Baytex Energy Corp. (“Baytex”) (TSX:BTE) (NYSE:BTE) announces that
its Board of Directors has approved a 2018 capital budget of $325
to $375 million, which is designed to generate average annual
production of 68,000 to 72,000 boe/d.
Commenting on the announcement, Ed LaFehr,
President and Chief Executive Officer, said: “Our 2018 budget
builds on the operational momentum established in 2017 which has
positioned our business for success in today’s crude oil price
environment. Focusing on our three high return resource plays, we
will continue to grow our production and cash flow, with a modestly
increased activity set. Importantly, after integrating the Seal
acquisition at Peace River, we have now set the stage for
production growth in 2018 and beyond.”
Highlights of the 2018
Budget
- Funding of Capital Program. As in 2017, we are targeting 2018
capital expenditures to approximate funds from operations in order
to minimize additional bank borrowings.
- Rates of Return. Capital program is expected to generate
internal rates of return in excess of 50% on a per well basis.
- Capital Efficiency. Capital program reflects efficiencies on an
annual basis of approximately $12,000 per boe/d ($14,000 per boe/d
including facilities).
- Production Growth. Targeted exit production rate for 2018 of
72,000-73,000 boe/d. This represents 6% growth over our expected
exit production rate for 2017 of 68,000-69,000 boe/d.
Our 2018 capital budget assumes a WTI price of
US$55/bbl. The 2018 program is approximately 60% weighted to the
first half of the year and we have the operational flexibility to
adjust our spending plans based on changes in the commodity price
environment. This budget will be weighted to drilling and
completion activities (approximately 83%) with the balance for
facilities (approximately 16%) and land and seismic (approximately
1%).
Based on the mid-point of our guidance range of
70,000 boe/d, approximately 51% of our production is expected to be
generated in the Eagle Ford with the remaining 49% from Canada. Our
production mix is forecast to be 80% liquids (38% heavy oil, 30%
light oil and condensate and 12% natural gas liquids) and 20%
natural gas, based on a 6:1 natural gas-to-oil
equivalency. Eagle
Ford
Our Eagle Ford asset in South Texas is one of
the premier oil resource plays in North America. The assets
generate the highest cash netbacks in our portfolio and contain a
significant inventory of development prospects.
Approximately 55% of our planned capital
investment will be directed to the Eagle Ford. We expect a similar
pace of activity to 2017, bringing approximately 30 net wells on
production. Development will be concentrated in the Lower Eagle
Ford formation across our four areas of mutual interest. We expect
strong well performance to continue driven by enhanced completions
and as we continue to exploit the oil window on the western portion
of our lands. We are currently running 5 drilling rigs and 1
completion crew in the Eagle Ford.
Canada
We are accelerating development of our heavy oil
assets at Peace River and Lloydminster and expect to enter 2018
with four drilling rigs running. Approximately 45% of our planned
capital investment will be directed to Canada, which represents a
40% increase from 2017. At Peace River, we plan to drill
18 net multi-lateral horizontal wells, doubling the pace of
activity from 2017. At Lloydminster, we plan to drill 63 net
wells (including 16 net multi-lateral horizontal wells),
representing an 80% increase in activity.
Strategic Infrastructure
Investment
Our 2018 capital budget includes approximately
$30 million of non-recurring strategic infrastructure investment in
Peace River and Lloydminster to support future development and
growth, including:
- Construction of a natural gas plant with design capacity of 18
mmcf/d and related pipeline infrastructure (Baytex working interest
50%), which will enable the growth of our expanded position in
Peace River. This plant is part of our gas conservation strategy
that integrates the use of gas gathering, underground gas storage,
fuel gas and power generation.
- Infrastructure spending on our Seal (Peace River region) lands
acquired in January 2017, which will set the stage for development
drilling in 2018 and future years. This includes pipelines,
compression and road construction. Once complete, we expect to
drill approximately nine net multi-lateral horizontal wells in the
Seal region in 2018.
- Expansion of our Kerrobert thermal facility to accommodate a
three-well steam-assisted gravity drainage (“SAGD”) program in 2018
and an additional two-well SAGD program in 2019. First production
from the SAGD project is targeted for Q4/2018.
2018 Guidance
Exploration and development capital |
|
$325 - $375 million |
Production |
|
68,000
- 72,000 boe/d |
|
|
|
Expenses: |
|
|
Royalty
rate |
|
~
23% |
Operating |
|
$10.50
- $11.25/boe |
Transportation |
|
$1.35 -
$1.45/boe |
General
and administrative |
|
~$44
million, $1.72/boe |
Interest |
|
~ $100 million, $3.95/boe |
|
|
|
Our 2018 capital budget assumes a WTI price of
US$55/bbl. A US$1.00/bbl change in the price of WTI impacts our
annual funds from operations by approximately $19 million on an
unhedged basis ($11 million on a hedged basis).
2018 Capital Budget and Wells On-Stream by Operating
Area
Operating Area |
|
Amount (1)($ millions) |
|
Wells On-stream (net) |
United States (2) |
|
200 |
|
30 |
Canada |
|
150 |
|
85 |
Total |
|
350 |
|
115 |
|
|
|
|
|
(1) Reflects mid-point of capital budget guidance
range.(2) Based on a Canadian-U.S. exchange rate of 1.275
CAD/USD. |
|
2018 Capital Budget Breakdown
Classification |
|
Amount (1)($ millions) |
|
|
|
Drilling, completion
and equipping
|
|
291 |
Facilities |
|
55 |
Land and seismic |
|
4 |
Total |
|
350 |
|
|
|
(1) Reflects mid-point of capital budget guidance
range. |
|
Hedging
As part of our normal operations, we are exposed
to movements in commodity prices, foreign exchange rates and
interest rates. In an effort to manage these exposures, we utilize
various financial derivative contracts which are intended to
partially reduce the volatility in our funds from operations.
For 2018, including WTI swaptions we anticipate
being exercised on December 29, 2017, we have entered into hedges
on approximately 40% of our net WTI exposure with 35% fixed at
US$51.64/bbl and 5% hedged utilizing a 3-way option structure that
provides us with downside price protection at US$54.40/bbl and
upside participation to US$60.00/bbl. In addition, we have entered
into Brent-based hedges for 3,000 bbl/d at US$60.17/bbl. We have
also entered into hedges on approximately 33% of our net WCS
exposure at a price differential to WTI of US$14.19/bbl and 22% of
our net natural gas exposure through a combination of AECO swaps at
C$2.82/mcf and NYMEX swaps at US$3.02/mmbtu.
Board Succession
Baytex has an ongoing board renewal process led
by the Nominating and Governance Committee of the Board. Since
2013, Baytex has added three independent Board members from various
professional backgrounds. As part of this renewal process, John
Brussa and Rusty Goepel, two long-standing board members will be
retiring at the 2018 Annual Meeting of Shareholders to be held in
May 2018. Baytex thanks Mr. Brussa and Mr. Goepel for their valued
contributions during their tenure on the Board.
Advisory Regarding Forward-Looking
Statements
In the interest of providing Baytex's
shareholders and potential investors with information regarding
Baytex, including management's assessment of Baytex's future plans
and operations, certain statements in this press release are
"forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the United
States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and
"forward-looking information" within the meaning of applicable
Canadian securities legislation (collectively, "forward-looking
statements"). In some cases, forward-looking statements can
be identified by terminology such as "anticipate", "believe",
"continue", "could", "estimate", "expect", "forecast", "intend",
"may", "objective", "ongoing", "outlook", "potential", "project",
"plan", "should", "target", "would", "will" or similar words
suggesting future outcomes, events or performance. The
forward-looking statements contained in this press release speak
only as of the date thereof and are expressly qualified by this
cautionary statement.
Specifically, this press release contains
forward-looking statements relating to but not limited to: our
business strategies, plans and objectives; our capital budget for
2018; our average annual production rate for 2018; our target of
funding 2018 capital expenditures with funds from operations; the
internal rates of return and capital efficiencies of our 2018
capital program; our exit production rate for 2017 and 2018; our
2017-2018 exit production organic growth rate; the timing and
flexibility of our capital spending; the breakdown of our 2018
capital budget by geographic area and expenditure type; the
geographic breakdown and product mix for 2018 production; in the
Eagle Ford: the pace of activity relative to 2017, the number of
wells to be brought on production and our expectation that enhanced
well completions will result in continued strong well performance;
in Canada, the pace of activity relative to 2017 and the number and
type of wells to be drilled at Peace River and Lloydminster; that
our strategic infrastructure investment will set the stage for
development drilling in 2018 and beyond in Peace River; that we
will have a three well SAGD program in 2018 and a two well SAGD
program in 2019 and the target for first production from the SAGD
project; our expected royalty rate and operating, transportation,
general and administrative and interest costs for 2018; the impact
of a US$1.00 change to WTI on our funds from operations; the number
of wells to be brought on stream by operating area in 2018; the
existence, operation and strategy of our risk management program
for commodity prices; our expectation that certain WTI swaptions
will be exercised; and the percentage of our net exposure to WTI,
the WCS differential and natural gas that is hedged for
2018.
In addition, information and statements relating
to reserves are deemed to be forward-looking statements, as they
involve implied assessment, based on certain estimates and
assumptions, that the reserves described exist in quantities
predicted or estimated, and that the reserves can be profitably
produced in the future. Although Baytex believes that the
expectations and assumptions upon which the forward-looking
statements are based are reasonable, undue reliance should not be
placed on the forward-looking statements because Baytex can give no
assurance that they will prove to be correct.
These forward-looking statements are based on
certain key assumptions regarding, among other things: petroleum
and natural gas prices and differentials between light, medium and
heavy oil prices; well production rates and reserve volumes; our
ability to add production and reserves through our exploration and
development activities; capital expenditure levels; our ability to
borrow under our credit agreements; the receipt, in a timely
manner, of regulatory and other required approvals for our
operating activities; the availability and cost of labour and other
industry services; interest and foreign exchange rates; the
continuance of existing and, in certain circumstances, proposed tax
and royalty regimes; our ability to develop our crude oil and
natural gas properties in the manner currently contemplated; and
current industry conditions, laws and regulations continuing in
effect (or, where changes are proposed, such changes being adopted
as anticipated). Readers are cautioned that such assumptions,
although considered reasonable by Baytex at the time of
preparation, may prove to be incorrect.
Actual results achieved will vary from the
information provided herein as a result of numerous known and
unknown risks and uncertainties and other factors. Such factors
include, but are not limited to: the volatility of oil and natural
gas prices; further declines or an extended period of the currently
low oil and natural gas prices; failure to comply with the
covenants in our debt agreements; that our credit facilities may
not provide sufficient liquidity or may not be renewed;
uncertainties in the capital markets that may restrict or increase
our cost of capital or borrowing; risks associated with a
third-party operating our Eagle Ford properties; changes in
government regulations that affect the oil and gas industry;
changes in environmental, health and safety regulations;
restrictions or costs imposed by climate change initiatives;
variations in interest rates and foreign exchange rates; risks
associated with our hedging activities; the cost of developing and
operating our assets; risks related to the accessibility,
availability, proximity and capacity of gathering, processing and
pipeline systems; depletion of our reserves; risks associated with
the exploitation of our properties and our ability to acquire
reserves; changes in income tax or other laws or government
incentive programs; uncertainties associated with estimating
petroleum and natural gas reserves; our inability to fully insure
against all risks; risks of counterparty default; risks associated
with acquiring, developing and exploring for oil and natural gas
and other aspects of our operations; risks associated with large
projects; risks related to our thermal heavy oil projects; risks
associated with the ownership of our securities, including changes
in market-based factors and the discretionary nature of dividend
payments; risks for United States and other non-resident
shareholders, including the ability to enforce civil remedies,
differing practices for reporting reserves and production,
additional taxation applicable to non-residents and foreign
exchange risk; and other factors, many of which are beyond our
control. These and additional risk factors are discussed in our
Annual Information Form, Annual Report on Form 40-F and
Management's Discussion and Analysis for the year ended December
31, 2016, as filed with Canadian securities regulatory authorities
and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The above summary of assumptions and risks
related to forward-looking statements has been provided in order to
provide shareholders and potential investors with a more complete
perspective on Baytex’s current and future operations and such
information may not be appropriate for other purposes.
There is no representation by Baytex that actual
results achieved will be the same in whole or in part as those
referenced in the forward-looking statements and Baytex does not
undertake any obligation to update publicly or to revise any of the
included forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new
information, future events or otherwise, except as may be required
by applicable securities law.
All amounts in this press release are stated in
Canadian dollars unless otherwise specified.
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
Funds from operations is not a measurement based
on Generally Accepted Accounting Principles ("GAAP") in Canada, but
is a financial term commonly used in the oil and gas
industry. Funds from operations represents cash generated
from operating activities adjusted for changes in non-cash
operating working capital and asset retirement expenditures.
Baytex's determination of funds from operations may not be
comparable with the calculation of similar measures for other
entities. Baytex considers funds from operations a key
measure of performance as it demonstrates its ability to generate
the cash flow necessary to fund capital investments and potential
future dividends to shareholders. The most directly
comparable measures calculated in accordance with GAAP are cash
flow from operating activities and net income.
Advisory Regarding Oil and Gas Information
Where applicable, oil equivalent amounts have
been calculated using a conversion rate of six thousand cubic feet
of natural gas to one barrel of oil. The use of boe amounts
may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A boe
conversion ratio of six thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one
barrel of oil is based on an energy equivalency conversion method
primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a
value equivalency at the wellhead.
Baytex Energy Corp.
Baytex Energy Corp. is an oil and gas
corporation based in Calgary, Alberta. The company is engaged in
the acquisition, development and production of crude oil and
natural gas in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin and in the
Eagle Ford in the United States. Approximately 80% of Baytex’s
production is weighted toward crude oil and natural gas liquids.
Baytex’s common shares trade on the Toronto Stock Exchange and the
New York Stock Exchange under the symbol BTE.
For further information about Baytex, please
visit our website at www.baytexenergy.com or contact:
Brian Ector, Senior Vice President,
Capital Markets and Public Affairs
Toll Free Number: 1-800-524-5521Email:
investor@baytexenergy.com
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