TIDMCLNR
RNS Number : 8855M
Cluff Natural Resources plc
19 October 2016
Cluff Natural Resources Plc / Index: AIM / Epic: CLNR / Sector:
Natural Resources
19 October 2016
Cluff Natural Resources Plc ('CLNR' or 'the Company')
Competent Persons Report on Licence P2248
& Portfolio Management Update
CLNR, the natural resources investing company, is pleased to
announce a substantial increase in the prospective resources for
its 100% held Licence P2248 (Block 43/11) ('the Licence') located
in the Southern North Sea gas basin. This follows the completion of
a technical evaluation and Competent Persons Report ('the Report')
on the gas resources on the Licence by Xodus Group, an independent
oil and gas consultancy firm.
Key Highlights
-- Assessed the six most mature prospects on Licence P2248
-- Gas Initially in Place (GIIP) on P2248, estimated in the
range of 760 BCF to 7.2 TCF, with a Best Estimate GIIP of 2.66 TCF
(Mean: 3.45TCF)
-- Prospective Resources on P2248 estimated in the range of 480
BCF to 4.75 TCF with a P50 of 1.73 TCF (Mean: 2.26 TCF)
-- Across the Company's total portfolio, aggregate Best Estimate
GIIP and P50 prospective resource estimated to have increased to
4.8 TCF and 2.5 TCF respectively, not including a number of
additional leads and prospects which have yet to be fully
quantified
-- Confirmation of extension of Promote period on P2248 for a
further year (to 30 November 2017) has been granted from the
OGA
-- Supports commencement of formal farm-out process
Commenting CLNR's Chairman and Chief Executive Algy Cluff
said:
"We are delighted to be able to confirm this very significant
increase in the Company's prospective resource base following a
thorough independent review. This work supplements the announcement
on 30 September of the significant prospective resources for
Licences P2253 and P2258. The Company has been working hard to
quantify the potential of the licences we were awarded in the
28(th) Round and this endorsement of the significant exploration
potential associated with proven and new play types on our Licence
P2248 confirms our long held belief that the Southern Gas Basin
still has a significant number of large and exciting prospects just
waiting to be drilled. We now have a significant inventory of
drilling targets across a range of play types and the key focus
going forward is to attract the required partners and funding to
ensure these prospects are fully appraised."
The key prospects assessed in the Report on Licence 2248 are
summarised below:
Cadence Prospect (Scremerston & Fell)
-- A large three way dip and fault bounded structure, the
Cadence Prospect, with reservoir potential at multiple levels
including the Scremerston and Fell Sandstone Formations with a Best
Estimate GIIP of 1,282 BCF (Range 288 to 4,232 BCF) and unrisked
P50 Prospective Resources of 769 BCF (Range 170 to 2,585 BCF).
Camden Prospect (Millstone Grit)
-- Overlying the Cadence structure, the Yoredale and Millstone
Grit formations subcrop against the Base Permian Unconformity
creating a stratigraphic trap similar to those producing elsewhere
in the Southern North Sea. This stratigraphic prospect, Camden, has
a Best Estimate GIIP of 322 BCF (Range 120 BCF to 782 BCF) and P50
Prospective Resource of 160 BCF (Range 58 to 405 BCF).
Bassett, Bathurst & Beckett Prospects (Bunter Sandstone)
-- A number of leads within the Bunter Sandstone, based on a new
previously undrilled play, are also assessed within the Report.
These three leads have a combined Best Estimate GIIP of 1,058 BCF
(Range 352 to 2,173 BCF) and P50 Prospective Resources of 806 BCF
(Range 252 to 1,766 BCF).
The full results of the CPR Report are summarised below:
Licence CLNR Project PRMS GIIP (BCF)*
Ref: Equity ID Status
--------- -------- ---------------- --------- ---------------------------
Low Best Mean** High
--------- -------- ---------------- --------- ---- ----- ------- -----
Cadence
P2248 100% Scremerston Prospect 101 274 337 658
--------- -------- ---------------- --------- ---- ----- ------- -----
Cadence
Fell Sandstone Prospect 187 1008 1523 3574
--------- -------- ---------------- --------- ---- ----- ------- -----
Camden
Millstone
Grit Prospect 120 322 401 782
---------------- --------- ---- ----- ------- -----
Bassett
Bunter
Sst Prospect 49 169 195 374
---------------- --------- ---- ----- ------- -----
Bathurst
Bunter
Sst Prospect 169 357 404 704
---------------- --------- ---- ----- ------- -----
Beckett
Bunter
Sst Prospect 134 532 586 1095
--------- -------- ---------------- --------- ---- ----- ------- -----
TOTAL 760 2662 3446 7187
------------------------------------------------ ---- ----- ------- -----
*Net on block GIIP
Licence CLNR Project PRMS Prospective Resource Risk
Ref: Equity ID Status (BCF)* Factor
%
--------- -------- ---------------- --------- -------------------------------- --------
P90 P50 Mean** P10
/ / / High
Low Best
--------- -------- ---------------- --------- ----- ------ ------- -------- --------
Cadence
P2248 100% Scremerston Prospect 59 165 206 410 18
--------- -------- ---------------- --------- ----- ------ ------- -------- --------
Cadence
Fell Sandstone Prospect 111 604 923 2175 9
--------- -------- ---------------- --------- ----- ------ ------- -------- --------
Camden
Millstone
Grit Prospect 58 160 204 405 15
---------------- --------- ----- ------ ------- -------- --------
Bassett
Bunter
Sst Prospect 36 128 153 303 29
---------------- --------- ----- ------ ------- -------- --------
Bathurst
Bunter
Sst Prospect 119 275 317 571 18
---------------- --------- ----- ------ ------- -------- --------
Beckett
Bunter
Sst Prospect 97 403 460 892 18
--------- -------- ---------------- --------- ----- ------ ------- -------- --------
TOTAL 480 1735 2263 4756
--------- -------- ---------------- --------- ----- ------ ------- -------- --------
*Net on block resources
**The Mean has been added for completeness but is not recognised
under PRMS guidelines
A copy of the full CPR report for Licence P2248 can be found on
the following link:
http://www.cluffnaturalresources.com/investor-relations/technical-reports/
Updated Prospect and Lead Inventory
Following the Report for Licence P2248 the Company's current
inventory of undrilled prospects and leads in the Southern North
Sea gas basin is summarised below:
Licence CLNR Project ID PRMS Gross GIIP (BCF) Net Prospective Resource Risk
Ref: Equity Status (BCF)* Factor
%
--------- -------- ------------------- --------- --------------------- ------------------------------- ---------
Low Best High P90 P50 Mean** P10
--------- -------- ------------------- --------- ------ ------ ----- ------ ----- -------- ------ ---------
Cadence -
P2248 100% Scremerston Prospect 101 274 658 59 165 206 410 18
--------- -------- ------------------- --------- ------ ------ ----- ------ ----- -------- ------ ---------
Cadence - Fell
Sandstone Prospect 187 1008 3574 111 604 923 2175 9
--------- -------- ------------------- --------- ------ ------ ----- ------ ----- -------- ------ ---------
Camden - Millstone
Grit Prospect 120 322 782 25 160 204 405 15
------------------- --------- ------ ------ ----- ------ ----- -------- ------ ---------
Bassett - Bunter
Sst Prospect 49 169 374 36 128 153 303 29
------------------- --------- ------ ------ ----- ------ ----- -------- ------ ---------
Bathurst - Bunter
Sst Prospect 1669 357 704 119 275 317 571 18
------------------- --------- ------ ------ ----- ------ ----- -------- ------ ---------
Beckett - Bunter
Sst Prospect 134 532 1095 97 403 460 892 18
--------- -------- ------------------- --------- ------ ------ ----- ------ ----- -------- ------ ---------
P2252 100% Lytham - Permian Prospect 23 91 326 12 52 85 195 51
--------- -------- ------------------- --------- ------ ------ ----- ------ ----- -------- ------ ---------
Lytham -
Carboniferous Prospect 22 78 249 12 44 67 149 30
--------- -------- ------------------- --------- ------ ------ ----- ------ ----- -------- ------ ---------
Fairhaven Prospect 18 64 210 9 36 56 125 26
------------------- --------- ------ ------ ----- ------ ----- -------- ------ ---------
St Annes - Permian Lead 7 25 86 4 14 23 52 20
------------------- --------- ------ ------ ----- ------ ----- -------- ------ ---------
St Annes -
Carboniferous Lead 8 28 97 4 16 26 58 12
--------- -------- ------------------- --------- ------ ------ ----- ------ ----- -------- ------ ---------
P2253
&
P2258 50% Lead Z - Zechstein Lead 191 460 1027 54 139 173 335 15
--------- -------- ------------------- --------- ------ ------ ----- ------ ----- -------- ------ ---------
C North -
Carboniferous Lead 144 305 588 24 61 73 137 13
--------- -------- ------------------- --------- ------ ------ ----- ------ ----- -------- ------ ---------
Hz-80 Fault
Abutment Lead 241 512 987 40 103 123 230 11
--------- -------- ------------------- --------- ------ ------ ----- ------ ----- -------- ------ ---------
P2261 100% Clachnaharry Lead 15 76 351 9 43 86 207 12
--------- -------- ------------------- --------- ------ ------ ----- ------ ----- -------- ------ ---------
Williamson Lead 14 28 56 10 20 23 40 27
--------- -------- ------------------- --------- ------ ------ ----- ------ ----- -------- ------ ---------
Carboniferous Play 155 465 775 90 270 270 450 Med-High
--------- -------- ------------------- --------- ------ ------ ----- ------ ----- -------- ------ ---------
(1)Licence P2261 will be relinquished on 28 October 2016.
It should be noted that the above table only includes prospects
and leads which have been subject to sufficient work to be suitably
quantified.
Portfolio Management Update
As part of the Company's portfolio management process the
decision has been taken to extend licences on its most prospective
acreage and relinquish, or partially relinquish, less prospective
acreage within its Southern North Sea portfolio. This will focus
the Company on core acreage (Licences P2248, 2252, 2253 and 2258),
reduces exposure to escalating licence rental fees payable to the
Oil and Gas Authority ("OGA") and removes acreage from the
portfolio which cannot be easily assessed due to poor data quality
or (as in the case of Licence P2259), is effectively sterilised by
proposed offshore windfarms which were awarded planning permission
post-award of the hydrocarbon licences.
-- P2248 - the Company has received confirmation from the OGA
that the Company's request to extend the Promote period on licence
P2248 for a further year (to 30 November 2017) has been
granted.
-- P2252 - the Company has received confirmation from the OGA
that the Company's request to extend the Promote period on licence
P2252 for a further year (to 30 November 2017) has been
granted.
A request for the relinquishment of part of P2252 has been made
to the OGA with an effective date of 28 October 2016. This partial
relinquishment does not affect the Lytham prospect or any of the
Prospective Resources associated with the licence area as detailed
in the initial CPR dated December 2015 and set out above.
-- P2253 & 2258 - the administrator of the licences, Burgate
E&P, has submitted an application to the OGA for an extension
to the Promote period on these licences.
-- P2259 - A request for the relinquishment of P2259 has been
made to the OGA with an effective date of 28 October 2016. As
previously reported the majority of this licence area is affected
by the proposed and permitted Creyke Beck Offshore Windfarm which
is likely to prevent future oil and gas activity on this block.
This block will be relinquished in its entirety. There are no
Resources or Reserves associated with this licence.
-- P2261 - A request for the relinquishment of P2261 has been
made to the OGA with an effective date of 28 October 2016. The full
evaluation of this licence area is hampered by limited 3D seismic
coverage and poor quality existing 2D seismic data sets. There
would appear to be limited opportunities to monetise this licence
in the short term and therefore it will be relinquished in its
entirety. The previous CPR estimated P50 Prospective Resources of
63 BCF associated with two leads in the Bunter and Permian and a
further 270 BCF of play level resource in the deeper Carboniferous
section. Given its obvious potential prospectivity the Company will
review options for re-licencing some of the acreage under the more
attractive 'Innovate' licence terms in the UK's 30(th) Licencing
Round in 2017.
Qualified Person's Statement:
Andrew Nunn, CLNR's Chief Operating Officer, has approved the
information contained in this announcement. Mr Nunn is a Chartered
Geologist.
The GIIP volumes and Prospective Resources in the CPR have been
prepared in accordance with the 2007 Petroleum Resources Management
System (PRMS) prepared by the Oil and Gas Reserves Committee of the
Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE), reviewed, and jointly
sponsored by the World Petroleum Council (WPC), the American
Association of Petroleum Geologists (AAPG) and the Society of
Petroleum Evaluation Engineers (SPEE).
For further information please visit
www.cluffnaturalresources.com or contact the following:
Cluff Natural Resources Tel: +44 (0) 20 7887
Plc 2630
Algy Cluff / Graham Swindells
/ Andrew Nunn
Panmure Gordon (UK) Limited Tel: +44 (0) 20 7886
2500
Adam James / Atholl Tweedie
(Corporate Finance)
Tom Salvesen (Corporate
Broking)
Allenby Capital Limited Tel: +44 (0) 20 3328
5656
Chris Crawford / Katrina
Perez (Corporate Broking)
St Brides Partners Ltd Tel: +44 (0) 20 7236
1177
Lottie Brocklehurst / Frank
Buhagiar (Financial PR)
Glossary of Technical Terms
PMRS: Petroleum Resources Management System (2007)
mmscfd: Million Standard Cubic Feet Per Day
BCF: Billion Cubic Feet
GIIP: Gas Initially in Place
Prospective Resources: Are estimated volumes associated with
undiscovered accumulations. These represent quantities of petroleum
which are estimated, as of a given date, to be potentially
recoverable from oil and gas deposits identified on the basis of
indirect evidence but which have not yet been drilled.
Risk Factor: For prospective resources, means the chance or
probability of discovering hydrocarbons in sufficient quantity for
them to be tested to the surface. This, then, is the chance or
probability of the prospective resource maturing into a contingent
resource. Prospective resources have both an associated chance of
discovery (geological chance of success) and a chance of
development (economic, regulatory, market and facility, corporate
commitment and political risks). The chance of commerciality is the
product of these two risk components. These estimates have been
risked for chance of discovery but not for chance of
development.
TCF: Trillion Cubic Feet
Definition of Prospective Resources, P90, P10, P50, Pmean
While there may be a significant risk that sub-commercial or
undiscovered accumulations will not achieve commercial production,
it is useful to consider the range of potentially recoverable
volumes independently of such a risk.
Prospective Resources are those quantities of petroleum which
are estimated to be potentially recoverable from undiscovered
accumulations. These estimates are derived from volumetric
estimates for the reservoir size, estimates of the reservoir
characteristics (porosity, permeability, oil saturation). The basis
of these estimates would be available geological and geophysical
data, and the data from any existing wells in the given area.
Any estimation of resource quantities for an accumulation is
subject to both technical and commercial uncertainties and
consequently there will be a range of estimates which in general
will be substantially greater for undiscovered accumulations than
for discovered accumulations. In all cases, however, the actual
range will be dependent on the amount and quality of data (both
technical and commercial) which is available for that accumulation.
As more data become available for a specific accumulation (for
example wells and reservoir performance data) the range of
uncertainty would be reduced.
Probabilistic methods are normally used to quantify the
uncertainty in these estimated quantities and the results of the
analysis are typically presented by stating resource quantities at
the following levels of confidence:
P90 resource reflects a volume estimate that, assuming the
accumulation is developed, there is a 90% probability that the
quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the estimate.
This is therefore a low estimate of resource.
P50 resource reflects a volume estimate that, assuming the
accumulation is developed, there is a 50% probability that the
quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the estimate.
This is therefore a median or best case estimate of resource.
P10 resource reflects a volume estimate that, assuming the
accumulation is developed, there is a 10% probability that the
quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the estimate.
This is therefore a high estimate of resource.
Mean is the mean of the probability distribution for the
resource estimates. This is often not the same as P50 as the
distribution can be skewed by high resource numbers with relatively
low probabilities.
This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
END
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