |
945,677 |
717,447 |
Total Proved plus
Probable |
5,672,582 |
4,222,891 |
3,242,204 |
2,578,352 |
2,110,128 |
Total Possible |
2,848,360 |
1,835,802 |
1,274,763 |
931,210 |
706,630 |
Total
Proved plus Probable plus Possible |
8,520,942 |
6,058,693 |
4,516,967 |
3,509,562 |
2,816,758 |
After Tax |
|
|
|
|
|
Proved Developed
Producing |
984,109 |
1,012,837 |
921,809 |
835,838 |
764,272 |
Proved Developed
Non-Producing |
82,049 |
67,860 |
57,418 |
49,460 |
43,223 |
Proved Undeveloped |
902,725 |
603,616 |
405,947 |
269,984 |
173,307 |
Total Proved |
1,968,883 |
1,684,313 |
1,385,174 |
1,155,282 |
980,802 |
Total Probable |
1,831,204 |
1,148,223 |
773,804 |
548,846 |
404,333 |
Total Proved plus
Probable |
3,800,087 |
2,832,536 |
2,158,978 |
1,704,128 |
1,385,135 |
Total Possible |
1,799,304 |
1,130,855 |
770,970 |
554,619 |
415,175 |
Total
Proved plus Probable plus Possible |
5,599,391 |
3,963,391 |
2,929,948 |
2,258,747 |
1,800,310 |
Reserve Life Index (Years)
|
December 31, 2024* |
|
|
Total Proved |
10 |
|
|
Total Proved plus
Probable |
17 |
|
|
Total Proved plus Probable plus Possible |
23 |
|
|
* Calculated using an annualized WI production
figure based on November and December 2024 for Canada plus Colombia
and Ecuador actual average WI production, in each case, for the
fourth quarter of 2024. The total production rate was 46,619
BOEPD.
Future Development Costs
FDC reflects McDaniel’s best estimate of what it
will cost to bring the Proved Undeveloped and Probable Undeveloped
reserves on production. Changes in forecast FDC occur annually as a
result of development activities, acquisition and disposition
activities, and changes in capital cost estimates based on
improvements in well design and performance, as well as changes in
service costs. FDC for 2P reserves increased to $1,809 million at
year-end 2024 from $923 million at year-end 2023. The increase in
FDC in 2024 was predominantly attributed to the acquisition of i3
Energy plc in 2024.
($ millions) |
Total Proved |
Total Proved Plus Probable |
Total Proved Plus Probable Plus Possible |
2025 |
141 |
147 |
153 |
2026 |
343 |
379 |
387 |
2027 |
291 |
380 |
388 |
2028 |
135 |
311 |
358 |
2029 |
115 |
221 |
277 |
Remainder |
4 |
371 |
519 |
Total (undiscounted) |
1,029 |
1,809 |
2,082 |
($ millions) |
Proved |
Proved plus Probable |
Proved plus Probable plus Possible |
Acordionero |
175 |
175 |
175 |
Chaza Block (Costayaco &
Moqueta) |
138 |
163 |
163 |
Suroriente |
130 |
213 |
292 |
Ecuador |
212 |
331 |
428 |
Canada - Central |
179 |
378 |
378 |
Canada - Simonette |
106 |
238 |
238 |
Other |
89 |
311 |
408 |
Total FDC Costs (undiscounted) |
1,029 |
1,809 |
2,082 |
Finding, Development and Acquisition
Costs
Reserves (Mboe) |
|
Year Ended December 31, 2024 |
Proved Developed
Producing |
81,877 |
Total Proved |
|
166,653 |
Total Proved plus
Probable |
|
293,041 |
Total
Proved plus Probable plus Possible |
|
384,700 |
Capital
Expenditures ($000s) |
|
-
including acquired properties |
400,532 |
Finding, Development and Acquisition Costs, Excluding
FDC*
Year Ended December 31, 2024 |
Proved Developed
Producing |
|
|
Reserve Additions (Mboe) |
|
50,933 |
FD&A Costs ($/boe) |
|
7.87 |
Finding, Development and Acquisition
Costs, Including FDC*
Year Ended December 31, 2024 |
Proved Developed
Producing |
|
|
Change in FDC ($000s) |
|
18,319 |
Reserve Additions (Mboe) |
|
50,933 |
FD&A Costs ($/boe) |
|
8.23 |
Finding, Development and Acquisition
Costs, Excluding FDC*
Year Ended December 31, 2024 |
Total
Proved |
|
|
Reserve Additions (Mboe) |
|
89,210 |
FD&A Costs ($/boe) |
|
4.49 |
Finding, Development and Acquisition
Costs, Including FDC*
Year Ended December 31, 2024 |
Total
Proved |
|
|
Change in FDC ($000s) |
|
468,518 |
Reserve Additions (Mboe) |
|
89,210 |
FD&A Costs ($/boe) |
|
9.74 |
Finding, Development and Acquisition
Costs, Excluding FDC*
Year Ended December 31, 2024 |
Total Proved plus
Probable |
|
|
Reserve Additions (Mboe) |
|
158,662 |
FD&A Costs ($/boe) |
|
2.52 |
Finding, Development and Acquisition
Costs, Including FDC*
Year Ended December 31, 2024 |
Total Proved plus Probable |
|
|
Change in FDC ($000s) |
|
886,720 |
Reserve Additions (Mboe) |
|
158,662 |
FD&A Costs ($/boe) |
|
8.11 |
Finding, Development and Acquisition
Costs, Excluding FDC*
Year Ended December 31, 2024 |
Total
Proved plus Probable plus Possible |
|
Reserve Additions (Mboe) |
|
190,562 |
FD&A Costs ($/boe) |
|
2.10 |
Finding, Development and Acquisition
Costs, Including FDC*
Year Ended December 31, 2024 |
Total
Proved plus Probable plus Possible |
|
Change in FDC ($000s) |
|
917,617 |
Reserve Additions (Mboe) |
|
190,562 |
FD&A Costs ($/boe) |
|
6.92 |
*In all cases, the FD&A number is calculated
by dividing the identified capital expenditures by the applicable
reserves additions both before and after changes in FDC costs. Both
FD&A costs take into account reserves revisions during the year
on a per boe basis. The aggregate of the exploration and
development costs incurred in the financial year and the changes
during that year in estimated future development costs may not
reflect the total FD&A costs related to reserves additions for
that year.
Forecast Prices
The pricing assumptions used in estimating NI
51-101 and COGEH compliant reserves data disclosed above with
respect to net present values of future net revenue are set forth
below. The price forecasts are based on an average of three
independent qualified reserves evaluators’ commodity price
forecasts at January 1, 2025 (McDaniel, Sproule and GLJ). All three
of these companies are independent qualified reserves evaluators
and auditors pursuant to NI 51-101.
|
Brent Crude Oil |
WTI Crude Oil |
Alberta AECO Gas |
Foreign Exchange Rate |
Year |
$US/bbl |
$US/bbl |
$CAD/MMBtu |
$US/$CAD |
|
January 1, 2025 |
January 1, 2025 |
January 1, 2025 |
January 1, 2025 |
2025 |
$75.58 |
$71.58 |
$2.36 |
0.712 |
2026 |
$78.51 |
$74.48 |
$3.33 |
0.728 |
2027 |
$79.89 |
$75.81 |
$3.48 |
0.743 |
2028 |
$81.82 |
$77.66 |
$3.69 |
0.743 |
2029 |
$83.46 |
$79.22 |
$3.76 |
0.743 |
Contact Information
For investor and media inquiries please contact:
Gary Guidry, Chief Executive OfficerRyan Ellson, Executive Vice
President & Chief Financial
Officer+1-403-265-3221info@grantierra.com
About Gran Tierra Energy Inc.
Gran Tierra Energy Inc., together with its
subsidiaries, is an independent international energy company
currently focused on oil and natural gas exploration and production
in Canada, Colombia and Ecuador. The Company is currently
developing its existing portfolio of assets in Canada, Colombia and
Ecuador and will continue to pursue additional new growth
opportunities that would further strengthen the Company’s
portfolio. The Company’s common stock trades on the NYSE American,
the Toronto Stock Exchange and the London Stock Exchange under the
ticker symbol GTE. Additional information concerning Gran Tierra is
available at www.grantierra.com. Except to the extent expressly
stated otherwise, information on the Company’s website or
accessible from our website or any other website is not
incorporated by reference into and should not be considered part of
this press release. Investor inquiries may be directed to
info@grantierra.com or (403) 265-3221.
Gran Tierra’s filings with the U.S. Securities
and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”) are available
on the SEC website at http://www.sec.gov. Gran Tierra’s Canadian
securities regulatory filings are available on SEDAR+ at
http://www.sedarplus.ca and UK regulatory filings are
available on the National Storage Mechanism website at
https://data.fca.org.uk/#/nsm/nationalstoragemechanism.
FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS
ADVISORY
This press release contains opinions, forecasts,
projections, and other statements about future events or results
that constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of
the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995,
Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section
21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and
financial outlook and forward looking information within the
meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws (collectively,
“forward-looking statements”), which can be identified by such
terms as “expect,” “plan,” “can,” “will,” “should,” “guidance,”
“estimate,” “forecast,” “signal,” “progress” and “believes,”
derivations thereof and similar terms identify forward-looking
statements. Such forward-looking statements include, but are not
limited to, the Company’s expectations regarding its anticipated
benefits of its recent acquisition of i3 Energy plc (“i3 Energy”),
estimated quantities and net present values of reserves, capital
program, and ability to fund the Company’s exploration program over
a period of time, statements about the Company’s financial and
performance targets and other forecasts or expectations regarding,
or dependent on, the Company’s business outlook for 2025 and
beyond, capital spending plans and any benefits of the changes in
our capital program or expenditures, well performance, production,
the restart of production and workover activity, future development
costs, infrastructure schedules, waterflood impacts and plans,
growth of referenced reserves, forecast prices, five-year expected
oil sales and cash flow and net revenue, estimated recovery
factors, liquidity and access to capital, the Company’s strategies
and results thereof, the Company’s expectations regarding organic
and inorganic growth opportunities, the Company’s operations
including planned operations and developments, disruptions to
operations and the decline in industry conditions, and expectations
regarding environmental commitments.
The forward-looking statements contained in this
press release reflect several material factors and expectations and
assumptions of Gran Tierra including, without limitation, that Gran
Tierra will continue to conduct its operations in a manner
consistent with its current expectations, the ability of Gran
Tierra to successfully integrate the assets and operations of i3
Energy or realize the anticipated benefits and operating synergies
expected from the acquisition of i3 Energy, the accuracy of testing
and production results and seismic data, pricing and cost estimates
(including with respect to commodity pricing and exchange rates),
rig availability, the effects of drilling down-dip, the effects of
waterflood and multi-stage fracture stimulation operations, the
extent and effect of delivery disruptions, and the general
continuance of current or, where applicable, assumed operational,
regulatory and industry conditions in Canada, Colombia and Ecuador
and areas of potential expansion, and the ability of Gran Tierra to
execute its business and operational plans in the manner currently
planned. Gran Tierra believes the material factors, expectations
and assumptions reflected in the forward-looking statements are
reasonable at this time, but no assurance can be given that these
factors, expectations and assumptions will prove to be correct.
Among the important factors that could cause
actual results to differ materially from those indicated by the
forward-looking statements in this press release are: certain of
Gran Tierra’s operations are located in South America and
unexpected problems can arise due to guerilla activity, strikes,
local blockades or protests; technical difficulties and operational
difficulties may arise which impact the production, transport or
sale of Gran Tierra’s products; other disruptions to local
operations; global and regional changes in the demand, supply,
prices, differentials or other market conditions affecting oil and
natural gas, including inflation and changes resulting from a
global health crisis, geopolitical events, including the ongoing
conflicts in Ukraine and the Gaza region, or from the imposition or
lifting of crude oil production quotas or other actions that might
be imposed by OPEC and other producing countries and resulting
company or third-party actions in response to such changes; changes
in commodity prices, including volatility or a prolonged decline in
these prices relative to historical or future expected levels; the
risk that current global economic and credit conditions may impact
oil and natural prices and oil and natural gas consumption more
than Gran Tierra currently predicts, which could cause Gran Tierra
to further modify its strategy and capital spending program; prices
and markets for oil and natural gas are unpredictable and volatile;
the effect of hedges, the accuracy of productive capacity of any
particular field; geographic, political and weather conditions can
impact the production, transport or sale of Gran Tierra’s products;
the ability of Gran Tierra to execute its business plan, which may
include acquisitions, and realize expected benefits from current or
future initiatives; the risk that unexpected delays and
difficulties in developing currently owned properties may occur;
the ability to replace reserves and production and develop and
manage reserves on an economically viable basis; the accuracy of
testing and production results and seismic data, pricing and cost
estimates (including with respect to commodity pricing and exchange
rates); the risk profile of planned exploration activities; the
effects of drilling down-dip; the effects of waterflood and
multi-stage fracture stimulation operations; the extent and effect
of delivery disruptions, equipment performance and costs; actions
by third parties; the timely receipt of regulatory or other
required approvals for Gran Tierra’s operating activities; the
failure of exploratory drilling to result in commercial wells;
unexpected delays due to the limited availability of drilling
equipment and personnel; volatility or declines in the trading
price of Gran Tierra’s common stock or bonds; the risk that Gran
Tierra does not receive the anticipated benefits of government
programs, including government tax refunds; Gran Tierra’s ability
to comply with financial covenants in its credit agreement and
indentures and make borrowings under its credit agreement; and the
risk factors detailed from time to time in Gran Tierra’s periodic
reports filed with the SEC, including, without limitation, under
the caption “Risk Factors” in Gran Tierra’s Annual Report on Form
10-K for the year ended December 31, 2023 filed on February 20,
2024 and its other filings with the SEC. These filings are
available on the SEC’s website at http://www.sec.gov and on SEDAR
at www.sedar.com.
Statements relating to “reserves” are also
deemed to be forward-looking statements, as they involve the
implied assessment, based on certain estimates and assumptions,
including that the reserves described can be profitably produced in
the future.
Guidance is uncertain, particularly when given
over extended periods of time, and results may be materially
different. Although the current capital spending program and long
term strategy of Gran Tierra is based upon the current expectations
of the management of Gran Tierra, should any one of a number of
issues arise, Gran Tierra may find it necessary to alter its
business strategy and/or capital spending program and there can be
no assurance as at the date of this press release as to how those
funds may be reallocated or strategy changed and how that would
impact Gran Tierra’s results of operations and financing position.
All forward-looking statements are made as of the date of this
press release and the fact that this press release remains
available does not constitute a representation by Gran Tierra that
Gran Tierra believes these forward-looking statements continue to
be true as of any subsequent date. Actual results may vary
materially from the expected results expressed in forward-looking
statements. Gran Tierra disclaims any intention or obligation to
update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a
result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as
expressly required by applicable law. Gran Tierra’s forward-looking
statements are expressly qualified in their entirety by this
cautionary statement.
The estimates of future net revenue, cash flow
and certain expenses may be considered to be future-oriented
financial information or a financial outlook for the purposes of
applicable Canadian securities laws. Financial outlook and
future-oriented financial information contained in this press
release about prospective financial performance, financial position
or cash flows are provided to give the reader a better
understanding of the potential future performance of the Company in
certain areas and are based on assumptions about future events,
including economic conditions and proposed courses of action, based
on management’s assessment of the relevant information currently
available, and to become available in the future. In particular,
this press release contains projected operational and financial
information for 2025 2025 and for the next five years to allow
readers to assess the Company’s ability to fund its programs. These
projections contain forward-looking statements and are based on a
number of material assumptions and factors set out above. Actual
results may differ significantly from the projections presented
herein. The actual results of Gran Tierra’s operations for any
period could vary from the amounts set forth in these projections,
and such variations may be material. See above for a discussion of
the risks that could cause actual results to vary. The
future-oriented financial information and financial outlooks
contained in this press release have been approved by management as
of the date of this press release. Readers are cautioned that any
such financial outlook and future-oriented financial information
contained herein should not be used for purposes other than those
for which it is disclosed herein. The Company and its management
believe that the prospective financial information has been
prepared on a reasonable basis, reflecting management’s best
estimates and judgments, and represent, to the best of management’s
knowledge and opinion, the Company’s expected course of action.
However, because this information is highly subjective, it should
not be relied on as necessarily indicative of future results. See
Gran Tierra’s press release dated January 23, 2025 for additional
information regarding cash flow guidance referred to herein.
Non-GAAP Measures
This press release includes non-GAAP measures
which do not have a standardized meaning under GAAP. Investors are
cautioned that these measures should not be construed as
alternatives to oil and natural gas sales, net income or loss or
other measures of financial performance as determined in accordance
with GAAP. Gran Tierra’s method of calculating these measures may
differ from other companies and, accordingly, they may not be
comparable to similar measures used by other companies.
Net Debt as presented as at December 31,
2024 is comprised of $787 million (gross) of senior notes
outstanding less cash and cash equivalents of $104 million,
prepared in accordance with GAAP. Management believes that Net Debt
is a useful supplemental measure for management and investors to in
order to evaluate the financial sustainability of the Company’s
business and leverage. The most directly comparable GAAP measure is
total debt.
Unaudited Financial Information
Certain financial and operating results included
in this press release, including debt, cash equivalents, capital
expenditures, and production information, are based on unaudited
estimated results. These estimated results are subject to change
upon completion of the Company’s audited financial statements for
the year ended December 31, 2024, and changes could be
material. Gran Tierra anticipates filing its audited financial
statements and related management’s discussion and analysis for the
year ended December 31, 2024 on or before February 26,
2025.
DISCLOSURE OF OIL AND GAS
INFORMATION
Boe’s have been converted on the basis of six
thousand cubic feet (“Mcf”) natural gas to 1 bbl of oil. Boe’s may
be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion
ratio of 6 Mcf: 1 bbl is based on an energy equivalency conversion
method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not
represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. In addition, given
that the value ratio based on the current price of oil as compared
with natural gas is significantly different from the energy
equivalent of six to one, utilizing a boe conversion ratio of 6
Mcf: 1 bbl would be misleading as an indication of value.
All reserves values, future net revenue and
ancillary information contained in this press release have been
prepared by McDaniel and are derived from the GTE McDaniel Reserves
Report, unless otherwise expressly stated. Any reserves values or
related information contained in this press release as of a date
other than December 31, 2024 has an effective date of December
31 of the applicable year and is derived from a report prepared by
Gran Tierra’s independent qualified reserves evaluator as of such
date, and additional information regarding such estimate or
information can be found in Gran Tierra’s applicable Statement of
Reserves Data and Other Oil and Gas Information on Form 51-101F1
filed on SEDAR at www.sedar.com.
Estimates of net present value and future net
revenue contained herein do not necessarily represent fair market
value. Estimates of reserves and future net revenue for individual
properties may not reflect the same level of confidence as
estimates of reserves and future net revenue for all properties,
due to the effect of aggregation. There is no assurance that the
forecast price and cost assumptions applied by McDaniel in
evaluating Gran Tierra’s reserves and future net revenue will be
attained and variances could be material.
All evaluations of future net revenue contained
in the GTE McDaniel Reserves Report are after the deduction of
royalties, operating costs, development costs, production costs and
abandonment and reclamation costs but before consideration of
indirect costs such as administrative, overhead and other
miscellaneous expenses. It should not be assumed that the estimates
of future net revenues presented in this press release represent
the fair market value of the reserves. There are numerous
uncertainties inherent in estimating quantities of crude oil
reserves and the future cash flows attributed to such reserves. The
reserve and associated cash flow information set forth in the GTE
McDaniel Reserves Report are estimates only and there is no
guarantee that the estimated reserves will be recovered. Actual
reserves may be greater than or less than the estimates provided
therein.
References to a formation where evidence of hydrocarbons has
been encountered is not necessarily an indicator that hydrocarbons
will be recoverable in commercial quantities or in any estimated
volume. Gran Tierra's reported production is a mix of light crude
oil and medium, heavy crude oil, tight oil, conventional natural
gas, shale gas and natural gas liquids for which there is no
precise breakdown since the Company’s sales volumes typically
represent blends of more than one product type. Drilling locations
disclosed herein are derived from the GTE McDaniel Reserves Report
and account for drilling locations that have associated Proved
Undeveloped and Proved plus Probable Undeveloped reserves, as
applicable. Well test results should be considered as preliminary
and not necessarily indicative of long-term performance or of
ultimate recovery. Well log interpretations indicating oil and gas
accumulations are not necessarily indicative of future production
or ultimate recovery. If it is indicated that a pressure transient
analysis or well-test interpretation has not been carried out, any
data disclosed in that respect should be considered preliminary
until such analysis has been completed. References to thickness of
“oil pay” or of a formation where evidence of hydrocarbons has been
encountered is not necessarily an indicator that hydrocarbons will
be recoverable in commercial quantities or in any estimated
volume.
Definitions
Proved reserves are those reserves that can be
estimated with a high degree of certainty to be recoverable. It is
likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed
the estimated proved reserves.
Probable reserves are those additional reserves
that are less certain to be recovered than proved reserves. It is
equally likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will
be greater or less than the sum of the estimated proved plus
probable reserves.
Possible reserves are those additional reserves
that are less certain to be recovered than Probable reserves. It is
unlikely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will be
greater or less than the sum of the estimated proved plus probable
plus possible reserves. There is a 10% probability that the
quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the sum of
Proved plus Probable plus Possible reserves.
Developed producing reserves are those reserves
that are expected to be recovered from completion intervals open at
the time of the estimate. These reserves may be currently producing
or, if shut-in, they must have previously been on production, and
the date of resumption of production must be known with reasonable
certainty.
Developed non-producing reserves are those
reserves that either have not been on production or have previously
been on production but are shut-in and the date of resumption of
production is unknown.
Undeveloped reserves are those reserves expected
to be recovered from known accumulations where a significant
expenditure (e.g., when compared to the cost of drilling a well) is
required to render them capable of production. They must fully meet
the requirements of the reserves category (proved, probable,
possible) to which they are assigned.
Certain terms used in this press release but not
defined are defined in NI 51-101, CSA Staff Notice 51-324 – Revised
Glossary to NI 51-101, Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas
Activities (“CSA Staff Notice 51-324”) and/or the
COGEH and, unless the context otherwise requires, shall have the
same meanings herein as in NI 51-101, CSA Staff Notice 51-324 and
the COGEH, as the case may be.
Oil and Gas Metrics
This press release contains a number of oil and
gas metrics, including NAV per share, FD&A costs, reserve life
index and reserves replacement, which do not have standardized
meanings or standard methods of calculation and therefore such
measures may not be comparable to similar measures used by other
companies and should not be used to make comparisons. Such metrics
have been included herein to provide readers with additional
measures to evaluate the Company’s performance; however, such
measures are not reliable indicators of the future performance of
the Company and future performance may not compare to the
performance in previous periods.
-
NAV per share is calculated as NPV10 (before or after tax, as
applicable) of the applicable reserves category minus estimated Net
Debt, divided by the number of shares of Gran Tierra’s common stock
issued and outstanding. Management uses NAV per share as a measure
of the relative change of Gran Tierra’s net asset value over its
outstanding common stock over a period of time.
-
FD&A costs are calculated as estimated exploration and
development capital expenditures, including acquisitions and
dispositions, divided by the applicable reserves additions both
before and after changes in FDC costs. The calculation of FD&A
costs incorporates the change in FDC required to bring proved
undeveloped and developed reserves into production. The aggregate
of the exploration and development costs incurred in the financial
year and the changes during that year in estimated FDC may not
reflect the total FD&A costs related to reserves additions for
that year. Management uses FD&A costs per boe as a measure of
its ability to execute its capital program and of its asset
quality.
-
Reserve life index is calculated as reserves in the referenced
category divided by the referenced estimated production. Management
uses this measure to determine how long the booked reserves will
last at current production rates if no further reserves were
added.
-
Reserves replacement is calculated as reserves in the referenced
category divided by estimated referenced production. Management
uses this measure to determine the relative change of its reserve
base over a period of time.
Disclosure of Reserve Information and
Cautionary Note to U.S. Investors
Unless expressly stated otherwise, all estimates
of proved, probable and possible reserves and related future net
revenue disclosed in this press release have been prepared in
accordance with NI 51-101. Estimates of reserves and future net
revenue made in accordance with NI 51-101 will differ from
corresponding estimates prepared in accordance with applicable SEC
rules and disclosure requirements of the U.S. Financial Accounting
Standards Board (“FASB”), and those differences may be material. NI
51-101, for example, requires disclosure of reserves and related
future net revenue estimates based on forecast prices and costs,
whereas SEC and FASB standards require that reserves and related
future net revenue be estimated using average prices for the
previous 12 months. In addition, NI 51-101 permits the presentation
of reserves estimates on a “company gross” basis, representing Gran
Tierra’s working interest share before deduction of royalties,
whereas SEC and FASB standards require the presentation of net
reserve estimates after the deduction of royalties and similar
payments. There are also differences in the technical reserves
estimation standards applicable under NI 51-101 and, pursuant
thereto, the COGEH, and those applicable under SEC and FASB
requirements.
In addition to being a reporting issuer in
certain Canadian jurisdictions, Gran Tierra is a registrant with
the SEC and subject to domestic issuer reporting requirements under
U.S. federal securities law, including with respect to the
disclosure of reserves and other oil and gas information in
accordance with U.S. federal securities law and applicable SEC
rules and regulations (collectively, “SEC requirements”).
Disclosure of such information in accordance with SEC requirements
is included in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K and in
other reports and materials filed with or furnished to the SEC and,
as applicable, Canadian securities regulatory authorities. The SEC
permits oil and gas companies that are subject to domestic issuer
reporting requirements under U.S. federal securities law, in their
filings with the SEC, to disclose only estimated proved, probable
and possible reserves that meet the SEC’s definitions of such
terms. Gran Tierra has disclosed estimated proved, probable and
possible reserves in its filings with the SEC. In addition, Gran
Tierra prepares its financial statements in accordance with United
States generally accepted accounting principles, which require that
the notes to its annual financial statements include supplementary
disclosure in respect of the Company’s oil and gas activities,
including estimates of its proved oil and gas reserves and a
standardized measure of discounted future net cash flows relating
to proved oil and gas reserve quantities. This supplementary
financial statement disclosure is presented in accordance with FASB
requirements, which align with corresponding SEC requirements
concerning reserves estimation and reporting.
Proved reserves are reserves which, by analysis
of geoscience and engineering data, can be estimated with
reasonable certainty to be economically producible from a given
date forward from known reservoirs under existing economic
conditions, operating methods, and government regulations prior to
the time at which contracts providing the right to operate expires,
unless evidence indicates that renewal is reasonably certain.
Probable reserves are reserves that are less certain to be
recovered than proved reserves but which, together with proved
reserves, are as likely as not to be recovered. Estimates of
probable reserves which may potentially be recoverable through
additional drilling or recovery techniques are by nature more
uncertain than estimates of proved reserves and accordingly are
subject to substantially greater risk of not actually being
realized by us. Possible reserves are reserves that are less
certain to be recovered than probable reserves. Estimates of
possible reserves are also inherently imprecise. Estimates of
probable and possible reserves are also continually subject to
revisions based on production history, results of additional
exploration and development, price changes, and other factors.
The Company believes that the presentation of
NPV10 is useful to investors because it presents (i) relative
monetary significance of its oil and natural gas properties
regardless of tax structure and (ii) relative size and value of its
reserves to other companies. The Company also uses this measure
when assessing the potential return on investment related to its
oil and natural gas properties. NPV10 and the standardized measure
of discounted future net cash flows do not purport to present the
fair value of the Company’s oil and gas reserves. The Company has
not provided a reconciliation of NPV10 to the standardized measure
of discounted future net cash flows because it is impracticable to
do so.
Investors are urged to consider closely the
disclosures and risk factors in the Company’s Annual Report on Form
10-K, Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q and in the other reports and
filings with the SEC, available from the Company’s offices or
website. These reports can also be obtained from the SEC website at
www.sec.gov.
Gran Tierra Energy (LSE:GTE)
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