2019 Outlook
- Forecasted 33% growth in company produced metallurgical
coal sales
- Reduction in cash mining costs per ton sold
- Favorable price outlook given strong fundamentals for
metallurgical coal
- Growth plan on track with two new mines in
2019
CANONSBURG, PA, Dec. 10, 2018 /CNW/ - Corsa Coal Corp. (TSXV:
CSO) ("Corsa" or the "Company"), a premium quality metallurgical
coal producer, today announced its guidance for 2019(1)
and the extension of the maturity date of the term credit facility
with Sprott Resource Lending Corp. from August 19, 2019 to August
19, 2020.
Unless otherwise noted, all dollar amounts in this news release
are expressed in United States
dollars and all ton amounts are short tons (2,000 pounds per
ton). Pricing and cost per ton information is expressed on a
free-on-board, or FOB, mine site basis, unless otherwise noted.
"In 2018, Corsa advanced several strategic priorities that
position the business well for future success in 2019 and beyond,"
said George Dethlefsen, Chief
Executive Officer of Corsa. "We completed the ramp-up of the
Acosta deep mine, made significant
progress on the development of the Horning mine, developed the
northeastern reserve base at the Casselman mine and completed a face mining
equipment upgrade cycle – a move that will reduce capital
expenditures in the coming years while also reducing repair and
maintenance expenses and improving productivity.
Additionally, we divested the thermal coal-producing Central
Appalachia division to become a pure play metallurgical coal
producer. While accomplishing these objectives, we also
expect to have increased Company Produced(2)
metallurgical coal sales levels by 23% and will have grown overall
metallurgical coal sales 29% by the end of 2018.
In 2019, we are forecasting Company Produced metallurgical coal
sales to increase by 33%, as the Casselman and Acosta mines are producing at full capacity
and as we ramp up our Horning and Schrock Run mines. We are
guiding to cash production costs per ton sold(3) of
$78 to $82 in 2019, reflecting reduced costs per ton
sold at both Casselman and
Acosta and benefiting from the
lower cost profile of our Schrock Run surface mine. In 2019,
we expect to begin development work at our Keyser mine in
Somerset County.
We have grown the Company at a rapid pace since 2016, increasing
metallurgical coal sales by nearly 190% and increasing company
produced metallurgical coal sales by 49%. Even after this progress,
we believe we are only in the fifth inning of our growth
story. Finishing the Horning mine development, beginning the
Keyser mine and beginning the North mine are all key pieces to our
long-term strategy of lowering unit costs by increasing capacity
utilization at our preparation plants and achieving the financial
benefits of scale.
The market for metallurgical coal remains very well-supported
largely due to limited production growth globally over the past
several years and healthy demand from steel producers. Supply
of low volatile metallurgical coal is particularly tight in the
marketplace, given recent supply events. The forward curve
for 2019 currently projects an average price for premium low
volatile metallurgical coal of $190.25 per metric ton FOB vessel. Using a
$190 per metric ton FOB vessel price
outlook, we expect to generate between $13 and $15 million
of net and comprehensive income and $42 and $46 million
of Adjusted EBITDA(3) in 2019. We are looking
forward to capitalizing on the opportunity ahead of us in
2019."
______________________
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(1)
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Guidance projections
("Guidance") are considered "forward-looking statements" and
"forward looking information" and represent management's good faith
estimates or expectations of future production and sales results as
of the date hereof. Guidance is based upon certain
assumptions, including, but not limited to, future cash production
costs, future sales and production and the availability of coal
from other suppliers that the Company may purchase. Such
assumptions may prove to be incorrect and actual results may differ
materially from those anticipated. Consequently, Guidance
cannot be guaranteed. As such, investors are cautioned not to
place undue reliance upon Guidance, forward-looking statements and
forward-looking information as there can be no assurance that the
plans, assumptions or expectations upon which they are placed will
occur.
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(2)
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Corsa's metallurgical
coal sales figures are comprised of three types of sales: (i)
selling coal that Corsa produces ("Company Produced"); (ii) selling
coal that Corsa purchases and provides value added services
(storing, washing, blending, loading) to make the coal saleable
("Value Added Services"); and (iii) selling coal that Corsa
purchases on a clean or finished basis from suppliers outside the
Northern Appalachia region ("Sales and Trading").
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(3)
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This is a non-GAAP
financial measure. See "Non-GAAP Financial Measures" below
for more information.
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Company Produced Tons
Our 2019 budget is focused on
producing coal at our three underground mines and is benefited by a
full year run rate at the Acosta
mine and more favorable mining conditions at the Casselman mine. The Horning mine is
expected to exit the development phase and is expected to produce a
low-ash, premium quality metallurgical coal. In early 2019,
we expect to begin production at the Schrock Run surface mine which
is expected to be the Company's lowest cost mine.
Value Added Services – Purchased Coal
Increasing
capacity utilization rates at our infrastructure remains a
strategic priority for the Company in 2019 and part of the
long-term growth plans. The Company's processing plant
facilities have the capacity to double throughput with increased
volumes from our company produced tons and value added services
tons. Corsa has four million tons of annual processing
capacity connected to rail sidings on both the CSX and Norfolk
Southern railroads. Purchasing coal locally and then storing,
washing, blending and loading the coal generates margin, as Corsa
uses its customer relationships, infrastructure and logistics
capabilities to enable regional producers to access the export
market.
Sales and Trading – Purchased Coal
The Sales and
Trading business line provides significant intangible benefits that
help the Company drive volume growth and increases its presence in
the seaborne market, as well as in the domestic purchased coal
market. This helps the Company offer its customers a wide
range of coal qualities and creates a margin stream that Corsa
believes will be available in any pricing environment.
Export Price Realizations
At present, we have priced
39% of our 2019 low volatile metallurgical coal order book,
including 650,000 tons of domestic business that is priced at an
average of $112 per ton FOB
mine. Currently 59% of 2019 forecasted low volatile volumes
are committed. We expect our sales order book to have good
diversification, with roughly equal shares of volumes being fixed,
priced off the Australian index and priced off of the Platts U.S.
East Coast index. We forecast approximately 71% of 2019
volumes to be exported and 29% to be sold domestically.
Guidance
Corsa's guidance for the year ending December 31, 2019 is as follows:
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(all dollar
amounts in U.S. dollars and tonnage in short tons)
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Full Year
2019
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Metallurgical Coal
Sales Tons
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Company
Produced
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1.25 - 1.40
million
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Purchased - Value
Added Services
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0.30 - 0.40
million
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Purchased - Sales and
Trading
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0.45 - 0.60
million
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Total Metallurgical
Coal Sales Tons
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2.0 - 2.4
million
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Share of
Metallurgical Coal Sales Tons
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% Domestic Sales at
the mid-point
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29%
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% Export Sales at the
mid-point
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71%
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Metallurgical Coal
Sales Tons Commitments(d)
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Committed at the
mid-point
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59%
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Committed and Priced
at the mid-point
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39%
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Cash Production
Cost per ton sold (FOB Mine)(a)(b)
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NAPP Division
Metallurgical Coal
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$78 - $82
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General and
Administrative Expenses(c)
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NAPP
Division
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$8.5 - $9.0
million
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Corporate
Division
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$5.0 - $5.5
million
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Total Corsa
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$13.5 - $14.5
million
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Note: Selling
expenses are forecasted to be covered by margins from sales and
trading tons sold.
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Net and
comprehensive income
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$13 - $15
million
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Adjusted
EBITDA(a)
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$42 - $46
million
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Capital
Expenditures per ton sold(a)(d)
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Maintenance capital
expenditures
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$5
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Total capital
expenditures
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$6
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(a)
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This is a non-GAAP
financial measure. See "Non-GAAP Financial Measures" below
for more information.
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(b)
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Cash Production Cost
per ton sold excludes purchased coal.
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(c)
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Exclusive of
stock-based compensation and selling related commissions, bank fees
and finance charges.
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(d)
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Tons sold excludes
purchased coal used in the sales and trading platform.
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2019 Net Income
and Adjusted EBITDA Guidance Assumptions
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Price Case:
$190/metric ton FOB Vessel
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Net and comprehensive
income $13 - $15 million
Adj. EBITDA $42 - $46 million
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Current TSI FOB Aus.
Spot Price
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$231/metric ton FOB
Vessel
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Forward TSI FOB Aus.
Curve ($/mt FOB Vessel)
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Calendar Year 2019
(Average)
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$190.25
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Adjusted EBITDA
sensitivity to movement in seaborne price:
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$10/metric ton FOB
Vessel:
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$7.0 - $7.5
million
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Non-GAAP Financial Measures
Management uses cash production cost per ton sold, capital
expenditures per ton sold and adjusted EBITDA as internal
measurements of financial performance for Corsa's mining and
processing operations. These measures are not recognized
under International Financial Reporting Standards ("GAAP").
Corsa believes that, in addition to the conventional measures
prepared in accordance with GAAP, certain investors and other
stakeholders also use these non-GAAP financial measures to evaluate
Corsa's operating and financial performance; however, these
non-GAAP financial measures do not have any standardized meaning
and therefore may not be comparable to similar measures presented
by other issuers. Accordingly, these non-GAAP financial
measures are intended to provide additional information and should
not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of
performance prepared in accordance with GAAP. Reference is
made to the management's discussion and analysis for the three and
nine months ended September 30, 2018 for a reconciliation and
definitions of non-GAAP financial measures to GAAP measures.
Corsa defines adjusted EBITDA as EBITDA (earnings before
deductions for interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization)
adjusted for change in estimate of reclamation provision for
non-operating properties, impairment and write-off of mineral
properties and advance royalties, gain (loss) on sale of assets and
other costs, stock-based compensation, non-cash finance expenses
and other non-cash adjustments. Adjusted EBITDA is used as a
supplemental financial measure by management and by external users
of our financial statements to assess our performance as compared
to the performance of other companies in the coal industry, without
regard to financing methods, historical cost basis or capital
structure; the ability of our assets to generate sufficient cash
flow; and our ability to incur and service debt and fund capital
expenditures. Management also uses adjusted EBITDA for the
purposes of making decisions to allocate resources among segments
or assessing segment performance.
Below is a reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA guidance, a
non-GAAP financial measure, to the nearest GAAP financial
measure:
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Full Year 2019
Guidance
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(in
millions)
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Low
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High
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Net and comprehensive
income from continuing operations
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$
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13
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$
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15
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Add
(Deduct):
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Amortization
expense
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19
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20
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Interest
expense
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5
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6
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Income tax
expense
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—
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—
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EBITDA
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37
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41
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Add
(Deduct):
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Stock-based
compensation
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2
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2
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Net finance expense,
excluding interest expense
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3
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3
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Adjusted
EBITDA
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$
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42
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$
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46
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Extension of Credit Facility
The Company's wholly-owned subsidiary, Wilson Creek Holdings,
Inc. ("WCH"), has entered into an amending agreement to extend the
maturity date of its term credit facility from August 19, 2019 to August
19, 2020 and to amend certain other terms of the credit
agreement (the "Credit Agreement") governing its term credit
facility made available by Sprott Resource Lending Corp.
In addition to the extension of the maturity date, the amending
agreement, among other things, provides for: (i) repayments of
$3.0 million on or prior to
March 31, 2019 and August 30, 2019; (ii) repayment of $1.0 million on the last day of every month
commencing on September 30, 2019 and
ending on July 31, 2020; and (iii)
repayment of certain net proceeds received, if any, by the Company
as a result of a contingent receivable; and (iv) the payment of an
amendment fee on September 30, 2019
in an amount equal to two percent of the then outstanding principal
amount under the Credit Agreement. The effectiveness of the
amending agreement is conditional upon the payment of an amendment
fee in an amount equal to two percent of the current outstanding
principal amount under the Credit Agreement and certain other
customary conditions. The amending agreement will be filed under
Corsa's profile on www.sedar.com.
Qualified Person
All scientific and technical information contained in this news
release has been reviewed and approved by Peter V. Merritts, Professional Engineer and the
Company's President - NAPP Division,
who is a qualified person within the meaning of National Instrument
43-101 - Standards of Disclosure for Mineral Projects.
Caution
The estimated coal sales, projected market conditions and
potential development disclosed in this news release are considered
to be forward looking information. Readers are cautioned that
actual results may vary from this forward-looking
information. Actual sales are subject to variation based on a
number of risks and other factors referred to under the heading
"Forward-Looking Statements" below as well as demand and sales
orders received.
Information about Corsa
Corsa is a coal mining company focused on the production and
sales of metallurgical coal, an essential ingredient in the
production of steel. Our core business is producing and selling
metallurgical coal to domestic and international steel and coke
producers in the Atlantic and Pacific basin markets.
Forward-Looking Statements
Certain information set forth in this press release contains
"forward-looking statements", "forward-looking information" and
"future oriented financial information" (collectively,
"forward-looking statements") under applicable securities laws.
Except for statements of historical fact, certain information
contained herein relating to projected sales, coal prices, coal
production, mine development, the capacity and recovery of Corsa's
preparation plants, expected cash production costs, geological
conditions, future capital expenditures, expectations of market
demand for coal and the effectiveness of the amending agreement to
the Credit Agreement constitutes forward-looking statements which
include management's assessment of future plans and operations and
are based on current internal expectations, estimates, projections,
assumptions and beliefs, which may prove to be incorrect. Some of
the forward-looking statements may be identified by words such as
"estimates", "expects" "anticipates", "believes", "projects",
"plans", "capacity", "hope", "forecast", "anticipate", "could" and
similar expressions. These statements are not guarantees of future
performance and undue reliance should not be placed on them. Such
forward-looking statements necessarily involve known and unknown
risks and uncertainties, which may cause Corsa's actual performance
and financial results in future periods to differ materially from
any projections of future performance or results expressed or
implied by such forward-looking statements. These risks and
uncertainties include, but are not limited to: risks that the
actual production or sales for the 2018 or 2019 fiscal year will be
less than projected production or sales for this period; risks that
the prices for coal sales will be less than projected; liabilities
inherent in coal mine development and production; geological,
mining and processing technical problems; inability to obtain
required mine licenses, mine permits and regulatory approvals or
renewals required in connection with the mining and processing of
coal; risks that Corsa's preparation plants will not operate at
production capacity during the relevant period, unexpected changes
in coal quality and specification; variations in the coal mine or
preparation plant recovery rates; dependence on third party coal
transportation systems; competition for, among other things,
capital, acquisitions of reserves, undeveloped lands and skilled
personnel; incorrect assessments of the value of acquisitions;
changes in commodity prices and exchange rates; changes in the
regulations in respect to the use, mining and processing of coal;
changes in regulations on refuse disposal; the effects of
competition and pricing pressures in the coal market; the
oversupply of, or lack of demand for, coal; inability of management
to secure coal sales or third party purchase contracts; currency
and interest rate fluctuations; various events which could disrupt
operations and/or the transportation of coal products, including
labor stoppages and severe weather conditions; the demand for and
availability of rail, port and other transportation services; the
ability to purchase third party coal for processing and delivery
under purchase agreements; and management's ability to anticipate
and manage the foregoing factors and risks. The forward-looking
statements and information contained in this press release are
based on certain assumptions regarding, among other things, coal
sales being consistent with expectations; future prices for coal;
future currency and exchange rates; Corsa's ability to generate
sufficient cash flow from operations and access capital markets to
meet its future obligations; the regulatory framework representing
royalties, taxes and environmental matters in the countries in
which Corsa conducts business; coal production levels; Corsa's
ability to retain qualified staff and equipment in a cost-efficient
manner to meet its demand; and Corsa being able to execute its
program of operational improvement and initiatives. There can be no
assurance that forward-looking statements will prove to be
accurate, as actual results and future events could differ
materially from those anticipated in such statements. The reader is
cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking
statements. Corsa does not undertake to update any of the
forward-looking statements contained in this press release unless
required by law. The statements as to Corsa's capacity to produce
coal are no assurance that it will achieve these levels of
production or that it will be able to achieve these sales
levels.
The TSX Venture Exchange has in no way passed on the
merits of this news release. Neither the TSX Venture Exchange
nor its Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in
the policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility
for the adequacy or accuracy of this release.
SOURCE Corsa Coal Corp.