Despite the recent slight correction in European equities on
concerns of the U.S. Fed scaling back its bond purchasing program,
investors’ faith in European equities seems to be unshaken. All the
major indexes including the leading blue chip index for the Euro
zone – EURO STOXX 50 Index – are trading near five-year highs
(read: 3 European ETFs Leading the Recovery).
Although the European economy grew at 0.1% in the third quarter,
modestly below the growth of 0.3% in the second quarter, both
business and consumer sentiments are riding high.
The Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI) score for the Euro zone rose
0.8% to 98.5 in November, signaling the region’s steadily rising
confidence.
Meanwhile, the Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI) score (as
calculated by Markit) for the Euro zone was also encouraging at
51.7 for the month November. Though the figure was a tad below
October’s figure of 51.9, it was still above 50 representing
growth.
Admittedly, the picture is not so rosy for Euro zone’s second
largest economy, France. Its economy shrank by 0.1% during the
third quarter of this year. Moreover, its ESI score fell 0.9% to
95.2 and the PMI score dropped to a 5-month low.
Investors still have cause to cheer about as Euro zone’s largest
economy – Germany – is witnessing both rising business and consumer
sentiment. Moreover the PMI score for Germany for the month of
November stood at 55.4, the highest figure in two and a half
years.
Also, the weaker economies within the Euro zone, including Spain,
Italy and Portugal, are witnessing improved economic activity
within their counties and are gradually recovering from the crises.
Adding to the bullish sentiment, Ireland emerged as the first
country to exit from the bailout package for the region. The
economy is consistently showing strength.
Moreover, to further support the recovery within the Euro zone, the
European Central Bank (ECB) recently loosened its monetary policy
by cutting its benchmark rate to a record low of 0.25% (read: Euro
ETFs in Focus After Surprise ECB Rate Cut).
Leading Analysts Prediction
If this wasn’t enough, surely investors would be thrilled by
prediction for the upcoming year by some of the world’s leading
investment bankers. Market experts predict this continent’s
equities to rise by double-digits, outpacing the rise in U.S.
equities.
Moreover, ECB now expects the European economy to grow at 1.1% in
2014, slightly higher than its earlier prediction of 1%.
Based on the improving fundamentals and projections, European
stocks and the related ETFs are seeing huge fund inflows. For
investors interested to participate in the recovery, a focus on top
ranked Europe ETFs could be a less risky way to tap some of the
broad growth trends. Hence, a look at the top ranked ETF in
Europe could be a good idea, especially by using our Zacks ETF
Ranking system.
About the Zacks ETF Rank
The Zacks ETF Rank provides a recommendation for the ETF in the
context of our outlook for the underlying industry, sector, style
box or asset class (Read: Zacks ETF Rank Guide).
Our proprietary methodology also takes into account the risk
preferences of investors. ETFs are ranked on a scale of 1 (Strong
Buy) to 5 (Strong Sell) while they also receive one of three risk
ratings, namely, Low, Medium or High.
The aim of our models is to select the best ETFs within each risk
category. We assign each ETF one of five ranks within each risk
bucket. Thus, the Zacks ETF Rank reflects the expected return of an
ETF relative to other products with a similar level of risk.
For investors seeking to apply this methodology to their portfolio
in the European equities space, we have taken a closer look at the
top ranked FEZ. This ETF has a Zacks ETF Rank of 1 or ‘Strong Buy’
(read: all the Top Ranked ETFs) and is detailed below:
SPDR EURO STOXX 50
ETF (
FEZ)
This fund follows the EURO STOXX 50 Index, which measures the
performance of some of the largest companies across the components
of the 20 EURO STOXX Supersector Indexes. With an asset base of
over $4.5 billion, the fund is considered to be one of the largest
European ETFs.
The product holds a small basket of 55 securities and is pretty
liquid with an average daily volume of a little under two million
shares a day. The ETF charges 29 bps in fees per year from
investors, which is pretty cheap compared to its peers.
It is primarily tilted towards large cap securities and puts
nearly 39% of total assets in the top 10 holdings. Total SA (5.3%),
Sanofi (4.86%) and Bayer (4.3%) are the top three elements in the
basket. In terms of style box, the fund is primarily devoted to
value stocks (50%), while growth stocks account for 34% of the
portfolio and 16% of the stocks have both these
characteristics.
The ETF is skewed towards financials, as it takes roughly
one-fourth of the total assets, while industrials, healthcare and
consumer staples capture the next three spots.
In terms of country allocations, France and Germany are leading
with 35.88% and 33.30% share, respectively, followed by Spain
(12.36%), Italy (7.56%), the Netherlands (7.16%), Belgium (2.99%)
and Ireland (0.70%) (read: Is the France ETF in Trouble?).
The product has returned around 24% year to date and 32.7% in the
last one year.
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ISHARS-EMU IDX (EZU): ETF Research Reports
SPDR-EU STX 50 (FEZ): ETF Research Reports
VANGD-FTSE EUR (VGK): ETF Research Reports
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