By Sven Grundberg
TODAY'S CALENDAR - All times GMT
Nordic Macro
0600 Finland Monthly Unemployment
0730 Sweden 2Q Industry Capacity
0800 Norway 2Q GDP
Other Macro
0600 Germany PPI
1230 US Chicago Fed Index
Nordic Equities
0500 Peab Earnings
0700 Dong Energy Earnings
1000 Topdanmark Earnings
NA Grieg Seafood Earnings
NA Investment Latour Earnings
Other Equities
NA BHP Billiton Earnings
Glencore Xstrata Earnings
Wienerberger Earnings
IN FOCUS:
Norway's second quarter economic output figure, due at 0800 GMT,
takes center stage on Tuesday as investors look ahead to the
upcoming Norwegian rate call on Sept. 19.
Economists polled by Dow Jones expect Norway's mainland economy
to have grown 0.6% in the second quarter, compared with a 0.7%
expansion in the first three months of the year. This view is
largely in line with Norges Bank's 0.7% growth forecast in its
latest monetary policy report.
"Any significant surprise could move expectations on how Norges
Bank will act in September," analysts at Nordea said in a note.
Analysts at TD Securities added that if Norwegian industrial
production data is any indication, one should expect another
quarter of solid Norwegian economic growth in the second quarter.
"The 2.7% quarter-on-quarter expansion in industrial production was
one of the strongest quarters over the last two decades," it
added.
Internationally, the U.S. Federal reserve remains in the
spotlight, with the minutes from the central bank's latest
policy-setting meeting due out Wednesday. Investors have been
keeping a close eye on communications from the Fed, as they try to
discern when the central bank will start to pare back on its
aggressive easy-money policies.
Important data releases on Tuesday include Germany's July
Producer Price Index, at 0600 GMT, and the U.S. Chicago Fed
National Activity Index at 1230 GMT.
FOREX:
EUR/NOK
Latest 0150 GMT 7.8914-90
Previous 2150 GMT 7.8884-963
%Chg +0.04
EUR/SEK
Latest 0150 GMT 8.6796-862
Previous 2150 GMT 8.6755-832
%Chg +0.04
USD/NOK
Latest 0150 GMT 5.9176-232
Previous 2150 GMT 5.9161-211
%Chg +0.03
USD/SEK
Latest 0150 GMT 6.5088-136
Previous 2150 GMT 6.5065-113
%Chg +0.04
NORDIC CURRENCIES:
Nordic currency investors will focus on the Norwegian second
quarter economic output figure at 0800 GMT. Expectations are for
Norway's mainland economy to have grown 0.6% in the second quarter,
which is largely in line with Norges Bank's 0.7% growth
forecast.
With some uncertainty regarding the plans of Norway's central
bank, Norges Bank, at its upcoming rate meeting in September, the
economic output figure will be carefully scrutinized. At the latest
monetary policy meeting in June, central bank Governor Oystein
Olsen flagged that Norway's key policy rate "will remain at the
current level, or somewhat lower, in the year ahead."
"Growth is slowing in Norway and Norges Bank is likely to cut
the interest rate in the fall. As a result we expect the NOK to be
trading at weaker levels than what we have seen over the last year
going forward," economists at DNB said in a note on Monday.
As far as the Swedish krona is concerned, economists at SEB
Monday said an improving economic climate in the euro zone, as
highlighted by last week's encouraging euro zone economic output
data, should produce fair winds for the euro while lessening
Sweden's appeal as a safe haven for currency investors.
"Although there are still several factors pointing to a
continued strengthening of the krona, it still looks more likely
that the EUR/SEK rate will pass 9 again before it dips below 8 any
time in the future," the bank said.
STOCK INDEXES:
OMXN40 1185.64 -2.15 -0.18%
OMXS30 1250.84 -4.18 -0.33%
OBX 463.51 +1.30 +0.28%
OMXC20 570.37 +0.12 +0.02%
OMXH25 2452.93 -2.97 -0.12%
Brent $109.75 -0.15 -0.1%
NORDIC MARKETS:
The U.S. Federal reserve remains in the spotlight this week,
with the minutes from the central bank's latest policy-setting
meeting due out Wednesday.
Investors have been keeping a close eye on communications from
the Fed, as they try to discern when the central bank will start to
pare back on its aggressive easy-money policies.
While quarterly earnings have almost come to an end in the
Nordics, some companies are left to report. On Tuesday, investors
will be eyeing Swedish construction company Peab AB's (PEAB-B.SK)
second quarter earnings at 0500 GMT, followed by that of Danish
insurer Topdanmark A/S (TOP.KO), at 1000 GMT.
With an otherwise rather slim agenda on Tuesday, the U.S.
Chicago Fed National Activity index, at 1230 GMT, will gain some
attention, said Mattias Gredmark, an equity strategist at SEB.
ENERGY:
Crude prices were a touch lower, with investors watching for
developments in the Middle East, the Wednesday release of Federal
Reserve minutes and manufacturing data from China this week. "We
are still viewing the $108.80 level as achievable, while we shift
our focus to the October WTI [West Texas Intermediate] contract
mid-week," trading oil advisory firm, Ritterbusch & Associates,
said in a report. "Egypt obviously remains a key factor" for oil
prices, said Andy Lebow, senior vice president of energy futures at
Jefferies Bache LLC. Meanwhile, crude oil output in Libya has
halved to about 600,000 barrels a day, following the blockade of
ports by guards demanding better pay. September Nymex crude was at
$107.05/bbl, down 5 cents, and October Brent crude was at
$109.75/bbl, down 15 cents.
NEWS ROUNDUP:
SWEDEN's Prime Minister Fredrik Reinfeldt said over the weekend
that he wants to introduce another round of income tax cuts when
his government publishes its budget proposals next month. The plan
to cut income taxes for a fifth time comes as the government faces
increasing voter pressure to explain how it will deal with a
slowing economy and rising unemployment.
SWEDEN: Atlas Copco AB (ATCO-A.SK), the Swedish industrial
manufacturer, said Monday that it will acquire Edwards Group Ltd.
(EVAC), a U.K. supplier of vacuum and abatement solutions, for
SEK10.6 billion ($1.6 billion).
NORWAY: Statoil ASA (STO), the Norwegian oil and gas major, said
it has sold minority stakes in some of its fields offshore Norway
and West of Shetlands for $2.65 billion in cash to Austrian peer
OMV AG (OMV.VI).
SWEDEN: MTG AB (MTG-B.SK), the Swedish broadcaster, said it has
extended exclusive television broadcasting rights to England's
Barclays Premier League in Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania on all
platforms, from the start of the 2013/2014 season until the end of
the 2015/2016 season.
DENMARK: Rockwool International A/S (ROCK-B.KO), the Danish
marker of insulation materials, said it has acquired U.S. ceiling
company Chicago Metallic Corporation for $140 million.
Write to Sven Grundberg at sven.grundberg@dowjones.com; Twitter:
@svengrundberg
Johannes Ledel in Stockholm contributed to this report.