By John Spence
A DOW JONES COLUMN
For exchange-traded funds that invest in U.S. stocks, the middle
seat has been quite comfortable.
The $12.2 billion SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF (MDY) recently
pushed above its 2007 peak, while funds tracking blue-chip
indexes--such as iShares S&P 500 Index Fund (IVV) and SPDR Dow
Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA)--remain below their pre-crisis
levels.
For the one-year period ended Feb. 4, the SPDR S&P MidCap
400 ETF was up 38%, outperforming the S&P 500 Index by nearly
12 percentage points.
Small-capitalization portfolios such as iShares Russell 2000
Index Fund (IWM), meanwhile, are approaching their 2007 highs but
aren't quite there yet.
"So many investors get caught up in round numbers in the Dow and
S&P 500," said Chris Kimble, head of investment-research firm
Kimble Charting Solutions.
The Dow's ascent past the key psychological level of 12000 has
garnered headlines, while the S&P 500 recently vaulted over the
1300 mark.
Yet the outperformance of U.S. midcap indexes "shows investors
need to focus on relative strength," said Kimble, who recommends
SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF.
"Midcaps look like we didn't even have a crisis in 2008," he
said in a telephone interview Tuesday.
Another popular ETF for midcap stocks is iShares Russell Midcap
Index Fund (IWR), with more than $6 billion in assets. The target
benchmark comprises the 800 smallest stocks in the large-cap
Russell 1000 Index.
The average market cap of the ETF's components was $8 billion at
the end of 2010. The portfolio's top five holdings were Cummins
Inc. (CMI), Priceline.com Inc. (PCLN), NetApp Inc. (NTAP),
Weatherford International Ltd. (WFT) and Eaton Corp. (ETN) as of
Feb. 7, according to manager BlackRock Inc.
Michael Rawson at research firm Morningstar Inc. said in a
recent analyst report on the ETF that midcap shares have
historically provided a slight performance premium relative to
large-cap stocks.
"Midcap stocks tend to be more volatile because of narrower
economic moats and a greater sensitivity to macroeconomic risks,
but with this greater volatility comes...the expectation for higher
returns," Rawson wrote.
However, the analyst warned that the performance of smaller
stocks "can vary drastically over time," while the return premium
"has reliably appeared only over periods of a decade or more."
Other ETF options to consider in the space include iShares
S&P MidCap 400 Index Fund (IJH), Vanguard Mid Cap ETF (VO) and
Vanguard Extended Market ETF (VXF), Rawson said.
(John Spence is a writer for MarketWatch. He can be reached at
415-439-6400 or via email at AskNewswires@dowjones.com.)