US Gas Producers Glut Market As Storage Levels Bulge
August 06 2009 - 5:01PM
Dow Jones News
U.S. natural gas producers are pumping huge volumes of the fuel
into a market about to have its fill - an event that could push gas
prices even lower and create pain across the industry.
Companies such as Anadarko Petroleum Corp. (APC), Chesapeake
Energy Corp. (CHK) and Devon Energy Corp. (DVN) have seen their
production soar from year-ago levels - at a time when natural gas
stocks are on pace to fill storage by this fall. As storage levels
move closer to capacity, some producers could be forced to curtail
output. And prices - which are already down more than 70% from last
year's peak above $13 a million British thermal units - could fall
even further.
The situation underscores how the natural gas industry is
changing, thanks to vast new gas supplies trapped in dense rock
formations known as shales. New technology has allowed producers to
increase output from these rocks even as the industry, as a whole,
spends less on drilling. But a further slump in price may squeeze
cash-strapped producers that are already struggling amid an
economic downturn that has undermined energy demand.
Aubrey McClendon, chief executive of Chesapeake Energy said that
there will be much "wailing and gnashing of teeth in the next 60
days" across the industry as storage fills.
But at the same time producers are turning in big results from
natural gas fields that have cropped up around the country. And
some producers aren't willing to hold back gas in order to defend
prices.
"Pretty soon, everybody is going to start involuntarily
curtailing gas so we don't see any reason to take it on the chin
for the team any more than we did," McClendon said during a
conference call. The company stopped curbing output in the second
quarter, and saw a production increase of 5% from a year ago.
Devon, which boasted a 12% increase in second-quarter production
versus last year, intends to temporarily curb output while storage
is high - but the company is on an efficiency roll. The company
boosted its production in North Texas' Barnett Shale to 1.2 billion
cubic feet a day, and set a record in the quarter by finishing a
well in nine days, a process that five years ago took two to three
weeks to complete. By year's end, Devon's 2009 output is projected
to increase by 3% from last year's levels.
"The strength of our overall portfolio continues to impress us,"
said Larry Nichols, Devon's chairman and chief executive, in an
interview.
Phil Weiss, an analyst at Argus Research Co. in New York, said
he was puzzled by companies' strategy to increase production in the
face of rising storage levels.
"If it were my business, I wouldn't be running it that way,"
Weiss said.
But companies are counting on the diminishing cost of shale gas
extraction in order to make it through the slump. Anadarko
Petroleum, which saw its production jump 12% in the second quarter,
said it would ramp up activity in the Marcellus Shale - a vast
natural gas field stretching from West Virginia to New York - where
the company can achieve a 10% rate of return at gas prices of $2.50
a million British thermal units.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration reported Thursday
that gas in U.S. storage for the week ended July 31 stood at 3.089
trillion cubic feet - 23% higher than year-ago levels and 19%
higher than the five-year average. Storage capacity is estimated at
about 4 trillion cubic feet.
-By Jason Womack, Dow Jones Newswires; 713-547-9201;
jason.womack@dowjones.com