The past month has been pretty unkind to the big banks for a
variety of reasons. Speculation continues to build regarding a
broad European default centered around Greece which could trigger a
number of issues for many banking stocks in the near term.
Beyond this, the focus has been on JP Morgan
(JPM), often considered the best run big bank on Wall
Street after the crisis of 2008. However, the firm has been under
fire as of late thanks to a massive $2 billion trading loss at the
company’s London desk (see more on ETFs at the Zacks ETF
Center).
Although the loss was relatively small given that the trade was
over $100 billion, the move is causing many to question the ability
of large banks to police their own offices and properly manage
their own trading desks without more government supervision. In
fact, many regulators are already reviewing the situation while
Fitch Ratings has lowered the firm’s credit rating by one notch to
‘A+’.
The big dollar amount of the loss has also renewed political
calls for more banking oversight, a trend that has only been
exacerbated by the upcoming elections. Now, thanks to the
perception that if this can happen to JPM it can happen to anyone,
along with the political softball that this situation has provided
many in Congress, many are forecasting that more regulation could
be on the way for the sector (also see The Complete Guide to
Preferred Stock ETF Investing).
Overall, the focus has been on the return of the Glass-Stegall
Act, tougher draft rules on the Dodd-Frank bill or the so-called
‘Volcker Rule’. With these potentially stiffer rules, the
profitability of banks could suffer across the board while their
future activities could be limited as well.
In addition to this, there are also worries that JPM could see
even greater losses stemming from the unwinding of its trade which
could push the $2 billion loss far higher. With JP Morgan facing
this issue there are also concerns that similar problems could be
underneath the surface of many other large banks causing many
investors to head for the exits in the space.
In fact, over the past month, XLF has fallen by
about 4.7%, while more focused products such as
IYG and RKH have fallen by even
greater amounts; 6.7% and 9.3%, respectively, in the time period
(read Three Financial ETFs Outperforming XLF).
Fortunately, the weakness hasn’t permeated all segments of the
financial sector and there are some good choices left in the space.
In particular, a focus on smaller banks or more obscure segments of
the financial ETF world could be the best way to go in this
heightened risk environment.
Furthermore, looking at more U.S. focused securities could help
to insulate investors from the worst of the European debacle, a
situation which could impact many large banks even if further
regulations are not realized. For investors looking to apply this
approach, any of the following three financial ETFs could be great
picks that stay in the sector but avoid big bank exposure:
PowerShares S&P SmallCap Financials Portfolio
(PSCF)
If investors are looking to avoid both big banks and other large
financial institutions, the broadly focused PSCF could be a good
pick. The product also has ample interest from investors although
the volume is a little light at about 10,000 shares a day.
Still, the product does represent a decent value as the expense
ratio is just 29 basis points a year while the yield is approaching
2%. In total, the ETF holds just over 100 securities, all of which
are based in the U.S.
In terms of sectors, REITs take up 40% of the fund, followed by
a 35% allocation to banks, and 14% to insurance. The ETF also does
a great job in eliminating big financial institution exposure as
just 3% of the fund is classified as mid cap or greater while it
also has a value tilt; nearly two-thirds of the fund can be
described as value securities.
UBS E-TRACS Wells Fargo Business Development Company ETN
(BDCS)
For a high yield approach in the segment, investors have this
ETN as a decent choice. The product is still somewhat unpopular
from a market cap and volume perspective but it does pay out a
robust yield of 7.6%, more than enough to cover the hefty 85 basis
point fee.
Securities that are represented in this ETN tend to lend out
capital to small and midsized companies at relatively high rates.
Often times, BDCs make loans and take equity stakes, meaning that
if things go right investors can benefit from both cash flows and
capital appreciation (see Top Three High Yield Financial ETFs).
However, it should be noted that the space is often quite
volatile and large losses can be had in a short period of
time. Still, it represents a great way to avoid big banking
institutions while still maintaining exposure to the traditional
lending activities of the space.
Currently, the product has a heavy value tilt as only 1% of the
product is in blend securities with the vast majority in value
(77%) and pure value (22%). From a market cap perspective, micro
cap securities dominate with nearly 70% of assets, although mid
caps (20%), and small caps (11%) do account for decent chunks as
well, giving the fund a decided focus away from the biggest lenders
in the financial world.
First Trust NASDAQ ABA Community Bank Index (QABA)
For a focus on small cap banks, QABA presents an interesting
choice. However, the fund is still somewhat unpopular with
investors as it has just $11 million in AUM and trades about 7,000
shares a day.
Nevertheless, the product, which charges investors 60 basis
points a year, holds over 100 positions in small banks from across
the country. Furthermore, the product promises to exclude all of
the 50 largest banks or thrifts based on assets size while also
excluding firms that have an international or credit card
specialization (read Beware These Three Volatile Financial
ETFs).
This process produces an ETF that has just 19% of its assets in
securities defined as mid cap or greater and instead puts 46% in
small caps, and 35% in micro caps. From a style perspective, value
securities dominate; just 14% of the portfolio can be defined as
either blend or growth stocks.
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