The U.S. unemployment rate is expected to increase slightly in
July from a month earlier, even as auto and retail sales likely
improved during the same period. Jobs data are due next Friday;
automakers report sales Monday and retailers Thursday.
The pace of corporate earnings reports slows next week, but
three Dow Jones Industrial Average components will post results
along with nearly 40 companies in the Standard & Poor's 500
Index.
Also, the U.S. Senate is expected to approve Judge Sonia
Sotomayor's nomination to the Supreme Court next week. The House is
scheduled to be in recess.
July Jobless Rate Estimated At 9.6%
The national unemployment rate is expected to rise slightly in
July from 9.5% a month earlier. The latest figure, due next Friday,
has been estimated at 9.6% by a group of economists. Most experts
expect the U.S. to see double-digit jobless rates before the figure
begins to decline.
July Could Be Best Month For Auto Sales
New-vehicle sales are expected to post the highest annual sales
rate of 2009, with the $1 billion "cash for clunkers" federal
program giving an added boost to results the past week. The program
began July 24 and reportedly exhausted its $1 billion in funding by
Thursday night. The House on Friday approved an additional $2
billion to keep the program running and the Senate is expected to
vote on the bill next week.
Data Due On Retail Sales, Personal Income
Major retailers are scheduled to report July same-store sales
figures Thursday. Same-store sales dropped 4.9% a month earlier, in
line with projections, as retailers contended with high
unemployment, the second wettest June in a decade and a lack of
stimulus checks that helped spur some buying last year. Same-store
sales fell for 10 straight months through June, outpacing the
string of declines during the 2001 recession.
In other economic reports, the government will report Monday on
June construction spending and the Institute for Supply Management
will issue its July report on manufacturing activity. The institute
reports on the services sector two days later. Government reports
on June personal income and spending are due Tuesday as is the
National Association of Realtors' report on June pending home
sales, an index of contracts signed. Data on June factory orders
will be released Thursday.
Kraft, P&G, Cisco To Report 2Q Results
Kraft Foods Inc. (KFT) and Procter & Gamble Co. (PG) are
among the biggest companies reporting quarterly results next week.
Kraft, which is due Tuesday, has been benefiting from more people
eating at home, while P&G, set for Wednesday, is putting more
focus on lower-priced goods to compete with less-expensive brands
and private-label rivals.
Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO) is expected to post an 18% drop in
sales as its industry reels from sharp pullbacks on
information-technology spending. But investors will be watching
closely for the networking-gear giant's forecast. The company
reports Wednesday.
Others on tap include casino operator MGM Mirage (MGM) and
health insurer Humana Inc. (HUM), both Monday; media giant News
Corp. (NWS, NWSA) and insurer Prudential Financial Inc. (PRU), both
Wednesday; and broadcaster CBS Corp. (CBS), stock exchange Nasdaq
OMX Group Inc. (NDAQ) and restaurant chain owner Wendy's/Arby's
Group Inc. (WEN), all Thursday.
Senate To Vote On Sotomayor Nomination
The full Senate is scheduled to debate the nomination of Judge
Sonia Sotomayor to the Supreme Court starting Tuesday. President
Barack Obama's first high court nominee is expected to be easily
confirmed. Sotomayor, a federal appeals court judge who has twice
been confirmed by the Senate for federal judgeships, would replace
retiring Associate Justice David Souter.
Senate Panel Won't Vote On Health-Care Bill
Sen. Max Baucus, chairman of the Senate Finance Committee,
pledged to work into next week to narrow differences on health-care
reform legislation with top Republicans. But the Montana Democrat
said the panel, which has wide jurisdiction over health policy,
would not vote on the bill before the Senate starts its August
recess next Friday. He also said it is unclear whether a draft of
the bill would be made public next week.
Shareholders To Vote On Schering-Plough Purchase
Shareholders of Merck & Co. (MRK) and Schering-Plough Corp.
(SGP) are scheduled to meet separately next Friday to vote on the
drug makers' proposed $46 billion merger. Merck shareholders will
gather in Bridgewater, N.J., in the morning while Schering-Plough's
meet in the afternoon in Boston. The deal is expected to close by
the end of the year.
Elsewhere in the pharmaceutical industry, the Food and Drug
Administration is expected to decide by Monday whether to approve
Johnson & Johnson's (JNJ) paliperidone palmitate, a
once-monthly, injectable formulation of J&J's antipsychotic
Invega. Also, executives from several drug makers are scheduled to
speak at a BMO Capital Markets conference Wednesday in New
York.
U.S., Swiss To Discuss Deal In UBS-IRS Case
Switzerland and the U.S. are set to hammer out next week the
details of an agreement in principle reached between Swiss bank UBS
AG (UBS) and the Internal Revenue Service. The U.S. is seeking UBS
client names as part of a stepped-up IRS campaign against wealthy
tax scofflaws who hide their money offshore. The settlement is
expected to result in UBS turning over account information for
thousands of clients, though likely not the full 52,000 demanded by
the IRS. The deal's details are likely to be ironed out by next
Friday, when UBS and the IRS are due back before a judge to update
him on their progress.
Clinton To Visit 7 African Countries
U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton will visit seven African
nations next week as she continues her recent globetrotting. The
chief U.S. diplomat will first attend the U.S.-Sub-Saharan Africa
Trade and Economic Cooperation Forum in Nairobi, Kenya, on
Wednesday. Next, Clinton will meet with her South African
counterpart Maite Nkoana-Mashabane to discuss creating a regular
bilateral forum. Her other stops are Angola, the Democratic
Republic of the Congo, Nigeria, Liberia and Cape Verde.
Souter To Speak At ABA Annual Meeting
Associate Justice David H. Souter of the Supreme Court will
address the American Bar Association's opening assembly Saturday as
part of the lawyers group's annual meeting in Chicago. The
gathering continues through Tuesday and will include discussions of
financial problems facing law firms, testing incarcerated
individuals for HIV, legal risks of blogging, and proposed
legislation on health care and greenhouse gases.
Conferences
Among the other significant conferences next week are the BMO
Capital Markets Focus on Healthcare Conference from Tuesday through
Thursday in New York and Credit Suisse Group Midsummer's Latam
Conference on Tuesday and Wednesday in New York.
-By Kathy Shwiff, Dow Jones Newswires; 201-938-5975;
kathy.shwiff@dowjones.com
(Peter Loftus and other Dow Jones Newswires staff contributed to
this report.)