European drug companies are getting ready to work on new
medicines and ramp up production of existing ones to be ready to
help combat the possible worldwide outbreak of a new deadly flu
strain.
Europe's leading vaccine makers said Monday they are ready to
start developing a vaccine against the swine flu virus that emerged
in Mexico last week, while Switzerland's Roche Holding AG (ROG.VX),
the maker of an existing flu treatment, said it could quickly ramp
up production of its antiviral drug Tamiflu if necessary.
Novartis AG (NVS) has been contacted by the World Health
Organization about the development of a vaccine that would protect
against the deadly flu strain that emerged in Mexico last week, a
company spokesman said.
The Basel, Switzerland-based drugmaker has already received some
preliminary information about the swine flu virus, but will need a
sample of the virus to get started on developing a vaccine,
Novartis spokesman Eric Althoff said.
"The WHO and the CDC have reached out to us, and we are in
contact with them and other health authorities about the
development of a vaccine," he said.
Novartis expects to get the virus strain soon, enabling it to
start work on a vaccine.
It typically takes between three and six months to produce a new
vaccine, but it is too early to tell how long it will take to get
one for swine flu, Althoff said.
The Swiss drugmaker has developed pre-pandemic vaccines that
could easily be converted into a new one, but these products were
based on the H5N1 bird flu strain that spread in Asia a few years
ago. This virus was widely believed to be a likely root for a flu
pandemic.
Given the recent outbreak of a deadly flu strain in Mexico, this
new virus - which is based on a different strain known as H1N1 -
now looks like the biggest risk for a pandemic.
In Paris, Sanofi-Aventis (SNY) Monday said it "stands ready to
assess its capabilities to support public health efforts should the
WHO and other health authorities request support from influenza
vaccine manufacturers," a spokesman said.
So far, Sanofi hasn't been asked to start developing a human
vaccine against swine flu, he said.
The two drug companies benefitting most at the moment from
pandemic flu worries are Roche and U.K.-based GlaxoSmithKline PLC
(GSK).
Each company has an antiviral drug in its portfolio, which can
shorten the duration of the illness and can possibly help protect
people against contracting flu in the first place. Sales of these
drugs started skyrocketing in late 2005, when health officials
worldwide worried that a strain of bird flu that had emerged in
Asia could result in a global epidemic.
At 1520 GMT Monday, Roche shares were up CHF4.40, or 3.1%, at
CHF144.00, while shares of GlaxoSmithKline were 60 pence higher, or
6.1%, at 1067 pence each.
In the U.S., shares of Gilead Sciences (GILD), which initially
developed Tamiflu and receives royalties from its sales, were up
4.3% at 1300 GMT to $47.75.
Earlier this month, Gilead reported that royalties on Tamiflu
dropped to $33 million for the first quarter of 2009, from $93
million in 2008. Roche had seen a similar slump in demand for its
flu drug because governments had largely completed their
stockpiling of the product in preparation for a possible flu
pandemic.
Since the start of the outbreak, GlaxoSmithKline has supplied
100,000 packs of Relenza and 170,000 additional doses of its
seasonal influenza vaccine to the Mexican authorities, at their
request, the British drugmaker said.
The company said it is continuing to discuss with the Mexican
authorities whether further support is needed.
GlaxoSmithKline said it is also urgently assessing how to
increase production of Relenza.
Roche has the key ingredients in place to quickly ramp up
production of Tamiflu, spokeswoman Martina Rupp said.
Tamiflu and GlaxoSmithKline's Relenza appear to be effective in
the swine flu strain that emerged in Mexico, the World Health
Organization said over the weekend.
Roche so far hasn't yet received any new big orders for its
drug, spokeswoman Martina Rupp said.
Such orders will probably hinge on how the WHO classifies the
new flu outbreak, she said.
A WHO spokesman said Monday the organization is considering
raising a global pandemic alert, a move that would signal that a
new virus is causing large outbreaks and that governments should
prepare for widespread transmission.
Roche had scaled up Tamiflu production a few years ago when
health care experts feared a new bird flu strain that emerged in
Asia could develop into a deadly disease for humans.
Back then, governments started to buy Tamiflu in bulk. At the
peak, Roche had the capacity to produce 400 million packages of
Tamiflu a year, but that capacity has been scaled down recently
after demand for the drug declined sharply.
Roche, however, kept big stocks of the drug's key ingredients,
which will enable it to ramp up production quickly, Rupp said.
Still, because of the complicated manufacturing process, it
takes about eight months to produce the drug from scratch, she
said.
In 2008, Tamiflu generated sales of around 609 million Swiss
francs ($535 million).
Analysts estimate that the drug generated around CHF4 billion in
additional sales to governments that stockpiled the drug in 2006
and 2007. Roche declines to provide specific numbers, saying that
many governments prefer to keep the size of their orders
confidential.
In Australia, Biota Holdings Ltd. (BTA.AU), the original
developer of Relenza, ended 81.6% higher Monday.
Company Web Site: http://www.novartis.com
http://www.roche.com
http://www.sanofi.com
-By Anita Greil, Dow Jones Newswires; +41 43 443 8044 ;
anita.greil@dowjones.com
(Geraldine Amiel in Paris and Sten Stovall in London contributed
to this report)