Is The Bitcoin Bull Cycle Really Over? This Indicator Suggests Price Could Rebound To $130,000
March 01 2025 - 11:00AM
NEWSBTC
The past week has been a rollercoaster ride for the cryptocurrency
market, as the value of most large-cap assets took a significant
hit over the last seven-day period. Specifically, the Bitcoin price
fell beneath $80,000 for the first time since that almost vertical
surge in November 2024. As expected, the market downturn has led to
discussions and commentary about the price of Bitcoin already
reaching its top in this cycle. Nevertheless, the latest on-chain
data suggests that the premier cryptocurrency might still have room
for a final upward rally. How BTC Price Could Go For A Final Peak
In This Cycle In a Quicktake post on the CryptoQuant platform, an
analyst with the pseudonym Tarekonchain revealed the “truth” behind
the current cycle, saying the latest market crash might be an
opportunity for investors to buy the dip. This prediction is based
on a key on-chain indicator, the MVRV Ratio. Related Reading:
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Coins Recover? The MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio is
an indicator that tracks the ratio between a coin’s market cap and
its realized cap. When the value of this ratio is greater than 1,
it implies that more investors are considered to be in profit at
the moment. High MVRV ratios are considered price top signals, as
traders typically show a propensity to sell off their assets when
they are in the green. According to Tarekonchain, the price of
Bitcoin peaked in every previous cycle when the MVRV ratio crossed
3.5. However, on-chain data shows that this indicator only reached
2.7 as the price of Bitcoin notched a new all-time high around the
$110,000 region. Tarekonchain noted that the Bitcoin price might
not have topped out in the current cycle as its MVRV ratio is yet
to reach 3.5 as it did in previous cycles. The Quicktake analyst
also noted that while BTC’s slump beneath the 365-day moving
average is undeniably a bearish signal, the premier cryptocurrency
still has an opportunity to rebound from the critical $65,000
support level. “This does not mean the price must reach $65K, but
rather that it’s a strong support level,” Tarekonchain added.
According to the analyst, the MVRV ratio needs to at least cross
3.0 to be able to confirm the Bitcoin price reaching the cycle top.
If the premier cryptocurrency finds support and successfully
rebounds, investors could see BTC target new all-time highs — the
final peak of this cycle — around $120K–$130K. Bitcoin Price At A
Glance As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at around
$85,000, reflecting no significant movement in the past 24 hours.
Related Reading: Is Solana In A Macro Trend Move? Charts Show
Potential Shift Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView
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