Norfolk Southern CEO: Inventory Replenishment To Help Volume
January 28 2009 - 12:18PM
Dow Jones News
Norfolk Southern Corp. (NSC) Chief Executive Wick Moorman said
Wednesday the steep slide in railroad freight volumes eventually
will bottom, if only because manufacturers will be forced to
replenish depleted inventories.
"We are seeing so much inventory pull-down that at some time we
will have to see a recovery in volume," Moorman said. "Hopefully,
it will mark a bottom and then we'll see a little resurgence."
Moorman, speaking in an interview, voiced optimism that the
anticipated federal stimulus package also will help boost freight
volumes in the coming months by spurring more economic
activity.
Still, he said, Norfolk Southern's freight volume is likely to
be down in 2009. Volume was off 3% overall last year for the
railroad, which largely operates along the East Coast, but the
trend accelerated to an 8% slide in the fourth quarter.
"Barring something happening to this economy that we don't see
right now, we certainly anticipate that [volume] will be down"
again in 2009, he said, although he declined to predict by how
much.
Like other railroad operators, however, Norfolk Southern has had
success pushing through price increases despite the slumping
economy. The increases have helped railroads offset their sliding
freight volumes and remain profitable.
Norfolk Southern raised its core rail prices, which don't
include fuel surcharges, by an average 7% last year. Moorman said
core prices will go up this year as well, albeit by less than the
2008 average.
"It's a fair assumption [the increase] won't be as high as in
2008, and that certainly reflects the economic times," he said.
Shares of Norfolk Southern were recently up 4.9%, or $1.85, at
$39.50.
Union Pacific Corp. (UNP), Burlington Northern Santa Fe Corp.
(BNI) and CSX Corp. (CSX) also have said their core prices will be
going up again in 2009, continuing a trend of raising rail prices
over the last few years.
The trend has fueled something of a backlash, prompting some
railroad customers to push for the new Congress to reinstate
tighter industry regulations. Railroads contend they need to invest
in repairs and improvements, and they also argue that rail prices
remain cheaper than those of trucks and, adjusted for inflation,
are lower than when Congress deregulated the industry 28 years
ago.
"This whole idea of changing the regulatory balance...is one
that causes us a great deal of concern," Moorman said
Wednesday.
He added that he's optimistic the effort won't be successful
because "there are a lot of people in Washington who understand
that a healthy rail industry is important" for the nation.
Late Tuesday, Norfolk Southern posted a 13% increase in
fourth-quarter net income, as growth in coal-shipping revenue
offset smaller losses in its intermodal and general merchandise
segments.
The company reported net income of $452 million, or $1.21 a
share, up from $399 million, or $1.02 a share, a year ago. Revenue
rose 2% to $2.5 billion.
Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters had projected per-share
earnings of $1.18 on revenue of $2.6 billion.
-By Bob Sechler, Dow Jones Newswires; 512-394-0285;
bob.sechler@dowjones.com
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