CALGARY, Nov. 4, 2019 /CNW/ - Crew Energy Inc. (TSX: CR)
("Crew" or the "Company") is pleased to announce our operating and
financial results for the three and nine month periods ended
September 30, 2019. Crew's
Financial Statements and Notes, as well as Management's Discussion
and Analysis ("MD&A") for the three and nine month periods
ended September 30, 2019 are
available on Crew's website and filed on SEDAR at
www.sedar.com.
Q3 2019 HIGHLIGHTS
- Average Production of 22,824 boe per day with 29%
Liquids: Liquids volumes increased to 29% of production for
both Q3/19 and year-to-date 2019, compared to 25% in Q3/18,
representing a 16% increase. Liquids made up 58% of Crew's total
petroleum and natural gas sales in the quarter, while oil and
condensate volumes were 67% of the Company's total liquids.
- Ultra Condensate-Rich ("UCR") Montney Growth Drives
24% Growth in Condensate Volumes: Condensate production for the
quarter grew 24% to 2,575 bbls per day from 2,077 bbls per day in
Q3/18, and year-to-date increased 18% to 2,773 bbls per day,
reflecting the success of Crew's strategy to focus our production
growth volumes on higher-value condensate.
- Adjusted Funds Flow ("AFF") Reflects Pricing
Environment: Q3/19 AFF totaled $16.7
million or $0.11 per fully
diluted share, while year-to-date, Crew generated AFF of
$65.0 million or $0.43 per diluted share. Relative to the same
periods in 2018, significantly weaker commodity pricing offset the
benefit of higher condensate production.
- New Completions Outperform: The four "B" zone wells at
the 15-20 pad have produced 282,000 bbls of condensate in the first
210 days of production averaging 839 boe per day1 (40 %
condensate), while five "B" zone wells at the 4-21 pad have
produced 201,600 bbls of condensate over the first 180 days
averaging 896 boe per day (25% condensate). Better than expected
performance from these wells has enabled Crew to achieve forecasted
Q3/19 production volumes while shutting-in dry gas production in
the quarter due to low pricing.
- Support for Long-Term Sustainability: With base
production decline rates below 15% at Septimus and area operating
netbacks that exceed maintenance capital, Crew is well positioned
to support our sustainability by replicating this trend at West
Septimus, where decline rates are estimated at approximately
18%.
- Financial Liquidity Remains Strong: Ending Q3/19 net
debt of $356.1 million remains
in-line with $353.4 million at
June 30 2019, and is comprised of
$300 million of senior notes which
have no financial maintenance covenants and are termed out until
2024.The Company's syndicate of lenders have completed their fall
2019 review and re-confirmed the bank facility's borrowing base at
$235 million, with Crew 26% drawn at
September 30th.
- Capital Plans Outlined Through First Half 2020: Crew
remains committed to balancing our capital expenditures with AFF to
retain financial flexibility. To capitalize on strong gas prices
anticipated this winter, the Company plans to invest a total of
$54 million in Q4/19 (55%), Q1/20
(30%) and Q2/20 (15%), which compares to $102 million invested in the comparable periods
the prior year. Shifting the timing of this capital is expected to
enable Crew to secure lower rates for services, significantly
improve economics, enhance per well rates of return, and produce an
average of 22,000 to 23,000 boe per day in the first half of 2020
while maintaining liquidity levels.
Financial &
Operating Highlights:
|
|
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|
|
|
|
|
|
|
FINANCIAL
($ thousands, except
per share amounts)
|
Three months
ended Sept 30,
2019
|
Three months
ended Sept 30, 2018
|
Nine months
ended Sept 30,
2019
|
Nine months
ended Sept 30, 2018
|
Petroleum and
natural gas sales
|
41,597
|
54,080
|
148,591
|
167,547
|
Adjusted Funds
Flow(1)
|
16,664
|
20,107
|
64,948
|
68,284
|
Per share -
basic
|
0.11
|
0.13
|
0.43
|
0.45
|
- diluted
|
0.11
|
0.13
|
0.43
|
0.45
|
Net (loss)
income
|
(3,255)
|
(939)
|
18,306
|
(5,972)
|
Per share -
basic
|
(0.02)
|
(0.01)
|
0.12
|
(0.04)
|
- diluted
|
(0.02)
|
(0.01)
|
0.12
|
(0.04)
|
|
|
|
|
|
Exploration and
Development expenditures
|
18,466
|
23,656
|
87,704
|
70,045
|
Property
acquisitions (net of dispositions)
|
7
|
9
|
(19,166)
|
(9,981)
|
Net capital
expenditures
|
18,473
|
23,665
|
68,538
|
60,064
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capital
Structure
($
thousands)
|
|
|
As
at Sept 30,
2019
|
As at
Dec. 31, 2018
|
Working capital
deficiency (surplus)(2)
|
|
|
3,571
|
(11,984)
|
Bank loan
|
|
|
56,864
|
59,904
|
|
|
|
60,435
|
47,920
|
Senior Unsecured
Notes
|
|
|
295,622
|
294,885
|
Total Net
Debt(2)
|
|
|
356,057
|
342,805
|
|
|
|
|
|
Current Debt
Capacity(3)
|
|
|
535,000
|
535,000
|
|
|
|
|
|
Common Shares
Outstanding (thousands)
|
|
|
151,482
|
151,730
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Notes:
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(1)
|
Non-IFRS Measure. AFF
is calculated as cash provided by operating activities, adding the
change in non-cash working capital, decommissioning obligation
expenditures and accretion of deferred financing costs on the
senior unsecured notes. AFF does not have a standardized
measure prescribed by International Financial Reporting Standards
("IFRS"), and therefore may not be comparable with the calculations
of similar measures for other companies. See "Non-IFRS Measures"
contained within Crew's MD&A for details including reasons for
use and a reconciliation of AFF to its most closely related IFRS
measure.
|
(2)
|
Non-IFRS Measure.
Working capital deficiency / (surplus) includes cash and cash
equivalents plus accounts receivable less accounts payable and
accrued liabilities. See "Non-IFRS Measures" contained within
Crew's MD&A.
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(3)
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Current Debt Capacity
reflects the bank facility of $235 million plus $300 million in
senior unsecured notes outstanding.
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Operations
|
Three months
ended Sept 30,
2019
|
Three months
ended Sept 30, 2018
|
Nine months
ended Sept 30,
2019
|
Nine months
ended Sept 30, 2018
|
Daily
production
|
|
|
|
|
Light crude oil
(bbl/d)
|
233
|
269
|
205
|
282
|
Heavy crude oil
(bbl/d)
|
1,627
|
1,819
|
1,653
|
1,832
|
Condensate
(bbl/d)
|
2,575
|
2,077
|
2,773
|
2,358
|
Ngl (bbl/d)
|
2,148
|
1,711
|
2,071
|
1,738
|
Natural gas
(mcf/d)
|
97,443
|
106,821
|
97,608
|
109,099
|
Total (boe/d @
6:1)
|
22,824
|
23,680
|
22,970
|
24,393
|
Average
prices(1)
|
|
|
|
|
Light crude oil
($/bbl)
|
63.81
|
78.25
|
63.39
|
73.75
|
Heavy crude oil
($/bbl)
|
52.86
|
51.03
|
52.58
|
47.96
|
Ngl ($/bbl)
|
0.57
|
28.15
|
6.16
|
26.19
|
Condensate
($/bbl)
|
62.19
|
81.45
|
64.73
|
78.99
|
Natural gas
($/mcf)
|
1.95
|
2.40
|
2.58
|
2.51
|
Oil equivalent
($/boe)
|
19.81
|
24.82
|
23.70
|
25.16
|
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Notes:
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(1)
|
Average prices are
before deduction of transportation costs and do not include
realized gains and losses on financial instruments.
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|
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|
Three months
ended Sept 30,
2019
|
Three months
ended Sept 30, 2018
|
Nine months
ended Sept 30,
2019
|
Nine months
ended Sept 30, 2018
|
Netback
($/boe)
|
|
|
|
|
Petroleum and natural
gas sales
|
19.81
|
24.82
|
23.70
|
25.16
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Royalties
|
(1.49)
|
(1.73)
|
(1.70)
|
(1.76)
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Realized commodity
hedging gain (loss)
|
1.38
|
(2.09)
|
0.12
|
(1.40)
|
Marketing
income(1)
|
1.33
|
0.25
|
1.32
|
0.27
|
Net operating
costs(2)
|
(5.94)
|
(6.21)
|
(6.06)
|
(6.35)
|
Transportation
costs
|
(2.80)
|
(1.62)
|
(2.69)
|
(1.85)
|
Operating
netback(3)
|
12.29
|
13.42
|
14.69
|
14.07
|
General &
administrative ("G&A")
|
(1.36)
|
(1.39)
|
(1.42)
|
(1.34)
|
Other
income
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
0.15
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Financing costs on
long-term debt
|
(2.99)
|
(2.81)
|
(2.90)
|
(2.64)
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Adjusted funds
flow(3)
|
7.94
|
9.22
|
10.37
|
10.24
|
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Drilling
Activity
|
|
|
|
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Gross wells
|
0
|
6
|
8
|
6
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Working interest
wells
|
0.0
|
6.0
|
8.0
|
6.0
|
Success rate, net
wells (%)
|
N/A
|
100%
|
100%
|
100%
|
|
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Notes:
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(1)
|
Marketing income was
recognized from the monetization of forward physical sales
contracts offset by the cost of committed natural gas
transportation that was not available during the period.
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(2)
|
Net operating costs
are calculated as gross operating costs less processing
revenue.
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(3)
|
Non-IFRS Measure.
Operating netback equals petroleum and natural gas sales including
realized hedging gains and losses on commodity contracts, marketing
income, less royalties, net operating costs and transportation
costs calculated on a boe basis. Operating netback and
adjusted funds flow netback do not have a standardized measure
prescribed by IFRS, and therefore may not be comparable with the
calculations of similar measures for other companies. See
"Non-IFRS Measures" contained within Crew's MD&A.
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FINANCIAL OVERVIEW
Shifting Production Gains to Condensate
- Production of 22,824 boe per day for the quarter was in line
with the previous quarter and 4% lower than the same period in 2018
on exploration and development capital spending of $18.5 million. Third quarter forecasted
production was not impacted by the shut-in of dry gas caused by
lower prices due to the production outperformance of our UCR pads
that were completed earlier in the year.
- Condensate production averaged 2,575 bbls per day, an increase
of 24% compared to Q3/18, and represented 11% of Crew's total
volumes for the period. Condensate contributed 35% to Crew's total
sales in Q3/19, compared with 29% in Q3/18 and 38% in Q2/19.
Liquids production averaged 29% of corporate volumes, although
petroleum and natural gas sales were negatively impacted due to
weakened liquids pricing.
- Greater Septimus production averaged 19,648 boe per day in
Q3/19, an increase of 2% over 19,240 boe per day in Q3/18 and on
par with Q2/19 volumes. Year-to-date area production averaged
19,593 boe per day, on par with the same period in 2018, and
reflective of the Company's focus on prudent development of the
higher value UCR area.
Commodity Prices Having an Impact
- AFF in Q3/19 was $16.7 million
($0.11 per diluted share) and for the
first nine months of the year totaled $65.0
million ($0.43 per diluted
share). Weaker petroleum and natural gas sales through both
periods, partially offset by improved hedging gains, marketing
income and lower net operating costs, has contributed to modest
declines in both absolute and per share AFF in 2019.
- Quarter-over-quarter AFF was 26% lower, primarily attributable
to weaker petroleum and natural gas sales. This was partially
offset by an increase in hedging gains, lower royalties,
transportation and net operating costs.
- Petroleum and natural gas sales for Q3/19 and for the first
nine months of the year decreased 23% and 11%, respectively,
relative to the same periods in 2018, mainly due to lower realized
commodity prices in 2019 relative to the same periods in 2018.
Q3/19 petroleum and natural gas sales decreased 19% compared to
Q2/19, primarily the result of a 20% decline in realized commodity
prices.
- The price for West Texas Intermediate ("WTI") denominated in
Canadian dollars, Crew's benchmark price for light oil and
condensate, decreased 7% sequentially from Q2/19 and 18% over
Q3/18, mainly the result of a global oversupply of crude oil due to
increased U.S. shale oil production.
- Crew's realized combined light crude oil and condensate price
decreased 8% and 23% in the quarter, compared to the prior quarter
and Q3/18 respectively, consistent with the decline in WTI
benchmark pricing over the same periods.
- Crew's heavy oil benchmark Western Canada Select ("WCS")
decreased 11% in Q3/19 compared to Q2/19 and declined 5% as
compared to Q3/18 mainly the result of declining global crude
prices. The year-over-year heavy oil price decline was moderated,
as compared to WTI declines, by the Alberta Government's oil
curtailment program, which has strengthened Canadian crude oil
prices in 2019 compared to 2018.
- Crew's Q3 2019 heavy crude oil realized price decreased 12%
compared to Q2/19 and increased 4% compared to Q3/18. The
quarter-over-quarter decrease is consistent with the WCS benchmark
change. Crew's year-over-year change, as compared to WCS, was
enhanced by lower diluent blending costs realized in 2019.
- The realized price for Crew's ngl production was 92% lower than
the previous quarter, and decreased 98% compared to Q3/18,
primarily due to a decrease in realized propane and butane pricing
in North America. Crew's ngl
pricing includes embedded cost to process the ngl product out of
the Company's gas stream. During the third quarter, revenue earned
from the sale of the extracted ngl product was only slightly above
the cost of the extraction due to the low realized prices.
- Crew's realized natural gas price for Q3/19 was 17% lower than
the previous quarter and 19% lower than Q3/18, which is consistent
with the decline in all of the Company's benchmark natural gas
prices over the last year. Natural gas prices across North America have continued to decline as a
result of persistent production growth in the U.S.
- Marketing income for the quarter was $2.8 million or $1.33 per boe compared to $2.6 million or $1.23 per boe in Q2/19, and $0.6 million or $0.25 per boe in Q3/18, reflecting the
monetization of the Company's Dawn transport contract and Malin
sales contract.
Net Operating Costs Continue Trending Lower
- Corporate operating netbacks in Q3/19 averaged $12.29 per boe, a decline of 18% sequentially
from Q2/19, reflective of a 20% decline in realized commodity
prices per boe, partially offset by a larger hedging gain and lower
operating costs per boe. Compared to Q3/18, operating netbacks
declined 8%.
- Cash costs per boe for Q3 decreased 3% relative to Q2/19,
attributable mainly to lower royalties and transportation costs per
boe. Cash costs per boe in Q3/19 increased 6% relative to Q3/18
predominantly due to higher transportation costs associated with
transportation access to new natural gas markets, partially offset
by lower royalties and operating costs per boe.
- With a focus on optimizing field operations to increase the
efficiency of the Company's operations, Crew's per boe net
operating costs decreased 4% in Q3/19 compared to Q3/18 and by
5% for the nine months ended September
30, 2019 relative to the same period in 2018.
- As part of the ongoing expansion to diversify market
opportunities for our natural gas production, transportation costs
in Q3/19 and the first nine months of 2019 increased relative to
the corresponding periods in 2018, but declined 6% relative to
Q2/19. The year-over-year increase is due to the addition of fees
associated with the new sales pipeline between West Septimus and TC
Energy's Saturn meter station.
Q3 Capital Expenditures In-Line with Guidance
- Exploration and development capital expenditures remained in
line with guidance at $18.5 million
in Q3/19 and $68.5 million (net of
$19.2 million of net acquisition and
disposition proceeds) year-to-date in 2019. The majority of Crew's
net capital investments in Q3 and year-to-date 2019 were directed
to development within the Company's UCR area.
- Approximately $12.4 million of
Crew's Q3 capital was allocated to drilling and completion
activities largely focused in our UCR area, including a partial
completion at Crew's 3-32 pad, completion of the 14-34 well,
incremental water handling infrastructure and pipeline
installation. Of our total capital, $3.4
million was directed to Montney well site development, facilities and
pipelines with $2.7 million for land,
seismic and other miscellaneous expenditures.
Ongoing Commitment to Balance Sheet Strength
- Net debt of $356.1 million was
stable relative to the $353.4 million
of net debt at the end of Q2/19.
- Crew's debt is comprised of $300
million of term debt with no financial maintenance covenants
or repayment required until 2024, as well as a $235 million credit facility that was 26% drawn
when combined with the working capital deficiency of approximately
$3.6 million at quarter end.
- The Company's syndicate of lenders have completed their fall
2019 review and re-confirmed the bank facility's borrowing base at
$235 million.
TRANSPORTATION, MARKETING & HEDGING
Active Marketing Program Underpins Strategy
- Crew elected to monetize the Company's Dawn market access for
the remainder of 2019 and all of 2020 and its Malin market exposure
for the remainder of 2019, realizing marketing income in Q3/19 of
$2.8 million and a total of
$8.3 million for the nine months
ended September 30, 2019.
- For the fourth quarter of 2019, Crew's average natural gas
sales exposure is currently forecast to be weighted approximately
53% to Chicago, 17% to NYMEX, 16%
to Alliance ATP, 7% to Station 2 and 7% to AECO 5A.
Natural Gas & Liquids Hedging
- Crew's natural gas hedges currently include:
-
- 25,000 mmbtu per day of Chicago gas at C$3.53 per mmbtu for 2019
- 7,500 mmbtu per day of Dawn gas at C$3.55 per mmbtu for 2019
- 10,000 mmbtu per day of NYMEX gas at US$2.95 per mmbtu for 2019
- 12,500 mmbtu per day of Chicago gas at C$3.32 per mmbtu for 2020
- 2,500 mmbtu per day of NYMEX gas at US$2.48 per mmbtu for 2020
- For liquids, Crew has the following hedges in place:
-
- 1,937 bbls per day of WTI at an average price of C$76.17 per bbl for 2019
- 250 bbls per day of WCS for Q4 2019 at C$56.20 per bbl
- 250 bbls per day of WCS for Q4 2019 at C$55.75 per bbl
- 500 bbls per day of WCS differential at C$25.23 per bbl for the second half of 2019
- 1,127 bbls per day of WTI at an average price of C$77.41 per bbl for 2020
- 250 bbls per day of WCS differential at US$17.25 per bbl for first half 2020
- 250 bbls per day of WCS for first half 2020 at C$52.00 per bbl
OPERATIONS & AREA OVERVIEW
NE BC Montney - Greater
Septimus
- During Q3/19, Crew completed the toe of one extended reach
horizontal ("ERH") well with a total lateral length of 3,050 metres
drilled to the northwest on the 3-32 pad in the UCR area at
West Septimus. This was a partial completion of approximately 25%
of the well to confirm flow and liquids characteristics which
proved to be similar to other UCR wells in the area.
- Results to date from wells on our 15-20 pad in the UCR area at
Greater Septimus have remained strong and are averaging above the
4.6 BCF of gas and 296,500 bbls of condensate assigned to proved
plus probable UCR ERH type wells by Crew's independent reserves
evaluator at year end 2018. The four "B" zone wells produced
average sales of 839 boe per day, comprised of 40% condensate and
12% ngl, over the first 210 days on production2.
- At Crew's 4-21 pad in the UCR transition zone, results have
also exceeded management's initial expectations. The wells
have produced average sales of 896 boe per day over the first 180
days on production, including 25% condensate and 13% ngl, despite
being restricted for the first two months on
production2.
- As a result of the outperformance of these condensate-rich
wells at Greater Septimus, Crew has been able to optimize our
commodity mix. During Q3 we were able to meet forecast
production guidance while shutting in dry gas due to low
prices.
Greater
Septimus
|
|
|
|
|
|
Production &
Drilling
|
Q3
2019
|
Q2
2019
|
Q1
2019
|
Q4
2018
|
Q3
2018
|
Average daily
production (boe/d)
|
19,648
|
19,594
|
19,535
|
18,447
|
19,240
|
Wells drilled (gross /
net)
|
-
|
1 / 1.0
|
6 / 6.0
|
6 / 6.0
|
4 / 4.0
|
Wells completed (gross
/ net)
|
1 /
1.0
|
-
|
8 / 8.0
|
3 / 3.0
|
-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Operating
Netback
($ per boe)
|
Q3
2019
|
Q2
2019
|
Q1
2019
|
Q4 2018
|
Q3
2018
|
Revenue
|
17.38
|
22.20
|
25.61
|
26.53
|
22.83
|
Royalties
|
(1.04)
|
(1.27)
|
(1.56)
|
(1.58)
|
(1.15)
|
Realized commodity
hedge gain (loss)
|
1.78
|
0.28
|
(0.74)
|
(1.79)
|
(2.01)
|
Marketing income
(1)
|
1.55
|
1.43
|
1.66
|
1.23
|
0.34
|
Net operating
costs(2)
|
(4.41)
|
(4.46)
|
(4.65)
|
(4.51)
|
(4.61)
|
Transportation
costs
|
(2.62)
|
(2.81)
|
(1.73)
|
(1.35)
|
(1.22)
|
Operating
netback(3)
|
12.64
|
15.37
|
18.59
|
18.53
|
14.18
|
|
|
Notes:
|
(1)
|
Marketing income was
recognized from the monetization of forward physical sales
contracts offset by the cost of committed natural gas
transportation.
|
(2)
|
Net operating costs
are calculated as gross operating costs less processing
revenue.
|
(3)
|
Non-IFRS Measure.
Operating netback equals petroleum and natural gas sales including
realized hedging gains and losses on commodity contracts, marking
income, less royalties, net operating costs and transportation
costs calculated on a boe basis. Operating netback does not have a
standardized measure prescribed by IFRS, and therefore may not be
comparable with the calculations of similar measures for other
companies. See "Non-IFRS Measures" contained within Crew's
MD&A.
|
Other NE BC Montney
- Tower: After being shut-in for offsetting completion
operations for most of Q2/19, volumes at Tower in Q3/19 returned to
similar productivity levels realized prior to the shut-in. Crew
continues to evaluate the relative economics of Tower development
as well as reviewing encouraging nearby Lower Montney well
results.
- Monias: Activity at Monias during Q3 was directed to the
completion of one horizontal Montney delineation well that is currently
being tested and evaluated.
- Attachie: Of
Crew's 90 net sections of land in this area, approximately 44 net
sections are situated within the liquids-rich hydrocarbon window.
Given the positive results generated by offsetting operators, a
lease retention well was drilled in January of 2019 and another is
planned in 2020, which is expected to conclude the lease
preservation program in this area.
- Oak / Flatrock: In this
liquids-rich gas area, Crew has more than 60 (52 net) sections of
land, and the Company plans to continue monitoring industry
activity and offsetting well results which have been
encouraging.
AB / SK Heavy Oil - Lloydminster
- During Q3, activity at Lloydminster included the recompletion of
eight (8.0 net) heavy crude oil wells which contributed to average
production of 1,627 bbls per day of heavy crude oil, 5% lower than
the prior quarter and 10% lower relative to Q3/18, reflecting
limited capital investment in the area.
- Relative to Q3/18, Crew's realized heavy crude oil price
increased 4% due to the lower cost of diluent needed to blend with
the heavy crude oil, while the WCS benchmark price decreased 5% in
the period. This price improvement contributed to Q3 operating
netbacks at Lloydminster which
averaged $17.56 per boe. To maximize
profitability, Crew will continue to evaluate forward pricing for
WCS for the purposes of optimizing execution timing of a one to
three well multilateral horizontal drilling program.
OUTLOOK
Value Creation and Value Preservation Intact
- Crew's strategy of maximizing value over volume growth has led
to the successful realization of increased margins through
replacement of natural gas volumes with condensate production
growth.
- The Company's emphasis on UCR drilling along with our goal of
improving margins is proving successful. Condensate volumes in Q3
increased 24% year-over-year while Crew's average condensate price
of $62.19 per bbl was materially
higher than the average corporate realized price per boe of
$19.81. Ngl prices continued to be
very weak, averaging only $0.57 per
bbl in Q3/19 versus $28.15 per bbl in
Q3/18.
Sustainability Continues to Improve
- At Septimus, Crew is successfully generating an operating
netback that exceeds maintenance capital requirements for the area.
As a result of Crew's investment in the area, production declines
for Septimus are under 15%, representing similar performance
attributes to a tight conventional reservoir. The Company has
estimated the base decline rate in the West Septimus area to now be
approximately 18%, further improving the sustainability of our
entire Montney production
base.
- Crew plans to replicate the development success and free cash
flow generation realized first at Septimus and now at West Septimus
within our UCR area, which has over 135 potential drilling
opportunities3, representing over ten years of highly
economic future growth at Crew's current pace of development.
Capital Expenditures to Approximate AFF through First Half
2020
- Responding to advantageous Q4/19 operational and cost
efficiencies, as well as favorable winter commodity prices, Crew's
Board of Directors have approved a re-allocated capital expenditure
budget of $54 million for the next
three quarters, including Q4/19, Q1/20 and Q2/20. Crew anticipates
investing approximately $28 to
$32 million in Q4/19, $14 to $18 million
in Q1/20 and $6 to $10 million in Q2/20 to generate average
production of 22,000 and 23,000 boe per day through this period.
For comparative purposes, over the same nine month period in Q4/18
and the first half of 2019, Crew invested $102 million. The Company continues to prioritize
financial flexibility and as a result, if this level of capital
spending does not approximate AFF, Crew would further refine its
capital spending plans to align with its goal of maintaining
current debt levels. The Company plans on releasing its full year
2020 capital investment budget and production guidance in
Q1/20.
- Four drilled but uncompleted wells on our 3-32 pad were
originally planned for completion in Q1/20 and are now planned to
be completed in Q4/19, consistent with our revised capital
allocation timing. Crew has been able to secure the required
services to complete this operation at compelling rates, allowing
the Company to achieve more with lower capital while producing at
higher rates into a period with forward curve commodity prices that
are expected to be over 40% higher on average than the forward
curve for Q2 and Q3/20. Our analysis indicates that completing
these wells in Q4/19 rather than Q1/20 can enhance individual well
rates of return and meaningfully impact 2020 AFF.
- Crew's net 2019 capital expenditure budget is expected to range
between $95 and $100 million (exploration and development
spending of between $114 and
$119 million). Average volumes are
forecast to be between 22,500 to 23,000 boe per day, with a steady
focus on increasing the weighting of higher valued condensate and
oil within Crew's production portfolio.
- For Q4 2019, production is expected to average between 22,000
and 22,500 boe per day on capital expenditures of between
$28 and $32
million. Quarterly volume forecasts incorporate the
Company's planned deferral of dry gas production that is exposed to
weak Station 2 gas prices and the shut-in of production for
offsetting completion operations. Activity during Q4/19 will focus
on the completion and equipping of four UCR ERH Montney wells and
water-handling initiatives.
Diversified Market Access and Positioned for Low-Cost
Growth
- With access to differentiated sales points in North America, three major export pipelines
and close proximity to the Coastal Gas Link Pipeline, Crew's land
base is ideally located to move gas to advantageously-priced
markets in addition to having the potential to significantly reduce
transportation costs as a supply source for LNG.
- Crew's continuous investment in infrastructure has positioned
the Company with capacity to produce over 40,000 boe per day,
providing future growth opportunities at reduced costs.
Innovation Leads to Improved Safety and Reduced
Emissions
- Crew's relentless pursuit to continuously improve has led to a
52% reduction in gas plant flaring intensity from 2015 to 2018. The
Company has also transitioned to testing new wells directly into
pipelines which has led to a reduction in flaring of over 85% from
2017, equivalent to removing 120 passenger vehicles from the road
annually.
- Over 95% recycled water was used during our completion
operations in 2018, significantly reducing the amount of fresh
water used.
- By building pipelines to pad sites prior to drilling, Crew is
able to fuel our drilling operations with natural gas rather than
diesel, thereby reducing CO2 emissions by 20% and saving
approximately $80,000 per well. By
using the same pipeline, the Company can deliver water for
fracturing operations to the pad site. In our last 11 well
completions, this practice resulted in 1,286 truckloads being
removed from the road and saving the Company $275,000, while also significantly reducing the
risk of vehicular accidents.
We thank our employees and directors for their commitment and
dedication to the success of Crew, particularly in light of
insiders now constituting 10 of the top 20 shareholders of the
Company. We would also like to thank all of our shareholders and
bondholders for their patience and support in this challenging
environment.
Cautionary Statements
Information Regarding Disclosure on Oil and Gas, Operational
Information and Non-IFRS Measures
Unless otherwise specified, all reserves volumes disclosed in
this press release are based on "company gross reserves" using
forecast prices and costs and are derived from the Company's
independent reserves evaluation prepared by Sproule Associates Ltd.
("Sproule") with an effective date of December 31, 2018 (the "Sproule
Report"). The recovery and reserve estimates provided
herein are estimates only and there is no guarantee that the
estimated reserves will be recovered. Actual reserves may be
greater than or less than the estimates provided. In relation
to the disclosure of estimates for individual wells or properties,
such estimates may not reflect the same confidence level as
estimates of reserves and future net revenue for all properties,
due to the effects of aggregation. The Company's oil and gas
reserves statement for the year ended December 31, 2018 includes complete disclosure of
our oil and gas reserves and other oil and gas information prepared
in accordance with NI 51-101 and the COGE Handbook, and is
contained within our Annual Information Form which is available on
our SEDAR profile at www.sedar.com.
This press release discloses "potential drilling
opportunities" in the Company's Greater Septimus area of operations
which are comprised of: (i) proved locations; (ii) probable
locations; and (iii) unbooked locations. Proved locations and
probable locations are derived from the Sproule Report and account
for drilling inventory that have associated proved and/or probable
reserves assigned by Sproule. Unbooked locations are
internally identified potential drilling opportunities based on the
Company's prospective acreage and an assumption as to the number of
wells that can be drilled per section based on industry practice
and internal review. Unbooked locations do not have reserves
or resources attributed to them and are not estimates of drilling
locations which have been evaluated by a qualified reserves
evaluator performed in accordance with the COGE Handbook. Of
the 135 total potential drilling opportunities identified herein,
29 are proved locations, 53 are probable locations and 53 are
unbooked locations. Unbooked locations have been identified by
management as an estimation of our multi-year drilling activities
based on evaluation of applicable geologic, seismic, engineering,
production and reserves information. There is no certainty
that the Company will drill any of these potential drilling
opportunities and if drilled there is no certainty that such
locations will result in additional oil and gas reserves, resources
or production. The drilling locations on which we actually drill
wells will ultimately depend upon the availability of capital,
regulatory approvals, seasonal restrictions, oil and natural gas
prices, costs, actual drilling results, additional reservoir
information that is obtained and other factors. While certain of
the unbooked drilling opportunities identified have been derisked
by drilling existing wells in relative close proximity to such
unbooked drilling locations, other unbooked drilling locations are
further away from existing wells where management has less
information about the characteristics of the reservoir, and
therefore there is more uncertainty whether wells will be drilled
in such locations and if drilled there is more uncertainty that
such wells will result in additional oil and gas reserves,
resources or production.
This press release contains metrics commonly used in the oil
and natural gas industry, such as "adjusted funds flow", "operating
netbacks", "working capital deficiency (surplus)" and "net
debt". These terms are not defined in IFRS and do not have
standardized meanings or standardized methods of calculation, and
therefore may not be comparable to similar measures presented by
other companies, and therefore should not be used to make such
comparisons. Such metrics have been included herein to provide
readers with additional information to evaluate the Company's
performance, however such metrics should not be unduly relied upon.
Management uses oil and gas metrics for its own performance
measurements and to provide shareholders with measures to compare
Crew's operations over time. Readers are cautioned that the
information provided by these metrics, or that can be derived from
the metrics presented in this press release, should not be relied
upon for investment or other purposes. See "Non-IFRS Measures"
contained within Crew's MD&A for applicable definitions,
calculations, rationale for use and reconciliations to the most
directly comparable measure under IFRS.
Forward-Looking Information and Statements
This news release contains certain forward–looking
information and statements within the meaning of applicable
securities laws. The use of any of the words "expect",
"anticipate", "continue", "estimate", "may", "will", "project",
"should", "believe", "plans", "intends" "forecast" and similar
expressions are intended to identify forward-looking information or
statements. In particular, but without limiting the
foregoing, this news release contains forward-looking information
and statements pertaining to the following: as to the execution of
Crew's business plan including guidance as to its capital
expenditure plans for Q4 and the first half of 2020 and the
potential refinement of those plans; as to plans to internally fund
capital in 2019 and 2020 with adjusted funds flow and to maintain
net debt at current levels; as to the Company's ongoing goal of
increasing the overall weighting of condensate in its production
mix and associated improvements in realized pricing and operating
netbacks for 2019 and beyond; the estimated volumes, including
shut-ins, and product mix of Crew's oil and gas production;
production estimates including Q4, annual 2019 and first half of
2020 average production guidance; Crew's currently estimated base
decline profile of approximately 18% at West
Septimus; commodity price expectations including the
potential for materially higher natural gas prices this
winter and Crew's estimates of natural gas pricing exposure and
market allocation; Crew's commodity risk management programs;
marketing and transportation plans; future liquidity and financial
capacity; future results from operations and operating metrics;
potential for lower on-stream costs and efficiencies going forward;
future development, exploration, acquisition and disposition
activities (including drilling, completion and infrastructure plans
and associated timing and cost estimates); the amount and timing of
capital projects; management's assessment of potential drilling
opportunities; the Company's potential to capitalize on an LNG
project; and future production capability and corresponding
potential for reduced on-stream costs.
In addition, forward-looking statements or information
are based on a number of material factors, expectations or
assumptions of Crew which have been used to develop such statements
and information but which may prove to be incorrect. Although
Crew believes that the expectations reflected in such
forward-looking statements or information are reasonable, undue
reliance should not be placed on forward-looking statements because
Crew can give no assurance that such expectations will prove to be
correct. In addition to other factors and assumptions which may be
identified herein, assumptions have been made regarding, among
other things: that Crew will continue to conduct its
operations in a manner consistent with past operations; results
from drilling and development activities consistent with past
operations; the quality of the reservoirs in which Crew operates
and continued performance from existing wells; the continued and
timely development of infrastructure in areas of new production;
the accuracy of the estimates of Crew's reserve volumes; certain
commodity price and other cost assumptions; continued availability
of debt and equity financing and cash flow to fund Crew's current
and future plans and expenditures; the impact of increasing
competition; the general stability of the economic and political
environment in which Crew operates; the general continuance
of current industry conditions; the timely receipt of any
required regulatory approvals; the ability of Crew to obtain
qualified staff, equipment and services in a timely and cost
efficient manner; drilling results; the ability of the operator of
the projects in which Crew has an interest in to operate the field
in a safe, efficient and effective manner; the ability of Crew to
obtain financing on acceptable terms; field production rates and
decline rates; the ability to replace and expand oil and natural
gas reserves through acquisition, development and exploration; the
timing and cost of pipeline, storage and facility construction and
expansion and the ability of Crew to secure adequate product
transportation; future commodity prices; currency, exchange and
interest rates; regulatory framework regarding royalties, taxes and
environmental matters in the jurisdictions in which Crew operates;
and the ability of Crew to successfully market its oil and natural
gas products.
The forward-looking information and statements included in
this news release are not guarantees of future performance and
should not be unduly relied upon. Such information and
statements, including the assumptions made in respect thereof,
involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors
that may cause actual results or events to defer materially from
those anticipated in such forward-looking information or statements
including, without limitation: changes in commodity prices;
changes in the demand for or supply of Crew's products, the
early stage of development of some of the evaluated areas and
zones the potential for variation in the quality of the
Montney formation; unanticipated
operating results or production declines; changes in tax or
environmental laws, royalty rates or other regulatory matters;
changes in development plans of Crew or by third party operators of
Crew's properties, increased debt levels or debt service
requirements; inaccurate estimation of Crew's oil and gas reserve
volumes; limited, unfavourable or a lack of access to capital
markets; increased costs; a lack of adequate insurance coverage;
the impact of competitors; and certain other risks detailed from
time-to-time in Crew's public disclosure documents (including,
without limitation, those risks identified in this news release and
Crew's Annual Information Form).
The forward-looking information and statements contained in
this news release speak only as of the date of this news release,
and Crew does not assume any obligation to publicly update or
revise any of the included forward-looking statements or
information, whether as a result of new information, future events
or otherwise, except as may be required by applicable securities
laws.
Test Results and Initial Production Rates
A pressure transient analysis or well-test interpretation has
not been carried out and thus certain of the test results provided
herein should be considered to be preliminary until such analysis
or interpretation has been completed. Test results and initial
production rates disclosed herein, particularly those short in
duration, may not necessarily be indicative of long-term
performance or of ultimate recovery.
BOE equivalent
Barrel of oil equivalents or BOEs may be misleading,
particularly if used in isolation. A BOE conversion ratio of 6
mcf: 1 bbl is based on an energy equivalency conversion method
primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a
value equivalency at the wellhead. Given that the value ratio based
on the current price of crude oil as compared to natural gas is
significantly different than the energy equivalency of 6:1,
utilizing the 6:1 conversion ratio may be misleading as an
indication of value.
Crew is a growth-oriented oil and natural gas producer,
committed to pursuing sustainable per share growth through a
balanced mix of financially responsible exploration and development
complemented by strategic acquisitions. The Company's
operations are primarily focused in the vast Montney resource, situated in northeast
British Columbia, and include a
large contiguous land base. Crew's liquids-rich Greater
Septimus area features an Ultra Condensate-Rich ("UCR") zone, which
offers significant development and value creation potential over
the long-term. The Company has access to diversified markets with
operated infrastructure and access to multiple pipeline egress
options. Crew's common shares are listed for trading on the
Toronto Stock Exchange ("TSX") under the symbol "CR".
Financial statements and Notes, as well as Management's
Discussion and Analysis for the three and nine month periods ended
September 30, 2019 and 2018 are filed
on SEDAR at www.sedar.com and are available on the Company's
website at www.crewenergy.com.
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1 Total
volumes at the 15-20 and 4-21 pad are estimated from average gas
and condensate shrinkage, process recovery and the exclusion of low
volume days during cleanup.
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2 Total volumes at the 15-20 and 4-21
pad are estimated from average gas and condensate shrinkage,
process recovery and the exclusion of low volume days during
cleanup.
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3 See
"Information Regarding Disclosure on Oil and Gas, Operational
Information and Non-IFRS Measures".
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SOURCE Crew Energy Inc.